[The development of a method for the long-term prediction of sites for the occurrence of plague epizootics among wild rodents]. / Razrabotka metodiki dolgosrochnogo prognozirovaniia mest protekaniia épizotii chumy sredi dikikh gryzunov.

The method for the long-term (3 years) prognostication of epizootic activity of plague is proposed. The method is based on the concept of the cyclic character of epizootics as the result of the superposition of a multitude of periodic components on the assumption that the duration of the periods takes the form of a row of prime consecutive numbers. This method was approbated in 25 areas of the Kyzyl Kum autonomous focus of plague.

[Prognosis of plague epizootics among wild rodents]. / Prognozirovanie épizootii chumy sredi dikikh gryzunov.

In the mesofoci of the Central Asian desert focus of plague the successful alternative prognosis of epizootic activity is possible. Such prognosis can be made by the method of consecutive statistical analysis with the use of prognostic tables compiled on the basis of the distribution of predictors in the order of the decrease of their information content.

[Alternative prognostication of the population of fleas of the genus Xenopsylla (Siphonaptera)]. / Al'ternativnoe prognozirovanie chislennosti blokh roda Xenopsylla (Siphonaptera).

A possibility of alternative prognostication of the autumn abundance of fleas was shown by means of statistical analysis of prognostication tables made up on the basis of the distribution of informative factors: indices of the abundance of the great gerbil, which is the main host of fleas, weather conditions and characteristics of the populations of the fleas.