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1.
J Gen Intern Med ; 39(4): 643-651, 2024 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37932543

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Risk stratification and population management strategies are critical for providing effective and equitable care for the growing population of older adults in the USA. Both frailty and neighborhood disadvantage are constructs that independently identify populations with higher healthcare utilization and risk of adverse outcomes. OBJECTIVE: To examine the joint association of these factors on acute healthcare utilization using two pragmatic measures based on structured data available in the electronic health record (EHR). DESIGN: In this retrospective observational study, we used EHR data to identify patients aged ≥ 65 years at Atrium Health Wake Forest Baptist on January 1, 2019, who were attributed to affiliated Accountable Care Organizations. Frailty was categorized through an EHR-derived electronic Frailty Index (eFI), while neighborhood disadvantage was quantified through linkage to the area deprivation index (ADI). We used a recurrent time-to-event model within a Cox proportional hazards framework to examine the joint association of eFI and ADI categories with healthcare utilization comprising emergency visits, observation stays, and inpatient hospitalizations over one year of follow-up. KEY RESULTS: We identified a cohort of 47,566 older adults (median age = 73, 60% female, 12% Black). There was an interaction between frailty and area disadvantage (P = 0.023). Each factor was associated with utilization across categories of the other. The magnitude of frailty's association was larger than living in a disadvantaged area. The highest-risk group comprised frail adults living in areas of high disadvantage (HR 3.23, 95% CI 2.99-3.49; P < 0.001). We observed additive effects between frailty and living in areas of mid- (RERI 0.29; 95% CI 0.13-0.45; P < 0.001) and high (RERI 0.62, 95% CI 0.41-0.83; P < 0.001) neighborhood disadvantage. CONCLUSIONS: Considering both frailty and neighborhood disadvantage may assist healthcare organizations in effectively risk-stratifying vulnerable older adults and informing population management strategies. These constructs can be readily assessed at-scale using routinely collected structured EHR data.


Subject(s)
Frailty , Humans , Female , Aged , Male , Frailty/epidemiology , Emergency Room Visits , Retrospective Studies , Hospitalization , Neighborhood Characteristics
2.
Front Public Health ; 11: 1111661, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37006544

ABSTRACT

Comprehensive surveillance systems are the key to provide accurate data for effective modeling. Traditional symptom-based case surveillance has been joined with recent genomic, serologic, and environment surveillance to provide more integrated disease surveillance systems. A major gap in comprehensive disease surveillance is to accurately monitor potential population behavioral changes in real-time. Population-wide behaviors such as compliance with various interventions and vaccination acceptance significantly influence and drive the overall epidemic dynamics in the society. Original infoveillance utilizes online query data (e.g., Google and Wikipedia search of a specific content topic such as an epidemic) and later focuses on large volumes of online discourse data about the from social media platforms and further augments epidemic modeling. It mainly uses number of posts to approximate public awareness of the disease, and further compares with observed epidemic dynamics for better projection. The current COVID-19 pandemic shows that there is an urgency to further harness the rich, detailed content and sentiment information, which can provide more accurate and granular information on public awareness and perceptions toward multiple aspects of the disease, especially various interventions. In this perspective paper, we describe a novel conceptual analytical framework of content and sentiment infoveillance (CSI) and integration with epidemic modeling. This CSI framework includes data retrieval and pre-processing; information extraction via natural language processing to identify and quantify detailed time, location, content, and sentiment information; and integrating infoveillance with common epidemic modeling techniques of both mechanistic and data-driven methods. CSI complements and significantly enhances current epidemic models for more informed decision by integrating behavioral aspects from detailed, instantaneous infoveillance from massive social media data.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2 , Pandemics , Infodemiology , Attitude
3.
N C Med J ; 83(1): 48-57, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34980656

