Stroke unit demand in Norway - present and future estimates.

BACKGROUND: All stroke patients should receive timely admission to a stroke unit (SU). Consequently, most patients with suspected strokes - including stroke mimics (SM) are admitted. The aim of this study was to estimate the current total demand for SU bed capacity today and give estimates for future (2020-2040) demand. METHODS: Time trend estimates for stroke incidence and time constant estimates for length of stay (LOS) were estimated from the Norwegian Patient Registry (2010-2015). Incidence and LOS models for SMs were based on data from Haukeland University Hospital (2008-2017) and Akershus University Hospital (2020), respectively. The incidence and LOS models were combined with scenarios from Statistic Norway's population predictions to estimate SU demands for each health region. A telephone survey collected data on the number of currently available SU beds. RESULTS: In 2020, 361 SU beds are available, while demand was estimated to 302. The models predict a reduction in stroke incidence, which offsets projected demographic shifts. Still, the estimated demand for 2040 rose to 316, due to an increase in SMs. A variation of this reference scenario, where stroke incidence was frozen at the 2020-level, gave a 2040-demand of 480 beds. CONCLUSIONS: While the stroke incidence is likely to continue to fall, this appears to be balanced by an increase in SMs. An important uncertainty is how long the trend of decreasing stroke incidence can be expected to continue. Since the most important uncertainty factors point toward a potential increase, which may be as large as 50%, we would recommend that the health authorities plan for a potential increase in the demand for SU bed capacity.

The knowing-doing gap in acute stroke-Does stroke knowledge translate into action?

In this study, we suggest that there is a substantial knowing-doing gap in acute stroke, as increased stroke knowledge was not associated with earlier hospital admission.

Stroke incidence in the young: evidence from a Norwegian register study.

INTRODUCTION: While there is a general agreement that stroke incidence among the elderly is declining in the developed world, there is a concern that it may be increasing among the young. The present study investigates this issue for the Norwegian population for the years 2010-2015. Cerebrovascular accidents (CVAs) for patients younger than 55 years were identified through the Norwegian Patient Registry and the Norwegian Cause-of-death Registry. METHODS: Negative binomial regression modelling was used to estimate temporal trends in the CVA incidence rates for the young, aged 15-54, with 10-year sub-intervals, and for children below the age of 18. The main outcomes were CVA incidence per 100,000 person-years at risk (PY), 30-day stroke mortality per 100,000 PY, and 30-day case-fatality rates. RESULTS: The analysis showed a negative and non-significant temporal trend in the CVA incidence ([Formula: see text]) as well as for 30-day mortality ([Formula: see text]) for the age group 15-54. Overall, the inclusion of an interaction for age in the bracket 45-54 suggested that any temporal decline is restricted to this age bracket. The analyses of the 10-year age brackets 15-24, 25-34, and 34-45, provided evidence neither for an increase, nor for a decrease, in incidence. Among the children, the estimated temporal coefficients were positive, but non-significant, consistent with a stationary trend. CONCLUSION: Weak statistical evidence was found for a decline in CVA incidence and for overall stroke 30-day case fatality for 15-54 year olds, but the decline was significant only for the 45-54 age band. All results considered, the study suggests a stationary or decreasing temporal trend in CVA incidence and stroke fatality for children (0-18) and young (15-54) in Norway. Even larger data sets are needed to estimate these temporal trends accurately.

Relative blood flow changes measured using calibrated frequency-weighted Doppler power at different hematocrit levels.

In theory, the power of a trans-cranial Doppler signal may be used to measure changes in blood flow and vessel diameter in addition to velocity. In this study, a flow index (FI) of relative changes in blood flow was derived from frequency-weighted Doppler power signals. The FI, plotted against velocity, was calibrated to the zero intercept with absent flow to reduce the effects of non-uniform vessel insonation. An area index was also calculated. FIs were compared with actual flow in four silicone tubes of different diameter at increasing flow rates and increasing hematocrit (Hct) in a closed-loop phantom model. FI values were strongly correlated with actual flow, at constant Hct, but varied substantially with changes in Hct. Percentage changes in area indexes, relative to the 4-mm tube, were strongly correlated with tube cross-sectional area. The implications of these results for in vivo use are discussed.