Impact of Down Syndrome on Survival Among Patients With Congenital Heart Disease.

BACKGROUND: Increasing survival among patients with congenital heart disease (CHD) has recently been reported. However, the impact of Down syndrome (DS) in patients with CHD is still debated. We aimed to estimate survival in patients with CHD with versus without DS compared with matched controls from the general population without CHD or DS. METHODS AND RESULTS: We linked data from Swedish health registries to identify patients with CHD born between 1970 and 2017. Data from the Total Population Register were used to match each patient with CHD by sex and birth year with 8 controls without CHD or DS. A Cox proportional regression model was used to estimate mortality risk, and Kaplan-Meier curves were analyzed for the survival analysis. We identified 3285 patients with CHD-DS, 64 529 patients with CHD without DS, and 26 128 matched controls. The mortality risk was 25.1 times higher (95% CI, 21.3-29.5) in patients with CHD-DS versus controls. The mortality rate was 2 times higher (95% CI, 1.94-2.31) for patients with CHD with versus without DS. Lower mortality was found during the second versus first birth periods in patients with CHD-DS compared with controls; hazard ratio: 46.8 (95% CI, 29.5-74.0) and 17.7 (95% CI, 12.8-24.42) in those born between 1970 and 1989 versus 1990 and 2017, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In this retrospective cohort study, the mortality risk among patients with CHD-DS was 25 times higher compared with matched controls and 2 times higher compared with patients with CHD without DS. Survival was higher in patients with CHD-DS born after versus before 1990, coinciding with the modern era of congenital heart care.

Adults With Congenital Heart Disease: Trends in Event-Free Survival Past Middle Age.

BACKGROUND: The survival of children with congenital heart disease has increased substantially over the past decades, with 97% currently reaching adulthood. The total effect of advanced treatment on future mortality and morbidity in adult survivors with congenital heart disease (CHD) is less well described. METHODS: We used data from the Swedish National Inpatient, Outpatient, and Cause of Death Register to identify patients with CHD who were born between 1950 and 1999 and were alive at 18 years of age. Ten controls identified from the Total Population Register were matched for year of birth and sex and with each patient with CHD. Follow-up was from 1968 and 18 years of age until death or at the end of the study (2017). Survival percentage with 95% CI for all-cause mortality were performed with Kaplan-Meier survival function. Cox proportional hazard regression models with hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CI were used to estimate the risk of all-cause mortality. RESULTS: We included 37 278 patients with adult CHD (ACHD) and 412 799 controls. Mean follow-up was 19.2 years (±13.6). Altogether, 1937 patients with ACHD (5.2%) and 6690 controls (1.6%) died, a death rate of 2.73 per 1000 person-years and 0.84 per 1000 person years, respectively. Mortality was 3.2 times higher (95% CI, 3.0-3.4; P<0.001) among patients with ACHD compared with matched controls. Up to the maximum of 50 years of follow-up, >75% of patients with ACHD were still alive. Mortality was highest among patients with conotruncal defects (HR, 10.13 [95% CI, 8.78-11.69]), but also significantly higher for the more benign lesions, with the lowest risk in patients with atrial septal defects (HR, 1.36 [95% CI, 1.19-1.55]). At least 75% of patients with ACHD alive at 18 years of age lived past middle age and became sexagenerians. CONCLUSIONS: In this large, nationwide, register-based cohort study of patients with ACHD surviving to 18 years of age, the risk of mortality up to 68 years of age was >3 times higher compared with matched controls without ACHD. Despite this, at least 75% of patients with CHD alive at 18 years of age lived past middle age and became sexagenerians. A notable risk decline in the mortality for patients with ACHD was seen for those born after 1975.

Congenital heart disease: changes in recorded birth prevalence and cardiac interventions over the past half-century in Sweden.

