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1.
PLOS Glob Public Health ; 4(6): e0002765, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38837963

ABSTRACT

Faith-based vaccine initiatives are of growing interest to public health agencies who are looking to increase vaccine confidence among ethnoracially minoritized populations. Despite evidence that support faith-based organizations' (FBOs) partnerships with public health agencies (PHAs) to increase vaccine confidence, reviews on the scope and efforts to ensure equitable vaccination delivery for ethnoracially minoritized populations are scarce. We aimed to understand how public health agencies collaborate with FBOs or faith communities to improve vaccine confidence among minoritized communities in high-, low- and middle- income countries. We conducted a scoping review by searching OVID MEDLINE, Cochrane Library, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL), SCOPUS, and PROQUEST from 2011 to 2023. We included case studies, news reports, observational studies, experimental, and quasi-experimental studies and multimedia content that describes PHA-FBO partnerships that created vaccine initiatives for marginalized and minoritized communities. The data was extracted, summarized, and results were described narratively. We included 167 initiatives reported in 160 publications; 83.8% of the included articles were published between 2019 to 2023. The interventions carried out by PHA-FBO partnerships attempted to increase vaccine uptake using any or all the following methods. First, the initiatives provided digital and in-person platforms for interfaith learning and established training programs to empower faith leaders to become vaccine ambassadors. Second, the initiatives designed and disseminated education and awareness materials that aimed to be sensitive to religious and gender norms. Third, PHA-FBO partnered to apply equity and faith-based frameworks and provided wrap-around support to enable equitable vaccine access. Majority of the initiatives reported that PHA-FBO partnerships improved vaccine confidence and uptake (71.3%). About 22.2% of the initiatives reported quantitative outcomes post-intervention. PHA-FBO initiatives over the past decade increased vaccine uptake and acceptance among diverse ethnoracially minoritized populations. Reporting of faith-based initiatives are subject to publication bias and can be strengthened by examining more evaluation studies and establishment of key outcome indicators to critically appraise intervention outcomes.

2.
Thorax ; 2024 Feb 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38359926

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) has been part of publicly funded childhood immunisation programmes in Ontario and British Columbia (BC) since 2010. We assessed the indirect impact of infant PCV13 programmes on invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and all-cause pneumonia hospitalisation in older adults (aged ≥65 years) using a retrospective observational study. METHODS: We extracted monthly IPD and all-cause pneumonia cases from laboratory and health administrative databases between January 2005 and December 2018. Using a quasi-experimental difference-in-differences design, we calculated the ratio of risk ratios (RRRs) using incidence rates of IPD or all-cause pneumonia cases before (pre-PCV13 period) and after (PCV13 period) 2010 with rates of fractures as controls. RESULTS: The rates of all IPD or PCV serotype-specific IPD for older adults in both Ontario and BC did not change in 8 years after childhood PCV13 programme implementation. All-cause pneumonia increased in Ontario (RRR 1.38, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.71) but remained unchanged in BC. CONCLUSIONS: Indirect community protection of older adults from hospitalisation with pneumococcal disease stalled despite maturation of childhood PCV13 vaccination programmes in two Canadian provinces.

3.
BMJ Open ; 13(12): e070843, 2023 12 21.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38135322

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Faith-based organisations (FBOs) and religious actors increase vaccine confidence and uptake among ethnoracially minoritised communities in low-income and middle-income countries. During the COVID-19 pandemic and the subsequent vaccine rollout, global organisations such as the WHO and UNICEF called for faith-based collaborations with public health agencies (PHAs). As PHA-FBO partnerships emerge to support vaccine uptake, the scoping review aims to: (1) outline intervention typologies and implementation frameworks guiding interventions; (2) describe the roles of PHAs and FBOs in the design, implementation and evaluation of strategies and (3) synthesise outcomes and evaluations of PHA-FBO vaccine uptake initiatives for ethnoracially minoritised communities. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: We will perform six library database searches in PROQUEST-Public Health, OVID MEDLINE, Cochrane Library, CINAHL, SCOPUS- all, PROQUEST - Policy File index; three theses repositories, four website searches, five niche journals and 11 document repositories for public health. These databases will be searched for literature that describe partnerships for vaccine confidence and uptake for ethnoracially minoritised populations, involving at least one PHA and one FBO, published in English from January 2011 to October 2023. Two reviewers will pilot-test 20 articles to refine and finalise the inclusion/exclusion criteria and data extraction template. Four reviewers will independently screen and extract the included full-text articles. An implementation science process framework outlining the design, implementation and evaluation of the interventions will be used to capture the array of partnerships and effectiveness of PHA-FBO vaccine uptake initiatives. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This multiphase Canadian Institutes of Health Research (CIHR) project received ethics approval from the University of Toronto. Findings will be translated into a series of written materials for dissemination to CIHR, and collaborating knowledge users (ie, regional and provincial PHAs), and panel presentations at conferences to inform the development of a best-practices framework for increasing vaccine confidence and uptake.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Vaccines , Humans , Canada , COVID-19/prevention & control , Pandemics , Research Design
4.
Psychiatry Res ; 327: 115401, 2023 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37567112

