Derivation and validation of a preoperative risk model for postoperative mortality (SAMPE model): An approach to care stratification.

Ascertaining which patients are at highest risk of poor postoperative outcomes could improve care and enhance safety. This study aimed to construct and validate a propensity index for 30-day postoperative mortality. A retrospective cohort study was conducted at Hospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre, Brazil, over a period of 3 years. A dataset of 13524 patients was used to develop the model and another dataset of 7254 was used to validate it. The primary outcome was 30-day in-hospital mortality. Overall mortality in the development dataset was 2.31% [n = 311; 95% confidence interval: 2.06-2.56%]. Four variables were significantly associated with outcome: age, ASA class, nature of surgery (urgent/emergency vs elective), and surgical severity (major/intermediate/minor). The index with this set of variables to predict mortality in the validation sample (n = 7253) gave an AUROC = 0.9137, 85.2% sensitivity, and 81.7% specificity. This sensitivity cut-off yielded four classes of death probability: class I, <2%; class II, 2-5%; class III, 5-10%; class IV, >10%. Model application showed that, amongst patients in risk class IV, the odds of death were approximately fivefold higher (odds ratio 5.43, 95% confidence interval: 2.82-10.46) in those admitted to intensive care after a period on the regular ward than in those sent to the intensive care unit directly after surgery. The SAMPE (Anaesthesia and Perioperative Medicine Service) model accurately predicted 30-day postoperative mortality. This model allows identification of high-risk patients and could be used as a practical tool for care stratification and rational postoperative allocation of critical care resources.

[Clinical and epidemiological profile of HIV-infected pregnant women in a service in south Brazil]. / Perfil clínico e epidemiológico de gestantes infectadas pelo HIV em um serviço do sul do Brasil.

PURPOSE: to analyze the clinical and epidemiological profile, the outcome of pregnancy and the vertical transmission of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected pregnant women receiving prenatal care at the University Hospital of Santa Maria (HUSM). METHODS: A prospective study was conducted on 139 HIV-infected pregnant women attended at the High-Risk Prenatal Care Outpatient Clinic of HUSM, during the period from August 2002 to August 2007, with at least two prenatal visits in this service. Data were collected by an interview and by filling out a research protocol during a prenatal visit. The protocol was attached to the medical records of the patient and kept until the outcome of gestation. Descriptive analysis of quantitative variables was performed using the SPSS software, version 15.0. RESULTS: The mean age of the 139 pregnant women studied was 25.6 years (+/-5.8), 79 (56.8%) were white, 81 (58.5%) were married or lived in a stable union, and 90 (65.0%) had less than eight years of schooling. Fifty-one percent of the pregnant women already had two or more children, with a number of children higher than the mean for the state. The infection was diagnosed during the present or a previous pregnancy in more than 70.0% cases. Sexual exposure occurred in 97.0%, and in 59.6% of cases the partner was known to be infected. During the study period, among the cases properly monitored, only one newborn (0.7%) was infected with HIV. CONCLUSIONS: Young women in a socioeconomic situation of vulnerability, with low schooling and multiparous represent the majority of HIV-positive pregnant women attended at the service. Evaluations performed during the prenatal period were relevant for the diagnosis of infection in most cases. An early diagnosis associated with proper clinical, obstetrical and psychological monitoring and with nursing care is important to provide appropriate treatment compliance and a reduction of the rates of vertical transmission.

Perfil clínico e epidemiológico de gestantes infectadas pelo HIV em um serviço do sul do Brasil / Clinical and epidemiological profile of HIV-infected pregnant women in a service in south Brazil

OBJETIVO: analisar o perfil clínico e epidemiológico, o desfecho da gestação e a transmissão vertical de gestantes infectadas pelo vírus da imunodeficiência humana (HIV) atendidas no pré-natal do Hospital Universitário de Santa Maria (HUSM). MÉTODOS: foi realizado um estudo prospectivo na população de 139 gestantes portadoras do vírus HIV que foram atendidas no Ambulatório de Pré-natal de Alto Risco do HUSM durante o período de agosto de 2002 a agosto de 2007, e que tiveram pelo menos duas consultas de pré-natal neste serviço. A coleta de dados foi efetuada por meio de entrevista e preenchimento do protocolo de pesquisa durante a consulta de pré-natal. O protocolo era mantido anexado ao prontuário da paciente e mantido até o desfecho da gestação. Realizou-se análise descritiva das variáveis quantitativas utilizando-se o programa SPSS versão 15.0. RESULTADOS: dentre as 139 gestantes, a média de idade foi de 25,6 anos (±5,8), 79 (56,8 por cento) eram brancas, 81 (58,5 por cento) eram casadas ou viviam em união estável e 90 (65,0 por cento) tinham menos de oito anos de escolaridade. Cinquenta e um por cento das gestantes já tinham dois ou mais filhos, apresentando número de filhos superior à média estadual. O diagnóstico da infecção foi realizado em gestação atual ou anterior em mais de 70,0 por cento das vezes. Houve exposição sexual em 97,7 por cento e, destas, o parceiro era sabidamente infectado em 59,6 por cento. No período, dos casos adequadamente acompanhados, apenas um recém-nascido (0,7 por cento) contraiu a infecção pelo HIV. CONCLUSÕES: mulheres jovens em situação socioeconômica de vulnerabilidade, com baixa escolaridade e multíparas constituem a maioria da população de gestantes HIV-positivo atendidas no serviço. Avaliações realizadas durante o pré-natal foram relevantes para o diagnóstico da infecção na maioria dos casos. O diagnóstico precoce, associado ao adequado acompanhamento clínico, obstétrico, psicológico e cuidados de enfermagem, são...

PURPOSE: to analyze the clinical and epidemiological profile, the outcome of pregnancy and the vertical transmission of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected pregnant women receiving prenatal care at the University Hospital of Santa Maria (HUSM). METHODS: A prospective study was conducted on 139 HIV-infected pregnant women attended at the High-Risk Prenatal Care Outpatient Clinic of HUSM, during the period from August 2002 to August 2007, with at least two prenatal visits in this service. Data were collected by an interview and by filling out a research protocol during a prenatal visit. The protocol was attached to the medical records of the patient and kept until the outcome of gestation. Descriptive analysis of quantitative variables was performed using the SPSS software, version 15.0. RESULTS: The mean age of the 139 pregnant women studied was 25.6 years (±5.8), 79 (56.8 percent) were white, 81 (58.5 percent) were married or lived in a stable union, and 90 (65.0 percent) had less than eight years of schooling. Fifty-one percent of the pregnant women already had two or more children, with a number of children higher than the mean for the state. The infection was diagnosed during the present or a previous pregnancy in more than 70.0 percent cases. Sexual exposure occurred in 97.0 percent, and in 59.6 percent of cases the partner was known to be infected. During the study period, among the cases properly monitored, only one newborn (0.7 percent) was infected with HIV. CONCLUSIONS: Young women in a socioeconomic situation of vulnerability, with low schooling and multiparous represent the majority of HIV-positive pregnant women attended at the service. Evaluations performed during the prenatal period were relevant for the diagnosis of infection in most cases. An early diagnosis associated with proper clinical, obstetrical and psychological monitoring and with nursing care is important to provide appropriate treatment compliance and a reduction of the...