Timing of previous heart failure hospitalization as a prognostic factor for emergency department heart failure patients.

To investigate whether the timing of a previous hospital admission for acute heart failure (AHF) is a prognostic factor for AHF patients revisiting the emergency department (ED) in the subsequent 12-month follow-up. All ED AHF patients enrolled in the previously described EAHFE registry were stratified by the presence or absence of an AHF hospitalization admission in the prior 12 months. The primary outcome was 12-month all-cause mortality post ED visit. Secondary end points were hospital admission, prolonged hospitalization (> 7 days), mortality during hospitalization and a 90-day post-discharge adverse composite event (ACE) rate, defined as ED revisits due to AHF, hospitalizations due to AHF, or all-cause mortality. Outcomes were adjusted for baseline and AHF episode characteristics.Of 5,757 patients included, the median age was 84 years (IQR 77-88); 57% were women, and 3,759 (65.3%) had an AHF hospitalization in the previous 12 months. The 12-month mortality was 37% (41.7% vs. 28.3% p < 0.001), hospital admission was 76.1% (78.8% vs. 71.1% p < 0.001) ACE was 60.2% (65.1% vs. 50.5% p < 0.001). In the adjusted analysis, patients with AHF hospitalization in the prior 12 months had a higher mortality (HR = 1.41; 95% CI 1.27-1.56), 90-day ACE rate (HR = 1.45: 95% CI 1.32-1.59), and more hospital admissions (OR = 1.32; 95% CI 1.16-1.51), with shorter times since the previous hospitalization being related to the outcomes analyzed. One-year mortality, adverse events at 90 days, and readmission rates are increased in ED AHF patients previously admitted within the last 12 months.

Impact of worsening renal function detected at emergency department arrival on acute heart failure short-term outcomes.

BACKGROUND AND IMPORTANCE: Deterioration of renal function with respect to baseline during an acute heart failure (AHF) episode is frequent, but impact on outcomes is still a matter of debate. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association of creatinine deterioration detected at emergency department (ED) arrival and short-term outcomes in patients with AHF. DESIGN: Secondary analysis of a large multipurpose registry. SETTINGS AND PARTICIPANTS: Patients with AHF were diagnosed in 10 Spanish ED for whom a previous baseline creatinine was available. EXPOSURE: Difference between creatinine at ED arrival and at baseline was calculated (∂-creatinine). OUTCOME MEASURES AND ANALYSIS: Primary outcome was 30-day all-cause death, and secondary outcomes were inhospital all-cause death, prolonged hospitalization (>7 days) and 7-day postdischarge adverse events. Associations between ∂-creatinine and outcomes were explored using logistic regression by restricted cubic spline (RCS) curves and expressed as odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI), taking ∂-creatinine = 0 mg/dl as reference. Curves were adjusted by age, sex, comorbidities, patient baseline status, chronic treatments, and vitals and laboratory results at ED arrival. Interactions for the primary outcome also were investigated. MAIN RESULTS: We analyzed 3036 patients (median age = 82 years; IQR = 75-87; women = 55%), with ∂-creatinine ranged from -0.3 to 3 mg/dl. The 30-day mortality was 11.6%. Increments of ∂-creatinine were associated with progressive increase in risk of 30-day death, although adjustment attenuated this association: ∂-creatinine of 0.3/1/2/3 mg/dl were, respectively, associated with adjusted OR of 1.41 (1.02-1.95), 1.69 (1.02-2.80), 1.46 (0.56-3.80) and 1.27 (0.27-5.83). Distinctively significant higher risk was found for patients over 80 years old, female, nondiabetic, functionally disabled and on digoxin therapy. With respect to secondary outcomes, inhospital mortality was 8.1%, prolonged hospitalization was 33.6% and 7-day postdischarge adverse event was 9.7%. Inhospital death steadily increased with increments in ∂-creatinine [from 1.50 (1.04-2.17) with ∂-creatinine = 0.3 to 3.78 (0.78-18.3) with ∂-creatinine = 3], as well as prolonged hospitalization did [from 1.41 (1.11-1.77) to 2.24 (1.51-3.33), respectively]. Postdischarge adverse events were not associated with ∂-creatinine. CONCLUSION: WRF detected at ED arrival has prognostic value in AHF, being associated with increased risk of death and prolonged hospitalization. These associations showed different patterns of risk but, remarkably, risk started with increments as low as 0.3 mg/dl.

Effect of Flu Vaccination on Severity and Outcome of Heart Failure Decompensations.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the relationship of seasonal flu vaccination with the severity of decompensation and long-term outcomes of patients with heart failure (HF). METHODS: We analyzed 6147 consecutively enrolled patients with decompensated HF who presented to 33 Spanish emergency departments (EDs) during January and February of 2018 and 2019, grouped according to seasonal flu vaccination status. The severity of HF decompensation was assessed by the Multiple Estimation of Risk Based on the Emergency Department Spanish Score in Patients With Acute Heart Failure (MEESSI-AHF) + MEESSI scale, need of hospitalization and in-hospital all-cause mortality. The long-term outcomes analyzed were 90-day postdischarge adverse events and 90-day all-cause death. Associations between vaccination, HF decompensation severity and long-term outcomes were explored by unadjusted and adjusted logistic and Cox regressions by using 14 covariables that could act as potential confounders. RESULTS: Overall median (IQR) age was 84 (IQR = 77-89) years, and 56% were women. Vaccinated patients (n = 1139; 19%) were older, had more comorbidities and had worse baseline status, as assessed by New York Heart Association class and Barthel index, than did unvaccinated patients (n = 5008; 81%). Infection triggering decompensation was more common in vaccinated patients (50% vs 41%; P < 0.001). In vaccinated and unvaccinated patients, high or very-high risk decompensation was seen in 21.9% and 21.1%; hospitalization occurred in 72.5% and 73.7%; in-hospital mortality was 7.4% and 7.0%; 90-day postdischarge adverse events were 57.4% and 53.2%; and the 90-day mortality rate was 15.8% and 16.6%, respectively, with no significant differences between cohorts. After adjusting, vaccinated decompensated patients with HF had decreased odds for hospitalization (OR = 0.823, 95%CI = 0.709-0.955). CONCLUSION: In patients with HF, seasonal flu vaccination is associated with less severe decompensations.