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND Residential segregation is a spatial manifestation of structural racism. Racial disparities in emergency department (ED) utilization mirror social inequity in the larger community. We evaluated associations between residential segregation and ED utilization in a community with known disparities and geographically concentrated social and health risk.METHODS Cross-sectional data were collected from electronic medical records of 101 060 adult ED patients living in Mecklenburg County, North Carolina in 2017. Community context was measured as residential segregation using the dissimilarity index, categorized into quintiles (Q1-Q5) using 2013-2017 American Community Survey estimates, and residency in a public health priority area (PHPA). The outcome was measured as total ED visits during the study period. Associations between community context and ED utilization were modeled using Anderson's behavioral model of health service utilization, and estimated using negative binomial regression, including interaction terms by race.RESULTS Compared to areas with the lowest proportions of Black residents (Q1), living in Q4 was associated with higher rates of ED utilization among Black/Other (AME = 0.11) and White (AME = 0.23) patients, while associations with living in Q5 were approximately equivalent (AME = 0.12). PHPA residency was associated with higher rates of ED utilization among Black/Other (AME = 0.10) and White patients (AME = 0.22).LIMITATIONS Associations should not be interpreted as causal, or be generalized to the larger community without ED utilization. Health system leakage is possible but limited.CONCLUSIONS Residential segregation is associated with higher rates of ED utilization, as are PHPA residency and other individual-level determinants.


Subject(s)
Social Segregation , Systemic Racism , Adult , Cross-Sectional Studies , Emergency Service, Hospital , Humans , North Carolina , Residence Characteristics
4.
N C Med J ; 83(1): 58-66, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34980657

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND Although use of contraceptives has increased among young women in the United States, more than half of pregnancies remain unplanned. The goal of this study was to examine the association between insurance status and receipt of contraceptives among young women receiving care within a large integrated health care system in the Southeastern United States to better inform strategies for increasing access to contraception.METHODS This retrospective study used electronic medical record data from an integrated health care system based in Charlotte, North Carolina. Data were analyzed for 51,900 women aged 18-29 who lived in Mecklenburg County and had at least 1 primary care visit between 2014 and 2016. Contraceptive orders were identified by service and procedure codes and grouped into long-acting reversible contraceptives (LARC) and non-LARC categories. Adjusted multinomial logistic regression models were used to assess the association between receipt of contraceptives and insurance status.RESULTS Compared to non-Hispanic White women with commercial insurance, non-Hispanic Black (OR = 1.25; 95% CI, 1.13-1.38) and Hispanic (OR = 2.25; 95% CI, 1.93-2.61) women with Medicaid had higher odds of receiving LARC. Similar variations by insurance and race/ethnicity were observed for the non-LARC group.LIMITATIONS Data were limited to a single health care system and did not capture contraceptive orders by unaffiliated providers. Analyses used the most frequent payor and did not account for changes in insurance status.CONCLUSION Findings indicate an important role of race/ethnicity and insurance coverage in contraceptive care. Higher receipt of LARC among Black and Hispanic women also suggests that implicit biases may influence contraception counseling and promotion practices. Future study is warranted to further delineate these relationships.


Subject(s)
Contraceptive Agents , Ethnicity , Female , Humans , Insurance Coverage , North Carolina , Pregnancy , Retrospective Studies , United States
5.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34574369

ABSTRACT

Aedes albopictus is a cosmopolitan mosquito species capable of transmitting arboviruses such as dengue, chikungunya, and Zika. To control this and similar species, public and private entities often rely on pyrethroid insecticides. In this study, we screened Ae. albopictus collected from June to August 2017 in Mecklenburg County, a rapidly growing urban area of North Carolina, for mutations conferring pyrethroid resistance and examined spatiotemporal patterns of specimen size as measured by wing length, hypothesizing that size variation could be closely linked to local abundance, making this easily measured trait a useful surveillance proxy. The genetic screening results indicated that pyrethroid resistance alleles are not present in this population, meaning that this population is likely to be susceptible to this commonly used insecticide class. We detected no significant associations between size and abundance-related factors, indicating that wing-size is not a useful proxy for abundance, and thus not useful to surveillance in this capacity. However, mosquitoes collected in June were significantly larger than July or August, which may result from meteorological conditions, suggesting that short-term weather cues may modulate morphological traits, which could then affect local fecundity and virus transmission dynamics, as previously reported.