ABSTRACT

This prospective longitudinal study measured sex-specific changes in depression, anxiety, and stress scores using, validated Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9), Generalized Anxiety Disorder-7 (GAD-7), and the Perceived Stress Scale (PSS) in a cohort of 1445 post-secondary students (500 males, 945 females) assessed at three time points from December 2020 to January 2022. Participants were ascertained from a population of 15,585 students with in-person activities on campus at baseline and recruited from December 2020 to January 2021. We also assessed how sociodemographic characteristics influenced students' mental health outcomes. Inverse probability weighting was used to account for missing data and attrition. Linear mixed effects models were used to analyze the relationship between the mental health scores in each questionnaire, demographic and academic data, and public health stringency measured by the local stringency index. No change was observed in questionnaire scores over time for males and females, but the stringency index was significantly associated with increased stress. Being in a non-health-related-field or being white affected males and females differently for stress and anxiety, but not depression. Demographics tended to be more influential on females' mental health than males. In conclusion, mental health resource allocation in time of emerging pandemic could benefit from targeted interventions.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Female , Male , Humans , Mental Health , Longitudinal Studies , Pandemics , Prospective Studies , Anxiety/epidemiology , Students
5.
BMC Geriatr ; 23(1): 2, 2023 01 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36593474

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: There is low uptake of the pneumococcal vaccination in eligible older adults, even in high-income countries that offer routine and universal vaccination programs. OBJECTIVE: To systematically characterize interventions aimed at improving pneumococcal vaccine uptake in older adults. DESIGN: We conducted a scoping review following PRISMA-SCr guidelines of five interdisciplinary databases: Medline-Ovid, Embase, CINAHL, PsychInfo, and Cochrane Library. Databases were searched from January 2015 until April 2020. The interventions were summarized into three pillars according to the European Union Conceptional Framework for Action: information campaigns, prioritization of vaccination schemes, and primary care interventions. RESULTS: Our scoping review included 39 studies that summarized interventions related to pneumococcal vaccine uptake for older adults, encompassing 2,481,887 study participants (945 healthcare providers and 2,480,942 older adults) across seven countries. Examples of interventions that were associated with increased pneumococcal vaccination rate included periodic health examinations, reminders and decision-making tools built into electronic medical records, inpatient vaccination protocols, preventative health checklists, and multimodal educational interventions. When comparing the three pillars, prioiritization of vaccination schemes had the highest evidence for improved rates of vaccination (n = 14 studies), followed by primary care interventions (n = 8 studies), then information campaigns (n = 5 studies). CONCLUSION: Several promising interventions were associated with improved outcomes related to vaccine uptake, although controlled study designs are needed to determine which interventions are most effective.


Subject(s)
Pneumococcal Vaccines , Vaccination , Aged , Humans , Developed Countries , Electronic Health Records , Immunization Programs/methods
6.
Vaccine ; 40(32): 4380-4393, 2022 07 30.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35781171

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Pneumococcal disease causes substantial morbidity and mortality in older adults. Pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPV23) is routinely recommended to reduce the disease burden in this population. However, the vaccination coverage in older adults remains suboptimal in high-income countries. OBJECTIVES: We sought to understand the current landscape of published literature on the predictors of pneumococcal vaccine uptake in older adults aged 65 years and older in high-income countries, and to identify the gaps in literature to inform future research. METHODS: We conducted a scoping review employing the Arksey and O'Malley framework and Joanna Briggs Methods. We searched Medline, EMBASE, CINAHL, PsycInfo and Cochrane databases. We included quantitative and qualitative studies on predictors of pneumococcal vaccination in older adults that reported older adult- and pneumococcal vaccine-specific results, conducted in high-income settings, and published in English between January 2015 and April 2020. We excluded studies assessing interventions to improve vaccine uptake. We followed the Strategic Advisory Group of Experts on Immunization Working Group Vaccine Hesitancy Determinants Matrix to map the predictors within contextual, individual and social group, and vaccine and vaccination-specific influence determinants. Studies on providers and institutions were also included and results summarized separately. RESULTS: We included 52 publications in our review. Most of the predictors in 39 quantitative studies belonged to the individual and social group influences (n = 12), followed by contextual influences (n = 11) and vaccine and vaccination-specific issues (n = 3). Few qualitative studies explored the barriers to pneumococcal vaccination. Only five studies examined predictors from the healthcare providers' perspective. Three studies examined the institutional characteristics as the predictors of pneumococcal vaccination in older adults. CONCLUSIONS: We identified enablers and barriers of pneumococcal vaccination among older adults in high-income settings. We also identified gaps in the literature and provide recommendations for future research to address the gaps.