AIMS: Our objective was to assess changes in the birth prevalence of CHD over a half-century in a high-resource, nationwide setting, as well as changes in the prevalence of cardiac interventions in this population. METHODS AND RESULTS: The Swedish National Patient and Cause of Death registers were linked to estimate the annual rates of CHD and cardiac interventions among live-born infants from 1970 to 2017. Additionally, separate estimates were obtained by lesion complexity, from mild to the most complex forms of CHD. Overall, the numbers of live-born infants with a CHD identified varied from 624 to 2459 annual cases, with rates increasing steadily from 5.7 to an average of 20 per 1000 live births at the end of the study period, and with a more pronounced increase from 1996 to 2005. The largest increase over time was observed for mild CHD lesions. Overall, the proportion of cardiac interventions among patients with CHD declined from 40.7% in 1970 to below 15.0% after 2014. However, in the most complex CHD lesion groups, overall cardiac interventions increased from 57.1 to 76.8% in patients with conotruncal defects and from 32.8 to 39.5% in those with severe non-conotruncal defects. CONCLUSION: The live-birth prevalence of CHD in Sweden more than tripled during the past half-century, most likely resulting from more accurate diagnostic capabilities. The largest increase over time was observed among patients with simple defects. During the same period, overall cardiac interventions decreased whereas interventions for the most complex CHD groups increased.

Chronic kidney disease in patients with congenital heart disease: a nationwide, register-based cohort study.

Aims: To investigate the risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in young patients with congenital heart disease (CHD) (age 0-47 years) compared with age- and sex-matched controls without CHD. Methods and results: Using data from the Swedish National Patient Register and the Cause of Death Register, 71,936 patients with CHD (50.2% male) born between 1970 and 2017 were identified. Each patient with CHD was matched by sex and age to 10 controls without CHD (n = 714,457). Follow-up data were collected for patients with CHD and controls until 2017. During a median follow-up of 13.5 (5.8; 25.5) years, 379 (0.5%) patients with CHD and 679 (0.1%) controls developed CKD. The risk of CKD was 6.4 times higher in patients with CHD than controls [95% confidence interval (CI): 5.65-7.27] and was highest in patients with severe non-conotruncal defects [hazard ratio (HR): 11.31; 95% CI: 7.37-17.36]. Compared with matched controls, the absolute and relative risks of CKD were greater for CHD patients born between 1997 and 2017 (HR: 9.98; 95% CI: 8.05-13.37) (incidence 39.5 per 100 000 person-years). The risk of CKD remained significantly higher after adjusting for hypertension, acute kidney injury, and diabetes mellitus (HR: 4.37; 95% CI: 3.83-5.00). Conclusion: Although the absolute risk of CKD in young patients with CHD is relatively low, patients with CHD are six times more likely to develop CKD than non-CHD controls up to the age of 47 years. Further data are needed to inform guidelines on the prevention and follow-up of CKD in CHD patients.

Long-term survival in patients with isolated pulmonary valve stenosis: a not so benign disease?

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: During the last decades, the survival rates in patients with congenital heart disease have increased dramatically, particularly in patients with complex heart malformations. However, the survival in patients with simple defects is still unknown. We aimed to determine the characteristics and the risk of mortality in patients with isolated pulmonary valve stenosis (PS). METHODS: Swedish inpatient, outpatient and cause of death registries were used to identify patients born between 1970 and 2017 with a diagnosis of PS, without any other concomitant congenital heart lesion. For each patient with PS, 10 control individuals without congenital heart disease were matched by birth year and sex from the total population registry. We used median-unbiased method and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis to examine the risk of mortality. RESULTS: We included 3910 patients with PS and 38 770 matched controls. The median age of diagnosis of PS was 0.7 years (IQR 0.3-7.0). During a median follow-up of 13.5 years (IQR 6.5-23.5), 88 patients with PS and 192 controls died; 500 patients with PS (12%) underwent at least one transcatheter or surgical valve intervention. The overall mortality rate was significantly higher in patients with PS compared with matched controls (HR 4.67, 95% CI 3.61 to 5.99, p=0.001). Patients with an early diagnosis of PS (0-1 year) had the highest risk of mortality (HR 10.99, 95% CI 7.84 to 15.45). CONCLUSIONS: In this nationwide, register-based cohort study, we found that the risk of mortality in patients with PS is almost five times higher compared with matched controls. Patients with an early diagnosis of PS appears to be the most vulnerable group and the regular follow-up in tertiary congenital heart units may be the key to prevention.