Impact of hospital and emergency department structural and organizational characteristics on outcomes of acute heart failure.

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: To determine whether structural/organizational characteristics of hospitals and emergency departments (EDs) affect acute heart failure (AHF) outcomes. METHODS: We performed a secondary analysis of the EAHFE Registry. Six hospital/ED characteristics were collected and were related to 7 postindex events and postdischarge outcomes, adjusted by the period of patient inclusion, baseline patient characteristics, AHF episode features, and hospital and ED characteristics. The relationship between discharge directly from the ED (DDED) and outcomes was assessed, and interaction was analyzed according to the hospital/ED characteristics. RESULTS: We analyzed 17 974 AHF episodes included by 40 Spanish EDs. Prolonged stays were less frequent in high-technology hospitals and those with hospitalization at home and with high-inflow EDs, and were more frequent in hospitals with a heart failure unit (HFU) and an ED observation unit. In-hospital mortality was lower in high-technology hospitals (OR, 0.78; 95%CI, 0.65-0.94). Analysis of 30-day postdischarge outcomes showed that hospitals with a short-stay unit (SSU) had higher hospitalization rates (OR, 1.19; 95%CI, 1.02-1.38), high-inflow EDs had lower mortality (OR, 0.73; 95%CI, 0.56-0.96) and fewer combined events (OR, 0.87; 95%CI, 0.76-0.99), while hospitals with HFU had fewer ED reconsultations (OR, 0.83; 95%CI, 0.76-0.91), hospitalizations (OR, 0.85; 95%CI, 0.75-0.97), and combined events (OR, 0.84; 95%CI, 0.77-0.92). The higher the percentage of DDED, the fewer the prolonged stays. Among other interactions, we found that more frequent DDED was associated with more 30-day postdischarge reconsultations, hospitalizations and combined events in hospitals without SSUs, but not in hospitals with an SSU. CONCLUSIONS: AHF outcomes were significantly affected by the structural/organizational characteristics of hospitals and EDs and their aggressiveness in ED management.

Factors associated with in-hospital mortality and adverse outcomes during the vulnerable post-discharge phase after the first episode of acute heart failure: results of the NOVICA-2 study.

OBJECTIVE: To identify patients at risk of in-hospital mortality and adverse outcomes during the vulnerable post-discharge period after the first acute heart failure episode (de novo AHF) attended at the emergency department. METHODS: This is a secondary review of de novo AHF patients included in the prospective, multicentre EAHFE (Epidemiology of Acute Heart Failure in Emergency Department) Registry. We included consecutive patients with de novo AHF, for whom 29 independent variables were recorded. The outcomes were in-hospital all-cause mortality and all-cause mortality and readmission due to AHF within 90 days post-discharge. A follow-up check was made by reviewing the hospital medical records and/or by phone. RESULTS: We included 3422 patients. The mean age was 80 years, 52.1% were women. The in-hospital mortality was 6.9% and was independently associated with dementia (OR = 2.25, 95% CI = 1.62-3.14), active neoplasia (1.97, 1.41-2.76), functional dependence (1.58, 1.02-2.43), chronic treatment with beta-blockers (0.62, 0.44-0.86) and severity of decompensation (6.38, 2.86-14.26 for high-/very high-risk patients). The 90-day post-discharge combined endpoint was observed in 19.3% of patients and was independently associated with hypertension (HR = 1.40, 1.11-1.76), chronic renal insufficiency (1.23, 1.01-1.49), heart valve disease (1.24, 1.01-1.51), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (1.22, 1.01-1.48), NYHA 3-4 at baseline (1.40, 1.12-1.74) and severity of decompensation (1.23, 1.01-1.50; and 1.64, 1.20-2.25; for intermediate and high-/very high-risk patients, respectively), with different risk factors for 90-day post-discharge mortality or rehospitalisation. CONCLUSIONS: The severity of decompensation and some baseline characteristics identified de novo AHF patients at increased risk of developing adverse outcomes during hospitalisation and the vulnerable post-discharge phase, without significant differences in these risk factors according to patient age at de novo AHF presentation.

Analysis of standards of quality for outcomes in acute heart failure patients directly discharged home from emergency departments and their relationship with the emergency department direct discharge rate.

