Phenotype and Clinical Outcomes in Desmin-Related Arrhythmogenic Cardiomyopathy.

BACKGROUND: Desmin (DES) pathogenic variants cause a small proportion of arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy (ACM). Outcomes data on DES-related ACM are scarce. OBJECTIVES: This study sought to provide information on the clinical phenotype and outcomes of patients with ACM caused by pathogenic variants of the DES gene in a multicenter cohort. METHODS: We collected phenotypic and outcomes data from 16 families with DES-related ACM from 10 European centers. We assessed in vitro DES aggregates. Major cardiac events were compared to historical controls with lamin A/C truncating variant (LMNA-tv) and filament C truncating variant (FLNC-tv) ACM. RESULTS: Of 82 patients (54% males, median age: 36 years), 11 experienced sudden cardiac death (SCD) (n = 7) or heart failure death (HFd)/heart transplantation (HTx) (n = 4) before clinical evaluation. Among 68 survivors, 59 (86%) presented signs of cardiomyopathy, with left ventricular (LV) dominant (50%) or biventricular (34%) disease. Mean LV ejection fraction was 51% ± 13%; 36 of 53 had late gadolinium enhancement (ring-like pattern in 49%). During a median of 6.73 years (Q1-Q3: 3.55-9.52 years), the composite endpoint (sustained ventricular tachycardia, aborted SCD, implantable cardioverter-defibrillator therapy, SCD, HFd, and HTx) was achieved in 15 additional patients with HFd/HTx (n = 5) and SCD/aborted SCD/implantable cardioverter-defibrillator therapy/sustained ventricular tachycardia (n = 10). Male sex (P = 0.004), nonsustained ventricular tachycardia (P = 0.017) and LV ejection fraction ≤50% (P = 0.012) were associated with the composite endpoint. Males with DES variants had similar outcomes to historical FLNC-tv and LMNA-tv controls. However, females showed better outcomes than those with LMNA-tv. In vitro experiments showed the characteristic finding of DES aggregates in 7 of 12 variants. CONCLUSIONS: DES ACM is associated with poor outcomes which can be predicted with potentially successful treatments, underscoring the importance of familial evaluation and genetic studies to identify at risk individuals.

Incidence and risk factors for development of left ventricular hypertrophy in Fabry disease.

BACKGROUND: Left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) is the principal cardiac manifestation of Fabry disease (FD). This study aimed to determine the incidence and predictors of LVH development in a contemporary cohort of patients with FD and no LVH at baseline evaluation. METHODS: Consecutively referred adult (aged ≥16 years) patients with FD were enrolled into an observational cohort study. Patients were prospectively followed in a specialist cardiomyopathy centre and the primary endpoint was the first detection of LVH (left ventricular mass index (LVMi) ≥115 g/m2 in men and ≥95 g/m2 in women). RESULTS: From a cohort of 393 patients, 214 (aged 35.8±13.8 years; 61 (29%) males) had no LVH at first evaluation. During a median follow-up of 9.4 years (IQR 4.7-12.7), 55 patients (24.6%) developed LVH. The estimated incidence of LVH was 11.3% (95% CI 6.5% to 16.1%) at 5 years, 29.1% (95% CI 21.5% to 36.7%) at 10 years and 45.0% (95% CI 33.8% to 62.4%) at 15 years of follow-up. On multivariable analysis, independent predictors for LVH development were age (HR 1.04 (95% CI 1.02 to 1.06) per 1-year increase, p<0.001), male sex (HR 2.90 (95% CI 1.66 to 5.09), p<0.001) and an abnormal ECG (HR 3.10 (95% CI 1.72 to 5.57), p<0.001). The annual rate of change in LVMi was +2.77 (IQR 1.45-4.62) g/m2/year in males and +1.38 (IQR 0.09-2.85) g/m2/year in females (p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Approximately one-quarter of patients with FD developed LVH during follow-up. Age, male sex and ECG abnormalities were associated with a higher risk of developing LVH in patients with FD.

