Global prevalence, clinical characteristics, surveillance, treatment allocation, and outcomes of alcohol-associated hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Although the burden of alcohol-associated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is increasing with rising alcohol consumption, clinical presentation and outcomes of alcohol-associated HCC have not been systematically assessed. We aimed to determine the prevalence, clinical characteristics, surveillance rates, treatment allocation, and outcomes of alcohol-associated HCC. METHODS: Medline and Embase were searched from inception to January 2023. Proportional data were analyzed using a generalized linear mixed model. The odds ratio (OR) or mean difference comparing alcohol-associated HCC and other causes was obtained with pairwise meta-analysis. Survival outcomes were evaluated using a pooled analysis of hazard ratios. RESULTS: Of 4,824 records identified, 55 articles (86,345 patients) were included. Overall, 30.4% (CI: 24.0%-37.7%) of HCC were alcohol-associated, with the highest proportion in Europe and the lowest in the Americas. People with alcohol-associated HCC were more likely male, but similar in age and comorbidities, compared to other causes. 20.8% (CI: 11.4%-34.9%) of people with alcohol-associated HCC underwent surveillance compared to 35.0%, 31.6%, and 21.4% in hepatitis B virus, hepatitis C virus, and metabolic dysfunction-associated HCC, respectively (all P<0.05). Alcohol-associated HCC had a lower likelihood of BCLC stage (0/A) (OR: 0.7, CI: 0.6-0.9; P=0.018) and curative therapy (24.5% vs 33.9%; OR 0.7, CI: 0.5-0.9; P=0.003), and higher mortality (HR: 1.3, CI: 1.1-1.5, P=0.012) when compared to other causes. CONCLUSIONS: Alcohol-associated HCC is associated with lower surveillance rates, more advanced BCLC stage, lower likelihood of receiving curative therapy, and poorer survival. These data call for measures to reduce heavy alcohol consumption and improve strategies for effective HCC surveillance in high-risk individuals.

Clostridioides difficile Infection in the Elderly: Trend Analysis from 2000 to 2019.

Background/Objective: Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) is a common healthcare-associated ailment, presenting major health and economic challenges, especially for the elderly. Despite its prevalence, comprehensive data about CDI's impact on the elderly are limited. Methods: This study used the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 data to analyze CDI trends from 2000 to 2019, considering factors like sex, region, and sociodemographic index (SDI). Results: This study revealed that CDI caused approximately 18,181 deaths and 252,709 disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) among the elderly worldwide. The Americas showed the highest CDI burden, while the Eastern Mediterranean saw the steepest rate increase from 2000 to 2019. Regions with a high SDI also displayed substantial CDI impact. Conclusions: The escalating burden of CDI in the elderly, especially in high-SDI areas and the Americas, emphasizes an urgent need for targeted public health strategies.

Comparative efficacy of pharmacologic therapies for MASH in reducing liver fat content: Systematic review and network meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) is a leading cause of liver disease. Dynamic changes in magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) proton-density-fat fraction (PDFF) are associated with MASH resolution. We aimed to determine the relative efficacy of therapeutic agents for reducing hepatic fat, assessed by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) proton-density-fat fraction (PDFF). APPROACH AND RESULTS: In this systematic review and network meta-analysis, we searched MEDLINE and Embase from inception until Dec 26, 2023, for published randomized-controlled trials (RCTs) comparing pharmacological interventions in patients with MASH that assessed changes in MRI-PDFF. The primary outcome was the absolute change in MRI-PDFF. The secondary outcome was a ≥30% decline in MRI-PDFF. A surface under-the-curve cumulative ranking probabilities (SUCRA) analysis was performed. Of 1550 records, a total of 39 RCTs (3311 participants) met the inclusion criteria. For MRI-PDFF decline at 24 weeks, aldafermin (SUCRA: 83.65), pegozafermin (SUCRA: 83.46), and pioglitazone (SUCRA: 71.67) were ranked the most effective interventions. At 24-weeks, efinopegdutide (SUCRA: 67.02), semaglutide + firsocostat (SUCRA: 62.43), and pegbelfermin (SUCRA: 61.68) were ranked the most effective interventions for achieving a ≥30% decline in MRI-PDFF. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides an updated, relative rank-order efficacy of therapies for MASH in reducing hepatic fat. These data may help inform the design and sample size calculation of future clinical trials and assist selection of combination therapy.

Impact of Dementia in Colorectal Cancer Patients: United States Population-Based Cohort Study.

