Reconstructing a long-term record of microcystins from the analysis of lake sediments.

Based on an analysis of sediment cores from Baptiste Lake (Alberta, Canada), we quantified century-scale trends in cyanobacteria and cyanotoxins, and identified possible drivers of toxigenic cyanobacteria. We measured concentrations of microcystins and pigments preserved in the sediment as proxies of toxigenic cyanobacteria and phytoplankton communities, respectively, while fossil diatom assemblages were used to infer past nutrient concentrations. Microcystins were detected in older sediments (ca. 1800s), pre-dating any significant alteration to the watershed. This demonstrates that toxigenic cyanobacteria may not be a recent phenomenon in eutrophic ecosystems. The dominant variants of microcystin throughout the sediment core were microcystin-LA and microcystin-LR. Other congeners including -LY, -7dmLR, -WR, -LF, -YR, and -LW (-RR was not detected) were mainly found in the upper layers of sediment (post 1980s). Starting in the 1990s, concentrations of microcystins both in the water column and in the sediment record increased in parallel. Total sediment microcystins were strongly correlated with historical nitrogen and phosphorus concentrations inferred from diatom assemblages (r=0.80-0.81, p<0.001, n=22); both nutrients increased over the past two decades coincident with the intensification of agriculture. Microcystins also tracked the rise in cyanobacterial pigments present throughout the core. In contrast, we found no relationship between climate-related variables and sediment microcystin concentrations, although such relationships were detected over the monitoring record with respect to water column concentrations. Overall, the rise in sediment microcystins was much greater than the rise in sediment cyanobacteria and diatom inferred nutrient concentrations. Furthermore, we demonstrate that the reconstruction of the microcystin sediment record can provide important insight for the development of realistic lake management goals. Applying this analytical approach to different lakes and regions of the world, where both natural and anthropogenic gradients vary, has the potential to markedly improve our understanding of long-term drivers of cyanotoxin production.

Evidence for a Type 1 diabetes-specific mechanism for the insulin gene-associated IDDM2 locus rather than a general influence on autoimmunity.

AIMS: The Type 1 diabetes susceptibility locus, IDDM2, has been mapped to a variable number of tandem repeats (VNTR) region 5' upstream of the insulin (INS) and insulin-like growth factor (IGF2) genes on chromosome 11p15. The function of the VNTR is uncertain; however, it may influence the thymic expression of the insulin gene and affect the development of immune self-tolerance. The aim of this study was to investigate whether the INS VNTR region is a Type 1 diabetes-specific locus or acting as a general autoimmunity gene. METHODS: We genotyped the INS-IGF2 VNTR [using the surrogate INS-23 HphI single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP)] in 823 Graves' disease (GD)/multiple sclerosis (MS) families, 1433 GD/MS patients and 837 healthy control subjects. RESULTS: We found no evidence of excess transmission of the allele associated with Type 1 diabetes to individuals affected by GD or MS within the families. Analysis of the case-control dataset showed no genotypic or allelic difference between the two populations. CONCLUSIONS: These data suggest that the INS-IGF2 VNTR is acting as a Type 1 diabetes-specific susceptibility gene rather than as an influence on general autoimmunity.

Haplotype tagging for the identification of common disease genes.

Genome-wide linkage disequilibrium (LD) mapping of common disease genes could be more powerful than linkage analysis if the appropriate density of polymorphic markers were known and if the genotyping effort and cost of producing such an LD map could be reduced. Although different metrics that measure the extent of LD have been evaluated, even the most recent studies have not placed significant emphasis on the most informative and cost-effective method of LD mapping-that based on haplotypes. We have scanned 135 kb of DNA from nine genes, genotyped 122 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs; approximately 184,000 genotypes) and determined the common haplotypes in a minimum of 384 European individuals for each gene. Here we show how knowledge of the common haplotypes and the SNPs that tag them can be used to (i) explain the often complex patterns of LD between adjacent markers, (ii) reduce genotyping significantly (in this case from 122 to 34 SNPs), (iii) scan the common variation of a gene sensitively and comprehensively and (iv) provide key fine-mapping data within regions of strong LD. Our results also indicate that, at least for the genes studied here, the current version of dbSNP would have been of limited utility for LD mapping because many common haplotypes could not be defined. A directed re-sequencing effort of the approximately 10% of the genome in or near genes in the major ethnic groups would aid the systematic evaluation of the common variant model of common disease.