Endomyocardial biopsy: safety and prognostic utility in paediatric and adult myocarditis in the European Society of Cardiology EURObservational Research Programme Cardiomyopathy and Myocarditis Long-Term Registry.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Contemporary multicentre data on clinical and diagnostic spectrum and outcome in myocarditis are limited. Study aims were to describe baseline features, 1-year follow-up, and baseline predictors of outcome in clinically suspected or biopsy-proven myocarditis (2013 European Society of Cardiology criteria) in adult and paediatric patients from the EURObservational Research Programme Cardiomyopathy and Myocarditis Long-Term Registry. METHODS: Five hundred eighty-one (68.0% male) patients, 493 adults, median age 38 (27-52) years, and 88 children, aged 8 (3-13) years, were divided into 3 groups: Group 1 (n = 233), clinically suspected myocarditis with abnormal cardiac magnetic resonance; Group 2 (n = 222), biopsy-proven myocarditis; and Group 3 (n = 126) clinically suspected myocarditis with normal or inconclusive or no cardiac magnetic resonance. Baseline features were analysed overall, in adults vs. children, and among groups. One-year outcome events included death/heart transplantation, ventricular assist device (VAD) or implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) implantation, and hospitalization for cardiac causes. RESULTS: Endomyocardial biopsy, mainly right ventricular, had a similarly low complication rate in children and adults (4.7% vs. 4.9%, P = NS), with no procedure-related death. A classical myocarditis pattern on cardiac magnetic resonance was found in 31.3% of children and in 57.9% of adults with biopsy-proven myocarditis (P < .001). At 1-year follow-up, 11/410 patients (2.7%) died, 7 (1.7%) received a heart transplant, 3 underwent VAD (0.7%), and 16 (3.9%) underwent ICD implantation. Independent predictors at diagnosis of death or heart transplantation or hospitalization or VAD implantation or ICD implantation at 1-year follow-up were lower left ventricular ejection fraction and the need for immunosuppressants for new myocarditis diagnosis refractory to non-aetiology-driven therapy. CONCLUSIONS: Endomyocardial biopsy was safe, and cardiac magnetic resonance using Lake Louise criteria was less sensitive, particularly in children. Virus-negative lymphocytic myocarditis was predominant both in children and adults, and use of immunosuppressive treatments was low. Lower left ventricular ejection fraction and the need for immunosuppressants at diagnosis were independent predictors of unfavourable outcome events at 1 year.

Prevalence of Pathogenic Variants in Cardiomyopathy-Associated Genes in Acute Myocarditis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Acute myocarditis is an inflammatory condition that may precede the development of dilated or arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to investigate the reported prevalence of pathogenic or likely pathogenic (P/LP) variants in cardiomyopathy-associated genes in patients with acute myocarditis. METHODS: For this systematic review and meta-analysis, the PubMed and Embase databases were searched on March 4, 2023. Observational studies evaluating the prevalence of P/LP variants in cardiomyopathy-associated genes in patients with acute myocarditis were included. Studies were stratified into adult and pediatric age groups and for the following scenarios: 1) complicated myocarditis (ie, presenting with acute heart failure, reduced left ventricular ejection fraction, or life-threatening ventricular arrhythmias); and 2) uncomplicated myocarditis. The study was registered with the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (CRD42023408668) and followed Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. RESULTS: Of 732 studies identified, 8 met the inclusion criteria, providing data for 586 patients with acute myocarditis. A total of 89 P/LP variants in cardiomyopathy-associated genes were reported in 85 patients. For uncomplicated myocarditis, the pooled prevalence was 4.2% (95% CI: 1.8%-7.4%; I2 = 1.4%), whereas for complicated myocarditis, the pooled prevalence was 21.9% (95% CI: 14.3%-30.5%; I2 = 38.8%) and 44.5% (95% CI: 22.7%-67.4%; I2 = 52.8%) in adults and children, respectively. P/LP variants in desmosomal genes were predominant in uncomplicated myocarditis (64%), whereas sarcomeric gene variants were more prevalent in complicated myocarditis (58% in adults and 71% in children). CONCLUSIONS: Genetic variants are present in a large proportion of patients with acute myocarditis. The prevalence of genetic variants and the genes involved vary according to age and clinical presentation.

The Diagnostic and Therapeutic Implications of Phenocopies and Mimics of Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy.

Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is a common myocardial disease defined by increased left ventricular wall thickness unexplained by loading conditions. HCM frequently is caused by pathogenic variants in sarcomeric protein genes, but several other syndromic, metabolic, infiltrative, and neuromuscular diseases can result in HCM phenocopies. This review summarizes the current understanding of these HCM mimics, highlighting their importance across the life course. The central role of a comprehensive, multiparametric diagnostic approach and the potential of precision medicine in tailoring treatment strategies are emphasized.

Prevalence of transthyretin cardiac amyloidosis in patients with high-degree AV block.