Burden of Ischemic Stroke in Patients With Congenital Heart Disease: A Nationwide, Case-Control Study.

Background Patients with congenital heart disease (CHD) are at increased risk of developing ischemic stroke (IS) compared with controls without CHD. However, the long-term outcomes after IS, including IS recurrence and mortality risk, remain unclear. Methods and Results We identified all patients with CHD in Sweden who were born between 1930 and 2017 using the Swedish National Patient Register and the Cause of Death Register. Ten controls without CHD were randomly selected from the general population and matched for birth year and sex for each patient with CHD. The follow-up of the study population was performed between January 1970 and December 2017. In total, 88 700 patients with CHD (50.6% men) and 890 450 matched controls (51.0%) were included in this study. During a mean follow-up of 25.1±22.0 years, patients with CHD had a 5-fold higher risk of developing an index IS (hazard ratio [HR], 5.01; 95% CI, 4.81-5.22) compared with controls. However, the risk of developing a recurrent IS was lower in patients with CHD compared with controls (HR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.56-0.78), an observation that persisted after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors and comorbidities. Patients with CHD were also at a significantly lower risk of all-cause mortality after index IS than controls (HR, 0.53; 95% CI, 0.49-0.58). Conclusions Patients with CHD had a 5-fold higher risk of developing index IS compared with matched controls. However, the risk of recurrent IS stroke and all-cause mortality were 34% and 47% lower, respectively, in patients with CHD compared with controls.

Long-term outcomes after myocardial infarction in middle-aged and older patients with congenital heart disease-a nationwide study.

AIMS: We aimed to describe the risk of myocardial infarction (MI) in middle-aged and older patients with congenital heart disease (ACHD) and to evaluate the long-term outcomes after index MI in patients with ACHD compared with controls. METHODS AND RESULTS: A search of the Swedish National Patient Register identified 17 189 patients with ACHD (52.2% male) and 180 131 age- and sex-matched controls randomly selected from the general population who were born from 1930 to 1970 and were alive at 40 years of age; all followed up until December 2017 (mean follow-up 23.2 ± 11.0 years). Patients with ACHD had a 1.6-fold higher risk of MI compared with controls [hazard ratio (HR) 1.6, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.5-1.7, P < 0.001] and the cumulative incidence of MI by 65 years of age was 7.4% in patients with ACHD vs. 4.4% in controls. Patients with ACHD had a 1.4-fold increased risk of experiencing a composite event after the index MI compared with controls (HR 1.4, 95% CI 1.3-1.6, P < 0.001), driven largely by the occurrence of new-onset heart failure in 42.2% (n = 537) of patients with ACHD vs. 29.5% (n = 2526) of controls. CONCLUSION: Patients with ACHD had an increased risk of developing MI and of recurrent MI, new-onset heart failure, or death after the index MI, compared with controls, mainly because of a higher incidence of newly diagnosed heart failure in patients with ACHD. Recognizing and managing the modifiable cardiovascular risk factors should be of importance to reduce morbidity and mortality in patients with ACHD.

Survival in Children With Congenital Heart Disease: Have We Reached a Peak at 97%?

