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1.
J Am Coll Cardiol ; 38(5): 1416-23, 2001 Nov 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11691517

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study was to identify preprocedure patient factors associated with percutaneous intervention costs and to examine the impact of these patient factors on economic profiles of interventional cardiologists. BACKGROUND: There is increasing demand for information about comparative resource use patterns of interventional cardiologists. Economic provider profiles, however, often fail to account for patient characteristics. METHODS: Data were obtained from Duke Medical Center cost and clinical information systems for 1,949 procedures performed by 13 providers between July 1, 1997, and December 31, 1998. Patient factors that influenced cost were identified using multiple regression analysis. After assessing interprovider variation in unadjusted cost, mixed linear models were used to examine how much cost variability was associated with the provider when patient characteristics were taken into account. RESULTS: Total hospital costs averaged $15,643 (median, $13,809), $6,515 of which represented catheterization laboratory costs. Disease severity, acuity, comorbid illness and lesion type influenced total costs (R(2) = 38%), whereas catheterization costs were affected by lesion type and acuity (R(2) = 32%). Patient characteristics varied significantly among providers. Unadjusted total costs were weakly associated with provider, and this association disappeared after accounting for patient factors. The provider influence on catheterization costs persisted after adjusting for patient characteristics. Furthermore, the pattern of variation changed: the adjusted analysis identified three new outliers, and two providers lost their outlier status. Only one provider was consistently identified as an outlier in the unadjusted and adjusted analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Economic profiles of interventional cardiologists may be misleading if they do not adequately adjust for patient characteristics before procedure.


Subject(s)
Angioplasty, Balloon, Coronary/economics , Cardiac Catheterization/economics , Cardiology Service, Hospital/economics , Coronary Disease/diagnosis , Coronary Disease/economics , Data Interpretation, Statistical , Hospital Costs/statistics & numerical data , Models, Econometric , Practice Patterns, Physicians'/economics , Risk Adjustment , Academic Medical Centers , Aged , Angioplasty, Balloon, Coronary/statistics & numerical data , Bias , Cardiac Catheterization/statistics & numerical data , Comorbidity , Coronary Disease/physiopathology , Diagnosis-Related Groups/classification , Diagnosis-Related Groups/economics , Female , Health Services Research , Humans , Length of Stay/economics , Linear Models , Male , Middle Aged , North Carolina , Practice Patterns, Physicians'/statistics & numerical data , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , Severity of Illness Index , Stroke Volume
2.
J Am Coll Cardiol ; 37(3): 885-92, 2001 Mar 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11693766

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: We sought to develop national benchmarks for valve replacement surgery by developing statistical risk models of operative mortality. BACKGROUND: National risk models for coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG) have gained widespread acceptance, but there are no similar models for valve replacement surgery. METHODS: The Society of Thoracic Surgeons National Cardiac Surgery Database was used to identify risk factors associated with valve surgery from 1994 through 1997. The population was drawn from 49,073 patients undergoing isolated aortic valve replacement (AVR) or mitral valve replacement (MVR) and from 43,463 patients undergoing CABG combined with AVR or MVR. Two multivariable risk models were developed: one for isolated AVR or MVR and one for CABG plus AVR or CABG plus MVR. RESULTS: Operative mortality rates for AVR, MVR, combined CABG/AVR and combined CABG/ MVR were 4.00%, 6.04%, 6.80% and 13.29%, respectively. The strongest independent risk factors were emergency/salvage procedures, recent infarction, reoperations and renal failure. The c-indexes were 0.77 and 0.74 for the isolated valve replacement and combined CABG/valve replacement models, respectively. These models retained their predictive accuracy when applied to a prospective patient population undergoing operation from 1998 to 1999. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit statistic was 10.6 (p = 0.225) for the isolated valve replacement model and 12.2 (p = 0.141) for the CABG/valve replacement model. CONCLUSIONS: Statistical models have been developed to accurately predict operative mortality after valve replacement surgery. These models can be used to enhance quality by providing a national benchmark for valve replacement surgery.


