The Evolution of Polycentric Governance in the Galapagos Small-Scale Fishing Sector.

Addressing the multiple anthropogenic and non-anthropogenic factors affecting small-scale fisheries requires collaboration from diverse regions, geographical scales, and administrative levels in order to prevent a potential misfit between governance systems and the socio-ecological problems they address. While connecting actors and stakeholders is challenging, as they often hold opposing perceptions and goals, unveiling the network configurations of governance systems remains one effective way to explore collaborative alliances in light of the diverse drivers of change present in small-scale fishery systems. This study employed descriptive statistics, exponential random graph models (ERGMs), and qualitative data analysis to explore preferential attachments of new nodes to well-positioned nodes within the Galapagos small-scale fishery governance system network and the propensity of cross-sectoral reciprocity and cross-sectoral open triads formation in the network. Our findings identified significant players and network configurations that might be essential in the collaboration diffusion and robustness of the Galapagos small-scale fishery sector governance system.

Whether conversion and weather matter to roundabout safety.

INTRODUCTION: Roundabouts, as a form of intersection traffic control, are being constructed increasingly because of their promise to improve both efficiency and safety. However, roundabout performance varies from one context to another; and information on their performance during inclement weather is limited. METHODS: To evaluate the safety effects of converting signal-controlled intersections to modern roundabouts in a region that historically was unfamiliar with this type of traffic control, an empirical Bayes approach was used to analyze. Second, to examine the potential effects of rainfall on roundabout safety, a matched-pair approach was used to compare risk estimates of collision occurrence at roundabouts and signalized intersections under inclement weather conditions. RESULTS: Roundabout installation is shown as an effective safety intervention for serious collisions since conversion from signalized intersections to roundabouts translates into an overall 20% reduction in the occurrence of injury/fatal collisions. However, roundabouts witnessed more property-damage collisions than what would have been expected had the conversion not occurred. With respect to weather, there is no evidence of a statistically significant increase in crashes on days with rainfall relative to good weather conditions for roundabouts, whereas there is evidence of such an increase in crash risk estimated to be 4% to 22% for signalized intersections. CONCLUSIONS: While injury collisions are consistently found to be lower at intersections that have been converted from signalized intersections to roundabouts, the same is not always that case for property-damage collisions, suggesting that drivers need time to adjust. In terms of weather, the evidence in this paper shows that roundabouts show less sensitivity to rainy conditions than signalized intersections. PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS: The trade-offs between design, operation, and safety should be considered carefully when planning a new roundabout. More research is required on the specific problems users experience with roundabouts and the effectiveness of public education programs.

Case studies, cross-site comparisons, and the challenge of generalization: comparing agent-based models of land-use change in frontier regions.

Cross-site comparisons of case studies have been identified as an important priority by the land-use science community. From an empirical perspective, such comparisons potentially allow generalizations that may contribute to production of global-scale land-use and land-cover change projections. From a theoretical perspective, such comparisons can inform development of a theory of land-use science by identifying potential hypotheses and supporting or refuting evidence. This paper undertakes a structured comparison of four case studies of land-use change in frontier regions that follow an agent-based modeling approach. Our hypothesis is that each case study represents a particular manifestation of a common process. Given differences in initial conditions among sites and the time at which the process is observed, actual mechanisms and outcomes are anticipated to differ substantially between sites. Our goal is to reveal both commonalities and differences among research sites, model implementations, and ultimately, conclusions derived from the modeling process.

Complexity of coupled human and natural systems.

Integrated studies of coupled human and natural systems reveal new and complex patterns and processes not evident when studied by social or natural scientists separately. Synthesis of six case studies from around the world shows that couplings between human and natural systems vary across space, time, and organizational units. They also exhibit nonlinear dynamics with thresholds, reciprocal feedback loops, time lags, resilience, heterogeneity, and surprises. Furthermore, past couplings have legacy effects on present conditions and future possibilities.

Coupled human and natural systems.

Humans have continuously interacted with natural systems, resulting in the formation and development of coupled human and natural systems (CHANS). Recent studies reveal the complexity of organizational, spatial, and temporal couplings of CHANS. These couplings have evolved from direct to more indirect interactions, from adjacent to more distant linkages, from local to global scales, and from simple to complex patterns and processes. Untangling complexities, such as reciprocal effects and emergent properties, can lead to novel scientific discoveries and is essential to developing effective policies for ecological and socioeconomic sustainability. Opportunities for truly integrating various disciplines are emerging to address fundamental questions about CHANS and meet society's unprecedented challenges.