Subject(s)
Aedes , Insecticides , Pyrethrins , Zika Virus Infection , Zika Virus , Aedes/genetics , Animals , Insecticide Resistance/genetics , Insecticides/pharmacology , Mosquito Vectors/genetics , Mutation
6.
BMC Health Serv Res ; 21(1): 544, 2021 Jun 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34078374

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Sepsis survivors experience high morbidity and mortality, and healthcare systems lack effective strategies to address patient needs after hospital discharge. The Sepsis Transition and Recovery (STAR) program is a navigator-led, telehealth-based multicomponent strategy to provide proactive care coordination and monitoring of high-risk patients using evidence-driven, post-sepsis care tasks. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the effectiveness of STAR to improve outcomes for sepsis patients and to examine contextual factors that influence STAR implementation. METHODS: This study uses a hybrid type I effectiveness-implementation design to concurrently test clinical effectiveness and gather implementation data. The effectiveness evaluation is a two-arm, pragmatic, stepped-wedge cluster randomized controlled trial at eight hospitals in North Carolina comparing clinical outcomes between sepsis survivors who receive Usual Care versus care delivered through STAR. Each hospital begins in a Usual Care control phase and transitions to STAR in a randomly assigned sequence (one every 4 months). During months that a hospital is allocated to Usual Care, all eligible patients will receive usual care. Once a hospital transitions to STAR, all eligible patients will receive STAR during their hospitalization and extending through 90 days from discharge. STAR includes centrally located nurse navigators using telephonic counseling and electronic health record-based support to facilitate best-practice post-sepsis care strategies including post-discharge review of medications, evaluation for new impairments or symptoms, monitoring existing comorbidities, and palliative care referral when appropriate. Adults admitted with suspected sepsis, defined by clinical criteria for infection and organ failure, are included. Planned enrollment is 4032 patients during a 36-month period. The primary effectiveness outcome is the composite of all-cause hospital readmission or mortality within 90 days of discharge. A mixed-methods implementation evaluation will be conducted before, during, and after STAR implementation. DISCUSSION: This pragmatic evaluation will test the effectiveness of STAR to reduce combined hospital readmissions and mortality, while identifying key implementation factors. Results will provide practical information to advance understanding of how to integrate post-sepsis management across care settings and facilitate implementation, dissemination, and sustained utilization of best-practice post-sepsis management strategies in other heterogeneous healthcare delivery systems. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT04495946 . Submitted July 7, 2020; Posted August 3, 2020.


Subject(s)
Sepsis , Survivorship , Adult , Aftercare , Humans , North Carolina/epidemiology , Patient Discharge , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , Sepsis/therapy
7.
AIDS ; 35(Suppl 1): S29-S38, 2021 05 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33867487

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Machine learning has the potential to help researchers better understand and close the gap in HIV care delivery in large metropolitan regions such as Mecklenburg County, North Carolina, USA. OBJECTIVES: We aim to identify important risk factors associated with delayed linkage to care for HIV patients with novel machine learning models and identify high-risk regions of the delay. METHODS: Deidentified 2013-2017 Mecklenburg County surveillance data in eHARS format were requested. Both univariate analyses and machine learning random forest model (developed in R 3.5.0) were applied to quantify associations between delayed linkage to care (>30 days after diagnosis) and various risk factors for individual HIV patients. We also aggregated linkage to care by zip codes to identify high-risk communities within the county. RESULTS: Types of HIV-diagnosing facility significantly influenced time to linkage; first diagnosis in hospital was associated with the shortest time to linkage. HIV patients with lower CD4+ cell counts (<200/ml) were twice as likely to link to care within 30 days than those with higher CD4+ cell count. Random forest model achieved high accuracy (>80% without CD4+ cell count data and >95% with CD4+ cell count data) to predict risk of delay in linkage to care. In addition, we also identified top high-risk zip codes of delayed linkage. CONCLUSION: The findings helped public health teams identify high-risk communities of delayed HIV care continuum across Mecklenburg County. The methodology framework can be applied to other regions with HIV epidemic and challenge of delayed linkage to care.


