Characteristics of serology-based vaccine potency models for foot-and-mouth disease virus.

BACKGROUND: Foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) vaccine potency testing involves hundreds of animals each year. Despite considerable efforts during the past decades, a challenge-free alternative vaccine potency test to replace the European protective dose 50% test (PD(50)) has not been implemented yet. The aim of the present study was to further characterize the properties of serological vaccine potency models. METHODS: Logistic regression models were built for 5 serological assays from 3 different laboratories. The serum samples originated from 5 repeated PD(50) vaccine potency trials with a highly potent A/IRN/11/96 vaccine. Receiver Operating Characteristic analysis was used to determine a serological pass mark for predicting in vivo protected animals. Subsequently, an estimated PD(50) was calculated and the serotype dependency of the logistic models was investigated. RESULTS: Although differences were observed between the laboratories and the serological assays used, the logistic models accurately predicted the in vivo protection status of the animals in 74-93% of the cases and the antibody pass levels corresponded to 84-97% of protection, depending on the serological assay used. For logistic models that combine different serotypes, the model fit can be increased by inclusion of a serotype factor in the logistic regression function. CONCLUSIONS: The in vitro estimated PD(50) method may be at least as precise as the in vivo PD(50) test and may accurately predict the PD(50) content of a vaccine. However, the laboratory-effect and the serotype-dependency should be further investigated.

Indirect foot-and-mouth disease vaccine potency testing based on a serological alternative.

Foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) vaccine potency testing has historically been performed by experimentally infecting vaccinated cattle. A few alternative approaches to the in vivo challenge test based on the correlation between serum titres of primo-vaccinated cattle and protection against infection have been proposed, but none have been accepted by the European Pharmacopoeia (Ph.Eur.) due to the lack of statistical power and the pooling of data over time. The present study addresses these issues and presents data of 150 cattle vaccinated according to Ph.Eur. standards. Four laboratories took part in the serological testing and different serological assays were used, including virus neutralisation assays and ELISA formats. Models correlating specific anti-FMD virus antibody titres to protection were built using logistic regression followed by Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis. The best models accurately predicted the in vivo protection status in 80.0% of the cases. Although differences were observed between laboratories and assays used, the majority of antibody pass-levels, determined using ROC analysis, corresponded to at least 75.0% probability of protection. The indirect potency assessment procedure proposed is at least as precise (repeatability=65.8%, reproducibility=60.7%) as the in vivo test, can be standardised and results in a quantitative PD50 value. The validity of the procedure was also demonstrated.