Subject(s)
Heart Valve Prosthesis Implantation/mortality , Aged , Aortic Valve/surgery , Coronary Artery Bypass/mortality , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Mitral Valve/surgery , Models, Statistical , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors
3.
Stat Med ; 20(16): 2505-32, 2001 Aug 30.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11512139

ABSTRACT

With the proliferation of clinical data registries and the rising expense of clinical trials, observational data sources are increasingly providing evidence for clinical decision making. These data are viewed as complementary to randomized clinical trials (RCT). While not as rigorous a methodological design, observational studies yield important information about effectiveness of treatment, as compared with the efficacy results of RCTs. In addition, these studies often have the advantage of providing longer-term follow-up, beyond that of clinical trials. Hence, they are useful for assessing and comparing patients' long-term prognosis under different treatment strategies. For patients with coronary artery disease, many observational comparisons have focused on medical therapy versus interventional procedures. In addition to the well-studied problem of treatment selection bias (which is not the focus of the present study), three significant methodological problems must be addressed in the analysis of these data: (i) designation of the therapeutic arms in the presence of early deaths, withdrawals, and treatment cross-overs; (ii) identification of an equitable starting point for attributing survival time; (iii) site to site variability in short-term mortality. This paper discusses these issues and suggests strategies to deal with them. A proposed methodology is developed, applied and evaluated on a large observational database that has long-term follow-up on nearly 10 000 patients.


Subject(s)
Analysis of Variance , Coronary Disease/mortality , Coronary Disease/therapy , Data Collection , Data Interpretation, Statistical , Forecasting , Observation/methods , Prognosis , Proportional Hazards Models , Registries , Research Design/standards , Cross-Over Studies , Decision Trees , Humans , Patient Dropouts/statistics & numerical data , Patient Selection , Risk Factors , Selection Bias , Survival Analysis , Time Factors , Treatment Outcome , United States/epidemiology
4.
Circulation ; 103(17): 2133-7, 2001 May 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11331252

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study was to evaluate whether women undergoing cardiac surgery are more likely to suffer neurological complications than men and whether these complications could explain, at least in part, their higher perioperative mortality. METHODS AND RESULTS: The Society of Thoracic Surgery National Cardiac Surgery Database was examined for the years 1996 and 1997 to determine the frequency of new neurological events (stroke, transient ischemic attack, or coma) occurring after cardiac surgery. We reviewed clinical information on 416 347 patients (32% women) for whom complete neurological outcome data were available. New neurological events after surgery were higher for women than for men (3.8% versus 2.4%, P=0.001). For the whole group, the 30-day mortality was higher for women than for men (5.7% versus 3.5%, P=0.001), and among those patients who suffered a perioperative neurological event, mortality was also significantly higher for women than men (32% versus 28%, P=0.001). After adjustment for other risk factors (eg, age, history of hypertension and/or diabetes, duration of cardiopulmonary bypass, and other comorbid conditions) by multivariable logistic regression, female sex was independently associated with significantly higher risk of suffering new neurological events after cardiac surgery (OR 1.21, 95% CI 1.14 to 1.28, P=0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Women undergoing cardiac surgery are more likely than men to suffer new perioperative neurological events, and they have higher 30-day mortality when these complications occur. The higher incidence of perioperative neurological complications in women cannot be explained by currently known risk factors.


Subject(s)
Brain Diseases/epidemiology , Cardiac Surgical Procedures , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Adult , Aged , Brain Damage, Chronic/epidemiology , Brain Damage, Chronic/etiology , Brain Diseases/etiology , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/mortality , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/statistics & numerical data , Coma/epidemiology , Coma/etiology , Comorbidity , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Hypertension/epidemiology , Ischemic Attack, Transient/epidemiology , Ischemic Attack, Transient/etiology , Length of Stay/statistics & numerical data , Male , Middle Aged , Risk Factors , Sex Factors , Stroke/epidemiology , Stroke/etiology , United States/epidemiology
5.
J Am Coll Cardiol ; 36(7): 2174-84, 2000 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11127458