OBJECTIVE: Experts recommended that direct discharge without hospitalization (DDWH) for emergency departments (EDs) able to observe acute heart failure (AHF) patients should be >40%, and these discharged patients should fulfil the following outcome standards: 30-day all-cause mortality <2% (outcome A); 7-day ED revisit due to AHF < 10% (outcome B); and 30-day ED revisit/hospitalization due to AHF < 20% (outcome C). We investigated these outcomes in a nationwide cohort and their relationship with the ED DDWH percentage. METHODS: We analyzed the EAHFE registry (includes about 15% of Spanish EDs), calculated DDWH percentage of each ED, and A/B/C outcomes of DDWH patients, overall and in each individual ED. Relationship between ED DDWH and outcomes was assessed by linear and quadratic regression models, non-weighted and weighted by DDWH patients provided by each ED. RESULTS: Among 17,420 patients, 4488 had DDWH (25.8%, median ED stay = 0 days, IQR = 0-1). Only 12.9% EDs achieved DDWH > 40%. Considering DDWH patients altogether, outcomes A/C were above the recommended standards (4.3%/29.4%), while outcome B was nearly met (B = 10.1%). When analyzing individual EDs, 58.1% of them achieved the outcome B standard, while outcomes A/C standards were barely achieved (19.3%/9.7%). We observed clinically relevant linear/quadratic relationships between higher DDWH and worse outcomes B (weighted R2 = 0.184/0.322) and C (weighted R2 = 0.430/0.624), but not with outcome A (weighted R2 = 0.002/0.022). CONCLUSIONS: The EDs of this nationwide cohort do not fulfil the standards for AHF patients with DDWH. High DDWH rates negatively impact ED revisit or hospitalization but not mortality. This may represent an opportunity for improvement in better selecting patients for early ED discharge and in ensuring early follow-up after ED discharge.

Time-pattern of adverse outcomes after an infection-triggered acute heart failure decompensation and the influence of early antibiotic administration and hospitalisation: results of the PAPRICA-3 study.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether patients with an acute heart failure (AHF) episode triggered by infection present different outcomes compared to patients with no trigger and the effects of early antibiotic administration (EAA) and hospitalisation. METHODS: Two groups were made according to the AHF trigger: infection (G1) or none identified (G2). The primary outcome was 13-week (91-days) all-cause mortality, and secondary outcomes were 13-week post-discharge mortality, readmission or combined endpoint. Comparisons are presented as unadjusted and adjusted (MEESSI risk score) hazard ratios (uHR/aHR) for G1 compared to G2 patients, also estimated by weeks. Stratified analysis by EAA (provided/not provided) and patient disposition (discharged/hospitalised) was performed. RESULTS: We included 6727 patients (G1 = 3973; G2 = 2754). The 13-week mortality uHR was 1.11 (0.99-1.25; p = 0.06; with significant increases in the first 3 weeks), and the aHR was 0.91 (0.81-1.02; p = 0.11). There were no differences in unadjusted secondary post-discharge outcomes; however, G1 outcomes significantly improved after adjustment: aHR 0.83 (0.71-0.96; p = 0.01) for mortality, 0.92 (0.84-0.99; p = 0.04) for readmission, and 0.92 (0.85-0.99; p = 0.04) for the combined endpoint. We found a differentiated effect of hospitalisation (p < 0.05 for interaction; better post-discharge readmission and combined outcomes in G1), and a trend (p = 0.06) to lower mortality in G1 patients with EAA. Additionally, there were some differences between groups in baseline and acute episode characteristics. CONCLUSION: AHF triggered by infection is not associated with a higher mid-term mortality and has better post-discharge outcomes; however, the first 3 weeks are an extremely vulnerable period. Since hospitalisation could have a role in limiting adverse post-discharge events, and EAA in reducing mortality, these relationships should be prospectively explored in further studies.

Influence of the length of hospitalisation in post-discharge outcomes in patients with acute heart failure: Results of the LOHRCA study.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the relationship between length of hospitalisation (LOH) and post-discharge outcomes in acute heart failure (AHF) patients and to ascertain whether there are different patterns according to department of initial hospitalisation. METHODS: Consecutive AHF patients hospitalised in 41 Spanish centres were grouped based on the LOH (<6/6-10/11-15/>15 days). Outcomes were defined as 90-day post-discharge all-cause mortality, AHF readmissions, and the combination of both. Hazard ratios (HRs), adjusted by chronic conditions and severity of decompensation, were calculated for groups with LOH >6 days vs. LOH <6 days (reference), and stratified by hospitalisation in cardiology, internal medicine, geriatrics, or short-stay units. RESULTS: We included 8563 patients (mean age: 80 (SD = 10) years, 55.5% women), with a median LOH of 7 days (IQR 4-11): 2934 (34.3%) had a LOH <6 days, 3184 (37.2%) 6-10 days, 1287 (15.0%) 11-15 days, and 1158 (13.5%) >15 days. The 90-day post-discharge mortality was 11.4%, readmission 32.2%, and combined endpoint 37.4%. Mortality was increased by 36.5% (95%CI = 13.0-64.9) when LOH was 11-15 days, and by 72.0% (95%CI = 42.6-107.5) when >15 days. Conversely, no differences were found in readmission risk, and the combined endpoint only increased 21.6% (95%CI = 8.4-36.4) for LOH >15 days. Stratified analysis by hospitalisation departments rendered similar post-discharge outcomes, with all exhibiting increased mortality for LOH >15 days and no significant increments in readmission risk. CONCLUSIONS: Short hospitalisations are not associated with worse outcomes. While post-discharge readmissions are not affected by LOH, mortality risk increases as the LOH lengthens. These findings were similar across hospitalisation departments.