Subject(s)
HIV Infections , CD4 Lymphocyte Count , Delivery of Health Care , HIV Infections/diagnosis , HIV Infections/drug therapy , Humans , Machine Learning , North Carolina/epidemiology
8.
J Eval Clin Pract ; 27(6): 1271-1280, 2021 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33511747

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Heavy users of the emergency department (ED) are a heterogeneous population. Few studies have captured the social and demographic complexity of patients with the largest burden of ED use. Our objective was to model associations between social and demographic patient characteristics and quantiles of the distributions of ED use, defined as frequent and high-charge. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of electronic health and billing records of 99 637 adults residing in an urban North Carolina county who visited an ED within Atrium Health, a large integrated health care system, in 2017. Mid-quantile and standard quantile regression models were used for count and continuous responses, respectively. Frequent and high-charge use outcomes were defined as the median (0.50) and upper quantiles (0.75, 0.95, 0.99) of the outcome distributions for total billed ED visits and associated charges during the study period. Patient characteristic predictors were: insurance coverage (Medicaid, Medicare, private, uninsured), total visits to ambulatory care during the study period (0, 1, >1), and patient demographics: age, gender, race, ethnicity, and living in an underprivileged community called a public health priority area (PHPA). RESULTS: Results showed heterogeneous relationships that were stronger at higher quantiles. Having Medicaid or Medicare insurance was positively associated with ED visits and ED charges at most quantiles. Racial and geographic disparities were observed. Black patients had more ED visits and lower ED charges than their White counterparts at most quantiles of the outcome distributions. Patients living in PHPAs, had lower charges than their counterparts at the median but higher charges at the 0.95 and 0.99 quantiles. CONCLUSIONS: The relationships between patient characteristics and frequent and high-charge use of the ED vary based on the level of use. These findings can be used to inform targeted interventions, tailored policy, and population health management initiatives.


Subject(s)
Emergency Service, Hospital , Medicare , Adult , Aged , Cross-Sectional Studies , Ethnicity , Humans , Medicaid , United States
9.
Am J Emerg Med ; 46: 225-232, 2021 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33071099

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To examine whether and how avoidable emergency department (ED) utilization is associated with ambulatory or primary care (APC) utilization, insurance, and interaction effects. DESIGN AND SAMPLE: A cross-sectional analysis of electronic health records from 70,870 adults residing in Mecklenburg County, North Carolina, who visited an ED within a large integrated healthcare system in 2017. METHODS: APC utilization was measured as total visits, categorized as: 0, 1, and > 1. Insurance was defined as the method of payment for the ED visit as: Medicaid, Medicare, private, or uninsured. Avoidable ED utilization was quantified as a score (aED), calculated as the sum of New York University Algorithm probabilities multiplied by 100. Quantile regression models were used to predict the 25th, 50th, 75th, 95th, and 99th percentiles of avoidable ED scores with APC visits and insurance as predictors (Model 1) and with an interaction term (Model 2). RESULTS: Having >1 APC visit was negatively associated with aED at the lower percentiles and positively associated at higher percentiles. A higher aED was associated with having Medicaid insurance and a lower aED was associated with having private insurance, compared to being uninsured. In stratified models, having >1 APC visit was negatively associated with aED at the 25th percentile for the uninsured and privately insured, but positively associated with aED at higher percentiles among the uninsured, Medicaid-insured, and privately insured. CONCLUSIONS: The association between APC utilization and avoidable ED utilization varied based on segments of the distribution of ED score and differed significantly by insurance type.