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: We sought to evaluate the predictive accuracy of four bypass surgery mortality clinical risk models and to examine the extent to which hospitals' risk-adjusted surgical outcomes vary depending on which risk-adjustment method is applied. BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular "report cards" often compare risk-adjusted surgical outcomes; however, it is unclear to what extent the risk-adjustment process itself may affect these metrics. METHODS: As part of the Cooperative Cardiovascular Project's Pilot Revascularization Study, we compared the predictive accuracy of four bypass clinical risk models among 3,654 Medicare patients undergoing surgery at 28 hospitals in Alabama and Iowa. We also compared the agreement in hospital-level risk-adjusted bypass outcome performance ratings depending on which of the four risk models was applied. RESULTS: Although the four risk models had similar discriminatory abilities (C-index, 0.71 to 0.74), certain models tended to overpredict mortality in higher-risk patients. There was high correlation between a hospital's risk-adjusted mortality rates regardless of which of the four models was used (correlation between risk-adjusted rating, 0.93 to 0.97). In contrast, there was limited agreement in which hospitals were identified as "performance outliers" depending on which risk-adjustment model was used and how outlier status was defined. CONCLUSIONS: A hospital's risk-adjusted bypass surgery mortality rating, relative to its peers, was consistent regardless of the risk-adjustment model applied, supporting their use as a means of provider performance feedback. Designation of performance outliers, however, can vary significantly depending on the benchmark and methods used for this determination.


Subject(s)
Coronary Artery Bypass/mortality , Hospital Mortality , Models, Statistical , Risk Adjustment , Aged , Benchmarking , Female , Hospitals/classification , Hospitals/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Male , Medicare , Middle Aged , Outcome Assessment, Health Care , United States/epidemiology
6.
Biometrics ; 56(4): 996-1001, 2000 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11213761

ABSTRACT

Changes in maximum likelihood parameter estimates due to deletion of individual observations are useful statistics, both for regression diagnostics and for computing robust estimates of covariance. For many likelihoods, including those in the exponential family, these delete-one statistics can be approximated analytically from a one-step Newton-Raphson iteration on the full maximum likelihood solution. But for general conditional likelihoods and the related Cox partial likelihood, the one-step method does not reduce to an analytic solution. For these likelihoods, an alternative analytic approximation that relies on an appropriately augmented design matrix has been proposed. In this paper, we extend the augmentation approach to explicitly deal with discrete failure-time models. In these models, an individual subject may contribute information at several time points, thereby appearing in multiple risk sets before eventually experiencing a failure or being censored. Our extension also allows the covariates to be time dependent. The new augmentation requires no additional computational resources while improving results.


Subject(s)
Biometry/methods , Proportional Hazards Models , Treatment Failure , Humans , Likelihood Functions , Regression Analysis , Time Factors
7.
J Am Coll Cardiol ; 33(6): 1610-8, 1999 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10334432

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: We compared the acute and one year medical costs and outcomes of coronary stenting with those for balloon angioplasty (percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty) in contemporary clinical practice. BACKGROUND: While coronary stent implantation reduces the need for repeat revascularization, it has been associated with significantly higher acute costs compared with coronary angioplasty. METHODS: We studied patients treated at Duke University between September 1995 and June 1996 who received either coronary stent (n = 384) or coronary angioplasty (n = 159) and met eligibility criteria. Detailed cost data were collected initially and up to one year following the procedure. Our primary analyses compared six and 12 month cumulative costs for coronary angioplasty- and stent-treated cohorts. We also compared treatment costs after excluding nontarget vessel interventions; after limiting analysis to those without prior revascularization; and after risk-adjusting cumulative cost estimates. RESULTS: Baseline clinical characteristics were generally similar between the two treatment groups. The mean in-hospital cost for stent patients was $3,268 higher than for those receiving coronary angioplasty ($14,802 vs. $11,534, p < 0.001). However, stent patients were less likely to be rehospitalized (22% vs. 34%, p = 0.002) or to undergo repeat revascularization (9% vs. 26%, p = 0.001) than coronary angioplasty patients within six months of the procedure. As such, mean cumulative costs at 6 months ($19,598 vs. $19,820, p = 0.18) and one year ($22,140 vs. $22,571, p = 0.26) were similar for the two treatments. Adjusting for baseline predictors of cost and selectively examining target vessel revascularization, or those without prior coronary intervention yielded similar conclusions. CONCLUSIONS: In contemporary practice, coronary stenting provides equivalent or better one-year patient outcomes without increasing cumulative health care costs.