Editor's Choice- Impact of identifying precipitating factors on 30-day mortality in acute heart failure patients.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to describe the prevalence and prognostic value of the most common triggering factors in acute heart failure. METHODS: Patients with acute heart failure from 41 Spanish emergency departments were recruited consecutively in three time periods between 2011 and 2016. Precipitating factors were classified as: (a) unrecognized; (b) infection; (c) atrial fibrillation; (d) anaemia; (e) hypertension; (f) acute coronary syndrome; (g) non-adherence; and (h) two or more precipitant factors. Unadjusted and adjusted logistic regression models were used to assess the association between 30-day mortality and each precipitant factor. The risk of dying was further evaluated by week intervals over the 30-day follow-up to assess the period of higher vulnerability for each precipitant factor. RESULTS: Approximately 69% of our 9999 patients presented with a triggering factor and 1002 died within the first 30 days (10.0%). The most prevalent factors were infection and atrial fibrillation. After adjusting for 11 known predictors, acute coronary syndrome was associated with higher 30-day mortality (odds ratio (OR) 1.87; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.02-3.42), whereas atrial fibrillation (OR 0.75; 95% CI 0.56-0.94) and hypertension (OR 0.34; 95% CI 0.21-0.55) were significantly associated with better outcomes when compared to patients without precipitant. Patients with infection, anaemia and non-compliance were not at higher risk of dying within 30 days. These findings were consistent across gender and age groups. The 30-day mortality time pattern varied between and within precipitant factors. CONCLUSIONS: Precipitant factors in acute heart failure patients are prevalent and have a prognostic value regardless of the patient's gender and age. They can be managed with specific treatments and can sometimes be prevented.

Clinical phenotypes of acute heart failure based on signs and symptoms of perfusion and congestion at emergency department presentation and their relationship with patient management and outcomes.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the clinical characteristics and outcomes of patients with acute heart failure (AHF) according to clinical profiles based on congestion and perfusion determined in the emergency department (ED). METHODS AND RESULTS: Overall, 11 261 unselected AHF patients from 41 Spanish EDs were classified according to perfusion (normoperfusion = warm; hypoperfusion = cold) and congestion (not = dry; yes = wet). Baseline and decompensation characteristics were recorded as were the main wards to which patients were admitted. The primary outcome was 1-year all-cause mortality; secondary outcomes were need for hospitalisation during the index AHF event, in-hospital all-cause mortality, prolonged hospitalisation, 7-day post-discharge ED revisit for AHF and 30-day post-discharge rehospitalisation for AHF. A total of 8558 patients (76.0%) were warm + wet, 1929 (17.1%) cold + wet, 675 (6.0%) warm + dry, and 99 (0.9%) cold + dry; hypoperfused (cold) patients were more frequently admitted to intensive care units and geriatrics departments, and warm + wet patients were discharged home without admission. The four phenotypes differed in most of the baseline and decompensation characteristics. The 1-year mortality was 30.8%, and compared to warm + dry, the adjusted hazard ratios were significantly increased for cold + wet (1.660; 95% confidence interval 1.400-1.968) and cold + dry (1.672; 95% confidence interval 1.189-2.351). Hypoperfused (cold) phenotypes also showed higher rates of index episode hospitalisation and in-hospital mortality, while congestive (wet) phenotypes had a higher risk of prolonged hospitalisation but decreased risk of rehospitalisation. No differences were observed among phenotypes in ED revisit risk. CONCLUSIONS: Bedside clinical evaluation of congestion and perfusion of AHF patients upon ED arrival and classification according to phenotypic profiles proposed by the latest European Society of Cardiology guidelines provide useful complementary information and help to rapidly predict patient outcomes shortly after ED patient arrival.

Eventos adversos en pacientes con insuficiencia cardiaca aguda clasificados de bajo riesgo por la escala MEESSI y dados de alta desde urgencias: cuantificación y predictibilidad / Patients with acute heart failure discharged from the emergency department and classified as low risk by the MEESSI score (multiple risk estimate based on the Spanish emergency department scale): prevalence of adverse events and predictability

Objetivo: Investigar la tasa de eventos adversos en pacientes con insuficiencia cardiaca aguda (ICA) clasificados de bajo riesgo por la escala MEESSI y dados de alta desde urgencias, la capacidad discriminativa de dicha escala para estos eventos en dichos pacientes y las variables asociadas. Método: Se estratificó el riesgo de los pacientes del Registro EAHFE (cohortes 2-5) mediante la escala MEESSI y se analizaron los clasificados de bajo riesgo dados de alta desde urgencias. Se investigó la mortalidad por cualquier causa a 30 días (M-30d), la revisita a urgencias por ICA a 7 días (REV-7d) y la revisita a urgencias u hospitalización por ICA a 30 días (REV-H-30d). Se calculó el área bajo la curva (ABC) de la característica operativa del receptor (COR) de la escala MEESSI para estos eventos. Se analizó la relación entre 42 variables y RV-7d y RV-H-30d mediante regresión logística multivariable. Resultados: Se incluyeron 1028 pacientes. La M-30d fue 1,6% (IC 95%: 0,9-2,5), la REV-7d fue 8,0% (6,4-9,8) y la REV-H-30d fue 24,7% (22,1-25,7). El ABC ROC de la puntuación MEESSI para discriminar estos eventos adversos fue 0,69 (0,58-0,80), 0,56 (0,49-0,63) y 0,54 (0,50-0,59), respectivamente. Se asociaron con RV-7d: tratamiento diurético crónico (OR 2,45; 1,01-5,98), hemoglobina < 110 g/L (1,68; 1,02-2,75) y tratamiento diurético intravenoso en urgencias (0,53; 0,31-0,90). Se asociaron con REV-H-30d: arteriopatía periférica (1,74; 1,01-3,00), episodios previos de ICA (1,42; 1,02-1,98), tratamiento crónico con inhibidores de receptores mineralocorticoides (1,71; 1,09-2,67), índice de Barthel en urgencias < 90 puntos (1,48; 1,07-2,06) y tratamiento diurético intravenoso en urgencias (0,58; 0,40-0,84). Conclusiones: Los pacientes con ICA de bajo riesgo dados de alta desde urgencias presentan tasas de eventos adversos cercanas a los estándares recomendados internacionalmente. La escala MEESSI, diseñada para predecir M-30d, tiene escasa capacidad predictiva para REV-7d y REV-H-30d en los pacientes de bajo riesgo. Este estudio describe otros factores asociados a tales eventos