Subject(s)
Ambulatory Care/statistics & numerical data , Emergency Service, Hospital/statistics & numerical data , Insurance, Health/statistics & numerical data , Adult , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Humans , Insurance Coverage/statistics & numerical data , Male , Middle Aged , North Carolina , Utilization Review
10.
PLoS One ; 15(10): e0238186, 2020.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33057348

ABSTRACT

Mathematical models are powerful tools to investigate, simulate, and evaluate potential interventions for infectious diseases dynamics. Much effort has focused on the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR)-type compartment models. These models consider host populations and measure change of each compartment. In this study, we propose an alternative patch dynamic modeling framework from pathogens' perspective. Each patch, the basic module of this modeling framework, has four standard mechanisms of pathogen population size change: birth (replication), death, inflow, and outflow. This framework naturally distinguishes between-host transmission process (inflow and outflow) and within-host infection process (replication) during the entire transmission-infection cycle. We demonstrate that the SIR-type model is actually a special cross-sectional and discretized case of our patch dynamics model in pathogens' viewpoint. In addition, this patch dynamics modeling framework is also an agent-based model from hosts' perspective by incorporating individual host's specific traits. We provide an operational standard to formulate this modular-designed patch dynamics model. Model parameterization is feasible with a wide range of sources, including genomics data, surveillance data, electronic health record, and from other emerging technologies such as multiomics. We then provide two proof-of-concept case studies to tackle some of the existing challenges of SIR-type models: sexually transmitted disease and healthcare acquired infections. This patch dynamics modeling framework not only provides theoretical explanations to known phenomena, but also generates novel insights of disease dynamics from a more holistic viewpoint. It is also able to simulate and handle more complicated scenarios across biological scales such as the current COVID-19 pandemic.


Subject(s)
Communicable Diseases/epidemiology , Disease Transmission, Infectious/statistics & numerical data , Models, Theoretical , Bacterial Infections/epidemiology , Bacterial Infections/microbiology , Bacterial Infections/transmission , COVID-19 , Communicable Diseases/transmission , Coronavirus Infections/epidemiology , Coronavirus Infections/transmission , Coronavirus Infections/virology , Humans , Pandemics , Pneumonia, Viral/epidemiology , Pneumonia, Viral/transmission , Pneumonia, Viral/virology
11.
J Am Med Inform Assoc ; 27(11): 1741-1746, 2020 11 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32940684

ABSTRACT

Building Uplifted Families (BUF) is a cross-sector community initiative to improve health and economic disparities in Charlotte, North Carolina. A formative evaluation strategy was used to support iterative process improvement and collaborative engagement of cross-sector partners. To address challenges with electronic data collection through REDCap Cloud, we developed the BUF Rapid Dissemination (BUF-RD) model, a multistage data governance system supplemented by open-source technologies, such as: Stage 1) data collection; Stage 2) data integration and analysis; and Stage 3) dissemination. In Stage 3, results were disseminated through an interactive dashboard developed in RStudio using RShiny and Shiny Server solutions. The BUF-RD model was successfully deployed in a 6-month beta test to reduce the time lapse between data collection and dissemination from 3 months to 2 weeks. Having up-to-date preliminary results led to improved BUF implementation, enhanced stakeholder engagement, and greater responsiveness and alignment of program resources to specific participant needs.