Subject(s)
Angioplasty, Balloon, Coronary/economics , Coronary Disease/economics , Stents/economics , Aged , Angioplasty, Balloon, Coronary/instrumentation , Coronary Disease/therapy , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Hospital Costs/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Length of Stay/economics , Male , Middle Aged , Myocardial Infarction/economics , Myocardial Infarction/therapy , Myocardial Revascularization/economics , North Carolina , Outcome and Process Assessment, Health Care , Patient Readmission/economics
9.
Anesth Analg ; 87(6): 1316-9, 1998 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9842819

ABSTRACT

UNLABELLED: The onset time and duration of action of ropivacaine during an interscalene block are not known. The potentially improved safety profile of ropivacaine may allow the use of higher concentrations to try and speed onset time. We compared bupivacaine and ropivacaine to determine the optimal long-acting local anesthetic and concentration for interscalene brachial plexus block. Seventy-five adult patients scheduled for outpatient shoulder surgery under interscalene block were entered into this double-blind, randomized study. Patients were assigned (n = 25 per group) to receive an interscalene block using 30 mL of 0.5% bupivacaine, 0.5% ropivacaine, or 0.75% ropivacaine. All solutions contained fresh epinephrine in a 1:400,000 concentration. At 1-min intervals after local anesthetic injection, patients were assessed to determine loss of shoulder abduction and loss of pinprick in the C5-6 dermatomes. Before discharge, patients were asked to document the time of first oral narcotic use, when incisional discomfort began, and when full sensation returned to the shoulder. The mean onset time of both motor and sensory blockade was <6 min in all groups. Duration of sensory blockade was similar in all groups as defined by the three recovery measures. We conclude that there is no clinically important difference in times to onset and recovery of interscalene block for bupivacaine 0.5%, ropivacaine 0.5%, and ropivacaine 0.75% when injected in equal volumes. IMPLICATIONS: In this study, we demonstrated a similar efficacy between equal concentrations of ropivacaine and bupivacaine. In addition, increasing the concentration of ropivacaine from 0.5% to 0.75% fails to improve the onset or duration of interscalene brachial plexus block.


Subject(s)
Amides/administration & dosage , Anesthetics, Local/administration & dosage , Brachial Plexus , Bupivacaine/administration & dosage , Nerve Block , Shoulder/surgery , Adult , Ambulatory Surgical Procedures , Double-Blind Method , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Ropivacaine , Sensation
10.
J Am Coll Cardiol ; 32(6): 1657-64, 1998 Nov 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9822093

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: We sought to determine the ability of a treadmill score to provide accurate diagnostic and prognostic risk estimates in women. BACKGROUND: Treadmill testing has been reported to have a lower accuracy for diagnosis of chest pain in women. The diagnostic and prognostic value of the Duke Treadmill Score (DTS) in women is unknown. METHODS: We determined the diagnostic and prognostic value of the DTS in 976 women and 2,249 men who underwent both treadmill testing and cardiac catheterization in a single institution from 1984 to 1994. RESULTS: Women and men differed significantly in DTS (1.6 vs. -0.3, p < 0.0001), disease prevalence (32% vs. 72% significant coronary artery disease [CAD], p < 0.001), and 2-year mortality (1.9% vs. 4.9%, p < 0.0001). The DTS provided information beyond clinical predictors of both coronary disease and survival in women and men. Although overall women had better survival, the DTS performed equally well in stratifying both genders into prognostic categories. The DTS actually performed better in women than in men for excluding disease, with fewer low risk women having any significant coronary disease (> or = 1 vessel with > or =75% stenosis) (20% vs. 47%, p < 0.001), or severe disease (3-vessel disease or > or =75% left main stenosis) (3.5% vs. 11.4%, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: By combining several aspects of treadmill testing, the DTS effectively stratifies women into diagnostic and prognostic risk categories.