Subject(s)
Pneumococcal Infections , Pneumococcal Vaccines , Aged , Developed Countries , Humans , Pneumococcal Infections/prevention & control , Vaccination/methods , Vaccination Coverage
7.
BMJ Open Respir Res ; 9(1)2022 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35764362

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: There is a paucity of data on the burden of the full spectrum of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) and acute otitis media (AOM) from outpatient and inpatient settings across the age spectrum. METHODS: We conducted a population-based retrospective study in Ontario and British Columbia (BC), Canada, to estimate the incidence rate of CAP and AOM in children and adults over a 14-year period using health administrative databases. CAP and AOM cases were identified from outpatient physician consultation and hospitalisation data in both provinces, and from emergency department visit data in Ontario. RESULTS: During 2005-2018, Ontario had 3 607 124 CAP, 172 290 bacterial CAP, 7814 pneumococcal pneumonia, and 8 026 971 AOM cases. The incidence rate of CAP declined from 3077/100 000 in 2005 to 2604/100 000 in 2010 before increasing to 2843/100 000 in 2018; bacterial CAP incidence rate also declined from 178/100 000 in 2005 to 112/100 000 in 2010 before increasing to 149/100 000 in 2018. The incidence rate of AOM decreased from 4192/100 000 in 2005 to 3178/100 000 in 2018. BC had 970 455 CAP, 317 913 bacterial CAP, 35 287 pneumococcal pneumonia and 2 022 871 AOM cases. The incidence rate of CAP in BC decreased from 2214/100 000 in 2005 to 1964/100 000 in 2010 before increasing to 2176/100 000 in 2018; bacterial CAP incidence rate increased from 442/100 000 in 2005 to 981/100 000 in 2018. The incidence rate of AOM decreased from 3684/100 000 in 2005 to 2398/100 000 in 2018. The incidence rate of bacterial CAP increased with age in older adults (≥65 years) with the highest burden in the oldest cohort aged ≥85 years both before and after 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) programme in both provinces. Hospitalised pneumococcal pneumonia decreased slightly but non-hospitalised pneumococcal pneumonia increased in BC during PCV13 period. No consistent direct benefit of PCV13 on CAP was observed in the paediatric population. CONCLUSIONS: There is a substantial burden of CAP and AOM in Ontario and BC. Indirect benefits from childhood PCV vaccination and polysaccharide vaccination of older adults have not substantially decreased the burden of pneumococcal pneumonia in older adults.


Subject(s)
Community-Acquired Infections , Otitis Media , Pneumonia, Pneumococcal , Aged , British Columbia/epidemiology , Child , Community-Acquired Infections/epidemiology , Community-Acquired Infections/prevention & control , Humans , Immunization , Incidence , Ontario/epidemiology , Otitis Media/epidemiology , Pneumonia, Pneumococcal/epidemiology , Pneumonia, Pneumococcal/prevention & control , Retrospective Studies , Vaccination
9.
BMJ Open ; 11(12): e052381, 2021 12 14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34907060

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Sustainable financing of immunisation programmes is an important step towards universal coverage of life-saving vaccines. Yet, financing mechanisms for health programmes could have consequences on the design of universal approaches to immunisation coverage. Effective implementation of immunisation interventions necessitates investigating the roles of institutions and power on interventions. This review aims to understand how sustainable financing and equitable immunisation are conceptualised by health actors like Gavi, and government-related entities across low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) and how financing mechanisms can affect universal coverage of vaccines. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This study protocol outline a scoping review of the peer-reviewed and the grey literature, using established methodological framework for scoping review. Literature will be identified through a comprehensive search of multiple databases and grey literature. All peer-reviewed implementation research studies from the year 2002 addressing financing and universal coverage of immunisation programmes for the pneumococcal conjugated vaccine and rotavirus vaccines immunisation interventions will be included and grey literature published in/after the year 2015. For the study scope, population, concept and context are defined: Population as international and national health stakeholders financing immunisation programmes; Concept as implementation research on pneumococcal conjugate and rotavirus vaccination interventions; and Context as LMICs. Findings will be quantitatively summarised to provide an overview and narratively synthesised and analysed. Studies that do not use implementation research approaches, frameworks or models will be excluded. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethics approval is not required for this scoping review. Findings and recommendations will be presented to implementation researchers and health stakeholders.