Background/Aims: Various socioeconomic and racial disparities are well-documented for colon cancer. However, the association of dementia, which is a growing cause of mortality in the elderly, remains unexplored. We aim to understand the association between these two conditions, in the elderly population group. Methods: We utilized the 2020 National Inpatient Sample to investigate records admitted for colorectal cancer identified through ICD-10 CM codes. We divided records by the presence of dementia. Adjusted odds ratios (aORs) for predefined outcomes were determined using multivariable logistic and linear regression models, adjusting for comorbidities. The primary outcome assessed was inpatient mortality, while secondary outcomes include other inpatient complications. Results: We identified 33,335 hospitalizations with ages more than 60. The mean age was 75.2 and males constituted 50.4%. In a survey multivariable logistic and linear regression model adjusting for patient and hospital factors, utilizing propensity score matching, the presence of dementia is associated with lower inpatient mortality (aOR 0.49, 95% confidence interval [CI] [0.26, 0.92], p=0.03), lower hospitalization costs (beta coefficient -2,823, 95% CI [-5,266, -440], p=0.02), lower odds of acute respiratory failure (aOR 0.54, p=0.01), lower mechanical ventilation usage (aOR 0.26, p<0.01) but higher odds of mental status change (aOR 1.97, 95% CI [1.37, 2.84], p<0.01). Conclusions: The presence of dementia is associated with a lower risk of inpatient mortality, and other clinical outcomes, in colorectal cancer cases admitted for hospitalization. Etiologies behind this relationship should be explored to understand this inverse relationship.

The growing trend of vascular intestinal disorder in young individuals: a 20-year analysis.

Background: Vascular intestinal disorder (VID) is a condition with a low incidence, but a high mortality risk. The increasing prevalence of substance abuse and metabolic syndrome among young individuals could impact the burden of VID. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of VID on young individuals. Methods: Our study harnessed data from the Global Burden of Disease study, spanning 2000 to 2019. With this extensive dataset, we conducted a comprehensive analysis of the prevalence, mortality rates, and impact on disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) related to VID among young individuals aged 15 to 49 years. Results: Globally, there were an estimated 32,628 cases, 3869 deaths, and 201,099 million DALYs attributed to VID in young individuals. Geographically, the regions of America had the highest burden of VID in young individuals. From 2000-2019, there was an increasing prevalence in all areas, with the most pronounced change observed in Southeast Asia (annual percentage change [APC] +2.17%, P<0.001). Over the study period, there was a more rapid increase in prevalence in males (APC +0.82%, P<0.001) than in females (APC +0.59%, P<0.001). Rates of death and DALYs declined in most regions, except for the Eastern Mediterranean region, where there was a slight increase (APC +0.85%, P<0.001 and 0.88%, P<0.001, respectively). Conclusion: Over the past decade, the burden of VID in young individuals has been increasing, particularly in Southeast Asia and the Eastern Mediterranean region, necessitating immediate and inclusive measures to tackle the rising burden.

Early-onset pancreatic cancer and associated metabolic risk factors in the Middle East and North Africa: A 20-year analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Early-onset pancreatic cancer (EOPC) is associated with poor prognosis and high disease burden. Metabolic risk factors such as diabetes and obesity are considered risk factors of EOPC. Recently, there has been an increasing number of EOPCs worldwide. However, the analysis of EOPC, including its metabolic risk factors, in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region has not been fully addressed. METHODS: Data from the Global Burden of Disease Study between 2000 and 2019 was used to analyze the prevalence, incidence, deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) associated with EOPC and its metabolic risk factors. The analysis further categorized the data based on countries, income status and sex and examined the annual percentage change (APC). RESULTS: Approximately 2800 cases, 2400 deaths and 114,000 DALYs were attributable to EOPC in the MENA region. The incidence (APC + 3.42%), death (APC + 0.73%) and DALYs (APC + 3.23%) rates of EOPC increased. In addition, the death and DALY rates of EOPC attributable to obesity and diabetes increased. High and upper-middle-income countries exhibited a higher burden of EOPC than lower-income countries. CONCLUSION: Over the past two decades, the burden of EOPC and its associated metabolic risk factors has increased. There is an urgent need for region-wide policy development, including screening methods and risk factor reduction, to mitigate the high and rising burden of EOPC in the MENA region.

