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1.
Biol Psychiatry ; 2024 May 30.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38823495

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Chronic low-grade inflammation is observed across mental disorders and is associated with difficult-to-treat-symptoms of anhedonia and functional brain changes - reflecting a potential transdiagnostic dimension. Previous investigations have focused on distinct illness categories in those with enduring illness, with few exploring inflammatory changes. We sought to identify an inflammatory signal and associated brain function underlying anhedonia among young people with recent onset psychosis (ROP) and recent onset depression (ROD). METHOD: Resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging, inflammatory markers, and anhedonia symptoms were collected from N=108 (M age=26.2[SD 6.2]years; Female =50) participants with ROP (n=53) and ROD (n=55) from the EU-FP7-funded PRONIA study. Time-series were extracted using the Schaefer atlas, defining 100 cortical regions of interest. Using advanced multimodal machine learning, an inflammatory marker model and functional connectivity model were developed to classify an anhedonic group, compared to a normal hedonic group. RESULTS: A repeated nested cross-validation model using inflammatory markers classified normal hedonic and anhedonic ROP/ROD groups with a balanced accuracy (BAC) of 63.9%, and an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.61. The functional connectivity model produced a BAC of 55.2% and an AUC of 0.57. Anhedonic group assignment was driven by higher levels of Interleukin-6, S100B, and Interleukin-1 receptor antagonist, and lower levels of Interferon gamma, in addition to connectivity within the precuneus and posterior cingulate. CONCLUSION: We identified a potential transdiagnostic anhedonic subtype that was accounted for by an inflammatory profile and functional connectivity. Results have implications for anhedonia as an emerging transdiagnostic target across emerging mental disorders.

2.
Res Sq ; 2024 Mar 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38559014

ABSTRACT

Symptom heterogeneity characterizes psychotic disorders and hinders the delineation of underlying biomarkers. Here, we identify symptom-based subtypes of recent-onset psychosis (ROP) patients from the multi-center PRONIA (Personalized Prognostic Tools for Early Psychosis Management) database and explore their multimodal biological and functional signatures. We clustered N = 328 ROP patients based on their maximum factor scores in an exploratory factor analysis on the Positive and Negative Syndrome Scale items. We assessed inter-subgroup differences and compared to N = 464 healthy control (HC) individuals regarding gray matter volume (GMV), neurocognition, polygenic risk scores, and longitudinal functioning trajectories. Finally, we evaluated factor stability at 9- and 18-month follow-ups. A 4-factor solution optimally explained symptom heterogeneity, showing moderate longitudinal stability. The ROP-MOTCOG (Motor/Cognition) subgroup was characterized by GMV reductions within salience, control and default mode networks, predominantly throughout cingulate regions, relative to HC individuals, had the most impaired neurocognition and the highest genetic liability for schizophrenia. ROP-SOCWD (Social Withdrawal) patients showed GMV reductions within medial fronto-temporal regions of the control, default mode, and salience networks, and had the lowest social functioning across time points. ROP-POS (Positive) evidenced GMV decreases in salience, limbic and frontal regions of the control and default mode networks. The ROP-AFF (Affective) subgroup showed GMV reductions in the salience, limbic, and posterior default-mode and control networks, thalamus and cerebellum. GMV reductions in fronto-temporal regions of the salience and control networks were shared across subgroups. Our results highlight the existence of behavioral subgroups with distinct neurobiological and functional profiles in early psychosis, emphasizing the need for refined symptom-based diagnosis and prognosis frameworks.

3.
Pathology ; 2024 Apr 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38670916

ABSTRACT

Forecasting COVID-19 waves helps with public health planning and resource allocation. Cycle threshold (Ct) values obtained from positive SARS-CoV-2 nucleic acid amplification test (NAAT) results offer limited value for individual patient management, but real-time analysis of temporal trends of aggregated Ct values may provide helpful information to predict the trajectories of COVID-19 waves in the community. Ct value trends on 59,609 SARS-CoV-2 NAAT-positive results from 574,403 tests using a single testing assay system, between September 2021 and January 2023, were examined to monitor the trend of the proportion of positive NAAT with lower Ct values (≤28) in relation to changing COVID-19 case numbers over time. We applied regression with autoregressive integrated moving average errors modelling approach to study the relation between Ct values and case counts. We also developed an insight product to monitor the temporal trends with Ct values obtained from SARS-CoV-2 NAAT-positive results. In this study, the proportion of lower Ct values preceded by a range of 7-32 days the rising population COVID-19 testing rate reflecting onset of a COVID-19 wave. Monitoring population Ct values may assist in predicting increased disease activity.