Suggestive evidence for association of human chromosome 18q12-q21 and its orthologue on rat and mouse chromosome 18 with several autoimmune diseases.

Some immune system disorders, such as type 1 diabetes, multiple sclerosis (MS), and rheumatoid arthritis (RA), share common features: the presence of autoantibodies and self-reactive T-cells, and a genetic association with the major histocompatibility complex. We have previously published evidence, from 1,708 families, for linkage and association of a haplotype of three markers in the D18S487 region of chromosome 18q21 with type 1 diabetes. Here, the three markers were typed in an independent set of 627 families and, although there was evidence for linkage (maximum logarithm of odds score [MLS] = 1.2; P = 0.02), no association was detected. Further linkage analysis revealed suggestive evidence for linkage of chromosome 18q21 to type 1 diabetes in 882 multiplex families (MLS = 2.2; lambdas = 1.2; P = 0.001), and by meta-analysis the orthologous region (also on chromosome 18) is linked to diabetes in rodents (P = 9 x 10(-4)). By meta-analysis, both human chromosome 18q12-q21 and the rodent orthologous region show positive evidence for linkage to an autoimmune phenotype (P = 0.004 and 2 x 10(-8), respectively, empirical P = 0.01 and 2 x 10(-4), respectively). In the diabetes-linked region of chromosome 18q12-q21, a candidate gene, deleted in colorectal carcinoma (DCC), was tested for association with human autoimmunity in 3,380 families with type 1 diabetes, MS, and RA. A haplotype ("2-10") of two newly characterized microsatellite markers within DCC showed evidence for association with autoimmunity (P = 5 x 10(-6)). Collectively, these data suggest that a locus (or loci) exists on human chromosome 18q12-q21 that influences multiple autoimmune diseases and that this association might be conserved between species.

Major factors influencing linkage disequilibrium by analysis of different chromosome regions in distinct populations: demography, chromosome recombination frequency and selection.

Linkage disequilibrium (LD) mapping of disease genes is complicated by population- and chromosome-region-specific factors. We have analysed demographic factors by contrasting intermarker LD results obtained in a large cosmopolitan population (UK), a large genetic isolate (Sardinia) and a subisolate (village of Gavoi) for two regions of the X chromosome. A dramatic increase of LD was found in the subisolate. Demographic history of populations therefore influences LD. Chromosome-region-specific effects, namely the pattern and frequency of homologous recombination, were next delineated by the analysis of chromosome 6p21, including the HLA region. Patterns of global LD in this region were very similar in the UK and Sardinian populations despite their entirely distinct demographies, and correlate well with the pattern of recombinations. Nevertheless, haplotypes extend across recombination hot spots indicative of selection of certain haplotypes. Subisolate aside, chromosome-region-specific differences in LD patterns appear to be more important than the differences in intermarker LD between distinct populations.

Impacts of climatic change and fishing on Pacific salmon abundance over the past 300 years.

The effects of climate variability on Pacific salmon abundance are uncertain because historical records are short and are complicated by commercial harvesting and habitat alteration. We use lake sediment records of delta15N and biological indicators to reconstruct sockeye salmon abundance in the Bristol Bay and Kodiak Island regions of Alaska over the past 300 years. Marked shifts in populations occurred over decades during this period, and some pronounced changes appear to be related to climatic change. Variations in salmon returns due to climate or harvesting can have strong impacts on sockeye nursery lake productivity in systems where adult salmon carcasses are important nutrient sources.

The genetically isolated populations of Finland and sardinia may not be a panacea for linkage disequilibrium mapping of common disease genes.

