ABSTRACT
Vascular injury is a menacing element of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) pathogenesis. To better understand the role of vascular injury in COVID-19 ARDS, we used lung autopsy immunohistochemistry and blood proteomics from COVID-19 subjects at distinct timepoints in disease pathogenesis, including a hospitalized cohort at risk of ARDS development ("at risk", N=59), an intensive care unit cohort with ARDS ("ARDS", N=31), and a cohort recovering from ARDS ("recovery", N=12). COVID-19 ARDS lung autopsy tissue revealed an association between vascular injury and platelet-rich microthrombi. This link guided the derivation of a protein signature in the at risk cohort characterized by lower expression of vascular proteins in subjects who died, an early signal of vascular limitation termed the maladaptive vascular response. These findings were replicated in COVID-19 ARDS subjects, as well as when bacterial and influenza ARDS patients (N=29) were considered, hinting at a common final pathway of vascular injury that is more disease (ARDS) then cause (COVID-19) specific, and may be related to vascular cell death. Among recovery subjects, our vascular signature identified patients with good functional recovery one year later. This vascular injury signature could be used to identify ARDS patients most likely to benefit from vascular targeted therapies.
ABSTRACT
RationaleCOVID-19-associated respiratory failure offers the unprecedented opportunity to evaluate the differential host response to a uniform pathogenic insult. Prior studies of Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS) have identified subphenotypes with differential outcomes. Understanding whether there are distinct subphenotypes of severe COVID-19 may offer insight into its pathophysiology. ObjectivesTo identify and characterize distinct subphenotypes of COVID-19 critical illness defined by the post-intubation trajectory of Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score. MethodsIntubated COVID-19 patients at two hospitals in New York city were leveraged as development and validation cohorts. Patients were grouped into mild, intermediate, and severe strata by their baseline post-intubation SOFA. Hierarchical agglomerative clustering was performed within each stratum to detect subphenotypes based on similarities amongst SOFA score trajectories evaluated by Dynamic Time Warping. Statistical tests defined trajectory subphenotype predictive markers. Measurements and Main ResultsDistinct worsening and recovering subphenotypes were identified within each stratum, which had distinct 7-day post-intubation SOFA progression trends. Patients in the worsening suphenotypes had a higher mortality than those in the recovering subphenotypes within each stratum (mild stratum, 29.7% vs. 10.3%, p=0.033; intermediate stratum, 29.3% vs. 8.0%, p=0.002; severe stratum, 53.7% vs. 22.2%, p<0.001). Worsening and recovering subphenotypes were replicated in the validation cohort. Routine laboratory tests, vital signs, and respiratory variables rather than demographics and comorbidities were predictive of the worsening and recovering subphenotypes. ConclusionsThere are clear worsening and recovering subphenotypes of COVID-19 respiratory failure after intubation, which are more predictive of outcomes than baseline severity of illness. Organ dysfunction trajectory may be well suited as a surrogate for research in COVID-19 respiratory failure. At a Glance CommentaryO_ST_ABSScientific Knowledge on the SubjectC_ST_ABSCOVID-19 associated respiratory failure leads to a significant risk of morbidity and mortality. It is clear that there is heterogeneity in the viral-induced host response leading to differential outcomes, even amongst those treated with mechanical ventilation. There are many studies of COVID-19 disease which use intubation status as an outcome or an inclusion criterion. However, there is less understanding of the post intubation course in COVID-19. What This Study Adds to the FieldWe have developed and validated a novel subphenotyping model based on post-intubation organ dysfunction trajectory in COVID-19 patients. Specifically, we identified clear worsening and recovering organ dysfunction trajectory subphenotypes, which are more predictive of outcomes than illness severity at baseline. Dynamic inflammatory markers and ventilator variables rather than baseline severity of illness, demographics and comorbidities differentiate the worsening and recovering subphenotypes. Trajectory subphenotypes offer a potential road map for understanding the evolution of critical illness in COVID-19.