4.
Transl Psychiatry ; 14(1): 196, 2024 Apr 25.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38664377

ABSTRACT

The response variability to repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS) challenges the effective use of this treatment option in patients with schizophrenia. This variability may be deciphered by leveraging predictive information in structural MRI, clinical, sociodemographic, and genetic data using artificial intelligence. We developed and cross-validated rTMS response prediction models in patients with schizophrenia drawn from the multisite RESIS trial. The models incorporated pre-treatment sMRI, clinical, sociodemographic, and polygenic risk score (PRS) data. Patients were randomly assigned to receive active (N = 45) or sham (N = 47) rTMS treatment. The prediction target was individual response, defined as ≥20% reduction in pre-treatment negative symptom sum scores of the Positive and Negative Syndrome Scale. Our multimodal sequential prediction workflow achieved a balanced accuracy (BAC) of 94% (non-responders: 92%, responders: 95%) in the active-treated group and 50% in the sham-treated group. The clinical, clinical + PRS, and sMRI-based classifiers yielded BACs of 65%, 76%, and 80%, respectively. Apparent sadness, inability to feel, educational attainment PRS, and unemployment were most predictive of non-response in the clinical + PRS model, while grey matter density reductions in the default mode, limbic networks, and the cerebellum were most predictive in the sMRI model. Our sequential modelling approach provided superior predictive performance while minimising the diagnostic burden in the clinical setting. Predictive patterns suggest that rTMS responders may have higher levels of brain grey matter in the default mode and salience networks which increases their likelihood of profiting from plasticity-inducing brain stimulation methods, such as rTMS. The future clinical implementation of our models requires findings to be replicated at the international scale using stratified clinical trial designs.


Subject(s)
Machine Learning , Magnetic Resonance Imaging , Schizophrenia , Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation , Humans , Schizophrenia/therapy , Schizophrenia/diagnostic imaging , Schizophrenia/physiopathology , Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation/methods , Female , Male , Adult , Workflow , Treatment Outcome , Middle Aged , Young Adult
5.
Lancet Psychiatry ; 11(6): 461-471, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38643773

ABSTRACT

Globally, 75% of depressive, bipolar, and psychotic disorders emerge by age 25 years. However, these disorders are often preceded by non-specific symptoms or attenuated clinical syndromes. Difficulties in determining optimal treatment interventions for these emerging mental disorders, and uncertainties about accounting for co-occurring psychopathology and illness trajectories, have led many youth mental health services to adopt transdiagnostic clinical staging frameworks. In this Health Policy paper, an international working group highlights ongoing challenges in applying transdiagnostic staging frameworks in clinical research and practice, and proposes refinements to the transdiagnostic model to enhance its reliability, consistent recording, and clinical utility. We introduce the concept of within-stage heterogeneity and describe the advantages of defining stage in terms of clinical psychopathology and stage modifiers. Using examples from medicine, we discuss the utility of categorising stage modifiers into factors associated with progression (ie, potential predictors of stage transition) and extension (ie, factors associated with the current presentation that add complexity to treatment selection). Lastly, we suggest how it is possible to revise the currently used transdiagnostic staging approach to incorporate these key concepts, and how the revised framework could be applied in clinical and research practice.


Subject(s)
Mental Disorders , Humans , Adolescent , Mental Disorders/therapy , Mental Disorders/diagnosis , Reproducibility of Results , Young Adult , Mental Health Services/standards , Mental Health , Disease Progression , Adult
6.
Schizophr Bull ; 50(3): 496-512, 2024 Apr 30.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38451304

