Method to estimate relative transmission efficiencies of Anopheles species (Diptera: Culicidae) in human malaria transmission.

A mathematical expression was derived to estimate the relative malaria transmission efficiency of an anopheline species with respect to a standard well-characterized species for which all vector parameters can be sufficiently determined. The method is particularly useful in situations where multiple anopheline species contribute to human malaria transmission and requires the estimation of the man-biting rate, the sporozoite rate, and the human malaria incidence. Under stable conditions of vector abundance, the average sporozoite rate in a species during a transmission season would by itself reflect its relative transmission efficiency. This "efficiency" then was used to calculate the "effective human-biting rate"; i.e., the human-biting rate of that species if it were to have ecological properties identical to those of the standard species. The standard well-characterized species then could be used with the effective human-biting rate of all species to quantify transmission, thus overcoming the need to measure vector parameters for all anopheline species contributing to transmission. An expression also was derived to calculate the relative contribution made by each species to malaria transmission. The usefulness of this method was illustrated using entomological and epidemiological data from Kataragama, Sri Lanka.

Clustering of malaria infections within an endemic population: risk of malaria associated with the type of housing construction.

The occurrence of malaria infections due to Plasmodium vivax and P. falciparum was monitored in a population of 3,023 people living in six contiguous villages in Kataragama, an area of endemic malaria in southern Sri Lanka, over a period of 17 months. The annual incidence of malaria in this population during the study period was 25.8%. Malaria attacks were clustered, occurring more frequently than expected in certain individuals and housing groups and less frequently than expected in others. In one of these villages, the distribution of cases was examined in relation to locality and to the type of house construction. There was a strong association between the malaria incidence and house construction, independent of location. The risk of getting malaria was greater for inhabitants of the poorest type of house construction (incomplete, mud, or cadjan (palm) walls, and cadjan thatched roofs) compared to houses with complete brick and plaster walls and tiled roofs. Houses that were better constructed had a significantly lower malaria incidence rate (10.5%) than those that were poorly constructed (21.2%; P less than 0.01, by Student's t-test). There was also a significantly higher number of indoor resting mosquitoes collected from the poorly constructed houses than from those better constructed; the average (geometric mean) of mosquito densities found in houses of better versus poor construction were 0.97 and 1.89 per collection in the dry season, and 1.95 and 3.42 per collection in the wet season, respectively (P less than 0.05 in both seasons). This indicated that the higher malaria risk associated with poorly constructed houses was at least partly due to higher human-mosquito contact among their inhabitants.

A mathematical model for Plasmodium vivax malaria transmission: estimation of the impact of transmission-blocking immunity in an endemic area.

We have developed a multi-state mathematical model to describe the transmission of Plasmodium vivax malaria; the model accommodates variable transmission-blocking/enhancing immunity during the course of a blood infection, a short memory for boosting immunity, and relapses. Using the model, we simulated the incidence of human malaria, sporozoite rates in the vector population, and the level of transmission-blocking immunity for the infected population over a period of time. Field data from an epidemiological study conducted in Kataragama in the south of Sri Lanka were used to test the results obtained. The incidence of malaria during the study period was simulated satisfactorily. The impact of naturally-acquired transmission-blocking immunity on malaria transmission under different vectorial capacities was also simulated. The results show that at low vectorial capacities, e.g., just above the threshold for transmission, the effect of transmission-blocking immunity is very significant; however, the effect is lower at higher vectorial capacities.

Characteristics of malaria transmission in Kataragama, Sri Lanka: a focus for immuno-epidemiological studies.

Parasitological and entomological parameters of malaria transmission were monitored for 17 months in 3,625 residents in a Plasmodium vivax malaria endemic region in southern Sri Lanka; the study area consisted of 7 contiguous villages where routine national malaria control operations were being conducted. Malaria was monitored in every resident; fever patients were screened and 4 periodical mass blood surveys were conducted. An annual malaria incidence rate of 23.1% was reported during the period: 9.3% was due to P. vivax and 13.8% was due to P. falciparum; there had been a recent epidemic of the latter in this region, whereas the P. falciparum incidence rate in the previous 10 years had been negligible. There was a wide seasonal fluctuation in the malaria incidence, with the peak incidence closely following the monsoon rains. The prevalence of malaria due to both species detected at the 4 mass blood surveys ranged from 0.98% (at low transmission) to 2.35% (at peak transmission periods). Adults and children developed acute clinical manifestations of malaria. Entomological measurements confirmed a low degree of endemicity with estimated inoculation rates of 0.0029 and 0.0109 (infectious bites/man/night) for P. vivax and P. falciparum, respectively. Several anopheline species contributed to the transmission, and the overall man biting rates (MBR) showed a marked seasonal variation. Malaria at Kataragama, typical of endemic areas of Sri Lanka, thus presents characteristics of "unstable" transmission. Malaria was clustered in the population. There was a low clinical tolerance to P. falciparum malaria, to which most had only been at risk, compared to P. vivax, to which most had had a life-long exposure.

Modulation of human malaria transmission by anti-gamete transmission blocking immunity.

Natural Plasmodium vivax malaria infections in man evoke anti-gamete transmission blocking antibodies which influence the infectivity of malaria patients to the vector mosquito. In this study, entomological, immunological and parasitological data obtained through the monitoring of an epidemic of human vivax malaria in Sri Lanka were used in a mathematical simulation to assess the effect of naturally induced transmission blocking immunity on malaria transmission. A mathematical model to describe malaria transmission accounting for transmission blocking immunity was developed from the basic differential equations originally stated by R. Ross and the epidemic was simulated using the available data. An attempt was made to predict the monthly malaria incidence by means of the mathematical simulation, with and without accounting for transmission blocking immunity. A plausible mathematical solution of the epidemic could be obtained when transmission blocking immunity was accounted for, and it was not possible to obtain such a plausible solution in the absence of immunity. Thus, the postulated occurrence of transmission blocking immunity was essential to describe adequately this malaria epidemic, indicating that, at least in epidemic situations, naturally occurring transmission blocking immunity has a controlling influence on malaria incidence.