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1.
Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol ; 56(4): 588-596, 2020 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31587401

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To develop a machine-learning (ML) model for prediction of shoulder dystocia (ShD) and to externally validate the model's predictive accuracy and potential clinical efficacy in optimizing the use of Cesarean delivery in the context of suspected macrosomia. METHODS: We used electronic health records (EHR) from the Sheba Medical Center in Israel to develop the model (derivation cohort) and EHR from the University of California San Francisco Medical Center to validate the model's accuracy and clinical efficacy (validation cohort). Subsequent to application of inclusion and exclusion criteria, the derivation cohort included 686 singleton vaginal deliveries, of which 131 were complicated by ShD, and the validation cohort included 2584 deliveries, of which 31 were complicated by ShD. For each of these deliveries, we collected maternal and neonatal delivery outcomes coupled with maternal demographics, obstetric clinical data and sonographic fetal biometry. Biometric measurements and their derived estimated fetal weight were adjusted (aEFW) according to gestational age at delivery. A ML pipeline was utilized to develop the model. RESULTS: In the derivation cohort, the ML model provided significantly better prediction than did the current clinical paradigm based on fetal weight and maternal diabetes: using nested cross-validation, the area under the receiver-operating-characteristics curve (AUC) of the model was 0.793 ± 0.041, outperforming aEFW combined with diabetes (AUC = 0.745 ± 0.044, P = 1e-16 ). The following risk modifiers had a positive beta that was > 0.02, i.e. they increased the risk of ShD: aEFW (beta = 0.164), pregestational diabetes (beta = 0.047), prior ShD (beta = 0.04), female fetal sex (beta = 0.04) and adjusted abdominal circumference (beta = 0.03). The following risk modifiers had a negative beta that was < -0.02, i.e. they were protective of ShD: adjusted biparietal diameter (beta = -0.08) and maternal height (beta = -0.03). In the validation cohort, the model outperformed aEFW combined with diabetes (AUC = 0.866 vs 0.784, P = 0.00007). Additionally, in the validation cohort, among the subgroup of 273 women carrying a fetus with aEFW ≥ 4000 g, the aEFW had no predictive power (AUC = 0.548), and the model performed significantly better (0.775, P = 0.0002). A risk-score threshold of 0.5 stratified 42.9% of deliveries to the high-risk group, which included 90.9% of ShD cases and all cases accompanied by maternal or newborn complications. A more specific threshold of 0.7 stratified only 27.5% of the deliveries to the high-risk group, which included 63.6% of ShD cases and all those accompanied by newborn complications. CONCLUSION: We developed a ML model for prediction of ShD and, in a different cohort, externally validated its performance. The model predicted ShD better than did estimated fetal weight either alone or combined with maternal diabetes, and was able to stratify the risk of ShD and neonatal injury in the context of suspected macrosomia. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.


Subject(s)
Machine Learning/standards , Shoulder Dystocia/diagnosis , Ultrasonography, Prenatal/statistics & numerical data , Adult , Biometry/methods , Cesarean Section , Diabetes, Gestational , Female , Fetal Macrosomia/diagnosis , Fetal Macrosomia/embryology , Fetal Macrosomia/surgery , Fetal Weight , Gestational Age , Humans , Israel , Patient Selection , Predictive Value of Tests , Pregnancy , ROC Curve , Reproducibility of Results , Risk Factors
2.
J Perinatol ; 38(1): 41-45, 2018 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29120453

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: We investigated the frequencies and characteristics of out-of-hospital births in a 20-year period in California, where 1 of every 7 births in the United States occurs. STUDY DESIGN: Birth certificate records of deliveries in California between 1991 and 2011 were analyzed. Out-of-hospital births were assessed by year, parity, gestational age and maternal race/ethnicity. RESULTS: In the 20-year period there were 10 593,904 deliveries, of which 46 243 occurred out of hospital (0.44%). Out-of-hospital births decreased from 0.54 to 0.38% per year between 1991 and 2004, and increased from 0.41% in 2005 to 0.61% in 2011. In contrast, preterm out-of-hospital births declined from 7.2% in 2006 to 5.0% in 2011. The frequency of vaginal birth after cesarean in the out-of-hospital birth cohort increased from 1.2% (n=19) in 1996 to 4.2% (n=82) in 2011. CONCLUSION: California birth records from a 20-year period show an increase in out-of-hospital births from years 2005 to 2011, following a period of decline from 1991 to 2004.