ABSTRACT

This article describes the rationale, aims, and methodology of the Accelerating Medicines Partnership® Schizophrenia (AMP® SCZ). This is the largest international collaboration to date that will develop algorithms to predict trajectories and outcomes of individuals at clinical high risk (CHR) for psychosis and to advance the development and use of novel pharmacological interventions for CHR individuals. We present a description of the participating research networks and the data processing analysis and coordination center, their processes for data harmonization across 43 sites from 13 participating countries (recruitment across North America, Australia, Europe, Asia, and South America), data flow and quality assessment processes, data analyses, and the transfer of data to the National Institute of Mental Health (NIMH) Data Archive (NDA) for use by the research community. In an expected sample of approximately 2000 CHR individuals and 640 matched healthy controls, AMP SCZ will collect clinical, environmental, and cognitive data along with multimodal biomarkers, including neuroimaging, electrophysiology, fluid biospecimens, speech and facial expression samples, novel measures derived from digital health technologies including smartphone-based daily surveys, and passive sensing as well as actigraphy. The study will investigate a range of clinical outcomes over a 2-year period, including transition to psychosis, remission or persistence of CHR status, attenuated positive symptoms, persistent negative symptoms, mood and anxiety symptoms, and psychosocial functioning. The global reach of AMP SCZ and its harmonized innovative methods promise to catalyze the development of new treatments to address critical unmet clinical and public health needs in CHR individuals.


Subject(s)
Psychotic Disorders , Schizophrenia , Humans , Prospective Studies , Adult , Prodromal Symptoms , Young Adult , International Cooperation , Adolescent , Research Design/standards , Male , Female
7.
Neurobiol Learn Mem ; 211: 107915, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38527649

ABSTRACT

Rat autoshaping procedures generate two readily measurable conditioned responses: During lever presentations that have previously signaled food, rats approach the food well (called goal-tracking) and interact with the lever itself (called sign-tracking). We investigated how reinforced and nonreinforced trials affect the overall and temporal distributions of these two responses across 10-second lever presentations. In two experiments, reinforced trials generated more goal-tracking than sign-tracking, and nonreinforced trials resulted in a larger reduction in goal-tracking than sign-tracking. The effect of reinforced trials was evident as an increase in goal-tracking and reduction in sign-tracking across the duration of the lever presentations, and nonreinforced trials resulted in this pattern transiently reversing and then becoming less evident with further training. These dissociations are consistent with a recent elaboration of the Rescorla-Wagner model, HeiDI (Honey, R.C., Dwyer, D.M., & Iliescu, A.F. (2020a). HeiDI: A model for Pavlovian learning and performance with reciprocal associations. Psychological Review, 127, 829-852.), a model in which responses related to the nature of the unconditioned stimulus (e.g., goal-tracking) have a different origin than those related to the nature of the conditioned stimulus (e.g., sign-tracking).


Subject(s)
Conditioning, Classical , Reinforcement, Psychology , Animals , Male , Rats , Conditioning, Classical/physiology , Conditioning, Operant/physiology , Goals , Behavior, Animal/physiology
8.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38461964

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Psychosis and depression patients exhibit widespread neurobiological abnormalities. The analysis of dynamic functional connectivity (dFC), allows for the detection of changes in complex brain activity patterns, providing insights into common and unique processes underlying these disorders. METHODS: In the present study, we report the analysis of dFC in a large patient sample including 127 clinical high-risk patients (CHR), 142 recent-onset psychosis (ROP) patients, 134 recent-onset depression (ROD) patients, and 256 healthy controls (HC). A sliding window-based technique was used to calculate the time-dependent FC in resting-state MRI data, followed by clustering to reveal recurrent FC states in each diagnostic group. RESULTS: We identified five unique FC states, which could be identified in all groups with high consistency (rmean = 0.889, sd = 0.116). Analysis of dynamic parameters of these states showed a characteristic increase in the lifetime and frequency of a weakly-connected FC state in ROD patients (p < 0.0005) compared to most other groups, and a common increase in the lifetime of a FC state characterised by high sensorimotor and cingulo-opercular connectivities in all patient groups compared to the HC group (p < 0.0002). Canonical correlation analysis revealed a mode which exhibited significant correlations between dFC parameters and clinical variables (r = 0.617, p < 0.0029), which was associated with positive psychosis symptom severity and several dFC parameters. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate diagnosis-specific alterations of dFC and underline the potential of dynamic analysis to characterize disorders such as depression, psychosis and clinical risk states.

