Population Dementia Incidence and Direct Oral Anticoagulant Use in a Representative Population With Atrial Fibrillation.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Incidence and prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF), a risk factor of dementia, have been increasing over time. Oral anticoagulation reduces risk of stroke and other negative outcomes of AF and may reduce dementia health inequities. The objective of this study was to estimate dementia incidence in patients with newly-diagnosed AF and taking an anticoagulant as use of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) increased. METHODS: We used a retrospective cohort design with annual incident AF cohorts of community-dwelling Medicare Fee-for-Service beneficiaries, enrolled in Parts A, B, and D from 2007 to 2017. The sample was limited to beneficiaries aged 67 years and older with incident AF; no prior dementia; and use of anticoagulants warfarin, dabigatran, rivaroxaban, apixaban, or edoxaban in year t. RESULTS: A total of 1,083,338 beneficiaries were included in the study, 58.5% female, with mean (SD) age 77.2 (6.75) years. Among anticoagulated, incident AF cohorts, use of DOACs increased from 10.6% in their first year of availability (2011) to 41.4% in 2017. Among incident AF cohorts taking any oral anticoagulant, 3-year dementia incidence did not change significantly over the cohorts after adjusting for confounders. For example, incidence was 9.1% (95% CI 8.9-9.4) among White persons diagnosed with AF in 2007 and 2008 and 8.9% (95% CI 8.7-9.1) in 2017. Across cohorts, dementia incidence was consistently highest for Black persons, followed by American Indian/Alaska Native and White persons, and lowest for Asian persons. In 2017, 10.9% (95% CI 10.4-11.3) of Black persons in the cohort developed dementia within 3 years, 9.4% (95% CI 8.0-10.9) of American Indian/Alaska Native, 8.9% (95% CI 8.7-9.1) of White, 8.7% (95% CI 8.2-9.1) of Hispanic, and 6.9% (95% CI 6.4-7.4) of Asian persons. Across race/ethnicity, 3-year stroke risk decreased consistently over time; however, the increasing availability of DOACs did not alter the trend. DISCUSSION: Increased use of DOACs among incident AF cohorts from 2007 to 2017 was not associated with significant declines in dementia or stroke risk. Consideration of similar stroke and dementia risk, as well as differences in cost, is warranted when weighing the risks and benefits of available oral anticoagulants.

Diagnoses and Treatment of Behavioral and Psychological Symptoms of Dementia Among Racially and Ethnically Diverse Persons Living with Dementia.

Background: Behavioral and psychological symptoms of dementia (BPSD) and prescribed central nervous system (CNS) active drugs to treat them are prevalent among persons living with Alzheimer's disease and related dementias (PLWD) and lead to negative outcomes for PLWD and their caregivers. Yet, little is known about racial/ethnic disparities in diagnosis and use of drugs to treat BPSD. Objective: Quantify racial/ethnic disparities in BPSD diagnoses and CNS-active drug use among community-dwelling PLWD. Methods: We used a retrospective cohort of community-dwelling Medicare Fee-for-Service beneficiaries with dementia, continuously enrolled in Parts A, B and D, 2017-2019. Multivariate logistic models estimated rates of BPSD diagnosis and, conditional on diagnosis, CNS-active drug use. Results: Among PLWD, 67.1% had diagnoses of an affective, psychosis or hyperactivity symptom. White (68.3%) and Hispanic (63.9%) PLWD were most likely, Blacks (56.6%) and Asians (52.7%) least likely, to have diagnoses. Among PLWD with BPSD diagnoses, 78.6% took a CNS-active drug. Use was highest among whites (79.3%) and Hispanics (76.2%) and lowest among Blacks (70.8%) and Asians (69.3%). Racial/ethnic differences in affective disorders were pronounced, 56.8% of white PLWD diagnosed; Asians had the lowest rates (37.8%). Similar differences were found in use of antidepressants. Conclusions: BPSD diagnoses and CNS-active drug use were common in our study. Lower rates of BPSD diagnoses in non-white compared to white populations may indicate underdiagnosis in clinical settings of treatable conditions. Clinicians' review of prescriptions in this population to reduce poor outcomes is important as is informing care partners on the risks/benefits of using CNS-active drugs.

Health care utilization before and after a dementia diagnosis in Medicare Advantage versus traditional Medicare.