Global epidemiology of alcohol-associated liver disease in adolescents and young adults.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The objective of the study was to analyse the prevalence, incidence, and death of alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) among adolescents and young adults globally, continentally, and nationally, focusing on trends over time. METHODS: The study analysed data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study between 2000 and 2019. It examined ALD's prevalence, incidence, and death in adolescents and young adults aged 15-29, segmented by region, nation, and sociodemographic index. The analysis utilised Joinpoint regression modelling to calculate the annual per cent change (APC) in the rate of these parameters over time. RESULTS: In 2019, there were 281,450 ALD prevalences, 18,930 incidences, and 3190 deaths among adolescents and young adults globally. From 2000 to 2019, the age-adjusted prevalence rate per 100,000 increased in the 25-29 age group (APC: +0.6%, p = 0.003), remained stable among ages 20-24 (p = 0.302) and ages 15-19 (p = 0.160). Prevalence increased significantly from age 15-19 to 20-24 (19-fold increase) and from age 20-24 to 25-29 (2.5-fold increase). ALD prevalence rates increased in all age groups in adolescents and young adults in Africa and the Eastern Mediterranean region. Around three-quarters of countries and territories experienced an increase in ALD incidence rates in young adults. CONCLUSION: Over two decades, the burden of ALD among adolescents and young adults has increased globally. The study emphasises the importance of public health policies aimed at reducing alcohol consumption and preventing ALD among younger populations.

The Burden of Overweight and Obesity-Associated Gastrointestinal Cancers in Low and Lower-Middle-Income Countries: A Global Burden of Disease 2019 Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Obesity is associated with cancer, including gastrointestinal (GI). Data from low (LICs) and lower-middle-income countries (MICs) are limited. METHODS: We utilized data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 to determine the mortality from GI cancer risk of high body mass index (BMI) in these countries. RESULTS: Mortality rates of GI cancers from high BMI increased in LICs and lower MICs, while burdens decreased or remained stable in high and middle-income countries. DISCUSSION: The GI cancer-related burden from high BMI increased in LICs and lower MICs, necessitating a concerted effort to tackle the obesity pandemic.

Impact of colon cancer on outcomes in hospitalized patients with Clostridioides difficile infection: a national inpatient analysis.

Background and aim: Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) burdens hospitalized patients, particularly those with comorbidities. Colon cancer may worsen CDI severity and outcomes. We aimed to assess CDI outcomes in hospitalized colon cancer patients. Methods: A retrospective analysis of 2016 to 2020 National Inpatient Survey data identified adults with CDI, categorized by the presence of colon cancer. Hospitalization characteristics, comorbidities, and outcomes were compared between groups. Primary outcomes included in-hospital mortality, length of stay, and total hospital charges. The secondary outcomes were CDI complications. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed, with P values ≤0.05 indicating statistical significance. Results: Among 1,436,860 CDI patients, 14,085 had colon cancer. Patients with colon cancer had a longer length of stay (10.77 vs 9.98 days; P < 0.001). After adjustment for confounders, colon cancer patients exhibited higher odds of acute peritonitis (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 2.37; P = 0.009), bowel perforation (aOR 5.49; P < 0.001), paralytic ileus (aOR 2.12; P = 0.003), and colectomy (aOR 36.99; P < 0.001), but lower risks of mortality, sepsis, septic shock, acute kidney injury, cardiac arrest, and mechanical ventilation (all P < 0.001). Conclusion: Colon cancer significantly impacts CDI outcomes in hospitalized patients, highlighting the need for improved management strategies to reduce morbidity and mortality.

Determining the association between systematic lupus erythematosus and the occurrence of primary biliary cirrhosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Autoimmune diseases often coexist; however, the concomitant occurrence of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC) is rare. Therefore, this study aims to provide a comprehensive summary of evidence regarding the co-occurrence of SLE and PBC. METHODS: PubMed, Web of Science, ScienceDirect, and Google Scholar databases were systematically and comprehensively searched for records published up to February 2024. Full-text articles that aligned with the study's aim were included, while those published in languages other than English and those designed as case reports, reviews, conference abstracts, or editorials were excluded. Statistical analyses were performed using Comprehensive Meta-Analysis software, and methodological quality was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. RESULTS: Only 14 studies that met the inclusion criteria with 3944 PBC and 9414 SLE patients were included for review and analysis. Pooled data analysis revealed that approximately 1.1% of SLE patients have concomitant PBC (range: 0.02-7.5%), while around 2.7% of PBC patients concurrently have SLE (range: 1.3-7.5%). Furthermore, qualitative data analysis indicated that the prevalence of PBC in SLE patients presenting with hepatic dysfunction or abnormal liver enzymes ranges from 2 to 7.5%. CONCLUSION: Although the concomitant occurrence of SLE and PBC is rare, the small proportion of patients where these diseases coexist warrants close monitoring by clinicians. This underscores the importance of surveillance to prevent their co-occurrence.