9.
BMJ Open ; 14(2): e075569, 2024 02 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38326269

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Japanese encephalitis virus (JEV) is a mosquito-borne flavivirus that causes encephalitis and other morbidity in Southeast Asia. Since February 2022, geographically dispersed JEV human, animal and vector detections occurred on the Australian mainland for the first time. This study will determine the prevalence of JEV-specific antibodies in human blood with a focus on populations at high risk of JEV exposure and determine risk factors associated with JEV seropositivity by location, age, occupation and other factors. METHOD: Samples are collected using two approaches: from routine blood donors (4153 samples), and active collections targeting high-risk populations (convenience sampling). Consent-based sampling for the latter includes a participant questionnaire on demographic, vaccination and exposure data. Samples are tested for JEV-specific total antibody using a defined epitope-blocking ELISA, and total antibody to Australian endemic flaviviruses Murray Valley encephalitis and Kunjin viruses. ANALYSIS: Two analytic approaches will occur: descriptive estimates of seroprevalence and multivariable logistic regression using Bayesian hierarchical models. Descriptive analyses will include unadjusted analysis of raw data with exclusions for JEV-endemic country of birth, travel to JEV-endemic countries, prior JEV-vaccination, and sex-standardised and age-standardised analyses. Multivariable logistic regression will determine which risk factors are associated with JEV seropositivity likely due to recent transmission within Australia and the relative contribution of each factor when accounting for effects within the model. ETHICS: National Mutual Acceptance ethical approval was obtained from the Sydney Children's Hospitals Network Human Research Ethics Committee (HREC). Local approvals were sought in each jurisdiction. Ethical approval was also obtained from the Australian Red Cross Lifeblood HREC. DISSEMINATION: Findings will be communicated to participants and their communities, and human and animal health stakeholders and policy-makers iteratively and after final analyses. Understanding human infection rates will inform procurement and targeted allocation of limited JEV vaccine, and public health strategies and communication campaigns, to at-risk populations.


Subject(s)
Encephalitis Virus, Japanese , Encephalitis, Japanese , Humans , Animals , Child , Encephalitis, Japanese/epidemiology , Encephalitis, Japanese/prevention & control , Cross-Sectional Studies , Seroepidemiologic Studies , Bayes Theorem , Australia/epidemiology , Antibodies, Viral
11.
Psychiatry Res ; 333: 115745, 2024 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38271886

ABSTRACT

A set of clinical criteria, the Clinical High At-Risk Mental State (CHARMS) criteria, have been developed to identify symptomatic young people who are at-risk of disorder progression. The current study aimed to validate the CHARMS criteria by testing whether they prospectively identify individuals at-risk of progressing from attenuated symptomatology to a first episode of serious mental disorder, namely first episode psychosis, first episode mania, severe major depression, and borderline personality disorder. 121 young people completed clinical evaluations at baseline, 6- and 12-month follow-up. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to assess transition rates. Cox regression and LASSO were used to examine baseline clinical predictors of transition. Linear mixed effects modelling was used to examine symptom severity. 28 % of CHARMS+ individuals transitioned to a Stage 2 disorder by 12-month follow-up. The CHARMS+ group had more severe symptoms at follow-up than the CHARMS- group. 96 % of Stage 2 transitions were initially to severe depression. Meeting criteria for multiple CHARMS subgroups was associated with higher transition risk: meeting one at-risk group = 24 %; meeting two at-risk groups = 17 %, meeting three at-risk groups = 55 %, meeting four at-risk groups = 50 %. The strongest baseline predictor of transition was severity of depressive symptoms. The CHARMS criteria identified a group of individuals at-risk of imminent onset of severe mental disorder, particularly severe depression. Larger scale studies and longer follow-up periods are required to validate and extend these findings.


Subject(s)
Borderline Personality Disorder , Depressive Disorder, Major , Psychotic Disorders , Humans , Adolescent , Psychotic Disorders/diagnosis , Depressive Disorder, Major/diagnosis , Borderline Personality Disorder/diagnosis , Mania
12.
J Med Virol ; 96(1): e29407, 2024 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38240403