Subject(s)
Home Childbirth/statistics & numerical data , Premature Birth/epidemiology , Vaginal Birth after Cesarean/statistics & numerical data , Adolescent , Adult , California/epidemiology , Female , Gestational Age , Home Childbirth/trends , Humans , Infant , Infant Mortality/trends , Infant, Newborn , Male , Parity , Pregnancy , Vaginal Birth after Cesarean/trends , Young Adult
3.
BJOG ; 122(11): 1484-93, 2015 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26111589

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To examine the relationship between maternal characteristics, serum biomarkers and preterm birth (PTB) by spontaneous and medically indicated subtypes. DESIGN: Population-based cohort. SETTING: California, United States of America. POPULATION: From a total population of 1 004 039 live singleton births in 2009 and 2010, 841 665 pregnancies with linked birth certificate and hospital discharge records were included. METHODS: Characteristics were compared for term and preterm deliveries by PTB subtype using logistic regression and odds ratios adjusted for maternal characteristics and obstetric factors present in final stepwise models and 95% confidence intervals. First-trimester and second-trimester serum marker levels were analysed in a subset of 125 202 pregnancies with available first-trimester and second-trimester serum biomarker results. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: PTB by subtype. RESULTS: In fully adjusted models, ten characteristics and three serum biomarkers were associated with increased risk in each PTB subtype (Black race/ethnicity, pre-existing hypertension with and without pre-eclampsia, gestational hypertension with pre-eclampsia, pre-existing diabetes, anaemia, previous PTB, one or two or more previous caesarean section(s), interpregnancy interval ≥ 60 months, low first-trimester pregnancy-associated plasma protein A, high second-trimester α-fetoprotein, and high second-trimester dimeric inhibin A). These risks occurred in 51.6-86.2% of all pregnancies ending in PTB depending on subtype. The highest risk observed was for medically indicated PTB <32 weeks in women with pre-existing hypertension and pre-eclampsia (adjusted odds ratio 89.7, 95% CI 27.3-111.2). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest a shared aetiology across PTB subtypes. These commonalities point to targets for further study and exploration of risk reduction strategies. TWEETABLE ABSTRACT: Findings suggest a shared aetiology across preterm birth subtypes. Patterns may inform risk reduction efforts.


Subject(s)
Premature Birth/blood , Premature Birth/epidemiology , Adolescent , Adult , Anemia/epidemiology , Biomarkers/blood , Birth Intervals , California/epidemiology , Cesarean Section/statistics & numerical data , Cohort Studies , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Hypertension/epidemiology , Inhibins/blood , Logistic Models , Pregnancy/blood , Pregnancy Complications/epidemiology , Pregnancy Trimester, First/blood , Pregnancy Trimester, Second/blood , Pregnancy-Associated Plasma Protein-A/analysis , Premature Birth/classification , Racial Groups , Risk Factors , Young Adult , alpha-Fetoproteins/analysis
4.
J Perinatol ; 35(8): 570-4, 2015 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25927270

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To examine associations with morbidly adherent placenta (MAP) among women with placenta previa. STUDY DESIGN: Women with MAP (cases) and previa alone (controls) were identified from a cohort of 236,714 singleton pregnancies with both first and second trimester prenatal screening, and live birth and hospital discharge records; pregnancies with aneuploidies and neural tube or abdominal wall defects were excluded. Logistic binomial regression was used to compare cases with controls. RESULT: In all, 37 cases with MAP and 699 controls with previa alone were included. Risk for MAP was increased among multiparous women with pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) ⩾95th percentile (⩾2.63 multiple of the median (MoM); adjusted OR (aOR) 8.7, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.8 to 27.4), maternal-serum alpha fetoprotein (MS-AFP) ⩾95th percentile (⩾1.79 MoM; aOR 2.8, 95% CI 1.0 to 8.0), and 1 and ⩾2 prior cesarean deliveries (CDs; aORs 4.4, 95% CI 1.5 to 13.6 and 18.4, 95% CI 5.9 to 57.5, respectively). CONCLUSION: Elevated PAPP-A, elevated MS-AFP and prior CDs are associated with MAP among women with previa.


Subject(s)
Biomarkers/blood , Placenta Accreta/blood , Placenta Previa/blood , Pregnancy Complications/blood , Pregnancy-Associated Plasma Protein-A/analysis , Adolescent , Adult , California , Cesarean Section/statistics & numerical data , Female , Humans , Logistic Models , Pregnancy , Pregnancy Trimester, First , Pregnancy Trimester, Second , Prenatal Diagnosis , Young Adult , alpha-Fetoproteins/analysis
5.
J Perinatol ; 33(4): 259-63, 2013 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22858890

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: We documented time to key milestones and determined reasons for transport-related delays during simulated emergency cesarean. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective, observational investigation of delivery of care processes by multidisciplinary teams of obstetric providers on the labor and delivery unit at Lucile Packard Children's Hospital, Stanford, CA, USA, during 14 simulated uterine rupture scenarios. The primary outcome measure was the total time from recognition of the emergency (time zero) to that of surgical incision. RESULT: The median (interquartile range) from time zero until incision was 9 min 27 s (8:55 to 10:27 min:s). CONCLUSION: In this series of emergency cesarean drills, our teams required approximately nine and a half minutes to move from the labor room to the nearby operating room (OR) and make the surgical incision. Multiple barriers to efficient transport were identified. This study demonstrates the utility of simulation to identify and correct institution-specific barriers that delay transport to the OR and initiation of emergency cesarean delivery.