Objective: To determine the rate of adverse events in patients with acute heart failure (AHF) who were discharged from the emergency department (ED) after classification as low risk according to MEESSI score (multiple risk estimate based on the Spanish ED scale), to analyze the ability of the score to predict events, and to explore variables associated with adverse events. Methods: Patients in the EAHFE registry (Epidemiology of Acute Heart Failure in EDs) were stratified according to risk indicated by MEESSI score in order to identify those considered at low risk on discharge. All-cause 30-day mortality and revisits related to AHF within 7 days and 30 days were recorded. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was calculated for the MEESSI score's ability to predict these events. Associations between 42 variables and 7-day and 30-day revisits to the ED were analyzed by multivariable logistic regression. Results: A total of 1028 patients were included. The 30-day mortality rate was 1.6% (95% CI, 0.9%-2.5%). The 7-day and 30-day revisit rates were 8.0% (95% CI, 6.4%-9.8%) and 24.7% (95% CI, 22.1%-25.7%), respectively. The AUCs for MEESSI score discrimination between patients with and without these outcomes were as follows: 30-day mortality, 0.69 (95% CI, 0.58-0.80); 7-day revisiting, 0.56 (95% CI, 0.49-0.63); and 30-day revisiting, 0.54 (95% CI, 0.50-0.59). Variables associated with 7-day revisits were long-term diuretic treatment (odds ratio [OR], 2.45; 95% CI, 1.01-5.98), hemoglobin concentration less than 110 g/L (OR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.02-2.75), and intravenous diuretic treatment in the ED (OR, 0.53; 95% CI, 0.31-0.90). Variables associated with 30-day revisits were peripheral artery disease (OR, 1.74; 95% CI, 1.01-3.00), prior history of an AHF episode (OR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.02-1.98), long-term mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist treatment (OR, 1.71; 95% CI, 1.09-2.67), Barthel index less than 90 points in the ED (OR, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.07-2.06), and intravenous diuretic treatment in the ED (OR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.40-0.84). Conclusions: Patients with AHF who are at low risk for adverse events on discharge from our EDs have event rates that are near internationally recommended targets. The MEESSI score, which was designed to predict 30-day mortality, is a poor predictor of 7-day or 30-day revisiting in these low-risk patients. We identified other factors related to these events

Patients with acute heart failure discharged from the emergency department and classified as low risk by the MEESSI score (multiple risk estimate based on the Spanish emergency department scale): prevalence of adverse events and predictability. / Eventos adversos en pacientes con insuficiencia cardiaca aguda clasificados de bajo riesgo por la escala MEESSI y dados de alta desde urgencias: cuantificación y predictibilidad.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the rate of adverse events in patients with acute heart failure (AHF) who were discharged from the emergency department (ED) after classification as low risk according to MEESSI score (multiple risk estimate based on the Spanish ED scale), to analyze the ability of the score to predict events, and to explore variables associated with adverse events. METHODS: Patients in the EAHFE registry (Epidemiology of Acute Heart Failure in EDs) were stratified according to risk indicated by MEESSI score in order to identify those considered at low risk on discharge. All-cause 30-day mortality and revisits related to AHF within 7 days and 30 days were recorded. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was calculated for the MEESSI score's ability to predict these events. Associations between 42 variables and 7-day and 30-day revisits to the ED were analyzed by multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: A total of 1028 patients were included. The 30-day mortality rate was 1.6% (95% CI, 0.9%-2.5%). The 7-day and 30-day revisit rates were 8.0% (95% CI, 6.4%-9.8%) and 24.7% (95% CI, 22.1%-25.7%), respectively. The AUCs for MEESSI score discrimination between patients with and without these outcomes were as follows: 30-day mortality, 0.69 (95% CI, 0.58-0.80); 7-day revisiting, 0.56 (95% CI, 0.49-0.63); and 30-day revisiting, 0.54 (95% CI, 0.50-0.59). Variables associated with 7-day revisits were long-term diuretic treatment (odds ratio [OR], 2.45; 95% CI, 1.01-5.98), hemoglobin concentration less than 110 g/L (OR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.02-2.75), and intravenous diuretic treatment in the ED (OR, 0.53; 95% CI, 0.31-0.90). Variables associated with 30-day revisits were peripheral artery disease (OR, 1.74; 95% CI, 1.01-3.00), prior history of an AHF episode (OR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.02-1.98), long-term mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist treatment (OR, 1.71; 95% CI, 1.09-2.67), Barthel index less than 90 points in the ED (OR, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.07-2.06), and intravenous diuretic treatment in the ED (OR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.40-0.84). CONCLUSION: Patients with AHF who are at low risk for adverse events on discharge from our EDs have event rates that are near internationally recommended targets. The MEESSI score, which was designed to predict 30-day mortality, is a poor predictor of 7-day or 30-day revisiting in these low-risk patients. We identified other factors related to these events.