OBJECTIVE: Transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy (ATTR-CM) is an infiltrative cardiac disorder caused by deposition of wild type or mutated transthyretin. As ATTR-CM is associated with conduction disease, we sought to determine its prevalence in patients with idiopathic high-degree atrioventricular (AV) block requiring permanent pacemaker (PPM) implantation. METHODS: Consecutive patients aged 70-85 years undergoing PPM implantation for idiopathic high-degree AV block between November 2019 and November 2021 were offered a 3,3-diphosphono-1,2-propanodicarboxylic acid (DPD) scan. Demographics, comorbidities, electrocardiographic and imaging data from the time of device implantation were retrospectively collected. RESULTS: 39 patients (79.5% male, mean (SD) age at device implantation 76.2 (2.9) years) had a DPD scan. 3/39 (7.7%, all male) had a result consistent with ATTR-CM (Perugini grade 2 or 3). Mean (SD) maximum wall thickness of those with a positive DPD scan was 19.0 mm (3.6 mm) vs 11.4 mm (2.7 mm) in those with a negative scan (p=0.06). All patients diagnosed with ATTR-CM had spinal canal stenosis and two had carpal tunnel syndrome. CONCLUSIONS: ATTR-CM should be considered in older patients requiring permanent pacing for high-degree AV block, particularly in the presence of left ventricular hypertrophy, carpal tunnel syndrome or spinal canal stenosis.

Cardiomyopathies in children and adolescents: aetiology, management, and outcomes in the European Society of Cardiology EURObservational Research Programme Cardiomyopathy and Myocarditis Registry.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Childhood-onset cardiomyopathies are rare and poorly characterized. This study examined the baseline characteristics and 1-year follow-up of children with cardiomyopathy in the first European Cardiomyopathy Registry. METHODS: Prospective data were collected on individuals aged 1-<18 years enrolled in the European Society of Cardiology EURObservational Research Programme Cardiomyopathy and Myocarditis long-term registry (June 2014-December 2016). RESULTS: A total of 633 individuals aged ≤18 years with hypertrophic [HCM; n = 388 (61.3%)], dilated [DCM; n = 206 (32.5%)], restrictive [RCM; n = 28 (4.4%)], and arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy [ARVC; n = 11 (1.7%)] were enrolled by 23 referral centres in 14 countries. Median age at diagnosis was 4.0 [interquartile range (IQR) 0-10] years, and there was a male predominance [n = 372 (58.8%)] across all subtypes, with the exception of DCM diagnosed <10 years of age; 621 (98.1%) patients were receiving cardiac medication and 80 (12.6%) had an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator. A total of 253 patients (253/535, 47.3%) had familial disease. Genetic testing was performed in 414 (67.8%) patients with a pathogenic or likely pathogenic variant reported in 250 (60.4%). Rare disease phenocopies were reported in 177 patients (28.0%) and were most frequent in patients under 10 years [142 (30.9%) vs. 35 (19.6%); P = .003]. Over a median follow-up of 12.5 months (IQR 11.3-15.3 months), 18 patients (3.3%) died [HCM n = 9 (2.6%), DCM n = 5 (3.0%), RCM n = 4 (16.0%)]. Heart failure events were most frequent in RCM patients (36.0%). CONCLUSIONS: The findings confirm the heterogeneous aetiology of childhood cardiomyopathies and show a high frequency of familial disease. Outcomes differed by cardiomyopathy subtype, highlighting a need for disease-specific evaluation and treatment.