Subject(s)
Cesarean Section/education , Delivery Rooms , Patient Care Team/standards , Time-to-Treatment/standards , Transportation of Patients , Cesarean Section/methods , Emergencies , Female , Humans , Intensive Care, Neonatal/methods , Intensive Care, Neonatal/standards , Models, Educational , Organizational Policy , Patient Simulation , Pregnancy , Quality Improvement , Staff Development/methods , Task Performance and Analysis , Transportation of Patients/methods , Transportation of Patients/standards , Uterine Rupture/surgery , Workforce
6.
J Perinatol ; 33(4): 251-8, 2013 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23079774

ABSTRACT

Medical researchers have called for new forms of translational science that can solve complex medical problems. Mainstream science has made complementary calls for heterogeneous teams of collaborators who conduct transdisciplinary research so as to solve complex social problems. Is transdisciplinary translational science what the medical community needs? What challenges must the medical community overcome to successfully implement this new form of translational science? This article makes several contributions. First, it clarifies the concept of transdisciplinary research and distinguishes it from other forms of collaboration. Second, it presents an example of a complex medical problem and a concrete effort to solve it through transdisciplinary collaboration: for example, the problem of preterm birth and the March of Dimes effort to form a transdisciplinary research center that synthesizes knowledge on it. The presentation of this example grounds discussion on new medical research models and reveals potential means by which they can be judged and evaluated. Third, this article identifies the challenges to forming transdisciplines and the practices that overcome them. Departments, universities and disciplines tend to form intellectual silos and adopt reductionist approaches. Forming a more integrated (or 'constructionist'), problem-based science reflective of transdisciplinary research requires the adoption of novel practices to overcome these obstacles.


Subject(s)
Academic Medical Centers/methods , Patient Care Team/organization & administration , Premature Birth , Translational Research, Biomedical , Female , Humans , Interdisciplinary Communication , Interdisciplinary Studies , Interprofessional Relations , Pregnancy , Premature Birth/epidemiology , Premature Birth/etiology , Premature Birth/therapy , Research Design , Translational Research, Biomedical/methods , Translational Research, Biomedical/organization & administration , United States
7.
Clin Nephrol ; 75(3): 226-32, 2011 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21329633

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Relaxin, a potent pregnancy-related hormone, has been proposed to be a major mediator of renal physiology in normal pregnancy. We wished to test relaxin levels in pregnancy and preeclampsia. METHODS: We performed precise physiologic measurements of kidney function in 38 normal peripartum women and 58 women with preeclampsia. We measured serum relaxin levels prior to delivery and over the first 4 postpartum weeks utilizing a modern, validated ELISA. Results were compared to those of 18 normal women of childbearing age. RESULTS: Relaxin levels were substantially elevated in women prior to delivery (364 ± 268 vs. 15 ± 16 pg/ml) and fell rapidly over the first postpartum week reaching normal non pregnant levels by Week 2 (32 ± 64 vs. 15 ± 16 pg/ml). No differences were seen between relaxin levels in normal pregnancy as compared to preeclampsia (364 ± 268 vs. 376 ± 241 pg/ml) despite substantial and persistent abnormalities in GFR (149 ± 33 vs. 89 ± 25 ml/min), albuminuria (14 vs. 687 mg/g) and mean arterial pressure (80 ± 8 vs. 111 ± 18). Furthermore no correlation could be established between physiologic measures (GFR, MAP, RBF, RVR) and relaxin levels (p > 0.3), either in the overall population or any of the subgroups. CONCLUSION: Relaxin is indeed significantly elevated in the serum of women during late pregnancy and the early puerperium. However, serum relaxin does not appear to influence BP, renal vascular resistance, renal blood flow or GFR in late pregnancy or in women with preeclampsia.


Subject(s)
Kidney/physiopathology , Pre-Eclampsia/blood , Pre-Eclampsia/physiopathology , Relaxin/blood , Adult , Biomarkers/blood , Blood Pressure , California , Case-Control Studies , Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay , Female , Glomerular Filtration Rate , Humans , Kidney/blood supply , Postpartum Period , Pregnancy , Pregnancy Trimester, Third , Renal Circulation , Time Factors , Up-Regulation , Vascular Resistance , Young Adult
8.
Am J Physiol Renal Physiol ; 294(3): F614-20, 2008 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18199600

ABSTRACT

We evaluated the early postpartum recovery of glomerular function over 4 wk in 57 women with preeclampsia. We used physiological techniques to measure glomerular filtration rate (GFR), renal plasma flow, and oncotic pressure (pi(A)) and computed a value for the two-kidney ultrafiltration coefficient (K(f)). Compared with healthy, postpartum controls, GFR was depressed by 40% on postpartum day 1, but by only 19% and 8% in the second and fourth postpartum weeks, respectively. Hypofiltration was attributable solely to depression, at corresponding postpartum times, of K(f) by 55%, 30%, and 18%, respectively. Improvement in glomerular filtration capacity was accompanied by recovery of hypertension to near-normal levels and significant improvement in albuminuria. We conclude that the functional manifestations of the glomerular endothelial injury of preeclampsia largely resolve within the first postpartum month.