Subject(s)
Rotavirus Vaccines , Rotavirus , Developing Countries , Humans , Immunization Programs , Review Literature as Topic , Universal Health Insurance , Vaccination
10.
Vaccine ; 39(52): 7545-7553, 2021 12 20.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34810001

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) burden, evaluated in Canada using reported confirmed cases in surveillance systems, is likely underestimated due to underreporting. We estimated the burden of IPD in Ontario and British Columbia (BC) by combining surveillance data with health administrative databases. METHODS: We established a cohort of 27,525 individuals in Ontario and BC. Laboratory-confirmed IPD cases were identified from Ontario's integrated Public Health Information System and the BC Centre for Disease Control Public Health Laboratory. Possible IPD cases were identified from hospitalization data in both provinces, and from emergency department visit data in Ontario. We estimated the age and sex adjusted annual incidence of IPD and pneumococcal conjugate/polysaccharide vaccine (PCV/PPV) serotype-specific IPD using Poisson regression models. RESULTS: In Ontario, 20,205 overall IPD cases, including 15,299 laboratory-confirmed cases, were identified with relatively stable age- and sex-adjusted annual incidence rates ranging from 13.7/100,000 (2005) to 13.6/100,000 (2018). In BC, 7,320 overall IPD cases, including 5,932 laboratory-confirmed cases were identified; annual incidence rates increased from 10.9/100,000 (2002) to 13.2/100,000 (2018). Older adults aged ≥ 85 years had the highest incidence rates. During 2007-2018 the incidence of PCV7 serotypes and additional PCV13 serotypes decreased while the incidence of unique PPV23 and non-vaccine serotypes increased in both provinces. CONCLUSIONS: IPD continues to cause a substantial public health burden in Canada despite publicly funded pneumococcal vaccination programs, resulting in part from an increase in unique PPV23 and non-vaccine serotypes.


Subject(s)
Pneumococcal Infections , Streptococcus pneumoniae , Aged , British Columbia/epidemiology , Child , Humans , Incidence , Infant , Ontario/epidemiology , Pneumococcal Infections/epidemiology , Pneumococcal Infections/prevention & control , Pneumococcal Vaccines , Serogroup , Vaccination
11.
Lancet Glob Health ; 7(12): e1675-e1684, 2019 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31708148

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Many countries, including India, seek locally constructed disease burden estimates comprising mortality and loss of health to aid priority setting for the prevention and treatment of diseases. We created the National Burden Estimates (NBE) to provide transparent and understandable disease burdens at the national and subnational levels, and to identify gaps in knowledge. METHODS: To calculate the NBE for India, we combined 2017 UN death totals with national and subnational mortality rates for 2010-17 and causes of death from 211 166 verbal autopsy interviews in the Indian Million Death Study for 2010-14. We calculated years of life lost (YLLs) and years lived with disability (YLDs) for 2017 using published YLD-YLL ratios from WHO Global Health Estimates. We grouped causes of death into 45 groups, including ill-defined deaths, and summed YLLs and YLDs to calculate disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for these causes in eight age groups covering rural and urban areas and 21 major states of India. FINDINGS: In 2017, there were about 9·7 million deaths and 486 million DALYs in India. About three quarters of deaths and DALYs occurred in rural areas. More than a third of national DALYs arose from communicable, maternal, perinatal, and nutritional disorders. DALY rates in rural areas were at least twice those of urban areas for perinatal and nutritional conditions, chronic respiratory diseases, diarrhoea, and fever of unknown origin. DALY rates for ischaemic heart disease were greater in urban areas. Injuries caused 11·4% of DALYs nationally. The top 15 conditions that accounted for the most DALYs were mostly those causing mortality (ischaemic heart disease, perinatal conditions, chronic respiratory diseases, diarrhoea, respiratory infections, cancer, stroke, road traffic accidents, tuberculosis, and liver and alcohol-related conditions), with disability mostly due to a few conditions (nutritional deficiencies, neuropsychiatric conditions, vision and other sensory loss, musculoskeletal disorders, and genitourinary diseases). Every condition that was common in one part of India was uncommon elsewhere, suggesting state-specific priorities for disease control. INTERPRETATION: The NBE method quantifies disease burden using transparent, intuitive, and reproducible methods. It provides a simple, locally operable tool to aid policy makers in priority setting in India and other low-income and middle-income countries. The NBE underlines the need for many more countries to collect nationally representative cause of death data, paired with focused surveys of disability. FUNDING: Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Government of India.