Subject(s)
Coronary Disease/diagnosis , Exercise Test/standards , Sex Characteristics , Coronary Disease/epidemiology , Coronary Disease/mortality , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Prevalence , Prognosis , Sex Distribution , Survival Analysis
11.
Circulation ; 98(16): 1622-30, 1998 Oct 20.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9778327

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Exercise testing is useful in the assessment of symptomatic patients for diagnosis of significant or extensive coronary disease and to predict their future risk of cardiac events. The Duke treadmill score (DTS) is a composite index that was designed to provide survival estimates based on results from the exercise test, including ST-segment depression, chest pain, and exercise duration. However, its usefulness for providing diagnostic estimates has yet to be determined. METHODS AND RESULTS: A logistic regression model was used to predict significant (>/=75% stenosis) and severe (3-vessel or left main) coronary artery disease, and a Cox regression analysis was used to predict cardiac survival. After adjustment for baseline clinical risk, the DTS was effectively diagnostic for significant (P<0.0001) and severe (P<0.0001) coronary artery disease. For low-risk patients (score >/=+5), 60% had no coronary stenosis >/=75% and 16% had single-vessel >/=75% stenosis. By comparison, 74% of high-risk patients (score <-11) had 3-vessel or left main coronary disease. Five-year mortality was 3%, 10%, and 35% for low-, moderate-, and high-risk DTS groups (P<0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: The composite DTS provides accurate diagnostic and prognostic information for the evaluation of symptomatic patients evaluated for clinically suspected ischemic heart disease.


Subject(s)
Coronary Disease/diagnosis , Adult , Aged , Coronary Disease/mortality , Exercise Test , Female , Humans , Logistic Models , Male , Middle Aged , Predictive Value of Tests , Prognosis , ROC Curve , Regression Analysis , Risk Factors , Survival Rate
12.
J Am Coll Cardiol ; 32(4): 993-9, 1998 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9768723

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to examine the effects of provider profiling on bypass surgery access and outcomes in elderly patients in New York. BACKGROUND: Since 1989, New York (NY) has compiled provider-specific bypass surgery mortality reports. While some have proposed that "provider profiling" has led to lower surgical mortality rates, critics have suggested that such programs lower in-state procedural access (increasing out-of-state transfers) without improving patient outcomes. METHODS: Using national Medicare data, we examined trends in the percentages of NY residents aged 65 years or older receiving out-of-state bypass surgery between 1987 and 1992 (before and after program initiation). We also examined in-state procedure use among elderly myocardial infarction patients during this period. Finally, we compared trends in surgical outcomes in NY Medicare patients with those for the rest of the nation. RESULTS: Between 1987 and 1992, the percentage of NY residents receiving bypass out-of-state actually declined (from 12.5% to 11.3%, p < 0.01 for trend). An elderly patient's likelihood for bypass following myocardial infarction in NY increased significantly since the program's initiation. Between 1987 and 1992, unadjusted 30-day mortality rates following bypass declined by 33% in NY Medicare patients compared with a 19% decline nationwide (p < 0.001). As a result of this improvement, NY had the lowest risk-adjusted bypass mortality rate of any state in 1992. CONCLUSIONS: We found no evidence that NY's provider profiling limited procedure access in NY's elderly or increased out-of-state transfers. Despite an increasing preoperative risk profile, procedural outcomes in NY improved significantly faster than the national average.