Subject(s)
Cloud Computing , Community Health Services/organization & administration , Data Management , Information Dissemination/methods , Stakeholder Participation , Data Collection , Databases, Factual , Humans , North Carolina , Ownership , Pilot Projects , Social Determinants of Health , Software
12.
Open Forum Infect Dis ; 7(8): ofaa333, 2020 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32851113

ABSTRACT

Mathematical models are critical tools to characterize COVID-19 dynamics and take action accordingly. We identified 4 major challenges associated with the current modeling paradigm (SEIR) that hinder the efforts to accurately characterize the emerging COVID-19 and future epidemics. These challenges included (1) lack of consistent definition of "case"; (2) discrepancy between patient-level clinical insights and population-level modeling efforts; (3) lack of adequate inclusion of individual behavioral and social influence; and (4) allowing little flexibility of including new evidence and insights when our knowledge evolved rapidly during the pandemic. Therefore, these challenges made the current SEIR modeling paradigm less practical to handle the complex COVID-19 and future pandemics. Novel and more reliable data sources and alternative modeling paradigms are needed to address these issues.

13.
Popul Health Manag ; 23(4): 278-285, 2020 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31765271

ABSTRACT

Patient transitions from inpatient to home care are an important area of focus for reducing costly unplanned hospital readmissions. In rural settings, the challenge of reducing unplanned readmissions is amplified by limited access to both ambulatory and acute care as well as high levels of social disadvantage. In addition, there is a scarcity of evidence regarding strategies that have been proven to improve care transitions and related patient outcomes in this setting. This paper describes the process for implementation and results of a telephone-based transitional care management (TCM) program designed to reduce readmissions for patients with diabetes in a rural hospital in Scotland County, North Carolina. Data were collected from July 2016 to January 2019 using billing records to identify adult patients with high or very high risk of readmission based on length of stay, acuity, comorbidity, and emergency department visits (LACE) scores. Care managers contacted eligible patients by phone after discharge to review discharge instructions, assess need for home health services and transportation assistance, and schedule primary care follow-up visits. Overall, 13.8% of 15,271 discharges were targeted for TCM; 68.2% of these involved a patient with diabetes. The post-intervention 30-day readmission rate was 18.0% among patients identified as high or very high risk versus 8.8% among the overall population and did not differ significantly between TCM participants with diabetes and those without (22.9% vs.18.8%; P = 0.525). Findings highlight challenges with implementing transition of care interventions in rural settings, which include staffing, patient volume, and accessing data from out-of-network providers.


Subject(s)
Diabetes Mellitus , Hospitals, Rural , Transitional Care , Aged , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiology , Diabetes Mellitus/therapy , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , North Carolina , Patient Readmission , Risk Assessment
14.
J Obstet Gynecol Neonatal Nurs ; 49(1): 27-40, 2020 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31790646

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To examine the relationships among participants' demographic, social, and health characteristics and positive screening scores for symptoms of postpartum depression (PPD); to examine the feasibility of referring to a case management program women with symptoms of PPD who are accessing Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children (WIC) services; and to identify barriers to screening and treatment programs for women with symptoms of PPD. DESIGN: Descriptive, cross-sectional study followed by a process evaluation. SETTING: Two WIC clinics in a large southeastern U.S. city. PARTICIPANTS: One group (n = 302) included women with infants younger than 12 months who were screened for symptoms of PPD. The second group (n = 31) included case managers (n = 7), nutritionists (n = 12), advisory board members (n = 7), and student volunteers (n = 5) who participated in focus groups. METHODS: We conducted an initial screening of women for symptoms of PPD using the two-item Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ-2). Participants with scores of 2 or greater (n = 73) were asked to complete the nine-item PHQ (PHQ-9) and the Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale. Participants were referred for case management services if they scored 10 or greater on the PHQ-9 or Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale (n = 29) and agreed to the referral (n = 19). We transcribed and analyzed the qualitative data recorded during focus groups. RESULTS: Participants with no health insurance and limited support in caring for their infants were more likely to report symptoms of PPD. Overall, 302 women were screened for PPD, indicating the feasibility of PPD screening in WIC clinics. Of the 19 participants referred to case management, 47% (n = 9) accessed care. The results of focus groups illuminated barriers to screening and treatment programs for women at the individual, local, and macrosystem levels. CONCLUSION: Our findings show the feasibility of PPD screening in WIC clinics. However, some participants did not receive mental health services after referral because of various barriers, which highlights the need to integrate mental health providers into WIC clinics.


