The number of nephroprotection targets attained is associated with cardiorenal outcomes and mortality in patients with diabetic kidney disease. The CKD-REIN cohort study.

AIM: The risk of cardiorenal events remains high among patients with diabetes and chronic kidney disease (CKD), despite the prescription of recommended treatments. We aimed to determine whether the attainment of a combination of nephroprotection targets at baseline (glycated haemoglobin <7.0%, urinary albumin-creatinine ratio <300 mg/g, blood pressure <130/80 mmHg, renin-angiotensin system inhibition) was associated with better cardiorenal outcomes and lower mortality. MATERIALS AND METHODS: From the prospective French CKD-REIN cohort, we studied 1260 patients with diabetes and CKD stages 3-4 (estimated glomerular filtration rate: 15-60 ml/min/1.73 m2); 69% were men, and at inclusion, mean ± SD age: 70 ± 10 years; estimated glomerular filtration rate: 33 ± 11 ml/min/1.73 m2. The median follow-up was 4.9 years. RESULTS: In adjusted Cox regression models, the attainment of two nephroprotection targets was consistently associated with a lower risk of cardiorenal events [hazard ratio 0.70 (95% confidence interval 0.57-0.85)], incident kidney failure with replacement therapy [0.58 (0.43-0.77)], four major adverse cardiovascular events (cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, stroke, hospitalization for heart failure) [0.75 (0.57-0.99)] and all-cause mortality [0.59 (0.42-0.82)] when compared with the attainment of zero or one target. For patients with a urinary albumin-creatinine ratio ≥300 mg/g, those who attained at least two targets had lower hazard ratios for cardiorenal events [0.61 (0.39-0.96)], four major adverse cardiovascular events [0.53 (0.28-0.98)] and all-cause mortality [0.35 (0.17-0.70)] compared with those who failed to attain any targets. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that the attainment of a combination of nephroprotection targets is associated with better cardiorenal outcomes and a lower mortality rate in people with diabetic kidney disease.

Projection of age of individuals living with HIV and time since ART initiation in 2030: estimates for France.

INTRODUCTION: Thanks to antiretroviral treatment (ART), people living with HIV (PLHIV) are living longer and ageing. However, ageing involves increased risks of co-morbidities, which also depend on when PLHIV individuals started ART. To tackle the HIV age-related upcoming challenges, knowledge of the current and future age structure of the HIV population is needed. Here, we forecast the demographic profile of the adult population living with diagnosed HIV (aPLdHIV) in France until 2030, accounting for the impact of the ART initiation period on mortality. METHODS: We used national data from the French Hospital Database on HIV (ANRS CO4-FHDH) and a sample of the National Health Data System to, first, characterize the aPLdHIV in 2018 and estimate their mortality rates according to age, sex and ART initiation period. Second, we used national HIV surveillance data to define three scenarios for the numbers of newly diagnosed HIV cases over 2019-2030: 30% decrease in HIV cases (S1), status quo situation (S2) and epidemic elimination (S3). We then combined these data using a matrix model, to project the age structure of aPLdHIV and time since ART initiation. RESULTS: In 2018, there was an estimated 161,125 aPLdHIV (33% women), of which 55% were aged 50 or older (50+), 22% aged 60+ and 8% aged 70+. In 2030, the aPLdHIV would grow to 195,246 for S1, 207,972 for S2 and 167,221 for S3. Whatever the scenario, in 2030, the estimated median time since ART initiation would increase and age distribution would shift towards older ages: with 65-72% aPLdHIV aged 50+, 42-48% 60+ and 17-19% 70+. This corresponds to ∼83,400 aPLdHIV (28% women) aged 60+, among which ∼69% started ART more than 20 years ago (i.e. before 2010) and ∼39% ≥30 years ago (i.e. before 2000), and to ∼33,100 aPLdHIV (27% women) aged 70+, among which ∼72% started ART ≥20 years ago and ∼43% ≥30 years ago. CONCLUSIONS: By 2030, in France, close to 20% of the aPLdHIV will be aged 70+, of which >40% would have started ART more than 30 years ago. These estimates are essential to adapt co-morbidities screening and anticipate resource provision in the aged care sector.