Subject(s)
Coronary Artery Bypass/statistics & numerical data , Health Services Accessibility , Hospitals/statistics & numerical data , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Coronary Artery Bypass/mortality , Female , Humans , Male , Medicare , Myocardial Infarction/surgery , New York/epidemiology , Quality of Health Care , Survival Rate , Treatment Outcome , United States
15.
Circulation ; 97(17): 1702-7, 1998 May 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9591764

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: In the ESSENCE trial, subcutaneous low-molecular-weight heparin (enoxaparin) reduced the 30-day incidence of death, myocardial infarction, and recurrent angina relative to intravenous unfractionated heparin in 3171 patients with acute coronary syndrome (unstable angina or non-Q-wave myocardial infarction). No increase in major bleeding was seen. METHODS AND RESULTS: Of the 936 ESSENCE patients randomized in the United States, 655 had hospital billing data collected. For the remainder, hospital costs were imputed with a multivariable linear regression model (R2=.86). Physician fees were estimated from the Medicare Fee Schedule. During the initial hospitalization, major resource use was reduced for enoxaparin patients, with the largest effect seen with coronary angioplasty (15% versus 20% for heparin, P=.04). At 30 days, these effects persisted, with the largest reductions seen in diagnostic catheterization (57% versus 63% for heparin, P=.04) and coronary angioplasty (18% versus 22%, P=.08). All resource use trends seen in the US cohort were also evident in the overall ESSENCE study population. In the United States, the mean cost of a course of enoxaparin therapy was $155, whereas that for heparin was $80. The total medical costs (hospital, physician, drug) for the initial hospitalization were $11 857 for enoxaparin and $12620 for heparin, a cost advantage for the enoxaparin arm of $763 (P=.18). At the end of 30 days, the cumulative cost savings associated with enoxaparin was $1172 (P=.04). In 200 bootstrap samples of the 30-day data, 94% of the samples showed a cost advantage for enoxaparin. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with acute coronary syndrome, low-molecular-weight heparin (enoxaparin) both improves important clinical outcomes and saves money relative to therapy with standard unfractionated heparin.


Subject(s)
Anticoagulants/therapeutic use , Coronary Disease/drug therapy , Enoxaparin/therapeutic use , Heparin/therapeutic use , Acute Disease , Double-Blind Method , Female , Health Care Costs , Humans , Male , Middle Aged
16.
Circulation ; 96(8): 2551-6, 1997 Oct 21.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9355893

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Recent subgroup analyses of randomized trials have suggested that percutaneous intervention in diabetic patients with multivessel disease results in higher mortality than coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG). We studied the relationship between diabetes and survival after revascularization in a large prospective cohort of patients with multivessel coronary artery disease. METHODS AND RESULTS: By analyzing data for 3220 patients (24% diabetic) with symptomatic two- or three-vessel coronary disease who were undergoing percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA) or CABG at Duke University Medical Center between 1984 and 1990, we found that at 5 years, unadjusted survival in the group of patients undergoing CABG was 74% in diabetics and 86% in nondiabetics. Similarly, 5-year survival among PTCA patients was 76% in diabetics and 88% in patients without diabetes. After adjustment for baseline characteristics, diabetic patients receiving either PTCA or CABG had significantly poorer survival than nondiabetics (chi2=43.56, P<.0001). Unlike previous studies, however, there was no significant differential effect of diabetes on outcome between patients treated with PTCA and those treated with CABG (chi2=0.01, P=.91). CONCLUSIONS: Although diabetes was associated with a worse long-term outcome after both PTCA and CABG in patients with multivessel coronary artery disease, the effect of diabetes on prognosis was similar in both treatment groups. Thus, our findings support the concept that the choice of initial revascularization strategy should not be based exclusively on a history of diabetes but rather should rely on other factors, such as angiographic suitability and clinical status.