Effect of Tafamidis on Cardiac Function in Patients With Transthyretin Amyloid Cardiomyopathy: A Post Hoc Analysis of the ATTR-ACT Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Tafamidis has been shown to improve survival in patients with transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy (ATTR-CM) compared with placebo. However, its effect on cardiac function has not been fully characterized. Objective: To examine the effect of tafamidis on cardiac function in patients with ATTR-CM. Design, Setting, and Participants: This was an exploratory, post hoc analysis of the Tafamidis in Transthyretin Cardiomyopathy Clinical Trial (ATTR-ACT), a multicenter, international, double-blind, placebo-controlled phase 3 randomized clinical trial conducted from December 2013 to February 2018. The ATTR-ACT included 48 sites in 13 counties and enrolled patients aged 18 to 90 years with ATTR-CM. Data were analyzed from July 2018 to September 2023. Intervention: Patients were randomized to tafamidis meglumine, 80 mg or 20 mg, or placebo for 30 months. Main Outcomes and Measures: Patients were categorized based on left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction at enrollment as having heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (≥50%), mildly reduced ejection fraction (41% to 49%), or reduced ejection fraction (≤40%). Changes from baseline to month 30 in LV ejection fraction, LV stroke volume, LV global longitudinal strain, and the ratio of early mitral inflow velocity to septal and lateral early diastolic mitral annular velocity (E/e') were compared in patients receiving tafamidis, 80 mg, vs placebo. Results: A total of 441 patients were randomized in ATTR-ACT, and 436 patients had available echocardiographic data. Of 436 included patients, 393 (90.1%) were male, and the mean (SD) age was 74 (7) years. A total of 220 (50.5%), 119 (27.3%), and 97 (22.2%) had heart failure with preserved, mildly reduced, and reduced LV ejection fraction, respectively. Over 30 months, there was less pronounced worsening in 4 of the echocardiographic measures in patients receiving tafamidis, 80 mg (n = 176), vs placebo (n = 177) (least squares mean difference: LV stroke volume, 7.02 mL; 95% CI, 2.55-11.49; P = .002; LV global longitudinal strain, -1.02%; 95% CI, -1.73 to -0.31; P = .005; septal E/e', -3.11; 95% CI, -5.50 to -0.72; P = .01; lateral E/e', -2.35; 95% CI, -4.01 to -0.69; P = .006). Conclusions and Relevance: Compared with placebo, tafamidis, 80 mg, attenuated the decline of LV systolic and diastolic function over 30 months in patients with ATTR-CM. Approximately half of patients had mildly reduced or reduced LV ejection fraction at enrollment, suggesting that ATTR-CM should be considered as a possible diagnosis in patients with heart failure regardless of underlying LV ejection fraction. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01994889.

Electrocardiographic abnormalities in patients with cardiomyopathies.

Abnormalities in impulse generation and transmission are among the first signs of cardiac remodeling in cardiomyopathies. Accordingly, 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) of patients with cardiomyopathies may show multiple abnormalities. Some findings are suggestive of specific disorders, such as the discrepancy between QRS voltages and left ventricular (LV) mass for cardiac amyloidosis or the inverted T waves in the right precordial leads for arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy. Other findings are less sensitive and/or specific, but may orient toward a specific diagnosis in a patient with a specific phenotype, such as an increased LV wall thickness or a dilated LV. A "cardiomyopathy-oriented" mindset to ECG reading is important to detect the possible signs of an underlying cardiomyopathy and to interpret correctly the meaning of these alterations, which differs in patients with cardiomyopathies or other conditions.

Management of arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy.

Arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) is a disease characterised by fibrofatty replacement of the ventricular myocardium due to specific mutations, leading to ventricular arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death. Treating this condition can be challenging due to progressive fibrosis, phenotypic variations and small patient cohorts limiting the feasibility of conducting meaningful clinical trials. Although widely used, the evidence base for anti-arrhythmic drugs is limited. Beta-blockers are theoretically sound, yet their efficacy in reducing arrhythmic risk is not robust. Additionally, the impact of sotalol and amiodarone is inconsistent with studies reporting contradictory results. Emerging evidence suggests that combining flecainide and bisoprolol may be efficacious.Radiofrequency ablation has shown some potential in disrupting ventricular tachycardia circuits, with combined endo and epicardial ablation yielding better results which could be considered at the index procedure. In addition, stereotactic radiotherapy may be a future option that can decrease arrhythmias beyond simple scar formation by altering levels of Nav1.5 channels, Connexin 43 and Wnt signalling, potentially modifying myocardial fibrosis.Future therapies, such as adenoviruses and GSk3b modulation, are still in early-stage research. While implantable cardioverter-defibrillator implantation is a key intervention for reducing arrhythmic death, the risks of inappropriate shocks and device complications must be carefully considered.

Impact of GLA Variant Classification on the Estimated Prevalence of Fabry Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Screening Studies.