Subject(s)
Life Expectancy/trends , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Child , Child, Preschool , Disabled Persons/statistics & numerical data , Female , Humans , India/epidemiology , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Middle Aged , Mortality/trends , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Young Adult
12.
Elife ; 82019 08 27.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31453804

ABSTRACT

Control of pneumonia and diarrhea mortality in India requires understanding of their etiologies. We combined time series analysis of seasonality, climate region, and clinical syndromes from 243,000 verbal autopsies in the nationally representative Million Death Study. Pneumonia mortality at 1 month-14 years was greatest in January (Rate ratio (RR) 1.66, 99% CI 1.51-1.82; versus the April minimum). Higher RRs at 1-11 months suggested respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) etiology. India's humid subtropical region experienced a unique summer pneumonia mortality. Diarrhea mortality peaked in July (RR 1.66, 1.48-1.85) and January (RR 1.37, 1.23-1.48), while deaths with fever and bloody diarrhea (indicating enteroinvasive bacterial etiology) showed little seasonality. Combining mortality at ages 1-59 months with prevalence surveys, we estimate 40,600 pneumonia deaths from Streptococcus pneumoniae, 20,700 from RSV, 12,600 from influenza, and 7200 from Haemophilus influenzae type b and 24,700 diarrheal deaths from rotavirus occurred in 2015. Careful mortality studies can elucidate etiologies and inform vaccine introduction.


Subject(s)
Diarrhea/epidemiology , Diarrhea/etiology , Pneumonia/epidemiology , Pneumonia/etiology , Seasons , Adolescent , Age Factors , Child , Child, Preschool , Diarrhea/mortality , Female , Humans , India/epidemiology , Infant , Male , Pneumonia/mortality , Survival Analysis
13.
Lancet Glob Health ; 7(6): e721-e734, 2019 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31097276

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: India had the largest number of under-5 deaths of all countries in 2015, with substantial subnational disparities. We estimated national and subnational all-cause and cause-specific mortality among children younger than 5 years annually in 2000-15 in India to understand progress made and to consider implications for achieving the Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) child survival targets. METHODS: We used a multicause model to estimate cause-specific mortality proportions in neonates and children aged 1-59 months at the state level, with causes of death grouped into pneumonia, diarrhoea, meningitis, injury, measles, congenital abnormalities, preterm birth complications, intrapartum-related events, and other causes. AIDS and malaria were estimated separately. The model was based on verbal autopsy studies representing more than 100 000 neonatal deaths globally and 16 962 deaths among children aged 1-59 months at the subnational level in India. By applying these proportions to all-cause deaths by state, we estimated cause-specific numbers of deaths and mortality rates at the state, regional, and national levels. FINDINGS: In 2015, there were 25·121 million livebirths in India and 1·201 million under-5 deaths (under-5 mortality rate 47·81 per 1000 livebirths). 0·696 million (57·9%) of these deaths occurred in neonates. There were disparities in child mortality across states (from 9·7 deaths [Goa] to 73·1 deaths [Assam] per 1000 livebirths) and regions (from 29·7 deaths [the south] to 63·8 deaths [the northeast] per 1000 livebirths). Overall, the leading causes of under-5 deaths were preterm birth complications (0·330 million [95% uncertainty range 0·279-0·367]; 27·5% of under-5 deaths), pneumonia (0·191 million [0·168-0·219]; 15·9%), and intrapartum-related events (0·139 million [0·116-0·165]; 11·6%), with cause-of-death distributions varying across states and regions. In states with very high under-5 mortality, infectious-disease-related causes (pneumonia and diarrhoea) were among the three leading causes, whereas the three leading causes were all non-communicable in states with very low mortality. Most states had a slower decline in neonatal mortality than in mortality among children aged 1-59 months. Ten major states must accelerate progress to achieve the SDG under-5 mortality target, while 17 are not on track to meet the neonatal mortality target. INTERPRETATION: Efforts to reduce vaccine-preventable deaths and to reduce geographical disparities should continue to maintain progress achieved in 2000-15. Enhanced policies and programmes are needed to accelerate mortality reduction in high-burden states and among neonates to achieve the SDG child survival targets in India by 2030. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.