Disparities in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and cardiometabolic conditions in low and lower middle-income countries: a systematic analysis from the global burden of disease study 2019.

OBJECTIVE: Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and cardiometabolic conditions affect populations across economic strata. Nevertheless, there are limited epidemiological studies addressing these diseases in low (LICs) and lower-middle-income countries (lower MICs). Therefore, an analysis of the trend of MASLD and cardiometabolic conditions in these countries is necessary. METHODS: From 2000 to 2019, jointpoint regression analysis was employed to calculate the prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for cardiometabolic conditions including MASLD, type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), dyslipidemia (DLP), hypertension (HTN), obesity, peripheral artery disease (PAD), atrial fibrillation and flutter (AF/AFL), ischemic heart disease (IHD), stroke, and chronic kidney disease from HTN and T2DM, in LICs and lower MICs (according to the World Bank Classification 2019) using the Global Burden of Disease 2019 data. RESULTS: Among the eleven cardiometabolic conditions, MASLD (533.65 million), T2DM (162.96 million), and IHD (76.81 million) had the highest prevalence in LICs and Lower MICs in 2019. MASLD represented the largest proportion of global prevalence in these countries (43 %). From 2000 to 2019, mortality in LICs and lower MICs increased in all cardiometabolic conditions, with obesity-related mortality having the highest increase (+134 %). During this timeframe, there were increased age-standardized death rates (ASDR) from obesity, PAD, and AF/AFL. From all conditions, the DALYs-to-prevalence ratio was higher in LICs and lower MICs than the global average. CONCLUSION: The burden of MASLD and cardiometabolic conditions is increasing worldwide, with LICs and lower MICs experiencing higher (DALYs) disability per prevalence. As these conditions are preventable, counteracting these trends requires not only the modification of ongoing actions but also the strategizing of immediate interventions.

The burden of alcohol-related cardiovascular complications in young and middle-aged adults: rising burden of atrial fibrillation and hypertensive heart disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The burden of alcohol-related complications is high and rising. However, there are notable deficiencies in comprehensive epidemiological study focusing on cardiovascular complications from alcohol, especially among young and middle-aged adults. We thus aimed to determine the burden of these conditions in young and middle-aged adults globally. METHODS AND RESULTS: We used data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 and analysed the mortality and disability-adjusted life years of alcohol-associated cardiovascular complications in young and middle-aged adults. The findings were classified by sex, region, country, and Sociodemographic Index (SDI). The highest age-standardized death rates (ASDR) were observed in stroke 0.84 (95% UI 0.60-1.09), followed by alcoholic cardiomyopathy 0.57 (95% UI 0.47-0.66) per 100,000 population. The overall burden of alcohol-associated cardiovascular complications decreased globally but increased in atrial fibrillation and hypertensive heart disease. Regionally, most regions underwent a decrease in ASDR, but an increase was observed in Southeast Asia (+2.82%), Western Pacific (+1.48%), low-middle (+1.81%), and middle SDI (+0.75%) countries. Nevertheless, the ASDR and ASDALYs were highest in Europe. CONCLUSIONS: The impact of alcohol-associated atrial fibrillation and hypertensive heart disease has increased over the last decades. Regarding region, the burden in Europe and the rising burden in Asia, require immediate public health policy to lessen these cardiovascular complications from alcohol in young and middle-aged adults.

Global epidemiology of early-onset upper gastrointestinal cancer: trend from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: In recent years, there has been a growing incidence of gastrointestinal cancer in young individuals. Despite its significant morbidity and mortality, research on upper gastrointestinal (UGI) cancer in young populations has been relatively limited. Therefore, studies on the epidemiological changes of this cancer are needed. METHODS: Using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019, we examined the incidence, death, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) from UGI cancers in the young, namely, early-onset esophageal cancer (EOEC) and early-onset gastric cancer (EOGC). These results were stratified by sex, geographical region, country, and sociodemographic index. RESULTS: There was a total of 185 140 cases, 120 289 deaths, and 5.70 million DALYs attributable to early-onset UGI cancers globally. From 2010 to 2019, the global incidence, death, and DALYs rates of early-onset UGI cancers decreased. In contrast, the incidence rates increased in both EOEC (+1.15%) and EOGC (+0.21%) in the Eastern Mediterranean region. CONCLUSIONS: Over the past decade, the burden of UGI cancer in the young has decreased. However, it has increased in the Eastern Mediterranean region. Further research to elucidate the attributable risk factors in this population is warranted.