Background Despite advances in pediatric health care over recent decades, it is not clear whether survival in children with congenital heart disease (CHD) is still increasing. Methods and Results We identified all patients with CHD using nationwide Swedish health registries for 1980 to 2017. We examined the survival trends in children with CHD; we investigated the mortality risk in patients with CHD compared with matched controls without CHD from the general population using Cox proportional regression models and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. Among 64 396 patients with CHD and 639 012 matched controls without CHD, 3845 (6.0%) and 2235 (0.3%) died, respectively. The mean study follow-up (SD) was 11.4 (6.3) years in patients with CHD. The mortality risk was 17.7 (95% CI, 16.8-18.6) times higher in children with CHD compared with controls. The highest mortality risk was found during the first 4 years of life in patients with CHD (hazard ratio [HR], 19.6; 95% CI, 18.5-20.7). When stratified by lesion group, patients with non-conotruncal defects had the highest risk (HR, 97.2; 95% CI, 80.4-117.4). Survival increased substantially according to birth decades, but with no improvement after the turn of the century where survivorship reached 97% in children with CHD born in 2010 to 2017. Conclusions Survival in children with CHD has increased substantially since the 1980s; however, no significant improvement has been observed this century. Currently, >97% of children with CHD can be expected to reach adulthood highlighting the need of life-time management.

Validation of myocardial infarction diagnosis in patients with congenital heart disease in Sweden.

BACKGROUND: The population of adults with congenital heart disease (CHD) is growing, and increasingly more patients with CHD reach older ages. Patients with CHD are at an increased risk of myocardial infarction (MI) with increased age. Diagnosing MI in patients with CHD can be challenging in clinical practice owing to a high prevalence of aberrant electrocardiograms, ventricular hypertrophy, and heart failure, among other factors. The National Swedish Patient Register (NPR) is widely used in epidemiological studies; however, MI diagnoses specifically in patients with CHD have never been validated in the NPR. METHODS: We contacted hospitals and medical archive services to request medical records for 249 patients, born during 1970-2012, with both CHD and MI diagnoses and who were randomly selected from the NPR by the Swedish National Board of Health and Welfare. Follow-up was until 2015. We performed a medical chart review to validate the MI diagnoses; we also validated CHD diagnoses to ensure that only patients with confirmed CHD diagnoses were included in the MI validation process. RESULTS: We received medical records for 96.4% (n = 238/249) of patients for validation of CHD diagnoses. In total, 74.8% (n = 178/238) had a confirmed CHD diagnosis; of these, 70.2% (n = 167) had a fully correct CHD diagnosis in the NPR; a further 4.6% (n = 11) had a CHD diagnosis, but it was misclassified. MI diagnoses were validated in 167 (93.8%) patients with confirmed CHD. Of the patients with confirmed CHD, 88.0% (n = 147/167) had correct MI diagnoses. Patients with non-complex CHD diagnoses had more correct MI diagnoses than patients with complex CHD (91.0%, n = 131 compared with 69.6%, n = 16). The main cause for incorrect MI diagnoses was typographical error, contributing to 50.0% of the incorrect diagnoses. CONCLUSIONS: The validity of MI diagnoses in patients with confirmed CHD in the NPR is high, with nearly 9 of 10 MI diagnoses being correct (88.0%). MI in patients with CHD can safely be studied using the NPR.

Cardiovascular risk factors in adults with coarctation of the aorta.

BACKGROUND: The aging patient with adult congenital heart disease (ACHD) faces the risk of developing atherosclerotic disease. Patients with coarctation of the aorta (CoA) are especially vulnerable because of an inherent high risk of developing hypertension. However, data on the prevalence of other cardiovascular risk factors are scarce. Therefore, this study aimed to describe the prevalence of traditional cardiovascular risk factors (diabetes, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, smoking, obesity, and sedentary lifestyle) in adult patients with CoA. METHODS: Patients with CoA who were registered at the ACHD clinic in Gothenburg were asked to participate in a comprehensive cardiovascular risk assessment. This assessment included a glucose tolerance test, cholesterol profile, ambulatory blood pressure measurements, and a lifestyle questionnaire. RESULTS: A total of 72 patients participated. The median age was 43.5 years and 58.3% were men. Sixty-six (91.7%) patients had ≥one cardiovascular risk factor and 40.3% had ≥three risk factors. Three (4.2%) patients were newly diagnosed with diabetes or impaired glucose tolerance. More than half of the patients had hyperlipidemia (n = 42, 58.3%) and 35 patients (48.6%) were overweight or obese. Only three (4.2%) patients smoked regularly. Of the 60 patients who underwent 24-hour ambulatory blood pressure measurement, 33 (55.0%) were hypertensive. Of the 30 patients with known hypertension only 9 (30.0%) had well-controlled blood pressure on ambulatory blood pressure measurement. CONCLUSIONS: Cardiovascular risk factors among patients with CoA are prevalent. This may indicate a need for more aggressive screening strategies of traditional risk factors to minimize the risk of these patients also developing atherosclerotic disease.