Subject(s)
Glomerular Filtration Rate/physiology , Kidney Glomerulus/physiopathology , Pre-Eclampsia/physiopathology , Adult , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Humans , Models, Biological , Postpartum Period/physiology , Pregnancy
9.
Obstet Gynecol ; 107(4): 886-95, 2006 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16582128

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To assess the benefit of l-arginine, the precursor to nitric oxide, on blood pressure and recovery of the glomerular lesion in preeclampsia. METHODS: Forty-five women with preeclampsia were randomized to receive either l-arginine or placebo until day 10 postpartum. Primary outcome measures including mean arterial pressure, glomerular filtration rate, and proteinuria were assessed on the third and 10th days postpartum by inulin clearance and albumin-to-creatinine ratio. Nitric oxide, cyclic guanosine 3'5' monophosphate, endothelin-1, and asymmetric-dimethyl-arginine and arginine levels were assayed before delivery and on the third and 10th days postpartum. Healthy gravid women provided control values. Assuming a standard deviation of 10 mm Hg, the study was powered to detect a 10-mm Hg difference in mean arterial pressure (alpha .05, beta .20) between the study groups. RESULTS: No significant differences existed between the groups with preeclampsia before randomization. Compared with the gravid control group, women with preeclampsia exhibited significantly increased serum levels of endothelin-1, cyclic guanosine 3'5' monophosphate, and asymmetric-dimethyl-arginine before delivery. Despite a significant increase in postpartum serum arginine levels due to treatment, no differences were found in the corresponding levels of nitric oxide, endothelin-1, cyclic guanosine 3'5' monophosphate, or asymmetric-dimethyl-arginine between the two groups with preeclampsia. Further, there were no significant differences in any of the primary outcome measures with both groups demonstrating similar levels in glomerular filtration rate and equivalent improvements in both blood pressure and proteinuria. CONCLUSION: Blood pressure and kidney function improve markedly in preeclampsia by the 10th day postpartum. Supplementation with l-arginine does not hasten this recovery. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: I.


Subject(s)
Arginine/therapeutic use , Kidney/drug effects , Pre-Eclampsia/drug therapy , Pregnancy Outcome , Administration, Oral , Adult , Dose-Response Relationship, Drug , Drug Administration Schedule , Female , Gestational Age , Glomerular Filtration Rate , Humans , Infant, Newborn , Kidney/physiopathology , Maternal Age , Parity , Postpartum Period , Pre-Eclampsia/diagnosis , Pregnancy , Reference Values , Risk Assessment , Severity of Illness Index , Treatment Outcome
10.
Am J Physiol Renal Physiol ; 286(3): F496-503, 2004 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-14612381

ABSTRACT

We evaluated the glomerular filtration rate (GFR) during the second postpartum week in 22 healthy women who had completed an uncomplicated pregnancy. We used physiological techniques to measure GFR, renal plasma flow, and oncotic pressure and computed a value for the two-kidney ultrafiltration coefficient (K(f)). We compared these findings with those in pregnant women previously studied on the first postpartum day as well as nongravid women of reproductive age. Healthy female transplant donors of reproductive age permitted the morphometric analysis of glomeruli and computation of the single-nephron K(f). The aforementioned physiological and morphometric measurements were utilized to estimate transcapillary hydraulic pressure (Delta P) from a mathematical model of glomerular ultrafiltration. We conclude that postpartum day 1 is associated with marked glomerular hyperfiltration (+41%). A theoretical analysis of GFR determinants suggests that depression of glomerular capillary oncotic pressure, the force opposing the formation of filtrate, is the predominant determinant of early elevation of postpartum GFR. A reversal of the gestational hypervolemia and hemodilution, still evident on postpartum day 1, eventuates by postpartum week 2. An elevation of oncotic pressure in the plasma that flows axially along the glomerular capillaries to supernormal levels ensues; however, GFR remains modestly elevated (+20%) above nongravid levels. An analysis of filtration dynamics at this time suggests that a significant increase in Delta P by up to 16%, an approximately 50% increase in K(f), or a combination of smaller increments in both must be invoked to account for the persistent hyperfiltration.


Subject(s)
Glomerular Filtration Rate , Postpartum Period/physiology , Adult , Female , Humans , Kidney Glomerulus/anatomy & histology , Kidney Glomerulus/physiology , Middle Aged , Pressure
11.
J Matern Fetal Neonatal Med ; 12(2): 99-103, 2002 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12420839

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To describe the pregnancy outcomes in women with central nervous system (CNS) manifestations of lupus. METHODS: Between 1991 and 2002, the outcome of five pregnancies in four patients with CNS lupus were retrospectively reviewed. All patients had an established history of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), and either a history of CNS lupus or active CNS lupus. Pregnancy outcomes assessed included term and preterm birth, intrauterine growth restriction, abnormal antepartum testing, perinatal mortality, pre-eclampsia and other maternal morbidities. RESULTS: Evidence of active CNS lupus symptoms developed in three of the five pregnancies. Two pregnancies were complicated by early onset pre-eclampsia, abnormal antepartum testing and extreme prematurity, with one subsequent neonatal death. The remaining three pregnancies had good neonatal outcomes, but were complicated by severe maternal post-pregnancy exacerbations, and the eventual death of one patient. CONCLUSIONS: CNS lupus in pregnancy represents an especially severe manifestation of SLE, and may involve great maternal and fetal risks.