Subject(s)
Angioplasty/statistics & numerical data , Coronary Artery Bypass/statistics & numerical data , Coronary Disease/mortality , Diabetes Complications , Diabetic Angiopathies/mortality , Aged , Angioplasty, Balloon, Coronary , Cohort Studies , Coronary Disease/complications , Coronary Disease/surgery , Diabetic Angiopathies/surgery , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Outcome Assessment, Health Care , Prospective Studies , Survival Analysis
17.
J Am Coll Cardiol ; 30(4): 908-13, 1997 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9316517

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: This study examined the impact of early hospital discharge on short-term clinical outcomes of elderly patients treated with coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG) in the United States in 1992. BACKGROUND: Protocols that encourage earlier discharge of patients who have had CABG have been implemented across the country. Although delivery of efficient care benefits both patients and providers, premature discharge can adversely affect clinical outcomes, resulting in increased hospital readmissions and higher long-term costs. METHODS: We examined the prevalence of early discharge (postoperative length of stay < or = 5 days) among 83,347 non-health maintenance organization (HMO) Medicare patients who underwent CABG in the United States in 1992. Using logistic regression models, we identified patient characteristics associated with early discharge and obtained risk-adjusted rates of death and readmission or death for postoperative lengths of stay between 4 and 14 days. RESULTS: In 1992, 6% of Medicare patients undergoing CABG were discharged within 5 days of the operation. The prevalence of early discharge varied considerably among states, ranging from 1% to 21%. Patients discharged early tended to be younger and male and have fewer comorbid illnesses. Risk-adjusted rates of death and death or cardiovascular readmission were lowest among patients discharged early. CONCLUSIONS: As of 1992, early discharge of elderly patients treated with CABG in non-HMO settings was not associated with higher 60-day rates of death or readmission. This suggests that physicians were able to identify low risk candidates for early discharge. Variation across the nation in early discharge rates, along with the percentage of patients without major risk factors for adverse outcomes, suggests that higher rates of early discharge might be safely achieved.


Subject(s)
Coronary Artery Bypass/adverse effects , Coronary Artery Bypass/mortality , Length of Stay/statistics & numerical data , Medicare , Patient Discharge/statistics & numerical data , Patient Readmission/statistics & numerical data , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Comorbidity , Female , Humans , Logistic Models , Male , Outcome Assessment, Health Care , Patient Selection , Quality of Health Care , Risk Factors , United States/epidemiology
18.
Circulation ; 95(11): 2485-91, 1997 Jun 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9184578

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: With the expectation that physicians who perform larger numbers of coronary angioplasty procedures will have better outcomes, the American College of Cardiology/ American Heart Association guidelines recommend minimum physician volumes of 75 procedures per year. However, there is little empirical data to support this recommendation. METHODS AND RESULTS: We examined in-hospital bypass surgery and death after angioplasty according to 1992 physician and hospital Medicare procedure volume. In 1992, 6115 physicians performed angioplasty on 97,478 Medicare patients at 984 hospitals. The median numbers of procedures performed per physician and per hospital were 13 (interquartile range, 5 to 25) and 98 (interquartile range, 40 to 181), respectively. With the assumption that Medicare patients composed one half to one third of all patients undergoing angioplasty, these median values are consistent with an overall physician volume of 26 to 39 cases per year and an overall hospital volume of 196 to 294 cases per year. After adjusting for age, sex, race, acute myocardial infarction, and comorbidity, low-volume physicians were associated with higher rates of bypass surgery (P < .001) and low-volume hospitals were associated with higher rates of bypass surgery and death (P < .001). Improving outcomes were seen up to threshold values of 75 Medicare cases per physician and 200 Medicare cases per hospital. CONCLUSIONS: More than 50% of physicians and 25% of hospitals performing coronary angioplasty in 1992 were unlikely to have met the minimum volume guidelines first published in 1988, and these patients had worse outcomes. While more recent data are required to determine whether the same relationships persist after the introduction of newer technologies, this study suggests that adherence to minimum volume standards by physicians and hospitals will lead to better outcomes for elderly patients undergoing coronary angioplasty.