ABSTRACT

In response to the emergence of the monkeypox virus (MPXV) in Australia in May 2022, we developed and evaluated indirect immunofluorescence assays (IFA) for MPXV and Vaccinia virus (VACV) IgG and IgM antibodies using serum samples from patients with nucleic acid amplification test (NAAT)-confirmed mpox and uninfected unvaccinated controls. Additionally, 47 healthcare workers receiving two doses of the third-generation smallpox vaccine Modified Vaccinia Ankara-Bavarian Nordic (MVA-BN) undertook serial serum collection to describe the serological response to vaccination. MPXV antibodies were detected in 16/18 individuals with NAAT-confirmed mpox (sensitivity 0.89, specificity 1.00), and VACV antibodies were detected in 28/29 individuals who received two doses of MVA-BN vaccine (sensitivity 0.97, specificity 1.00). Detectable antibody in subjects historically vaccinated with early-generation vaccines against smallpox was found in 7/7 subjects, at a median of 48 years following vaccination. MPXV NAAT-positive patients with serum samples collected within the first 14 days after rash onset had detectable IgG and IgM in 9/12 and 5/12 of patients, respectively, with maintenance of IgG and disappearance of IgM titers after 60 days. While specificity was high when testing unvaccinated and uninfected subjects, significant cross-reactivity between MPXV and VACV antibodies was observed.


Subject(s)
Mpox (monkeypox) , Smallpox Vaccine , Vaccinia , Humans , Vaccinia virus , Mpox (monkeypox)/epidemiology , Mpox (monkeypox)/prevention & control , Antibody Formation , Australia/epidemiology , Antibodies, Viral , Monkeypox virus , Immunoglobulin M , Immunoglobulin G , Vaccines, Attenuated
13.
Mol Psychiatry ; 2024 Jan 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38200290

ABSTRACT

This review describes the Hierarchical Taxonomy of Psychopathology (HiTOP) model of psychosis-related psychopathology, the psychosis superspectrum. The HiTOP psychosis superspectrum was developed to address shortcomings of traditional diagnoses for psychotic disorders and related conditions including low reliability, arbitrary boundaries between psychopathology and normality, high symptom co-occurrence, and heterogeneity within diagnostic categories. The psychosis superspectrum is a transdiagnostic dimensional model comprising two spectra-psychoticism and detachment-which are in turn broken down into fourteen narrow components, and two auxiliary domains-cognition and functional impairment. The structure of the spectra and their components are shown to parallel the genetic structure of psychosis and related traits. Psychoticism and detachment have distinct patterns of association with urbanicity, migrant and ethnic minority status, childhood adversity, and cannabis use. The superspectrum also provides a useful model for describing the emergence and course of psychosis, as components of the superspectrum are relatively stable over time. Changes in psychoticism predict the onset of psychosis-related psychopathology, whereas changes in detachment and cognition define later course. Implications of the superspectrum for genetic, socio-environmental, and longitudinal research are discussed. A companion review focuses on neurobiology, treatment response, and clinical utility of the superspectrum, and future research directions.

14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38052267

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Multimodal modeling that combines biological and clinical data shows promise in predicting transition to psychosis in individuals who are at ultra-high risk. Individuals who transition to psychosis are known to have deficits at baseline in cognitive function and reductions in gray matter volume in multiple brain regions identified by magnetic resonance imaging. METHODS: In this study, we used Cox proportional hazards regression models to assess the additive predictive value of each modality-cognition, cortical structure information, and the neuroanatomical measure of brain age gap-to a previously developed clinical model using functioning and duration of symptoms prior to service entry as predictors in the Personal Assessment and Crisis Evaluation (PACE) 400 cohort. The PACE 400 study is a well-characterized cohort of Australian youths who were identified as ultra-high risk of transitioning to psychosis using the Comprehensive Assessment of At Risk Mental States (CAARMS) and followed for up to 18 years; it contains clinical data (from N = 416 participants), cognitive data (n = 213), and magnetic resonance imaging cortical parameters extracted using FreeSurfer (n = 231). RESULTS: The results showed that neuroimaging, brain age gap, and cognition added marginal predictive information to the previously developed clinical model (fraction of new information: neuroimaging 0%-12%, brain age gap 7%, cognition 0%-16%). CONCLUSIONS: In summary, adding a second modality to a clinical risk model predicting the onset of a psychotic disorder in the PACE 400 cohort showed little improvement in the fit of the model for long-term prediction of transition to psychosis.