Subject(s)
Depression, Postpartum/diagnosis , Food Assistance/trends , Mass Screening/methods , Referral and Consultation/trends , Adult , Ambulatory Care Facilities/organization & administration , Depression, Postpartum/psychology , Female , Food Assistance/organization & administration , Humans , Mass Screening/trends
15.
N C Med J ; 80(4): 214-218, 2019.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31278180

ABSTRACT

The health care industry collects ever-increasing volumes of patient data. Currently, this largely untapped "big data" primarily documents encounters and facilitates billing. This issue of the North Carolina Medical Journal explores the promise and the perils of big data as we seek to transform our health care system into one that is more proactive, equitable, and value based.


Subject(s)
Data Science , Delivery of Health Care , Health Care Sector , Humans , North Carolina
16.
Sci Rep ; 9(1): 1694, 2019 02 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30737423

ABSTRACT

Metapopulation models have been primarily explored in infectious disease epidemiology to study host subpopulation movements and between-host contact structures. They also have the potential to investigate environmental pathogen transferring. In this study, we demonstrate that metapopulation models serve as an ideal modeling framework to characterize and quantify pathogen transfer between environment and hosts. It therefore unifies host, pathogen, and environment, collectively known as the epidemiological triad, a fundamental concept in epidemiology. We develop a customizable and generalized pathogen-transferring model where pathogens dwell in and transferring (via contact) between environment and hosts. We analyze three specific case studies: pure pathogen transferring without pathogen demography, source-sink dynamics, and pathogen control via external disinfection. We demonstrate how pathogens circulate in the system between environment and hosts, as well as evaluate different controlling efforts for healthcare-associated infections (HAIs). For pure pathogen transferring, system equilibria can be derived analytically to explicitly quantify long-term pathogen distribution in the system. For source-sink dynamics and pathogen control via disinfection, we demonstrate that complete eradication of pathogens can be achieved, but the rates of converging to system equilibria differ based on specific model parameterization. Direct host-host pathogen transferring and within-host dynamics can be future directions of this modeling framework by adding specific modules.


Subject(s)
Cross Infection/prevention & control , Cross Infection/transmission , Algorithms , Disinfection , Host-Pathogen Interactions , Humans , Models, Biological , Population Dynamics
17.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30301172

ABSTRACT

Climate change, urbanization, and globalization have facilitated the spread of Aedes mosquitoes into regions that were previously unsuitable, causing an increased threat of arbovirus transmission on a global scale. While numerous studies have addressed the urban ecology of Ae. albopictus, few have accounted for socioeconomic factors that affect their range in urban regions. Here we introduce an original sampling design for Ae. albopictus, that uses a spatial optimization process to identify urban collection sites based on both geographic parameters as well as the gradient of socioeconomic variables present in Mecklenburg County, North Carolina, encompassing the city of Charlotte, a rapidly growing urban environment. We collected 3,645 specimens of Ae. albopictus (87% of total samples) across 12 weeks at the 90 optimized site locations and modelled the relationships between the abundance of gravid Ae. albopictus and a variety of neighborhood socioeconomic attributes as well as land cover characteristics. Our results demonstrate that the abundance of gravid Ae. albopictus is inversely related to the socioeconomic status of the neighborhood and directly related to both landscape heterogeneity as well as proportions of particular resident races/ethnicities. We present our results alongside a description of our novel sampling scheme and its usefulness as an approach to urban vector epidemiology. Additionally, we supply recommendations for future investigations into the socioeconomic determinants of vector-borne disease risk.


