Population-specific thermal responses contribute to regional variability in arbovirus transmission with changing climates.

Temperature is increasing globally, and vector-borne diseases are particularly responsive to such increases. While it is known that temperature influences mosquito life history traits, transmission models have not historically considered population-specific effects of temperature. We assessed the interaction between Culex pipiens population and temperature in New York State (NYS) and utilized novel empirical data to inform predictive models of West Nile virus (WNV) transmission. Genetically and regionally distinct populations from NYS were reared at various temperatures, and life history traits were monitored and used to inform trait-based models. Variation in Cx. pipiens life history traits and population-dependent thermal responses account for a predicted 2.9°C difference in peak transmission that is reflected in regional differences in WNV prevalence. We additionally identified genetic signatures that may contribute to distinct thermal responses. Together, these data demonstrate how population variation contributes to significant geographic variability in arbovirus transmission with changing climates.

Experimental Evolution of West Nile Virus at Higher Temperatures Facilitates Broad Adaptation and Increased Genetic Diversity.

West Nile virus (WNV, Flaviviridae, Flavivirus) is a mosquito-borne flavivirus introduced to North America in 1999. Since 1999, the Earth's average temperature has increased by 0.6 °C. Mosquitoes are ectothermic organisms, reliant on environmental heat sources. Temperature impacts vector-virus interactions which directly influence arbovirus transmission. RNA viral replication is highly error-prone and increasing temperature could further increase replication rates, mutation frequencies, and evolutionary rates. The impact of temperature on arbovirus evolutionary trajectories and fitness landscapes has yet to be sufficiently studied. To investigate how temperature impacts the rate and extent of WNV evolution in mosquito cells, WNV was experimentally passaged 12 times in Culex tarsalis cells, at 25 °C and 30 °C. Full-genome deep sequencing was used to compare genetic signatures during passage, and replicative fitness was evaluated before and after passage at each temperature. Our results suggest adaptive potential at both temperatures, with unique temperature-dependent and lineage-specific genetic signatures. Further, higher temperature passage was associated with significantly increased replicative fitness at both temperatures and increases in nonsynonymous mutations. Together, these data indicate that if similar selective pressures exist in natural systems, increases in temperature could accelerate emergence of high-fitness strains with greater phenotypic plasticity.

Visual Detection and Avoidance of Pathogenic Bacteria by Aphids.

Aphids are diverse sap-sucking insects [1] that can be serious agricultural pests and vectors of plant disease [2]. Some species, including pea aphids (Acyrthosiphon pisum), are susceptible to infection by epiphytic bacteria that are commonly found on plant surfaces [3-5]. Pea aphids appear unable to recover from these infections, possibly because pea aphids are missing apparent orthologs of some immune response genes [6], and these aphids exhibit relatively low immune responses after pathogen exposure [7]. We therefore tested the ability of pea aphids to use avoidance as a non-immunological defense against Pseudomonas syringae, a widespread plant epiphyte and aphid pathogen [8, 9]. Pea aphids avoided highly virulent strains of P. syringae, but not all strains, and avoidance led to a significant reduction in infection among aphids. We found that aphids can use visual cues to detect the ultraviolet (UV)-based fluorescence of the bacterial siderophore pyoverdine [10] produced by virulent strains. Avoided epiphytic bacteria caused light leaving the surface of leaves to be richer in wavelengths that were tightly linked to both aphid visual sensitivities and the fluorescent emission spectra of pyoverdine, suggesting that pyoverdine fluorescence mediates avoidance and may be a visual cue used by aphids to detect epiphytic pathogens. Although pyoverdine production in Pseudomonas species may be a broadly reliable indicator of bacterial virulence within the phyllosphere, it was not directly responsible for virulence to aphids. Aphids may be under selection to avoid fluorescence on leaves, a phenomenon with potential use for the control of agricultural pest insects.