Subject(s)
Child Mortality , Infant Mortality , Sustainable Development , Cause of Death , Child, Preschool , Humans , India/epidemiology , Infant
14.
Elife ; 82019 03 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30834890

ABSTRACT

India comprises much of the persisting global childhood measles mortality. India implemented a mass second-dose measles immunization campaign in 2010. We used interrupted time series and multilevel regression to quantify the campaign's impact on measles mortality using the nationally representative Million Death Study (including 27,000 child deaths in 1.3 million households surveyed from 2005 to 2013). 1-59 month measles mortality rates fell more in the campaign states following launch (27%) versus non-campaign states (11%). Declines were steeper in girls than boys and were specific to measles deaths. Measles mortality risk was lower for children living in a campaign district (OR 0.6, 99% CI 0.4-0.8) or born in 2009 or later (OR 0.8, 99% CI 0.7-0.9). The campaign averted up to 41,000-56,000 deaths during 2010-13, or 39-57% of the expected deaths nationally. Elimination of measles deaths in India is feasible.


Subject(s)
Measles Vaccine/administration & dosage , Measles/mortality , Measles/prevention & control , Child, Preschool , Female , Humans , India/epidemiology , Infant , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Male , Mass Vaccination , Measles/epidemiology , Survival Analysis
15.
Lancet ; 393(10176): 1119-1127, 2019 Mar 16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30876707

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: With global survival increasing for children younger than 5 years of age, attention is required to reduce the approximately 1 million deaths of children aged 5-14 years occurring every year. Causes of death at these ages remain poorly documented. We aimed to explore trends in mortality by causes of death in India, China, Brazil, and Mexico, which are home to about 40% of the world's children aged 5-14 years and experience more than 200 000 deaths annually at these ages. METHODS: We examined data on 244 401 deaths in children aged 5-14 years from four nationally representative data sources that obtained direct distributions of causes of death: the Indian Million Death Study, the Chinese Disease Surveillance Points, mortality data from the Mexican Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía, and mortality data from the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics. We present data on 12 main disease groups in all countries, with breakdown by communicable and nutritional diseases, non-communicable diseases, injuries, and ill-defined causes. To calculate age-specific and sex-specific death rates for each cause, we applied the national cause of death distribution to the UN mortality envelopes for 2005-16 for each country. FINDINGS: Unlike Brazil, China, and Mexico, communicable diseases still account for nearly half of deaths in India in children aged 5-14 years (73 920 [46·1%] of 160 330 estimated deaths in 2016). In 2016, India had the highest death rates in nearly every category, including from communicable diseases. Fast declines among girls in communicable disease mortality narrowed the gap by 2016 with boys in India (32·6 deaths per 100 000 girls vs 26·2 per 100 000 boys) and China (1·7 vs 1·5). In China, injuries accounted for the greatest proportions of deaths (20 970 [53·2%] of 39 430 estimated deaths, in which drowning was a leading cause). The homicide death rate at ages 10-14 years was higher for boys than for girls in Brazil, increasing annually by an average of 0·7% (0·3-1·1). In India and China, the suicide death rates were higher for girls than for boys at ages 10-14 years. By contrast, in Mexico it was higher for boys than for girls, increasing annually by an average of 2·8% (2·0-3·6). Deaths from transport injuries, drowning, and cancer are common in all four countries, with transport accidents among the top three causes of death for both sexes in all countries, except for Indian girls, and cancer in the top three causes for both sexes in Mexico, Brazil, and China. INTERPRETATION: Most of the deaths that occurred between 2005 and 2016 in children aged 5-14 years in India, China, Brazil, and Mexico arose from preventable or treatable conditions. This age group is important for extending some of the global disease-specific targets developed for children younger than 5 years of age. Interventions to control non-communicable diseases and injuries and to strengthen cause of death reporting systems are also required. FUNDING: WHO and the University of Toronto Connaught Global Challenge.


