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1.
Lancet Reg Health Eur ; 43: 100960, 2024 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38975590

ABSTRACT

Background: Guidelines recommend high-sensitivity cardiac troponin to risk stratify patients with possible myocardial infarction and identify those eligible for discharge. Our aim was to evaluate adoption of this approach in practice and to determine whether effectiveness and safety varies by age, sex, ethnicity, or socioeconomic deprivation status. Methods: A multi-centre cohort study was conducted in 13 hospitals across the United Kingdom from November 1st, 2021, to October 31st, 2022. Routinely collected data including high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I or T measurements were linked to outcomes. The primary effectiveness and safety outcomes were the proportion discharged from the Emergency Department, and the proportion dead or with a subsequent myocardial infarction at 30 days, respectively. Patients were stratified using peak troponin concentration as low (<5 ng/L), intermediate (5 ng/L to sex-specific 99th percentile), or high-risk (>sex-specific 99th percentile). Findings: In total 137,881 patients (49% [67,709/137,881] female) were included of whom 60,707 (44%), 42,727 (31%), and 34,447 (25%) were stratified as low-, intermediate- and high-risk, respectively. Overall, 65.8% (39,918/60,707) of low-risk patients were discharged from the Emergency Department, but this varied from 26.8% [2200/8216] to 93.5% [918/982] by site. The safety outcome occurred in 0.5% (277/60,707) and 11.4% (3917/34,447) of patients classified as low- or high-risk, of whom 0.03% (18/60,707) and 1% (304/34,447) had a subsequent myocardial infarction at 30 days, respectively. A similar proportion of male and female patients were discharged (52% [36,838/70,759] versus 54% [36,113/67,109]), but discharge was more likely if patients were <70 years old (61% [58,533/95,227] versus 34% [14,428/42,654]), from areas of low socioeconomic deprivation (48% [6697/14,087] versus 43% [12,090/28,116]) or were black or asian compared to caucasian (62% [5458/8877] and 55% [10,026/18,231] versus 46% [35,138/75,820]). Interpretation: Despite high-sensitivity cardiac troponin correctly identifying half of all patients with possible myocardial infarction as being at low risk, only two-thirds of these patients were discharged. Substantial variation in the discharge of patients by age, ethnicity, socioeconomic deprivation, and site was observed identifying important opportunities to improve care. Funding: UK Research and Innovation.

2.
J Infect ; 88(1): 41-47, 2024 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37977337

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: FebriDx is a CE-marked, FDA-approved point-of-care test that detects the antiviral host response protein Myxovirus Resistance Protein A (MxA), in addition to C-reactive protein, using finger-prick blood. FebriDx MxA detection had a high negative predictive value for COVID-19 in symptomatic adults presenting to hospital in the first waves of the pandemic and was used subsequently as a 'rule out' triage tool in Emergency departments. The diagnostic accuracy of FebriDx MxA in the current context of co-circulation of influenza, SARS-CoV-2, and Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV), and in the era of COVID-19 vaccination, is unknown. METHODS: We retrospectively evaluated the diagnostic performance of FebriDx MxA in adults with acute respiratory symptoms presenting to the Emergency Department (ED) of a large UK teaching hospital using Reverse Transcription Polymerase Chain Reaction (RT-PCR) as the reference standard (Cepheid Xpert Xpress SARS-CoV-2/Flu/RSV). RESULTS: Between March 9th 2022 and March 8th 2023, 5426 patients had both FebriDx and RT-PCR testing with valid results. 999 (18.4%) of patients had influenza detected, 520 (9.6%) SARS-CoV-2, and 190 (3.5%) RSV. Negative Predictive Value (NPV) of MxA detection by FebriDx was 97.5% (96.9-98.0) for influenza, 97.1% (96.4-97.7) for SARS-CoV-2, 98.1% (97.5-98.6) for RSV, and 92.8% (91.8-93.7) for all viruses combined. CONCLUSIONS: In symptomatic adults, FebriDx MxA had a high NPV for influenza and RSV, and retained a high NPV for SARS-CoV-2, in the context of virus co-circulation and widespread COVID-19 vaccination. FebriDx continues to be a useful 'rule out' triage tool in the ED and could potentially be scaled to provide a national triage solution for future viral pandemics.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Influenza, Human , Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections , Respiratory Syncytial Virus, Human , Adult , Humans , Influenza, Human/diagnosis , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Point-of-Care Systems , COVID-19 Vaccines , Retrospective Studies , Sensitivity and Specificity , Point-of-Care Testing , COVID-19/diagnosis , SARS-CoV-2 , Emergency Service, Hospital , Antiviral Agents , Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections/diagnosis
3.
J Pediatr Gastroenterol Nutr ; 77(1): 70-78, 2023 07 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37079872

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE: Heterogeneity and chronicity of Crohn disease (CD) make prediction of outcomes difficult. To date, no longitudinal measure can quantify burden over a patient's disease course, preventing assessment and integration into predictive modeling. Here, we aimed to demonstrate the feasibility of constructing a data driven, longitudinal disease burden score. METHODS: Literature was reviewed for tools used in assessment of CD activity. Themes were identified to construct a pediatric CD morbidity index (PCD-MI). Scores were assigned to variables. Data were extracted automatically from the electronic patient records at Southampton Children's Hospital, diagnosed from 2012 to 2019 (inclusive). PCD-MI scores were calculated, adjusted for duration of follow up and assessed for variation (ANOVA) and distribution (Kolmogorov-Smirnov). RESULTS: Nineteen clinical/biological features across five themes were included in the PCD-MI including blood/fecal/radiological/endoscopic results, medication usage, surgery, growth parameters, and extraintestinal manifestations. Maximal score was 100 after accounting for follow-up duration. PCD-MI was assessed in 66 patients, mean age 12.5 years. Following quality filtering, 9528 blood/fecal test results and 1309 growth measures were included. Mean PCD-MI score was 14.95 (range 2.2-32.5); data were normally distributed ( P = 0.2) with 25% of patients having a PCD-MI < 10. There was no difference in the mean PCD-MI when split by year of diagnosis, F -statistic 1.625, P = 0.147. CONCLUSIONS: PCD-MI is a calculatable measure for a cohort of patients diagnosed over an 8-year period, integrating a wide-range of data with potential to determine high or low disease burden. Future iterations of the PCD-MI require refinement of included features, optimized scores, and validation on external cohorts.


Subject(s)
Crohn Disease , Humans , Child , Crohn Disease/diagnosis , Crohn Disease/surgery , Disease Progression , Cost of Illness , Morbidity
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