OBJETIVO: Investigar la tasa de eventos adversos en pacientes con insuficiencia cardiaca aguda (ICA) clasificados de bajo riesgo por la escala MEESSI y dados de alta desde urgencias, la capacidad discriminativa de dicha escala para estos eventos en dichos pacientes y las variables asociadas. METODO: Se estratificó el riesgo de los pacientes del Registro EAHFE (cohortes 2-5) mediante la escala MEESSI y se analizaron los clasificados de bajo riesgo dados de alta desde urgencias. Se investigó la mortalidad por cualquier causa a 30 días (M-30d), la revisita a urgencias por ICA a 7 días (REV-7d) y la revisita a urgencias u hospitalización por ICA a 30 días (REV-H-30d). Se calculó el área bajo la curva (ABC) de la característica operativa del receptor (COR) de la escala MEESSI para estos eventos. Se analizó la relación entre 42 variables y RV-7d y RV-H-30d mediante regresión logística multivariable. RESULTADOS: Se incluyeron 1028 pacientes. La M-30d fue 1,6% (IC 95%: 0,9-2,5), la REV-7d fue 8,0% (6,4-9,8) y la REV-H-30d fue 24,7% (22,1-25,7). El ABC ROC de la puntuación MEESSI para discriminar estos eventos adversos fue 0,69 (0,58-0,80), 0,56 (0,49-0,63) y 0,54 (0,50-0,59), respectivamente. Se asociaron con RV-7d: tratamiento diurético crónico (OR 2,45; 1,01-5,98), hemoglobina < 110 g/L (1,68; 1,02-2,75) y tratamiento diurético intravenoso en urgencias (0,53; 0,31-0,90). Se asociaron con REV-H-30d: arteriopatía periférica (1,74; 1,01-3,00), episodios previos de ICA (1,42; 1,02-1,98), tratamiento crónico con inhibidores de receptores mineralocorticoides (1,71; 1,09-2,67), índice de Barthel en urgencias < 90 puntos (1,48; 1,07-2,06) y tratamiento diurético intravenoso en urgencias (0,58; 0,40-0,84). CONCLUSIONES: Los pacientes con ICA de bajo riesgo dados de alta desde urgencias presentan tasas de eventos adversos cercanas a los estándares recomendados internacionalmente. La escala MEESSI, diseñada para predecir M-30d, tiene escasa capacidad predictiva para REV-7d y REV-H-30d en los pacientes de bajo riesgo. Este estudio describe otros factores asociados a tales eventos.

Comparative Analysis of Short-Term Outcomes of Patients With Heart Failure With a Mid-Range Ejection Fraction After Acute Decompensation.

To determine short-term outcomes after an episode of acute heart failure in patients with mid-range ejection fraction (40%-49%; HFmrEF) compared with patients with reduced (<40%) and preserved (>49%) ejection fractions (HFrEF and HFpEF, respectively) and according to their final destination after emergency department (ED) care. This is an exploratory, secondary analysis of the Epidemiology of Acute Heart Failure in the Emergency departments Registry, which includes consecutive acute heart failure patients diagnosed in 41 Spanish EDs. Patients with echocardiography data were included and divided into HFrEF, HFmrEF, and HFpEF. The primary outcome was 30-day all-cause mortality, and secondary outcomes were in-hospital all-cause mortality, hospital length of stay >10 days, and 30-day postdischarge ED revisit due to AHF and combined end point (ED revisit and/or death). We included 6,856 patients (age 79 [10]; 52.1% women): 21.6% had HFrEF, 14.3% HFmrEF, and 64.1% HFpEF. The main destinations for the 982 HFmrEF patients after ED management were internal medicine (293, 29.8%), cardiology (194, 19.9%) and not hospitalized (241, 24.5%), whereas the remaining 254 patients were admitted to other departments, including geriatric wards, short-stay units and intensive care units. Outcomes for HFmrEF did not differ compared with either HFrEF or HFpEF. Compared with HFmrEF admitted to cardiology, internal medicine admission or direct ED discharge increased the 30-day postdischarge ED revisit (hazard ratio [HR] 1.713, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.042 to 2.816; and HR 1.683, 95% CI 1.046 to 2.708, respectively) and the 30-day postdischarge combined end point (HR 1.732, 95% CI 1.070 to 2.803; and HR 1.727, 95% CI 1.083 to 2.756, respectively). In conclusion, patients in the newly created HFmrEF category suffering from an acute decompensation have similar short-term outcomes as those in the classical HFrEF and HFpEF categories; nonetheless, HFmrEF patients handled in cardiology wards during decompensation obtain better outcomes, and reasons for these differences have to be unmasked and corrected.

OBESICA study: relationship between BMI and acute heart failure outcome.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to investigate the relationship between BMI and outcome of acute heart failure (AHF). METHODS: We carried out a secondary analysis of the Epidemiology of Acute Heart Failure in Emergency department Registry (prospective, multicenter registry following a cohort of AHF patients from 34 Spanish emergency departments). Follow-up was at 3 months and 1 year after enrolment over the telephone and included medical history review. We analyzed revisits to the emergency department and death in relation to BMI. Significant differences were analyzed using proportional risk models including data on demographic variables, basal status, the acute episode, and patient outcome. RESULTS: We included 1562 patients: low weight 1.3%, normal weight 26.1%, overweight 45.3%, obese 24.3%, and morbidly obese 3.1%. BMI was inversely associated with mortality (P<0.001) but not with revisit (P=0.70). Compared with patients with normal weight, the proportional risk of death among patients with low weight was increased [hazard ratio (HR) 1.75, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.95-3.23], being reduced in overweight, obese and morbidly obese patients (HR 0.72, 95% CI 0.59-0.89; HR 0.75, 95% CI 0.58-0.96; and HR 0.42, 95% CI 0.20-0.85, respectively). These differences disappeared after adjusting the model for confounding factors and other predictive variables of mortality. CONCLUSION: BMI seems to be related to AHF and death, although this relationship disappeared on considering other prognostic factors and confounding variables. This finding limits the use of BMI by emergency physicians when estimating the risk of emergency department reconsultation or death in AHF patients.