Subject(s)
Lupus Vasculitis, Central Nervous System/diagnosis , Pregnancy Complications/diagnosis , Pregnancy Outcome , Adult , California , Diagnosis, Differential , Female , Humans , Longitudinal Studies , Lupus Vasculitis, Central Nervous System/physiopathology , Lupus Vasculitis, Central Nervous System/therapy , Pregnancy , Pregnancy Complications/physiopathology , Pregnancy Complications/therapy , Prenatal Care , Prenatal Diagnosis , Retrospective Studies
12.
Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol ; 19(2): 131-5, 2002 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11876803

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To determine the usefulness of short ear length (EL) measurement in the prenatal detection of fetuses with chromosomal abnormalities. DESIGN: Fetal EL measurements, routine biometry and complete anatomic survey for fetal abnormalities were prospectively performed by antenatal sonography. SUBJECTS: One thousand eight hundred and forty-eight patients with singleton pregnancies undergoing genetic amniocentesis in the second or third trimester. METHODS: Complete data for EL, biometry and anatomic survey for major structural abnormalities and minor sonographic markers of chromosomal abnormality were available in 1311 fetuses. Of these, 48 (3.7%) had an abnormal karyotype and 1263 (96.3%) had a normal karyotype. Using an EL measurement of < or = 10th percentile for corresponding gestational age in normal fetuses as abnormal cut-off values, detection rates for chromosomal abnormalities by short EL were determined. RESULTS: Among the 48 abnormal karyotypes, 34 were considered significant, and 11 of these 34 (32.4%) fetuses had short EL. In 14 cases, the karyotypic abnormality was considered non-significant and fetal EL was normal in all cases. Of the 34 fetuses with significant chromosomal abnormalities, six (17.6%) on antenatal sonography had no detectable abnormal findings, other than short EL. An increased biparietal diameter (BPD)/EL ratio of > or = 4.0 was also noted in fetuses with an abnormal karyotype, but the sensitivity and predictive value of increased BPD/EL ratio alone or increased BPD/EL ratio in combination with short EL was no better than the sensitivity and predictive value of short EL alone. A combination of short EL and abnormal ultrasound, however, gave a much higher positive predictive value (46%) for significant chromosomal abnormalities. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that in women at high risk for fetal chromosomal abnormality, a short fetal EL measurement on prenatal ultrasound, either alone or in combination with other sonographically detectable structural abnormalities, may be a useful parameter in predicting fetal aneuploidy.


Subject(s)
Aneuploidy , Ear/abnormalities , Ear/diagnostic imaging , Fetal Diseases/genetics , Ultrasonography, Prenatal , Down Syndrome/diagnostic imaging , Female , Fetal Diseases/diagnostic imaging , Gestational Age , Humans , Karyotyping , Predictive Value of Tests , Pregnancy
13.
J Reprod Med ; 46(8): 743-6, 2001 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11547649

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the perinatal outcomes of pregnancies complicated by isolated decreased amniotic fluid volume (AFI) after 30 weeks' gestation (AFI < or = 5 or > 5 cm but < 2.5th percentile). STUDY DESIGN: We retrospectively studied 150 low-risk singleton pregnancies > 30 weeks' gestation with decreased AFI. We also compared the outcomes of 57 pregnancies with AFI < or = 5 cm to those of 93 pregnancies with AFI > 5 cm but < 2.5th percentile (borderline AFI). Pregnancy outcome was assessed with respect to antepartum, intrapartum and neonatal measures. Statistical significance (P < .05) between groups was determined by means of the Student t test and chi 2 analysis. RESULTS: There were no statistically significant differences between pregnancies with AFI < or = 5 cm and those with AFI > 5 cm but < 2.5th percentile with respect to labor induction for an abnormal nonstress test (7.0% vs. 7.5%, overall 7.3%), cesarean sections for fetal heart rate abnormalities (7.0% vs. 7.5%, overall 7.3%), presence of meconium (16.1% vs. 15.7%, overall 16%) and Apgar score < 7 at five minutes (0 vs. 1.1%, overall 0.66%). There were no perinatal deaths in either group. Antepartum variable decelerations were more common in pregnancies with AFI < or = 5 cm as compared to those with AFI > 5 cm but < 2.5th percentile (63.1% vs. 45.1%, P = .007; overall 53.3%). CONCLUSION: With antepartum monitoring, perinatal outcome in low-risk pregnancies with an isolated decreased AFI after 30 weeks' gestation (< or = 5 or > 5 cm but < 2.5th percentile) appears to be good.