BACKGROUND: The diagnosis of Fabry disease (FD) has relevant implications related to the management. Thus, a clear assignment of GLA variant pathogenicity is crucial. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to investigate the prevalence of FD in high-risk populations and newborns and evaluate the impact of different GLA variant classifications on the estimated prevalence of FD. METHODS: We searched the EMBASE and PubMed databases on February 21, 2023. Observational studies evaluating the prevalence of FD and reporting the identified GLA variants were included. GLA variants were re-evaluated for their pathogenicity significance using the American College of Medical Genetics and Genomics criteria and the ClinVar database. The pooled prevalence of FD among different settings was calculated. The study was registered on PROSPERO (CRD42023401663) and followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis guidelines. RESULTS: Of the 3941 studies identified, 110 met the inclusion criteria. The pooled prevalence of FD was significantly different according to the clinical setting and criteria used for the pathogenicity assessment. Using the American College of Medical Genetics and Genomics criteria, the pooled prevalence was 1.2% in patients with left ventricular hypertrophy/hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (26 studies; 10 080 patients screened), 0.3% in end-stage renal disease/chronic kidney disease (38 studies; 62 050 patients screened), 0.7% in stroke (25 studies; 15 295 patients screened), 0.7% in cardiac conduction disturbance requiring pacemaker (3 studies; 1033 patients screened), 1.0% in small-fiber neuropathy (3 studies; 904 patients screened), and 0.01% in newborns (15 studies; 11 108 793 newborns screened). The pooled prevalence was different if the GLA variants were assessed using the ClinVar database, and most patients with a discrepancy in the pathogenicity assignment carried 1 of the following variants: p.A143T, p.D313Y, and p.E66Q. CONCLUSIONS: This systematic review and meta-analysis describe the prevalence of FD among newborns and high-risk populations, highlighting the need for a periodic reassessment of the GLA variants in the context of recent clinical, biochemical, and histological data. REGISTRATION: URL: https://crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/; Unique identifier: CRD42023401663.

Performance of the PRIMaCY sudden death risk prediction model for childhood hypertrophic cardiomyopathy: implications for implantable cardioverter-defibrillator decision-making.

AIMS: The validated HCM Risk-Kids model provides accurate individualized estimates of sudden cardiac death risk in children with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). A second validated model, PRIMaCY, also provides individualized estimates of risk, but its performance and clinical impact has not been independently investigated. The aim of this study was to investigate the clinical impact of using the PRIMaCY sudden cardiac death (SCD) risk model in childhood HCM. METHODS AND RESULTS: The estimated 5-year SCD risk was calculated for children meeting diagnostic criteria for HCM in a large single-centre cohort using PRIMaCY (clinical and genetic) and HCM Risk-Kids model, and model performance was assessed. Three hundred one patients [median age 10 (interquartile range 4-14)] were followed up for an average of 4.9 (±3.8) years, during which 30 (10.0%) reached the SCD or equivalent event endpoint. Harrell's C-statistic for the clinical and genetic models was 0.66 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.52-0.8] and 0.66 (95% CI 0.54-0.80) with a calibration slope of 0.19 (95% CI 0.04-0.54) and 0.26 (95% CI -0.03-0.62), respectively. The number needed to treat to potentially treat one life-threatening arrhythmia for the PRIMaCY clinical, PRIMaCY genetic, and HCM Risk-Kids models was 13.7, 14.5, and 9.4, respectively. CONCLUSION: Although PRIMaCY has a similar discriminatory ability to that reported for HCM Risk-Kids, estimated risk estimates did not correlate well with observed risk. A higher proportion of patients met implantable cardioverter-defibrillator thresholds using PRIMaCY model compared with HCM Risk-Kids. This has important clinical implications as these patients will be exposed to a lifetime risk of complications and inappropriate therapies.

Cardiovascular involvement in later-onset malonyl-CoA decarboxylase deficiency: Case studies and literature review.

BACKGROUND: Malonyl-CoA decarboxylase deficiency (MLYCDD) is an ultra-rare inherited metabolic disorder, characterized by multi-organ involvement manifesting during the first few months of life. Our aim was to describe the clinical, biochemical, and genetic characteristics of patients with later-onset MLYCDD. METHODS: Clinical and biochemical characteristics of two patients aged 48 and 29 years with a confirmed molecular diagnosis of MLYCDD were examined. A systematic review of published studies describing the characteristics of cardiovascular involvement of patients with MLYCDD was performed. RESULTS: Two patients diagnosed with MLYCDD during adulthood were identified. The first presented with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy and ventricular pre-excitation and the second with dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) and mild-to-moderate left ventricular (LV) systolic dysfunction. No other clinical manifestation typical of MLYCDD was observed. Both patients showed slight increase in malonylcarnitine in their plasma acylcarnitine profile, and a reduction in malonyl-CoA decarboxylase activity. During follow-up, no deterioration of LV systolic function was observed. The systematic review identified 33 individuals with a genetic diagnosis of MLYCDD (median age 6 months [IQR 1-12], 22 males [67%]). Cardiovascular involvement was observed in 64% of cases, with DCM the most common phenotype. A modified diet combined with levocarnitine supplementation resulted in the improvement of LV systolic function in most cases. After a median follow-up of 8 months, 3 patients died (two heart failure-related and one arrhythmic death). CONCLUSIONS: For the first time this study describes a later-onset phenotype of MLYCDD patients, characterized by single-organ involvement, mildly reduced enzyme activity, and a benign clinical course.

