A neural encoder for earthquake rate forecasting.

Forecasting the timing of earthquakes is a long-standing challenge. Moreover, it is still debated how to formulate this problem in a useful manner, or to compare the predictive power of different models. Here, we develop a versatile neural encoder of earthquake catalogs, and apply it to the fundamental problem of earthquake rate prediction, in the spatio-temporal point process framework. The epidemic type aftershock sequence model (ETAS) effectively learns a small number of parameters to constrain the assumed functional forms for the space and time correlations of earthquake sequences (e.g., Omori-Utsu law). Here we introduce learned spatial and temporal embeddings for point process earthquake forecasting models that capture complex correlation structures. We demonstrate the generality of this neural representation as compared with ETAS model using train-test data splits and how it enables the incorporation additional geophysical information. In rate prediction tasks, the generalized model shows [Formula: see text] improvement in information gain per earthquake and the simultaneous learning of anisotropic spatial structures analogous to fault traces. The trained network can be also used to perform short-term prediction tasks, showing similar improvement while providing a 1000-fold reduction in run-time.

Vocal folds analysis using global energy tracking.

INTRODUCTION: Detection and quantification of oscillatory irregularities in laryngeal videostroboscopy can be particularly difficult for the human expert. Accordingly, there is a wide interest in automated methods for recovering the folds' temporal trajectory. Unfortunately, current methods typically provide only crude glottal measurements. OBJECTIVES: An automated procedure for consistently tracking the entire vocal folds' boundary in laryngeal stroboscopy videos, even when the glottal opening is closed. METHODS: A preprocessing frame-by-frame crude midpoint identification is followed by an active contour evolution to detect the global boundary in each frame independently. A global energy active contour is then jointly defined over the entire video sequence, and the full glottal boundary is detected throughout the video via standard energy minimization. RESULTS: The vocal folds' boundary is accurately tracked in normal and abnormal stroboscopy videos collected in a clinical setting, and that exhibit a varied range of visual characteristics (eg, lighting conditions). A proof-of-concept evaluation based on the analysis of the waveform of the location of points along the boundary separates between a normal and two markedly different abnormal subjects, and automatically provides a hypothesized localization of the abnormality. CONCLUSION: The first method for automatically tracing the temporal trajectory of all points along the vocal folds' boundary in all frames of a stroboscopy video is presented. The approach opens the door for novel analysis of all regions of the contour, which in turn may lead to automated localization of pathologies.

Markov random field based automatic image alignment for electron tomography.

We present a method for automatic full-precision alignment of the images in a tomographic tilt series. Full-precision automatic alignment of cryo electron microscopy images has remained a difficult challenge to date, due to the limited electron dose and low image contrast. These facts lead to poor signal to noise ratio (SNR) in the images, which causes automatic feature trackers to generate errors, even with high contrast gold particles as fiducial features. To enable fully automatic alignment for full-precision reconstructions, we frame the problem probabilistically as finding the most likely particle tracks given a set of noisy images, using contextual information to make the solution more robust to the noise in each image. To solve this maximum likelihood problem, we use Markov Random Fields (MRF) to establish the correspondence of features in alignment and robust optimization for projection model estimation. The resulting algorithm, called Robust Alignment and Projection Estimation for Tomographic Reconstruction, or RAPTOR, has not needed any manual intervention for the difficult datasets we have tried, and has provided sub-pixel alignment that is as good as the manual approach by an expert user. We are able to automatically map complete and partial marker trajectories and thus obtain highly accurate image alignment. Our method has been applied to challenging cryo electron tomographic datasets with low SNR from intact bacterial cells, as well as several plastic section and X-ray datasets.

Towards an integrated protein-protein interaction network: a relational Markov network approach.

Protein-protein interactions play a major role in most cellular processes. Thus, the challenge of identifying the full repertoire of interacting proteins in the cell is of great importance and has been addressed both experimentally and computationally. Today, large scale experimental studies of protein interactions, while partial and noisy, allow us to characterize properties of interacting proteins and develop predictive algorithms. Most existing algorithms, however, ignore possible dependencies between interacting pairs and predict them independently of one another. In this study, we present a computational approach that overcomes this drawback by predicting protein-protein interactions simultaneously. In addition, our approach allows us to integrate various protein attributes and explicitly account for uncertainty of assay measurements. Using the language of relational Markov networks, we build a unified probabilistic model that includes all of these elements. We show how we can learn our model properties and then use it to predict all unobserved interactions simultaneously. Our results show that by modeling dependencies between interactions, as well as by taking into account protein attributes and measurement noise, we achieve a more accurate description of the protein interaction network. Furthermore, our approach allows us to gain new insights into the properties of interacting proteins.