Subject(s)
Amniotic Fluid , Pregnancy Outcome , Adult , Female , Gestational Age , Humans , Maternal Age , Pregnancy , Retrospective Studies , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors
14.
Obstet Gynecol ; 97(6): 932-41, 2001 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11384699

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To determine the cost-effective method of delivery, from society's perspective, in patients who have had a previous cesarean. METHODS: We completed an incremental cost-effectiveness analysis of a trial of labor relative to cesarean using a computerized model for a hypothetical 30-year old parturient. The model incorporated data from peer-reviewed studies, actual hospital costs, and utilities to quantify health-related quality of life. A threshold of $50,000 per quality-adjusted life-years was used to define cost-effective. RESULTS: The model was most sensitive to the probability of successful vaginal delivery. If the probability of successful vaginal birth after cesarean (VBAC) was less than 0.65, elective repeat cesarean was both less costly and more effective than a trial of labor. Between 0.65 and 0.74, elective repeat cesarean was cost-effective (the cost-effectiveness ratio was less than $50,000 per quality-adjusted life-years), because, although it cost more than VBAC, it was offset by improved outcomes. Between 0.74 and 0.76, trial of labor was cost-effective. If the probability of successful vaginal delivery exceeded 0.76, trial of labor became less costly and more effective. Costs associated with a moderately morbid neonatal outcome, as well as the probabilities of infant morbidity occurring, heavily impacted our results. CONCLUSION: The cost-effectiveness of VBAC depends on the likelihood of successful trial of labor. Our modeling suggests that a trial of labor is cost-effective if the probability of successful vaginal delivery is greater than 0.74. Improved algorithms are needed to more precisely estimate the likelihood that a patient with a previous cesarean will have a successful vaginal delivery.


Subject(s)
Infant Mortality/trends , Obstetric Labor Complications/economics , Pregnancy Outcome , Trial of Labor , Vaginal Birth after Cesarean/economics , Vaginal Birth after Cesarean/methods , Adult , California , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Decision Trees , Female , Health Care Costs , Humans , Infant, Newborn , Models, Econometric , Obstetric Labor Complications/epidemiology , Pregnancy , Risk Assessment , Sensitivity and Specificity
15.
Am J Obstet Gynecol ; 183(1): 230-4, 2000 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10920337

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: We sought to develop a nomogram for fetal ear length measurements from a large population of healthy second- and third-trimester fetuses and to investigate the correlation of fetal ear length with other standard fetal biometry measurements, as follows: biparietal diameter, head circumference, abdominal circumference, femur length, and humerus length. STUDY DESIGN: Ear length measurement was obtained prospectively in 4240 singleton fetuses between 15 and 40 weeks' gestational age. Either complete data for normal karyotype on amniocentesis or normal infant examination at birth or both were available in 2583 cases. These constituted the final study population. RESULTS: A nomogram was developed by linearly regressing ear length on gestational age (Ear length [in millimeters] = 1.076 x Gestational age [in weeks] - 7. 308). There was a high correlation between ear length and gestational age (r = 0.96; P =.0001). CONCLUSION: The results of this study provide normative data on growth of fetal ear length from 15 to 40 weeks' gestation. Good correlation was also observed between ear length and other fetal biometric measurements (biparietal diameter, head circumference, abdominal circumference, femur length, and humerus length).


Subject(s)
Ear/diagnostic imaging , Ear/embryology , Gestational Age , Ultrasonography, Prenatal , Amniocentesis , Biometry , Female , Humans , Karyotyping , Pregnancy , Prospective Studies , Reference Values
16.
Pediatrics ; 103(6): e76, 1999 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10353973

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate recommended strategies for prevention of early-onset group B streptococcal infections (EOGBS) with reference to strategies optimized using decision analysis. METHODS: The EOGBS attack rate, prevalence and odds ratios for risk factors, and expected effects of prophylaxis were estimated from published data. Population subgroups were defined by gestational age, presence or absence of intrapartum fever or prolonged rupture of membranes, and presence or absence of maternal group B streptococcus (GBS) colonization. The EOGBS prevalence in each subgroup was estimated using decision analysis. The number of EOGBS cases prevented by an intervention was estimated as the product of the expected reduction in attack rate and the number of expected cases in each group selected for treatment. For each strategy, the number of residual EOGBS cases, cost, and numbers of treated patients were calculated based on the composition of the prophylaxis group. Integrated obstetrical-neonatal strategies for EOGBS prevention were developed by targeting the subgroups expected to benefit most from intervention. RESULTS: Reductions in EOGBS rates predicted by this decision analysis were smaller than those previously estimated for the strategies proposed by the American Academy of Pediatrics in 1992 (32.9% vs 90.7%), the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists in 1992 (53.8% vs 88.8%), and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in 1996 (75.1% vs 86.0%). Strategies based on screening for GBS colonization with rectovaginal cultures at 36 weeks or on use of a rapid test to screen for GBS colonization on presentation for delivery, combining intrapartum prophylaxis for selected mothers and postpartum prophylaxis for some of their infants, would require treatment of fewer patients and prevent more cases (78.4% or 80.1%, respectively) at lower cost. CONCLUSIONS: No strategy can prevent all EOGBS cases, but the attack rate can be reduced at a cost <$12 000 per prevented case. Supplementing intrapartum prophylaxis with postpartum ampicillin in a few infants is more effective and less costly than providing intrapartum prophylaxis for more mothers. Better intrapartum screening tests offer the greatest promise for increasing efficacy. Integrated obstetrical and neonatal regimens appropriate to the population served should be adopted by each obstetrical service. Surveillance of costs, complications, and benefits will be essential to guide continued iterative improvement of these strategies.


