Balanced Hodge Laplacians optimize consensus dynamics over simplicial complexes.

Despite the vast literature on network dynamics, we still lack basic insights into dynamics on higher-order structures (e.g., edges, triangles, and more generally, k-dimensional "simplices") and how they are influenced through higher-order interactions. A prime example lies in neuroscience where groups of neurons (not individual ones) may provide building blocks for neurocomputation. Here, we study consensus dynamics on edges in simplicial complexes using a type of Laplacian matrix called a Hodge Laplacian, which we generalize to allow higher- and lower-order interactions to have different strengths. Using techniques from algebraic topology, we study how collective dynamics converge to a low-dimensional subspace that corresponds to the homology space of the simplicial complex. We use the Hodge decomposition to show that higher- and lower-order interactions can be optimally balanced to maximally accelerate convergence and that this optimum coincides with a balancing of dynamics on the curl and gradient subspaces. We additionally explore the effects of network topology, finding that consensus over edges is accelerated when two-simplices are well dispersed, as opposed to clustered together.

Machine learning for the New York City power grid.

Power companies can benefit from the use of knowledge discovery methods and statistical machine learning for preventive maintenance. We introduce a general process for transforming historical electrical grid data into models that aim to predict the risk of failures for components and systems. These models can be used directly by power companies to assist with prioritization of maintenance and repair work. Specialized versions of this process are used to produce 1) feeder failure rankings, 2) cable, joint, terminator, and transformer rankings, 3) feeder Mean Time Between Failure (MTBF) estimates, and 4) manhole events vulnerability rankings. The process in its most general form can handle diverse, noisy, sources that are historical (static), semi-real-time, or realtime, incorporates state-of-the-art machine learning algorithms for prioritization (supervised ranking or MTBF), and includes an evaluation of results via cross-validation and blind test. Above and beyond the ranked lists and MTBF estimates are business management interfaces that allow the prediction capability to be integrated directly into corporate planning and decision support; such interfaces rely on several important properties of our general modeling approach: that machine learning features are meaningful to domain experts, that the processing of data is transparent, and that prediction results are accurate enough to support sound decision making. We discuss the challenges in working with historical electrical grid data that were not designed for predictive purposes. The "rawness" of these data contrasts with the accuracy of the statistical models that can be obtained from the process; these models are sufficiently accurate to assist in maintaining New York City's electrical grid.