Age- and gender-specific mortality rates in childhood hypertrophic cardiomyopathy.

AIMS: Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is the commonest inherited cause of sudden cardiac death in children; current guidelines suggest HCM screening after 12-15 years of age. The study aims to establish the age range at highest risk. METHODS AND RESULTS: Cohort study from six regional centres of paediatric cardiology, including children presenting with sudden death; n = 150 (59% = male; 39% familial HCM). Age- and gender-specific mortality was calculated, and compared with rates calculated from the Swedish National Cause of Death Registry. There were 56 deaths within the cohort, 39 were sudden arrhythmia deaths, with 31 at <19 years of age. Between 9-13.9 years of age annual sudden death mortality averages 7.2%, vs. 1.7% after 16 years of age; P = 0.025, odds ratio for proportions 3.75 [95% confidence intervals (CI) 1.18-11.91], similar in both familial and idiopathic HCM. The risk for sudden death peaks earlier in girls (10-11 years), with male preponderance after the age of 15. National cause of death statistics confirm that the mortality rate from HCM is significantly higher in the 8-16 year olds (0.112 per 100,000 age-specific population) than in the 17-30 year olds (0.055 per 100,000; 95% CI 0.011-0.099). CONCLUSION: In families with HCM, children should be screened at an early age.

Echocardiographic and electrocardiographic identification of those children with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy who should be considered at high-risk of dying suddenly.

BACKGROUND: Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy is a common cause of sudden death in children. In this study, we aimed to identify clinical measures for stratification of this risk in childhood. PATIENTS AND METHODS: By means of a retrospective cohort study from six regional centres of paediatric cardiology, we identified 128 patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy presenting below 19 years of age, with a mean follow-up of 10.8 years. Of the patients, 31 had died, 16 suddenly, with a median age at sudden death of 13.3 years. RESULTS: Cox regression shows that electrocardiographic voltages, analysed as the sum of the R and S waves in all six limb leads (p equal to 0.001), and septal thickness expressed as proportion of the 95th centile for age (p equal to 0.036), were independent predictors of sudden death. When the sum of the R and S waves is over 10 millivolts, the odds ratio for sudden death was 8.4, with 95% confidence intervals from 2.2 to 33.7 (p equal to 0.0012), and finding a septal thickness over 190% of 95th centile for age gives an odds ratio of 6.2, with confidence intervals from 1.5 to 25.1 (p equal to 0.011). Noonan's syndrome, with a p value equal to 0.043, and the ratio of the left ventricular wall to its cavity in diastole, with a p value equal to 0.005, were independent predictors of death in cardiac failure, with a ratio of the mural thickness to the dimension of the cavity over 0.30 giving an odds ratio of 36.0, with confidence limits from 4.2 to 311, and a p value equal to 0.00009. At follow-up, patients deemed to be at a high risk of dying suddenly were identified by the combination of the sum of the R and S waves greater than 10 millivolts and septal thickness over 190%, with a sensitivity of 91%, specificity of 78%, positive predictive value of 50%, and a negative predictive value of 97%. CONCLUSIONS: Children at high risk of dying suddenly with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, with a subsequent annual mortality of 6.6%, can be distinguished at the time of diagnosis from those patients having a low risk of sudden death, the latter with an annual mortality of 0.27%.