A monitoring framework for health care processes using Generalized Additive Models and Auto-Encoders.

In recent years, there has been a considerable focus on developing effective methods for monitoring health care processes. Utilizing Statistical Process Monitoring (SPM) approaches, particularly risk-adjusted control charts, has emerged as a highly promising approach for achieving robust frameworks for this aim. Considering risk-adjusted control charts, longitudinal health care process data is typically monitored by establishing a regression relationship between various risk factors (explanatory variables) and patient outcomes (response variables). While the majority of prior research has primarily employed logistic models in risk-adjusted control charts, there are more intricate health care processes that necessitate the incorporation of both parametric and nonparametric risk factors. In such scenarios, the Generalized Additive Model (GAM) proves to be a suitable choice, albeit it often introduces higher computational complexity and associated challenges. Surprisingly, there are limited instances where researchers have proposed advancements in this direction. The primary objective of this paper is to introduce an SPM framework for monitoring health care processes using a GAM over time, coupled with a novel risk-adjusted control chart driven by machine learning techniques. This control chart is implemented on a data set encompassing two stroke types: ischemic and hemorrhagic. The key focus of this study is to monitor the stability of the relationship between stroke types and predefined explanatory variables over time within this data set. Extensive simulation results, based on real data from patients with acute stroke, demonstrate the remarkable flexibility of the proposed method in terms of its detection capabilities compared to conventional approaches.

Association of lewy bodies, hippocampal sclerosis and amyloid angiopathy with dementia in community-dwelling elderly: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: We measured the proportion of Lewy body pathology (LB), hippocampal sclerosis (HS), and cerebral amyloid angiopathy (CAA) among community-dwelling people with and without dementia. METHODS: We searched for community-based cohorts with postmortem brain autopsy until 1 January 2020. We calculated the summary risk difference and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) using a random-effects model in R. RESULTS: We found 12 articles, comprising 2197 demented and 2104 non-demented participants. LB, HS, CAA were prevalent lesions among community-dwelling elderly (15%, 10%, and 24%, respectively). These significantly increased the risk of dementia (LB: risk difference 38%, 95% CI 20-56%, HS: 34%, 24-44%, CAA: 19%, 3-34%). 20% of cases with neocortical LB, 17% with bilateral HS, and 42% with moderate/severe CAA pathology remained non-demented by death. DISCUSSION: LB or HS or CAA are common neuropathologies among community-dwelling elderly. Although these lesions independently are associated with dementia, many remain non-demented, by death.

A third of community-dwelling elderly with intermediate and high level of Alzheimer's neuropathologic changes are not demented: A meta-analysis.

This systematic review and meta-analysis assessed the bidirectional association between AD pathology and dementia in community-dwelling elderly populations. We searched PubMed/MEDLINE, Embase, Scopus, Web of Science, and references of the pertinent articles for community/population-based longitudinal cohorts with regular assessment of cognitive status of participants followed by postmortem neuropathology data, with no language and date restrictions, until 20 September 2019. Finally, we retrieved 18 articles with data from 17 cohorts comprising 4677 persons. Dementia was twice as likely in participants with definitive neuropathological indicator for AD compared to those without it: moderate/high Braak and Braak (BB) stages III-VI of neurofibrillary tangles (54 % vs. 26 % in participants with BB stages 0-II), the Consortium to Establish a Registry for AD (CERAD) moderate/frequent neuritic plaques scores (64 % vs. 33 % in participants with CERAD none/infrequent), and National Institute on Aging and the Reagan Institute of the Alzheimer's Association criteria intermediate/high AD probability (52 % vs. 28 % in participants with no/low AD probability). Accordingly, a substantial proportion of community-dwelling elderly people with definitive AD pathology may not develop dementia. Brain reserve or contribution of other factors and pathologies, such as vascular and degenerative pathology to dementia might explain this apparent discrepancy. These findings also suggest caution in equating Alzheimer pathology biomarkers with dementia.

The Incidence and Characteristics of Stroke in Urban-Dwelling Iranian Women.

BACKGROUND: Population-based data regarding stroke among women are scarce in developing countries. This study was designed to determine whether sex differences exist in stroke incidence, mortality, and recurrence. METHODS: The Mashhad Stroke Incidence Study is a population-based cohort study in Iran. For a period of 1 year, all patients with stroke in 3 geographical regions in Mashhad were recruited and then followed up for 5 years. Age- and sex-specific crude incidence rates were standardized to the World Health Organization New World Population. Male-to-female incidence rate ratios were assessed for all age groups and all subtypes of first-ever stroke (FES). RESULTS: The annual crude incidence rate of FES (per 100,000 population) was similar in men (144; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 129-160) and women (133; 95% CI: 119-149). Standardized FES annual incidence rates were 239 (95% CI: 213-267) for men and 225 (95% CI 200-253) for women, both greater than in most western countries. There were no significant differences in stroke recurrence or case-fatality between women and men during early and long-term follow-up. CONCLUSION: The similar incidence of stroke between men and women highlights the importance of equally prioritizing adequate preventive strategies for both sexes. The greater relative incidence of stroke in women in Mashhad compared with other countries warrants improvement of primary and secondary stroke prevention.