Subject(s)
Cause of Death/trends , Communicable Diseases/mortality , Global Health/trends , Noncommunicable Diseases/mortality , Nutrition Disorders/mortality , Wounds and Injuries/mortality , Adolescent , Brazil/epidemiology , Child , Child, Preschool , China/epidemiology , Female , Global Burden of Disease/statistics & numerical data , Global Health/statistics & numerical data , Humans , India/epidemiology , Male , Mexico/epidemiology , Mortality/trends , Suicide/statistics & numerical data , Suicide/trends
16.
Influenza Other Respir Viruses ; 12(1): 22-29, 2018 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29197154

ABSTRACT

AIM: To determine factors associated with a serious outcome (hospital admission or severe outcome: critical care or death) and associated with illness caused by laboratory-confirmed influenza, with a specific interest in low- and middle-income countries (LMIC). METHOD: Databases were searched on 11 March 2016 for reports of influenza and factors associated with mortality or morbidity in humans, with no language restrictions. Pooled risks were estimated using random-effects models. RESULTS: Despite the heterogeneity of results across studies, known risk factors for serious disease were associated with both hospital admission and severe outcomes (critical care and/or death). In LMIC, but not in high income countries (HIC), pregnant women, people with HIV/AIDS and children < 5 years old (compared with older children) were at increased risk of a severe outcome. Also, although all patients with neurological conditions were at higher risk of severe outcomes than those without, children were at higher risk than adults and children who lived in a LMIC were at significantly higher risk than those living in HIC. Adults were more likely than children to suffer a severe outcome if they had diabetes or a hematologic condition, were obese or had liver disease. Asthma is a risk factor for hospital admission but not for severe outcomes. CONCLUSION: Known risk factors for serious disease remain important predictors of hospital admission and severe outcomes with few differences between HIC and LMIC countries. These differences likely reflect differences in health-seeking behaviours and health services, but high heterogeneity between studies limits conclusions about the effect size.


Subject(s)
Developed Countries , Developing Countries , Influenza, Human/complications , Influenza, Human/economics , Humans , Income , Poverty , Risk Factors
17.
Euro Surveill ; 21(42)2016 Oct 20.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27784531

ABSTRACT

Influenza vaccination programmes are assumed to have a herd effect and protect contacts of vaccinated persons from influenza virus infection. We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, the Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL), Global Health and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) from inception to March 2014 for studies assessing the protective effect of influenza vaccination vs no vaccination on influenza virus infections in contacts. We calculated odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using a random-effects model. Of 43,082 screened articles, nine randomised controlled trials (RCTs) and four observational studies were eligible. Among the RCTs, no statistically significant herd effect on the occurrence of influenza in contacts could be found (OR: 0.62; 95% CI: 0.34-1.12). The one RCT conducted in a community setting, however, showed a significant effect (OR: 0.39; 95% CI: 0.26-0.57), as did the observational studies (OR: 0.57; 95% CI: 0.43-0.77). We found only a few studies that quantified the herd effect of vaccination, all studies except one were conducted in children, and the overall evidence was graded as low. The evidence is too limited to conclude in what setting(s) a herd effect may or may not be achieved.


Subject(s)
Influenza Vaccines/administration & dosage , Influenza, Human/prevention & control , Observational Studies as Topic , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , Vaccination , Humans
18.
PLoS One ; 10(10): e0140448, 2015.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26479476

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Clinical studies demonstrate the efficacy of interventions to reduce neonatal deaths, but there are fewer studies of their real-life effectiveness. In India, women often seek facility delivery after complications arise, rather than to avoid complications. Our objective was to quantify the association of facility delivery and postnatal checkups with neonatal mortality while examining the "reverse causality" in which the mothers deliver at a health facility due to adverse perinatal events. METHODS: We conducted nationally representative case-control studies of about 300,000 live births and 4,000 neonatal deaths to examine the effect of, place of delivery and postnatal checkup on neonatal mortality. We compared neonatal deaths to all live births and to a subset of live births reporting excessive bleeding or obstructed labour that were more comparable to cases in seeking care. FINDINGS: In the larger study of 2004-8 births, facility delivery without postnatal checkup was associated with an increased odds of neonatal death (Odds ratio = 2.5; 99% CI 2.2-2.9), especially for early versus late neonatal deaths. However, use of more comparable controls showed marked attenuation (Odds ratio = 0.5; 0.4-0.5). Facility delivery with postnatal checkup was associated with reduced odds of neonatal death. Excess risks were attenuated in the earlier study of 2001-4 births. CONCLUSION: The combined effect of facility deliveries with postnatal checks ups is substantially higher than just facility delivery alone. Evaluation of the real-life effectiveness of interventions to reduce child and maternal deaths need to consider reverse causality. If these associations are causal, facility delivery with postnatal check up could avoid about 1/3 of all neonatal deaths in India (~100,000/year).