Mavacamten: a first-in-class myosin inhibitor for obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy.

Mavacamten is a first-in-class, targeted, cardiac-specific myosin inhibitor approved by the US Food and Drug Administration for the treatment of adults with symptomatic New York Heart Association Classes II and III obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (oHCM). Mavacamten was developed to target the hyper-contractile phenotype, which plays a critical role in the pathophysiology of the disease. In Phase 2 and 3 clinical trials, mavacamten was well tolerated, reduced left ventricular outflow tract gradients, improved exercise capacity and symptoms, and was associated with improvements in other clinically relevant parameters, such as patient-reported outcomes and circulating biomarkers. In addition, treatment with mavacamten was associated with evidence of favourable cardiac remodelling in multi-modality imaging studies. Mavacamten substantially reduced guideline eligibility for septal reduction therapy candidates with oHCM and drug-refractory symptoms. In this article, the available efficacy and safety data from completed and ongoing clinical studies of mavacamten in patients with symptomatic oHCM are reviewed. Longer term extension studies may help address questions related to the positioning of mavacamten in current oHCM management algorithms, interactions with background therapy, as well as the potential for disease modification beyond symptomatic relief of left ventricular outflow tract obstruction.

Detecting transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy (ATTR-CM) using machine learning: an evaluation of the performance of an algorithm in a UK setting.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to evaluate the potential real-world application of a machine learning (ML) algorithm, developed and trained on heart failure (HF) cohorts in the USA, to detect patients with undiagnosed wild type cardiac amyloidosis (ATTRwt) in the UK. DESIGN: In this retrospective observational study, anonymised, linked primary and secondary care data (Clinical Practice Research Datalink GOLD and Hospital Episode Statistics, respectively, were used to identify patients diagnosed with HF between 2009 and 2018 in the UK. International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-10 clinical modification codes were matched to equivalent Read (primary care) and ICD-10 WHO (secondary care) diagnosis codes used in the UK. In the absence of specific Read or ICD-10 WHO codes for ATTRwt, two proxy case definitions (definitive and possible cases) based on the degree of confidence that the contributing codes defined true ATTRwt cases were created using ML. PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE: Algorithm performance was evaluated primarily using the area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) by comparing the actual versus algorithm predicted case definitions at varying sensitivities and specificities. RESULTS: The algorithm demonstrated strongest predictive ability when a combination of primary care and secondary care data were used (AUROC: 0.84 in definitive cohort and 0.86 in possible cohort). For primary care or secondary care data alone, performance ranged from 0.68 to 0.78. CONCLUSION: The ML algorithm, despite being developed in a US population, was effective at identifying patients that may have ATTRwt in a UK setting. Its potential use in research and clinical care to aid identification of patients with undiagnosed ATTRwt, possibly enabling earlier diagnosis in the disease pathway, should be investigated.

A cost-effectiveness analysis of hypertrophic cardiomyopathy sudden cardiac death risk algorithms for implantable cardioverter defibrillator decision-making.

AIMS: To conduct a contemporary cost-effectiveness analysis examining the use of implantable cardioverter defibrillators (ICD) for primary prevention in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). METHODS: A discrete-time Markov model was used to determine the cost-effectiveness of different ICD decision-making rules for implantation. Several scenarios were investigated including the reference scenario of implantation rates according to observed real world practice. A 12-year time horizon with an annual cycle length was used. Transition probabilities used in the model were obtained using Bayesian analysis. The study has been reported according to the Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards (CHEERS) checklist. RESULTS: Using a 5-year SCD risk threshold of 6% was cheaper than current practice and has marginally better total quality adjusted life years (QALYs). This is the most cost-effective of the options considered, with an incremental cost effectiveness ratio of £834 per QALY. Sensitivity analyses highlighted that this decision is largely driven by what health related quality of life (HRQL) is attributed to ICD patients and time horizon. CONCLUSION: We present a timely new perspective on HCM ICD cost-effectiveness, using methods reflecting real-world practice. While we have shown that a 6% 5-year SCD risk cut-off provides the best cohort stratification to aid ICD decision-making, this will also be influenced by the particular values of costs and HRQL for subgroups or at a local level. The process of explicitly demonstrating the main factors which drive conclusions from such an analysis will help to inform shared decision-making in this complex area for all stakeholders concerned.