Subject(s)
Angioplasty, Balloon, Coronary/mortality , Clinical Competence , Age Factors , Aged , Angioplasty, Balloon, Coronary/standards , Coronary Artery Bypass , Female , Hospital Records , Humans , Male , Medicare , Quality of Health Care , Treatment Outcome , United States
19.
Med Care ; 35(4): 320-33, 1997 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9107202

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to examine the national variability in patient-level cost and length of stay for coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) in Medicare patients. METHODS: Retrospective multivariate regression analysis was done using Medicare administrative files and American Hospital Association files. Patients in the study had an International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM) procedure code for CABG, with accompanying 1990 procedure data, in the Medicare Provider Analysis and Review File (n = 92,449). RESULTS: Outcome measures used were inpatient cost (exclusive of professional fees) and inpatient length of stay associated with bypass admission. The national average cost of bypass surgery was $22,847 (median $18,783), with an accompanying average length of stay of 16 days (median 13 days). Multivariate regression analysis revealed that patient-level cost and length of stay were related to clinical, demographic, hospital, and regional characteristics (R2 = 25% and 16%, respectively). After accounting for these characteristics at the patient level, considerable variation among states persisted in both cost and length of stay. In addition, states with similar adjusted lengths of stay varied widely with respect to adjusted cost. No relation was found at the state level between level of resource use and either procedural mortality or 60-day mortality/readmission rates. CONCLUSIONS: Considerable variability exists among states in patient-level cost and length of stay for CABG surgery, after adjusting to the extent possible for clinical, demographic, hospital, and regional characteristics. The lack of association at the state level between resource use and rates of mortality and hospital readmission suggests that costs could be reduced in many areas of the United States without compromising quality of care.


Subject(s)
Coronary Artery Bypass/economics , Coronary Artery Bypass/statistics & numerical data , Hospital Costs/statistics & numerical data , Length of Stay/statistics & numerical data , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Coronary Artery Bypass/mortality , Episode of Care , Health Services Research/methods , Hospitals/classification , Hospitals, Teaching/economics , Humans , Medicare Part A/statistics & numerical data , Patient Readmission , Regression Analysis , Retrospective Studies , Treatment Outcome , United States , Utilization Review/statistics & numerical data
20.
N Engl J Med ; 336(7): 480-6, 1997 Feb 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9017942

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Studies have reported that blacks undergo fewer coronary-revascularization procedures than whites, but it is not clear whether the clinical characteristics of the patients account for these differences or whether they indicate underuse of the procedures in blacks or overuse in whites. METHODS: In a study at Duke University of 12,402 patients (10.3 percent of whom were black) with coronary disease, we calculated unadjusted and adjusted rates of angioplasty and bypass surgery in blacks and whites after cardiac catheterization. We also examined patterns of treatment after stratifying the patients according to the severity of disease, angina status, and estimated survival benefit due to revascularization. Finally, we compared five-year survival rates in blacks and whites. RESULTS: After adjustment for the severity of disease and other characteristics, blacks were 13 percent less likely than whites to undergo angioplasty and 32 percent less likely to undergo bypass surgery. The adjusted black:white odds ratios for receiving these procedures were 0.87 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.73 to 1.03) and 0.68 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.56 to 0.82), respectively. The racial differences in rates of bypass surgery persisted among those with severe anginal symptoms (31 percent of blacks underwent surgery, vs. 45 percent of whites, P<0.001) and among those predicted to have the greatest survival benefit from revascularization (42 percent vs. 61 percent, P<0.001). Finally, unadjusted and adjusted rates of survival for five years were significantly lower in blacks than in whites. CONCLUSIONS: Blacks with coronary disease were significantly less likely than whites to undergo coronary revascularization, particularly bypass surgery - a difference that could not be explained by the clinical features of their disease. The differences in treatment were most pronounced among those predicted to benefit the most from revascularization. Since these differences also correlated with a lower survival rate in blacks, we conclude that coronary revascularization appears to be underused in blacks.


Subject(s)
Angioplasty, Balloon, Coronary/statistics & numerical data , Black People , Coronary Artery Bypass/statistics & numerical data , Coronary Disease/ethnology , Coronary Disease/therapy , Patient Selection , Practice Patterns, Physicians'/statistics & numerical data , Coronary Disease/mortality , Coronary Disease/surgery , Hospitals, University/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Logistic Models , North Carolina , Prognosis , Survival Rate , White People
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