Subject(s)
Psychotic Disorders , Adolescent , Humans , Australia , Psychotic Disorders/diagnosis , Cognition , Brain/diagnostic imaging , Magnetic Resonance Imaging
15.
Neuropsychopharmacology ; 49(3): 573-583, 2024 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37737273

ABSTRACT

Cognitively impaired and spared patient subgroups were identified in psychosis and depression, and in clinical high-risk for psychosis (CHR). Studies suggest differences in underlying brain structural and functional characteristics. It is unclear whether cognitive subgroups are transdiagnostic phenomena in early stages of psychotic and affective disorder which can be validated on the neural level. Patients with recent-onset psychosis (ROP; N = 140; female = 54), recent-onset depression (ROD; N = 130; female = 73), CHR (N = 128; female = 61) and healthy controls (HC; N = 270; female = 165) were recruited through the multi-site study PRONIA. The transdiagnostic sample and individual study groups were clustered into subgroups based on their performance in eight cognitive domains and characterized by gray matter volume (sMRI) and resting-state functional connectivity (rsFC) using support vector machine (SVM) classification. We identified an impaired subgroup (NROP = 79, NROD = 30, NCHR = 37) showing cognitive impairment in executive functioning, working memory, processing speed and verbal learning (all p < 0.001). A spared subgroup (NROP = 61, NROD = 100, NCHR = 91) performed comparable to HC. Single-disease subgroups indicated that cognitive impairment is stronger pronounced in impaired ROP compared to impaired ROD and CHR. Subgroups in ROP and ROD showed specific symptom- and functioning-patterns. rsFC showed superior accuracy compared to sMRI in differentiating transdiagnostic subgroups from HC (BACimpaired = 58.5%; BACspared = 61.7%, both: p < 0.01). Cognitive findings were validated in the PRONIA replication sample (N = 409). Individual cognitive subgroups in ROP, ROD and CHR are more informative than transdiagnostic subgroups as they map onto individual cognitive impairment and specific functioning- and symptom-patterns which show limited overlap in sMRI and rsFC. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRY NAME: German Clinical Trials Register (DRKS). Clinical trial registry URL: https://www.drks.de/drks_web/ . Clinical trial registry number: DRKS00005042.


Subject(s)
Cognitive Dysfunction , Psychotic Disorders , Female , Humans , Brain/diagnostic imaging , Cognitive Dysfunction/diagnosis , Executive Function , Gray Matter/diagnostic imaging , Psychotic Disorders/complications , Psychotic Disorders/diagnosis , Male , Multicenter Studies as Topic
16.
Br J Psychiatry ; 224(2): 55-65, 2024 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37936347

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Computational models offer promising potential for personalised treatment of psychiatric diseases. For their clinical deployment, fairness must be evaluated alongside accuracy. Fairness requires predictive models to not unfairly disadvantage specific demographic groups. Failure to assess model fairness prior to use risks perpetuating healthcare inequalities. Despite its importance, empirical investigation of fairness in predictive models for psychiatry remains scarce. AIMS: To evaluate fairness in prediction models for development of psychosis and functional outcome. METHOD: Using data from the PRONIA study, we examined fairness in 13 published models for prediction of transition to psychosis (n = 11) and functional outcome (n = 2) in people at clinical high risk for psychosis or with recent-onset depression. Using accuracy equality, predictive parity, false-positive error rate balance and false-negative error rate balance, we evaluated relevant fairness aspects for the demographic attributes 'gender' and 'educational attainment' and compared them with the fairness of clinicians' judgements. RESULTS: Our findings indicate systematic bias towards assigning less favourable outcomes to individuals with lower educational attainment in both prediction models and clinicians' judgements, resulting in higher false-positive rates in 7 of 11 models for transition to psychosis. Interestingly, the bias patterns observed in algorithmic predictions were not significantly more pronounced than those in clinicians' predictions. CONCLUSIONS: Educational bias was present in algorithmic and clinicians' predictions, assuming more favourable outcomes for individuals with higher educational level (years of education). This bias might lead to increased stigma and psychosocial burden in patients with lower educational attainment and suboptimal psychosis prevention in those with higher educational attainment.