BETAWIN-AHF study: effect of beta-blocker withdrawal during acute decompensation in patients with chronic heart failure.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effects of discontinuing chronic beta-blocker (BB) treatment on short-term outcome in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF) during acute decompensation. METHODS: We selected all the patients previously diagnosed with CHF and currently on BB and attended for acute heart failure (AHF) in one of the 35 Spanish emergency departments participating in the EAHFE registry. Patients were classified according to BB maintenance or withdrawal (BBM or BBW, respectively) during the episode. In-hospital mortality was the primary endpoint; and 30-day mortality, 30-day combined endpoint, and prolonged hospitalization were secondary. We used logistic regression for adjustment of results according to the differences between the BBM and BBW groups, and stratified analysis by age, sex, left ventricular ejection fraction, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, heart rate (HR), and BB type (carvedilol/bisoprolol) was performed. RESULTS: Among 2058 patients receiving chronic BB treatment, 1990 were analyzed: BBM 530 (27 %), BBW 1460 (73 %). Compared to BBM, BBW had a higher in-hospital mortality (5.5 vs 3.0 %; p < 0.05), 30-day mortality (8.7 vs 4.5 %; p < 0.01), and 30-day combined endpoint (29.8 vs 23.4 %; p < 0.05). Multivariate adjustment confirmed an independent direct association between BBW and in-hospital mortality (OR 1.89; 95 % CI 1.09-3.26) and 30-day mortality (OR 2.01; 95 % CI 1.28-3.15). Stratified analysis indicated no interaction by all the subgroups analyzed, except for HR (p = 0.01 for interaction), which showed a greater negative impact of BBW in patients with HR >80 bpm (OR 2.74; 95 % CI 1.13-6.63). CONCLUSIONS: In the absence of clear contraindications, BB treatment should be maintained during AHF episodes in patients already receiving BB at home.

Short-term predictive capacity of two different triage systems in patients with acute heart failure: TRICA-EAHFE study.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether prioritization of patients with acute heart failure (AHF) in the Andorran Triage Model/Spanish Triage System (MAT/SET) and the Manchester Triage System (MTS) also allows the identification of different profiles of outcome and prognosis and determine whether either system has a better predictive capacity of outcomes. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients with AHF included in the Spanish EAHFE registry from hospitals using the MAT/SET or MTS were selected and divided according to the triage system used. Outcome variables included hospital admission, length of stay, death during admission, 3, 7, and 30-day all-cause mortality, and emergency department (ED) reconsultation at 30 days. The results were compared according to the level of priority and the triage system used. RESULTS: We included 3837 patients (MAT/SET=2474; MTS=1363) classified as follows: 4.0% level 1; 34.7% level 2; 55.1% level 3; and 6.3% levels 4-5. Both systems associated greater priority with higher rates of admission and mortality; the MTS associated greater priority with greater ED reconsultation and the MAT/SET found greater priority to be associated with less ED reconsultation. The discriminative capacity of the two scales for adverse outcomes was statistically significant, albeit poor, for almost all the outcome events and it was of scarce clinical relevance (Area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic between 0.458 and 0.661). CONCLUSION: The prediction of the outcome of patients with AHF determined with the MAT/SET or MTS showed scarce differences between the two systems, and their discriminative capacity does not seem to be clinically relevant.

Assessment of methylation status of locoregional lymph nodes in lung cancer using EBUS-NA.

Hypermethylation of the promoter region of tumor suppressor genes is associated with carcinogenesis in lung cancer (LC). Endobronchial ultrasound with needle aspiration (EBUS-NA) is a semi-invasive method for obtaining cell blocks from lymph nodes, which can be used for epigenetic analyses. To establish the relationship between methylation status of p16, DAPK, RASSF1a, APC and CDH13 genes in lymph nodes sampled by EBUS-NA, tumor staging and prognosis. Methylation status of DAPK, p16, RASSF1a, APC and CDH13 genes was assessed in EBUS-NA cell blocks from LC patients and related to stage and survival. Eighty-five consecutive patients [mean age 67 (SD 8)] were included. Methylation of ≥1 gene was found in 43 malignant nodes (67 %). A higher prevalence of RASSF1a methylation was observed in small cell lung cancer patients [9/10 (90 %) vs. 15/53 (28 %); p < 0.001 χ(2) test]. Methylation of APC and/or p16 was related to advanced staging in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) [15/29 (52 %) vs. 6/24 (25 %), p = 0.048, χ(2) test]. Patients with NSCLC showing methylation of APC and/or p16 had also lower 6-month survival (p = 0.019, log rank test), which persisted after adjustment for age and subtyping (HR = 6, 95 % CI [1.8-19.5], p = 0.003, Cox regression). Epigenetic analyses are feasible in EBUS-NA cell blocks and may identify methylation patterns associated with worse prognosis. Methylation of p16 and APC genes in NSCLC patients was associated with advanced staging and lower 6-month survival.

Calidad percibida por los pacientes con insuficiencia cardiaca aguda respecto a la atención recibida en urgencias: estudio CALPERICA / Patients’ perception of quality of emergency department care for acute heart failure: the CALPERICA study

Objetivo: Constatar la calidad percibida de los pacientes con insuficiencia cardiaca aguda (ICA) dados de alta desde urgencias, compararla con la de los ingresados, e investigar las variables asociadas con la calidad percibida. Método: Estudio diseñado prospectivamente, transversal, tipo caso-control, realizado en 7 servicios de urgencias en pacientes consecutivamente diagnosticados de ICA que valoraron mediante encuesta telefónica la atención médica, atención enfermera, trato global y grado de resolución del problema en urgencias. También se solicitó el grado de acuerdo con la decisión de alta directa desde urgencias. Se compararon los pacientes dados de alta e ingresados, y se investigó si estos resultados diferían en función de la existencia de eventos adversos los 30 días siguientes. Resultados: Se incluyeron 1.147 casos y se entrevistaron 1.003 (87,4%): 253 pacientes (25,2%) fueron dados de alta. No hubo diferencias significativas en la valoración que dieron a la asistencia médica, de enfermería, atención global y resolución del problema entre pacientes dados de alta e ingresados. La puntuación global (entre 0 y 10) fue de 7,34 (1,38) y 7,38 (1,52), respectivamente (p = 0,66). Más del 90% estuvieron de acuerdo o muy de acuerdo con la decisión de alta. No hubo diferencias de valoración en función de si habían existido acontecimientos adversos posteriores. Conclusiones: Los pacientes con ICA califican bien los distintos componentes de la atención que reciben en urgencias, sin diferencias entre pacientes ingresados y dados de alta. Entre estos últimos, su grado de acuerdo con la decisión médica de alta es elevado y su valoración se mantiene estable indistintamente de si con posterioridad se producen eventos adversos (AU)