Subject(s)
Ampicillin/therapeutic use , Antibiotic Prophylaxis/economics , Decision Support Techniques , Penicillins/therapeutic use , Streptococcal Infections/prevention & control , Streptococcus agalactiae , Age of Onset , Ampicillin/economics , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Female , Gestational Age , Humans , Infant, Newborn , Penicillins/economics , Pregnancy , Pregnancy Complications, Infectious/drug therapy , Prenatal Care , Risk Factors , Sepsis/economics , Sepsis/microbiology , Sepsis/prevention & control , Streptococcal Infections/economics , Streptococcal Infections/microbiology
17.
Pediatrics ; 103(6): e77, 1999 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10353974

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To identify and to establish the prevalence of ORs factors associated with increased risk for early-onset group B streptococcal (EOGBS) infection in neonates. streptococcal (EOGBS) infection in neonates. STUDY DESIGN: Literature review and reanalysis of published data. RESULTS: Risk factors for EOGBS infection include group B streptococcal (GBS)-positive vaginal culture at delivery (OR: 204), GBS-positive rectovaginal culture at 28 (OR: 9.64) or 36 weeks gestation (OR: 26. 7), vaginal Strep B OIA test positive at delivery (OR: 15.4), birth weight 18 hours (OR: 7.28), intrapartum fever >37.5 degrees C (OR: 4.05), intrapartum fever, PROM, or prematurity (OR: 9.74), intrapartum fever or PROM at term (OR: 11.5), chorioamnionitis (OR: 6.43). Chorioamnionitis is reported in most (88%) cases in which neonatal infection occurred despite intrapartum maternal antibiotic therapy. ORs could not be estimated for maternal GBS bacteriuria during pregnancy, with preterm premature rupture of membranes, or with a sibling or twin with invasive GBS disease, but these findings seem to be associated with a very high risk. Multiple gestation is not an independent risk factor for GBS infection. CONCLUSIONS: h Mothers with GBS bacteriuria during pregnancy, with another child with GBS disease, or with chorioamnionitis should receive empirical intrapartum antibiotic treatment. Their infants should have complete diagnostic evaluations and receive empirical treatment until infection is excluded by observation and negative cultures because of their particularly high risk for EOGBS infection. Either screening with cultures at 28 weeks gestation or identification of clinical risk factors, ie, PROM, intrapartum fever, or prematurity, may identify parturients whose infants include 65% of those with EOGBS infection. Intrapartum screening using the Strep B OIA rapid test identifies more at-risk infants (75%) than any other method. These risk identifiers may permit judicious selection of patients for prophylactic interventions.


Subject(s)
Pregnancy Complications, Infectious/epidemiology , Streptococcal Infections/epidemiology , Streptococcus agalactiae , Age of Onset , Antibiotic Prophylaxis , Female , Humans , Infant, Newborn , Odds Ratio , Predictive Value of Tests , Pregnancy , Pregnancy Complications, Infectious/diagnosis , Pregnancy Complications, Infectious/drug therapy , Pregnancy Complications, Infectious/microbiology , Risk Factors , Sepsis/diagnosis , Sepsis/epidemiology , Sepsis/microbiology , Sepsis/prevention & control , Streptococcal Infections/diagnosis , Streptococcal Infections/microbiology , Streptococcal Infections/prevention & control , Streptococcus agalactiae/isolation & purification , United States/epidemiology , Vagina/microbiology
18.
Pediatrics ; 103(6): e78, 1999 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10353975

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To identify interventions that reduce the attack rate for early-onset group B streptococcal (GBS) sepsis in neonates. STUDY DESIGN: Literature review and reanalysis of published data. RESULTS: The rate of early-onset GBS sepsis in high-risk neonates can be reduced by administration of antibiotics. Treatment during pregnancy (antepartum prophylaxis) fails to reduce maternal GBS colonization at delivery. With the administration of intravenous ampicillin, the risk of early-onset infection in infants born to women with preterm premature rupture of membranes is reduced by 56% and the risk of GBS infection is reduced by 36%; addition of gentamicin may increase the efficacy of ampicillin. Treatment of women with chorioamnionitis with ampicillin and gentamicin during labor reduces the likelihood of neonatal sepsis by 82% and reduces the likelihood of GBS infection by 86%. Universal administration of penicillin to neonates shortly after birth (postpartum prophylaxis) reduces the early-onset GBS attack rate by 68% but is associated with a 40% increase in overall mortality and therefore is contraindicated. Intrapartum prophylaxis, alone or combined with postnatal prophylaxis for the infants, reduces the early-onset GBS attack rate by 80% or 95%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Women with chorioamnionitis or premature rupture of membranes and their infants should be treated with intravenous ampicillin and gentamicin. Intrapartum antimicrobial prophylaxis may be appropriate for other women whose infants are at increased but less extreme risk, and supplemental postpartum prophylaxis may be indicated for some of their infants. Selection of appropriate candidates and prophylaxis strategies requires careful consideration of costs and benefits for each patient. group B streptococcus, neonatal sepsis, early-onset sepsis, prevention, prophylaxis.