Socio-economic association of alcohol use disorder and cardiovascular and alcohol-associated liver disease from 2010 to 2019.

BACKGROUNDS AND AIMS: Alcohol use leads to disabilities and deaths worldwide. It not only harms the liver but also causes alcohol use disorder (AUD) and heart disease. Additionally, alcohol consumption contributes to health disparities among different socio-economic groups. METHODS: We estimated global and regional trends in the burden of AUD, liver disease, and cardiovascular disease from alcohol using the methodology of the Global Burden of Disease study. RESULTS: In 2019, the highest disability-adjusted life years rate per 100,000 population was due to AUD (207.31 [95% Uncertainty interval (UI) 163.71-261.66]), followed by alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) (133.31 [95% UI 112.68-156.17]). The prevalence rate decreased for AUD (APC [annual percentage change] -0.38%) and alcohol-induced cardiomyopathy (APC -1.85%) but increased for ALD (APC 0.44%) and liver cancer (APC 0.53%). Although the mortality rate for liver cancer from alcohol increased (APC 0.30%), mortality rates from other diseases decreased. Between 2010 and 2019, the burden of alcohol-associated complications increased in countries with low and low-middle sociodemographic index (SDI), contributing more significantly to the global burden. CONCLUSION: The global burden of AUD, liver, and cardiovascular disease has been high and increasing over the past decade, particularly for liver complications. Lower SDI countries are contributing more to this global burden. There is a pressing need for effective strategies to address this escalating burden.

Incidence of liver cancer in young adults according to the Global Burden of Disease database 2019.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The worldwide burden of cancer is increasing in younger populations. However, the epidemiology of primary liver cancer remains understudied in young adults compared to other cancer forms. APPROACH AND RESULTS: This study analyzed data from the Global Burden of Disease study between 2010 and 2019 to assess the age-standardized incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years associated with primary liver cancer in the young (15-49 y), stratified by region, nation, sociodemographic index, and sex. The study found a global estimate of 78,299 primary liver cancer cases, 60,602 deaths, and 2.90 million disability-adjusted life years in the young population. The Western Pacific region exhibited the highest burden in 2019, showing the most significant increase compared to other regions between 2010 and 2019. More than half of the countries worldwide have undergone an increase in primary liver cancer incidence rates in young adults. Around 12.51% of deaths due to primary liver cancer occur in young individuals. Throughout the study period, there was a significant decline in primary liver cancer mortality due to most etiologies, except for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease-attributable primary liver cancer (annual percentage change + 0.87%, 95% CI: 0.70%-1.05%) and alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer (annual percentage change + 0.21%, 95% CI: 0.01%-0.42%). The limitations of the Global Burden of Disease database include reliance on the quality of primary data and possible underestimation of alcohol consumption. CONCLUSIONS: Over the past decade, there has been a marked increase in the burden of primary liver cancer, especially that originating from steatotic liver disease. This trend calls for the development of urgent and comprehensive strategies to mitigate this rising burden globally.

The Global Burden of Early-Onset Pancreatic Cancer and Its Risk Factors: A Perspective From Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

OBJECTIVES: Despite evidence of increased incidence of early-onset pancreatic cancer (EOPC), defined as pancreatic cancer diagnosed in patients below 50 years old, and its risk factors in the Western region, global epidemiological data addressing this issue is still lacking. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Utilizing data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019, we aimed to conduct a comprehensive analysis of the incidence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) associated with EOPC and its risk factors, including smoking, obesity, and diabetes. The analysis examined the annual percentage change (APC) over the period. RESULTS: In 2019, the incidence of EOPC surpassed 35,000 cases worldwide. This burden of EOPC tends to be more prevalent in males, as well as in Europe and high SDI countries. However, there is a noticeable upward trend in the burden of EOPC in the Eastern Mediterranean. While there is a global decline in EOPC mortality attributed to smoking (APC -0.33%), there is a concerning increase in mortality associated with diabetes (APC +2.84%) and obesity (APC +2.12%). CONCLUSIONS: The burden of EOPC has been increasing. The mortality is rising mainly from metabolic factors. There is an urgent need for national policy development for reducing the burden of this disease.

The Global Burden of Alcohol-associated Cirrhosis and Cancer in Young and Middle-aged Adults.