The choice of which population to study in the mapping of common disease genes may be critical. Isolated founder populations, such as that found in Finland, have already proved extremely useful for mapping the genes for specific rare monogenic disorders and are being used in attempts to map the genes underlying common, complex diseases. But simulation results suggest that, under the common disease-common variant hypothesis, most isolated populations will prove no more useful for linkage disequilibrium (LD) mapping of common disease genes than large outbred populations. There is very little empirical data to either support or refute this conclusion at present. Therefore, we evaluated LD between 21 common microsatellite polymorphisms on chromosome 18q21 in 2 genetic isolates (Finland and Sardinia) and compared the results with those observed in two mixed populations (United Kingdom and United States of America). Mean levels of LD were similar across all four populations. Our results provide empirical support for the expectation that genetic isolates like Finland and Sardinia will not prove significantly more valuable than general populations for LD mapping of common variants underlying complex disease.

Transmission of haplotypes of microsatellite markers rather than single marker alleles in the mapping of a putative type 1 diabetes susceptibility gene (IDDM6).

Allelic association methods based on increased transmission of marker alleles will have to be employed for the mapping of complex disease susceptibility genes. However, because the extent of association of single marker alleles with disease is a function of the relative frequency of the allele on disease-associated chromosomes versus non disease-predisposing chromosomes, the most associated marker allele in a region will not necessarily be closest to the disease locus. To overcome this problem we describe a haplotype-based approach developed for mapping of the putative type 1 diabetes susceptibility gene IDDM6. Ten microsatellite markers spanning a 550 kb segment of chromosome 18q21 in the putative IDDM6 region were genotyped in 1708 type 1 diabetic Caucasian families from seven countries. The most likely ancestral diabetogenic chromosome was reconstructed in a stepwise fashion by analysing linkage disequilibrium between a previously defined haplotype of three adjacent markers and the next marker along the chromosome. A plot of transmission from heterozygous parents to affected offspring of single marker alleles present on the ancestral chromosome versus the physical distance between them, was compared with a plot of transmission of haplotypes of groups of three adjacent markers. Analysing transmission of haplotypes largely negated apparent decreases in transmission of single marker alleles. Peak support for association of the D18S487 region with IDDM6 is P = 0.0002 (corrected P = 0.01). The results also demonstrate the utility of polymorphic microsatellite markers to trace and delineate extended and presumably ancient haplotypes in the analysis of common disease and in the search for identical-by-descent chromosome regions that carry an aetiological variant.

Evidence by allelic association-dependent methods for a type 1 diabetes polygene (IDDM6) on chromosome 18q21.

Type 1 diabetes is a common polygenic disease. Fine mapping of polygenes by affected sibpair linkage analysis is not practical and allelic association or linkage disequilibrium mapping will have to be employed to attempt to detect founder chromosomes. Given prior evidence of linkage of the Jk-D18S64 region of chromosome 18q12-q21 to type 1 diabetes, we evaluated the 12 informative microsatellite markers in the region for linkage with disease by the transmission disequilibrium test (TDT) in a UK data set of type 1 diabetic families (n = 195). Increased transmission of allele 4 of marker D18S487 to affected children was detected (P = 0.02). Support for this was extended in a total of 1067 families from four different countries by isolating, and evaluating by the TDT, two novel microsatellites within 70 kb of D18S487. Evidence for linkage and association was P = 5 x 10(-5) and 3 x 10(-4), respectively. There was no evidence for increased transmission of associated alleles to nonaffected siblings. Analysis of an additional 390 families by the TDT did not extend the evidence further, and reduced support in the total 1457 families to P = 0.001 for linkage and P = 0.003 for association. However, evidence for linkage by affected sibpair allele sharing was strong (P = 3.2 x 10(-5)) in the second data set. Heterogeneity in TDT results between data sets was, in part, accounted for by the presence of more than one common disease-associated haplotype (allelic heterogeneity) which confounds the analysis of individual alleles by the TDT. Guidelines for strategies for the mapping of polygenes are suggested with the emphasis on collections of large numbers of families from multiple populations that should be as genetically homogeneous as possible.