Subject(s)
Antibiotic Prophylaxis , Pregnancy Complications, Infectious/drug therapy , Streptococcal Infections/prevention & control , Streptococcus agalactiae , Age of Onset , Chorioamnionitis/drug therapy , Female , Fetal Membranes, Premature Rupture/drug therapy , Humans , Infant, Newborn , Postpartum Period , Pregnancy , Pregnancy Complications, Infectious/microbiology , Prenatal Care , Risk Factors , Sepsis/microbiology , Sepsis/prevention & control , Streptococcal Infections/microbiology
19.
Obstet Gynecol ; 93(1): 79-83, 1999 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9916961

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To compare the safety and efficacy of high-dose intravenous (IV) nitroglycerin with those of IV magnesium sulfate for acute tocolysis of preterm labor. METHODS: Thirty-one women with preterm labor before 35 weeks' gestation were assigned randomly to IV magnesium sulfate or IV nitroglycerin for tocolysis. Preterm labor was defined as the occurrence of at least two contractions in 10 minutes, with cervical change or ruptured membranes. Acute tocolysis was defined as tocolysis for up to 48 hours. Magnesium sulfate was administered as a 4-g bolus, then at a rate of 2-4 g/h. Nitroglycerin was administered as a 100-microg bolus, then at a rate of 1- to 10-microg/kg/min. The primary outcome measure was achievement of at least 12 hours of successful tocolysis. RESULTS: Thirty patients were available for analysis. There were no significant differences in gestational age, cervical dilation, or incidence of ruptured membranes between groups at the initiation of tocolysis. Successful tocolysis was achieved in six of 16 patients receiving nitroglycerin, compared with 11 of 14 receiving magnesium sulfate (37.5 versus 78.6%, P = .033). Tocolytic failures (nitroglycerin versus magnesium sulfate) were due to persistent contractions with cervical change or rupture of previously intact membranes (five of 16 versus two of 14), persistent hypotension (four of 16 versus none of 14), and other severe side effects (one of 16 versus one of 14). Maternal hemodynamic alterations were more pronounced in patients who received nitroglycerin, and 25% of patients assigned to nitroglycerin treatment had hypotension requiring discontinuation of therapy. CONCLUSION: Tocolytic failures were more common with nitroglycerin than with magnesium sulfate. The hemodynamic alterations noted in patients receiving nitroglycerin, including a 25% incidence of persistent hypotension, might limit the usefulness of IV nitroglycerin for the acute tocolysis of preterm labor.


Subject(s)
Magnesium Sulfate/administration & dosage , Nitroglycerin/administration & dosage , Obstetric Labor, Premature/drug therapy , Tocolytic Agents/administration & dosage , Adult , Blood Pressure/drug effects , Female , Heart Rate/drug effects , Humans , Injections, Intravenous , Pregnancy
20.
Neurology ; 51(4): 1039-45, 1998 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9781526

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To assess past care practices of neurologists and obstetricians to identify areas in which practice patterns differ from currently accepted optimal care. METHODS: Retrospective chart review of 155 women identified as having a diagnosis of epilepsy (or seizure disorder) who had been pregnant any time between January 1988 and December 1995 and were admitted to Stanford University Hospital for delivery. A total of 161 pregnancies (132 women) were selected for study. RESULTS: An obstetrician was seen at some point during the pregnancy in 99% of the pregnancies, whereas a neurologist was seen at least once in only 64% of the pregnancies. In the 3 months before conception, an obstetrician was seen in 5% of the pregnancies and a neurologist was seen in 15%. Seventy-five percent of the patients taking antiepileptic medication and 65% of the untreated patients had documentation of folate supplementation at any time during pregnancy. Vitamin K supplementation in the final month of pregnancy was documented for only 41% of those receiving antiepileptic drugs. In over one-third of the pregnancies the mother did not have a maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein measure documented and a similar percentage did not receive genetic counseling. Monitoring of the maternal serum concentration of the non-protein-bound fraction of the prescribed antiepileptic drugs was not documented. CONCLUSIONS: We identified specific omissions of appropriate vitamin supplementation, genetic counseling, and drug level monitoring. Educational efforts should be targeted to improve the management of pregnancy in women with epilepsy.


Subject(s)
Abortion, Spontaneous/epidemiology , Anticonvulsants/therapeutic use , Epilepsy, Generalized/drug therapy , Pregnancy Outcome/epidemiology , Prenatal Care , Abortion, Induced/statistics & numerical data , Adolescent , Adult , Female , Folic Acid/administration & dosage , Hematinics/administration & dosage , Humans , Pregnancy , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , Vitamin K/administration & dosage
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