Subject(s)
Psychiatry , Psychotic Disorders , Humans , Psychotic Disorders/therapy
17.
Behav Processes ; 213: 104970, 2023 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37995950

ABSTRACT

Two experiments examined the hedonic responses conditioned to odor cues in the phenomenon of taste-potentiated odor aversion. Experiment 1 analyzed the microstructure of licking behavior during voluntary consumption. A tasteless odor (amyl acetate) was delivered to rats either diluted in water or mixed with saccharin before being injected with LiCl. At test, subjects which had received the odor-taste compound during conditioning showed both lower odor consumption and lick cluster size, a result indicating an increased negative evaluation of the odor. Experiment 2 examined the orofacial reactions elicited by the odor as index of its hedonic impact. During conditioning, the rats were intraorally infused with either the odor alone or the odor-saccharin compound before being injected with LiCl. At test, they were infused with the odor and their orofacial responses video recorded. More aversive orofacial responses were elicited by the odor cue in rats that had compound conditioning, again a result indicating a strengthened negative hedonic reactivity compared to animals experiencing odor aversion conditioning alone. Taken together, these results indicate that taste-mediated potentiation of odor aversion conditioning impacts on the acquisition of conditioned hedonic reactions as well as consumption.


Subject(s)
Odorants , Taste , Humans , Rats , Animals , Taste/physiology , Saccharin , Lithium Chloride , Avoidance Learning/physiology
18.
Microbiol Spectr ; 11(6): e0220223, 2023 Dec 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37966271

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: This study provides a laboratory framework to ensure ongoing relevance and performance of amplification-based whole genome sequencing to strengthen public health surveillance during extended outbreaks or pandemics. The framework integrates regular reviews of the performance of a genomic surveillance system and highlights the importance of ongoing monitoring and the identification and implementation of improvements to whole genome sequencing methods to enhance public health responses to pathogen outbreaks.


Subject(s)
Genomics , Public Health , Disease Outbreaks , Whole Genome Sequencing/methods , Public Health Surveillance
19.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37946717

ABSTRACT

Objective: Circulation patterns of influenza and other respiratory viruses have been globally disrupted since the emergence of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) and the introduction of public health and social measures (PHSMs) aimed at reducing severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission. Methods: We reviewed respiratory virus laboratory data, Google mobility data and PHSMs in five geographically diverse regions in Australia and New Zealand. We also described respiratory virus activity from January 2017 to August 2021. Results: We observed a change in the prevalence of circulating respiratory viruses following the emergence of SARS-CoV-2 in early 2020. Influenza activity levels were very low in all regions, lower than those recorded in 2017-2019, with less than 1% of laboratory samples testing positive for influenza virus. In contrast, rates of human rhinovirus infection were increased. Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) activity was delayed; however, once it returned, most regions experienced activity levels well above those seen in 2017-2019. The timing of the resurgence in the circulation of both rhinovirus and RSV differed within and between the two countries. Discussion: The findings of this study suggest that as domestic and international borders are opened up and other COVID-19 PHSMs are lifted, clinicians and public health professionals should be prepared for resurgences in influenza and other respiratory viruses. Recent patterns in RSV activity suggest that these resurgences in non-COVID-19 viruses have the potential to occur out of season and with increased impact.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Influenza, Human , Humans , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , New Zealand/epidemiology , Pandemics , COVID-19/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2 , Australia/epidemiology
20.
J Exp Psychol Anim Learn Cogn ; 49(4): 289-295, 2023 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37883032

ABSTRACT

Previous experiments found that acceptance of saccharin by rats was reduced if they had prior experience of sucrose or some other highly palatable solution. This reduction in saccharin consumption was particularly extended after a switch from sucrose. On the surface, this seems to correspond to a successive negative contrast (SNC) effect. This term was coined by C. F. Flaherty to describe the situation where consumption of a target solution is reduced by prior experience of a more valuable solution, typically a more concentrated version of the target solution. However, SNC effects are normally transient and assessed relative to a nonshifted control. Here, we confirm that the reduction in consumption seen when shifting from sucrose to saccharin is persistent and is seen relative to the traditional unshifted control. In addition, an analysis of licking microstructure showed that the shift from sucrose to saccharin suppressed the hedonic value of saccharin relative to controls, but this effect was less persistent than consumption suppression. Interestingly, a similar dissociation is observed in extinction of conditioned taste aversion (CTA): suppression of consumption produced by CTA is far more persistent than suppression of hedonic value. The comparison of results across procedures suggests that persistent SNC produced by a qualitative downshift from sucrose to saccharin appears different from quantitative downshifts in the concentration of a single solution, and qualitative downshift effects may involve CTA. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2023 APA, all rights reserved).


Subject(s)
Saccharin , Sucrose , Animals , Rats , Conditioning, Classical
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