Atrial Fibrillation Burden in Young Patients With Congenital Heart Disease.

BACKGROUND: Patients with congenital heart disease (CHD) are assumed to be vulnerable to atrial fibrillation (AF) as a result of residual shunts, anomalous vessel anatomy, progressive valvulopathy, hypertension, and atrial scars from previous heart surgery. However, the risk of developing AF and the complications associated with AF in children and young adults with CHD have not been compared with those in control subjects. METHODS: Data from the Swedish Patient and Cause of Death registers were used to identify all patients with a diagnosis of CHD who were born from 1970 to 1993. Each patient with CHD was matched by birth year, sex, and county with 10 control subjects from the Total Population Register in Sweden. Follow-up data were collected until 2011. RESULTS: Among 21 982 patients (51.6% men) with CHD and 219 816 matched control subjects, 654 and 328 developed AF, respectively. The mean follow-up was 27 years. The risk of developing AF was 21.99 times higher (95% confidence interval, 19.26-25.12) in patients with CHD than control subjects. According to a hierarchical CHD classification, patients with conotruncal defects had the highest risk (hazard ratio, 84.27; 95% confidence interval, 56.86-124.89). At the age of 42 years, 8.3% of all patients with CHD had a recorded diagnosis of AF. Heart failure was the quantitatively most important complication in patients with CHD and AF, with a 10.7% (70 of 654) recorded diagnosis of heart failure. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of AF in children and young adults with CHD was 22 times higher than that in matched control subjects. Up to the age of 42 years, 1 of 12 patients with CHD had developed AF, and 1 of 10 patients with CHD with AF had developed heart failure. The patient groups with the most complex congenital defects carried the greatest risk of AF and could be considered for targeted monitoring.

Ischemic heart disease in children and young adults with congenital heart disease in Sweden.

BACKGROUND: An increasing proportion of congenital heart disease (CoHD) patients survive to an age associated with increased risk of developing ischemic heart disease (IHD). The aim was to investigate the risk of developing IHD among children and young adults with CoHD. METHODS: Using the Swedish National Patient Register, we created a cohort of all CoHD patients born between January 1970 and December 1993. Ten controls matched for age, sex, county were randomly selected from the general population for each patient (n=219,816). Patients and controls were followed from birth until first IHD event, death, or December 31, 2011. RESULTS: We identified 21,982 patients with CoHD (51.6% men), mean follow-up was 26.4 (21.2-33.9) years. CoHD patients had 16.5 times higher risk of being hospitalized with or dying from IHD compared to controls (95% CI: 13.7-19.9), p<0.0001. Patients with conotruncal defects and severe nonconotruncal defects, had the highest IHD incidence rate (71.1 and 56.3 cases per 100,000 person-years, respectively, compared to 2.9 and 2.3 in controls). Hypertension and diabetes were less common among CoHD patients with IHD than among controls with IHD (hypertension 9.7% vs 19.7%, diabetes 1.8% vs 7.7% in CoHD patients and controls). Patients with aortic coarctation did not have a specific increase in the risk of developing IHD or acute myocardial infarction. CONCLUSIONS: In this large case-control cohort study, the relative risk of developing IHD was markedly higher in CoHD patients than in controls. However, the absolute risk was low in both groups.