Subject(s)
Delivery, Obstetric/statistics & numerical data , Health Facilities/statistics & numerical data , Perinatal Death , Adolescent , Adult , Case-Control Studies , Child , Female , Humans , India , Infant, Newborn , Male , Middle Aged , Pregnancy , Surveys and Questionnaires , Young Adult
19.
Influenza Other Respir Viruses ; 9(2): 78-84, 2015 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25557838

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Healthcare workers may be exposed to people with respiratory viral infections more often than other working adults. Understanding the risk and the effectiveness of different preventive measures is of great importance. OBJECTIVES: To estimate adherence to prophylactic antiviral medication for a full influenza season, to the compare efficacy of antiviral prophylaxis to that of the seasonal influenza vaccine and to identify exposures that increase risk of acute respiratory illnesses (ARI) in healthy adults. METHODS: Participants were randomized 1:2 to receive the 2008-2009 influenza vaccine or daily prophylaxis with 10 mg of zanamivir during the season. Web-based questionnaires collected information on demographics, symptoms, exposures, medication use and side effects. RESULTS: Sixty-four healthy adults were recruited in November 2008. Three of 40 active participants discontinued zanamivir due to side effects; the remaining 37 took >85% of scheduled doses for a median of 121 days. Symptomatic, laboratory-confirmed influenza was detected in one person randomized to zanamivir (2·5%) and 2/20 (10%) who received the vaccine (P = 0·25). Forty-seven participants reported 109 episodes of ARI. Factors associated with an ARI were exposure to a spouse (OR 7·2), child (OR 2·4) or patient (OR 2·0) with symptoms of an ARI in the previous 7 days. CONCLUSIONS: Breakthrough influenza infection occurred in both vaccinated participants and those receiving antiviral prophylaxis. Most adults were willing and able to comply with season-long prophylaxis. Report of recent exposure to family members and patients with an ARI increased the risk of developing an ARI in healthy adults.


Subject(s)
Antiviral Agents/administration & dosage , Influenza Vaccines/administration & dosage , Influenza, Human/prevention & control , Zanamivir/administration & dosage , Adult , Canada , Female , Hemagglutination Inhibition Tests , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Pilot Projects , Seasons , Young Adult
20.
PLoS One ; 9(6): e95696, 2014.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24887586

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Research in areas of low skilled attendant coverage found that maternal mortality is paradoxically higher in women who seek obstetric care. We estimated the effect of health-facility admission on maternal survival, and how this effect varies with skilled attendant coverage across India. METHODS/FINDINGS: Using unmatched population-based case-control analysis of national datasets, we compared the effect of health-facility admission at any time (antenatal, intrapartum, postpartum) on maternal deaths (cases) to women reporting pregnancies (controls). Probability of maternal death decreased with increasing skilled attendant coverage, among both women who were and were not admitted to a health-facility, however, the risk of death among women who were admitted was higher (at 50% coverage, OR = 2.32, 95% confidence interval 1.85-2.92) than among those women who were not; while at higher levels of coverage, the effect of health-facility admission was attenuated. In a secondary analysis, the probability of maternal death decreased with increasing coverage among both women admitted for delivery or delivered at home but there was no effect of admission for delivery on mortality risk (50% coverage, OR = 1.0, 0.80-1.25), suggesting that poor quality of obstetric care may have attenuated the benefits of facility-based care. Subpopulation analysis of obstetric hemorrhage cases and report of 'excessive bleeding' in controls showed that the probability of maternal death decreased with increasing skilled attendant coverage; but the effect of health-facility admission was attenuated (at 50% coverage, OR = 1.47, 0.95-1.79), suggesting that some of the effect in the main model can be explained by women arriving at facility with complications underway. Finally, highest risk associated with health-facility admission was clustered in women with education ≤ 8 years. CONCLUSIONS: The effect of health-facility admission did vary by skilled attendant coverage, and this effect appears to be driven partially by reverse causality; however, inequitable access to and possibly poor quality of healthcare for primary and emergency services appears to play a role in maternal survival as well.


Subject(s)
Clinical Competence/statistics & numerical data , Health Facilities/statistics & numerical data , Maternal Health Services/statistics & numerical data , Maternal Mortality , Midwifery/statistics & numerical data , Patient Admission/statistics & numerical data , Adolescent , Adult , Female , Humans , India/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Models, Theoretical , Odds Ratio , Pregnancy , Probability , Young Adult
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