Alcohol is a substance that impacts premature mortality and morbidity.1 The liver is invariably subjected to the impact of alcohol, which can result in cirrhosis and cancer. Alcohol also has detrimental effects that extend beyond the liver. While traditionally associated with advanced age, emerging data reported a rising burden of cancers and alcohol-associated liver disease in the young.1-3 Thus, the primary objective was to evaluate the trend of alcohol-associated cirrhosis and cancer in young and middle-aged adults (aged 15-49) utilizing the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019.4 We chose the age group less than 50 years old based on the definition of early-onset cancer and the inherent selection of the age group in the GBD database.4-6 The detailed methods are provided in the Supplementary Appendix. Briefly, data were sourced from population-based cancer registries, vital registration systems, or verbal autopsy studies. Verbal autopsy is a well-established approach for monitoring health, providing valuable information on mortality patterns and the reasons behind deaths in areas lacking robust medical death certification processes. The researchers employed the Cause of Death Ensemble model to estimate the burden linked to cancer and cirrhosis associated with alcohol use.

Metabolic Syndrome and Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease in Premenopausal Women: Global Trends and Projections to 2040.

OBJECTIVE: To quantify the burden of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and related metabolic disorders in premenopausal women. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Between 2010 and 2019, global evaluations of prevalence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and their age-standardized rate (ASR) were conducted for metabolic conditions such as MASLD, type 2 diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, hypertension (HTN), obesity, and polycystic ovarian syndrome. Subgroup assessments were conducted according to geographical regions and the sociodemographic index. The predictive models were established to estimate mortality and DALYs through 2040. RESULTS: In 2019, the most significant ASR of deaths was found in HTN (11.37; 9.52 to 13.45), followed by obesity (10.49; 7.57 to 13.64). In contrast, the greatest ASR of DALYs was attributed to obesity (816.13; 581.41 to 1073.32), followed by HTN (634.73; 536.75 to 744.77). The mortality rates for dyslipidemia (-0.55%) and HTN (-0.72%) have been decreasing over time, but there has been an increase in obesity (+0.58%), type 2 diabetes mellitus (+0.85%), and MASLD (+0.51%). Lower sociodemographic index countries exhibit a higher disability-to-prevalence ratio. In 2040, obesity is predicted to cause the most deaths (+41.59% from 2019). CONCLUSION: The escalating impact of metabolic syndrome, the rising trends in death rates linked to obesity, and the disparities based on region and socioeconomic status in premenopausal women underscore the alarming increase in the global burden of metabolic syndrome.

Global and regional burden of alcohol-associated liver disease and alcohol use disorder in the elderly.

Background & Aims: Alcohol-associated liver diseases (ALDs) and alcohol use disorder (AUD) pose a global health risk. AUD is underrecognized in the elderly, and the burden of AUD complications, including ALD, may increase with aging populations and rising alcohol intake. However, there is a lack of epidemiological evidence on AUD and ALD in the elderly. Methods: Using the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019, we analyzed the prevalence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), age-standardized rates (ASRs), and temporal change from 2000 to 2019 of ALD and AUD in the overall population and the elderly (65-89 years). The findings were categorized by sex, region, nation, and sociodemographic index. Results: The prevalence rates of ALD in the elderly were higher than those in adolescents and young adults, whereas AUD levels were lower than those in adolescents and young adults. In 2019, there were 9.39 million cases (8.69% of cases in the overall population) of AUD, 3.23 million cases (21.8% of cases in the overall population) of alcohol-associated cirrhosis, and 68,468 cases (51.27% of cases in the overall population) of liver cancer from alcohol among the elderly. ASRs of the prevalence of ALD and AUD in the elderly increased in most regions; on the contrary, ASRs of death and DALYs decreased in most regions. Nevertheless, ASRs of death and DALYs from liver cancer from alcohol increased in many areas. Conclusions: Our findings highlighted the increased prevalence of ALD in the elderly, with a burden of AUD comparable with that in the overall population. Public health strategies on ALD and AUD targeting the elderly are urgently needed. Impact and implications: The burden of alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) and alcohol use disorder (AUD) is increasing. Advances in healthcare and education have resulted in a remarkable spike in life expectancy and a consequential population aging. Nevertheless, little is known about the epidemiology of ALD and AUD in the elderly. Our study indicates the increasing burden of ALD and AUD in the elderly population, necessitating early detection, intervention, and tailored care to the unique needs and complexities faced by older individuals grappling with these conditions.