Objectives: To determine perception of quality of care for acute heart failure (AHF) of patients discharged from the emergency department in comparison with the perception of admitted patients; to explore the variables associated with perception of quality. Methods: Prospective, cross-sectional case–control study in 7 emergency departments. Consecutive patients diagnosed with AHF were recruited to answer a telephone survey assessing their view of quality of physician c are, nurse care, overall treatment, and degree of resolution of their problem in the emergency department. Discharged patients were also asked to state their level of agreement with the decision to send them home from the emergency department. The answers of patients who were discharged home were compared with patients who were admitted to the ward. The results were analyzed according to whether or not adverse events occurred within 30 days. Results: A total of 1147 patients were enrolled and 1003 (87.4%) were interviewed; 253 of the patients (25.2%) were discharged home. We found no significant differences in any of the assessments (on physician or nurse care, overall treatment, or degree of resolution) between patients who were discharged home and those who were admitted. The mean (SD) overall satisfaction assessments (on a scale of 0 to 10) were 7.34 (1.38) and 7.38 (1.52), respectively, in the 2 groups (P=.66). Over 90% of those discharged home agreed with or strongly agreed with the decision. Evaluations were unrelated to whether or not adverse events occurred in the next 30 dyas. Conclusions: Patients with AHF have high opinions of the different components of care received in the emergency department, and their evaluations are unrelated to whether they were admitted or discharged home. Those discharged home agree with the decision and their opinion remains firm regardless of whether adverse events occur later (AU)

[Patients' perception of quality of emergency department care for acute heart failure: the CALPERICA study]. / Calidad percibida por los pacientes con insuficiencia cardiaca aguda respecto a la atención recibida en urgencias: estudio CALPERICA.

OBJECTIVES: To determine perception of quality of care for acute heart failure (AHF) of patients discharged from the emergency department in comparison with the perception of admitted patients; to explore the variables associated with perception of quality. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Prospective, cross-sectional case-control study in 7 emergency departments. Consecutive patients diagnosed with AHF were recruited to answer a telephone survey assessing their view of quality of physician care, nurse care, overall treatment, and degree of resolution of their problem in the emergency department. Discharged patients were also asked to state their level of agreement with the decision to send them home from the emergency department. The answers of patients who were discharged home were compared with patients who were admitted to the ward. The results were analyzed according to whether or not adverse events occurred within 30 days. RESULTS: A total of 1147 patients were enrolled and 1003 (87.4%) were interviewed; 253 of the patients (25.2%) were discharged home. We found no significant differences in any of the assessments (on physician or nurse care, overall treatment, or degree of resolution) between patients who were discharged home and those who were admitted. The mean (SD) overall satisfaction assessments (on a scale of 0 to 10) were 7.34 (1.38) and 7.38 (1.52), respectively, in the 2 groups (P=.66). Over 90% of those discharged home agreed with or strongly agreed with the decision. Evaluations were unrelated to whether or not adverse events occurred in the next 30 dyas. CONCLUSION: Patients with AHF have high opinions of the different components of care received in the emergency department, and their evaluations are unrelated to whether they were admitted or discharged home. Those discharged home agree with the decision and their opinion remains firm regardless of whether adverse events occur later.

OBJETIVO: Constatar la calidad percibida de los pacientes con insuficiencia cardiaca aguda (ICA) dados de alta desde urgencias, compararla con la de los ingresados, e investigar las variables asociadas con la calidad percibida. METODO: Estudio diseñado prospectivamente, transversal, tipo caso-control, realizado en 7 servicios de urgencias en pacientes consecutivamente diagnosticados de ICA que valoraron mediante encuesta telefónica la atención médica, atención enfermera, trato global y grado de resolución del problema en urgencias. También se solicitó el grado de acuerdo con la decisión de alta directa desde urgencias. Se compararon los pacientes dados de alta e ingresados, y se investigó si estos resultados diferían en función de la existencia de eventos adversos los 30 días siguientes. RESULTADOS: Se incluyeron 1.147 casos y se entrevistaron 1.003 (87,4%): 253 pacientes (25,2%) fueron dados de alta. No hubo diferencias significativas en la valoración que dieron a la asistencia médica, de enfermería, atención global y resolución del problema entre pacientes dados de alta e ingresados. La puntuación global (entre 0 y 10) fue de 7,34 (1,38) y 7,38 (1,52), respectivamente (p = 0,66). Más del 90% estuvieron de acuerdo o muy de acuerdo con la decisión de alta. No hubo diferencias de valoración en función de si habían existido acontecimientos adversos posteriores. CONCLUSIONES: Los pacientes con ICA califican bien los distintos componentes de la atención que reciben en urgencias, sin diferencias entre pacientes ingresados y dados de alta. Entre estos últimos, su grado de acuerdo con la decisión médica de alta es elevado y su valoración se mantiene estable indistintamente de si con posterioridad se producen eventos adversos.