Subject(s)
Aedes , Animal Distribution , Mosquito Vectors , Urbanization , Animals , Arboviruses , Cities , Climate Change , Female , North Carolina , Socioeconomic Factors
19.
JMIR Mhealth Uhealth ; 6(3): e68, 2018 Mar 22.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29567637

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Asthma is a highly prevalent, chronic disease with significant morbidity, cost, and disparities in health outcomes. While adherence to asthma treatment guidelines can improve symptoms and decrease exacerbations, most patients receive care that is not guideline-based. New approaches that incorporate shared decision-making (SDM) and health information technology (IT) are needed to positively impact asthma management. Despite the promise of health IT to improve efficiency and outcomes in health care, new IT solutions frequently suffer from a lack of widespread adoption and do not achieve desired results, as a consequence of not involving end-users in design. OBJECTIVE: To describe a case study of a pediatric asthma SDM health IT solution's development and demonstrate a methodology for engaging actual patients and families in IT development. Perspectives are shared from the vantage point of the research team and a parent of a child with asthma, who participated on the development team. METHODS: We adapted user-centric design principles to engage actual users across three main development phases: project initiation, ideation, and usability testing. To facilitate the necessary level of user engagement, our approach included: (1) a Development Workgroup consisting of patients, caregivers, and providers who met regularly with the research team; and (2) "real-world users" consisting of patients, caregivers, and providers recruited from a variety of care locations, including safety-net clinics. RESULTS: Using this methodology, we successful partnered with asthma patients and families to create an interactive, digital solution called Carolinas Asthma Coach. Carolinas Asthma Coach incorporates SDM principles to elicit patient information, including goals and preferences, and provides health-literate, tailored education with specific guideline-based recommendations for patients and their providers. Of the patients, caregivers, and providers surveyed, 100% (n=60) said they would recommend Carolinas Asthma Coach to a friend or colleague. Qualitative feedback from users provided support for the usability and engaging nature of the app. CONCLUSIONS: This project demonstrates the feasibility and benefits of deploying user-centric design methods that engage real patients and caregivers throughout the health IT design process.

20.
J Prim Prev ; 39(2): 171-190, 2018 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29484532

ABSTRACT

Hispanic immigrant communities across the U.S. experience persistent health disparities and barriers to primary care. We examined whether community-based participatory research (CBPR) and geospatial modeling could systematically and reproducibly pinpoint neighborhoods in Charlotte, North Carolina with large proportions of Hispanic immigrants who were at-risk for poor health outcomes and health disparities. Using a CBPR framework, we identified 21 social determinants of health measures and developed a geospatial model from a subset of those measures to identify neighborhoods with large proportions of Hispanic immigrant populations at risk for poor health outcomes. The geospatial model included four measures-poverty, English ability, acculturation and violent crime-which comprised our Hispanic Health Risk Index (HHRI). We developed a Primary Care Barrier Index (PCBI) to determine (1) how well the HHRI correlated with a statistically derived composite measure incorporating all 21 measures identified through the CBPR process as being associated with access to primary care; (2) whether the HHRI predicted primary care access as well as the statistically-derived composite measure in a statistical model; and (3) whether the HHRI identified similar neighborhoods as the statistically derived composite measure. We collapsed 17 of the 21 social determinants using principal components analysis to develop the PCBI. We determined the correlation of each index with inappropriate emergency department (ED) visits, a proxy for primary care access, using logistic generalized estimating equations. Results from logistic regression models showed positive associations of both the HHRI and the PCBI with the use of the ED for primary care treatable conditions. Enhanced by the knowledge of the local community, the CBPR process with geospatial modeling can guide the multi-tiered validation of social determinants of health and identify neighborhoods that are at-risk for poor health outcomes and health disparities.


Subject(s)
Community-Based Participatory Research , Health Services Accessibility , Health Services Needs and Demand/statistics & numerical data , Healthcare Disparities , Hispanic or Latino/statistics & numerical data , Primary Health Care/statistics & numerical data , Quality Improvement , Social Determinants of Health , Computer Simulation , Humans , North Carolina , Reproducibility of Results , Vulnerable Populations
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