BACKGROUND: Half of all Medicare beneficiaries are enrolled in Medicare Advantage (MA). Many studies document lower care utilization and mortality in MA than traditional Medicare (TM), but evidence for persons with Alzheimer's disease and related dementias (ADRD) is limited. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 2015-2018 Medicare claims and encounter data for community-dwelling beneficiaries aged 65 and over in TM and MA with an incident ADRD diagnosis in 2017. We compared monthly hospitalization rates and outpatient visits 12 months before and after diagnosis and mortality 1 year from diagnosis. Models adjusted for sociodemographic characteristics and comorbidities. Sensitivity analyses addressed residual confounding using a control group with incident arthritis/glaucoma or excluding MA Special Needs Plans, and potential underreporting by restricting to MA plans with high data completeness. RESULTS: Among 454,508 beneficiaries diagnosed with ADRD in 2017, 250,837 (55%) were in TM and 203,671 (45%) in MA. Four to 12 months before diagnosis, monthly hospitalizations and outpatient visits were similar in TM and MA. In the diagnosis month, 36.5% of beneficiaries in TM had a hospitalization compared with 25.4% in MA, an adjusted difference of 10.7 percentage points [95% CI: 10.3, 11.1]. Beneficiaries in TM averaged 10.5 outpatient visits in the diagnosis month compared with 8.4 in MA, an adjusted difference of 1.59 visits [95% CI: 1.47-1.70]. Utilization differences narrowed but remained higher in TM for many months. One-year mortality was 27.9% in TM and 22.2% in MA; an adjusted odds ratio of 1.152 [95% CI: 1.135-1.169] for those in TM compared with MA. Controlling for hospitalization in the diagnosis month substantially reduced the mortality difference. CONCLUSION: Hospitalization rates and outpatient visits increased more after an ADRD diagnosis in TM than MA. One-year post-diagnosis, mortality was not higher in MA than TM but comparisons of quality of life and caregiver burden are needed.

Estimates of diagnosed dementia prevalence and incidence among diverse beneficiaries in traditional Medicare and Medicare Advantage.

Approximately half of Medicare beneficiaries are enrolled in Medicare Advantage (MA), a private plan alternative to traditional Medicare (TM). Yet little is known about diagnosed dementia rates among MA enrollees, limiting population estimates. All (100%) claims of Medicare beneficiaries using encounter data for MA and claims for TM for the years 2015 to 2018 were used to quantify diagnosed dementia prevalence and incidence rates in MA, compare rates to TM, and provide estimates for the entire Medicare population and for different racial/ethnic populations. In 2017, dementia incidence and prevalence among MA beneficiaries were 2.54% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.53 to 2.55) and 7.04% (95% CI: 7.03 to 7.06). Comparison to TM adjusted for sociodemographic and health differences among beneficiaries in MA and TM; the prevalence of diagnosed dementia among beneficiaries in MA was lower (7.1%; 95% CI: 7.12 to 7.13) than in TM (8.7%; 95% CI: 8.71 to 8.72). The diagnosed dementia incidence rate was also lower in MA (2.50%; 95% CI: 2.50 to 2.50) compared to TM (2.99%; 95% CI: 2.99 to 2.99). There were lower rates in MA compared to TM for men and women and White, Black, Hispanic, Asian, American Indian/Alaska Native persons. Diagnosed dementia prevalence and incidence for the entire Medicare population was 7.9% (95% CI: 7.91 to 7.93) and 2.8% (95% CI: 2.77 to 2.78). Lower diagnosed dementia rates in MA compared to TM may exacerbate racial/ethnic disparities in diagnosed dementia. Rates tracked over time will provide understanding of the impact on dementia diagnosis of 2020 MA risk adjustment for dementia.

COVID-19 hospitalization and mortality in community-dwelling racially and ethnically diverse persons living with dementia.

BACKGROUND: Community-dwelling persons living with dementia (PLWD) are vulnerable to COVID-19 infection, severity, and mortality due to the high prevalence of comorbidities, reliance on caregivers, and potential inability to employ risk reduction measures, among other factors. METHODS: We used a retrospective cohort of Medicare Fee-For-Service beneficiaries enrolled from January 2018 to September 2020 (n = 13,068,583), a comparison cohort from January 2019 to April 2021 (n = 13,250,297), and logistic regression to estimate the effect of dementia on COVID-19 hospitalization and mortality in community-dwelling older persons. RESULTS: COVID-19 diagnoses were higher among persons living with dementia (PLWD) than those without dementia. Conditional on COVID-19 in the 2020 cohort, White PLWD were at higher risk of hospitalization compared to White persons without dementia (aOR 1.31, 95% CI: 1.26-1.36) and marginal for Black PLWD (aOR 1.10, 95% CI: 1.01-1.20), no significant differences were found within other racial/ethnic groups. PLWD were 1.8 times (aOR 1.78, 95% CI: 1.72-1.84) more likely to die within 30 days of COVID-19 on average. Within racial/ethnic groups, the estimate for White PLWD, compared with White persons without dementia, was highest (aOR 2.01, 95% CI: 1.92-2.10), followed by Black PLWD (aOR 1.55, 95% CI: 1.41-1.70), and smallest among Hispanic PLWD (aOR 1.37, 95% CI: 1.24-1.50). PLWD hospitalized with COVID-19 were 1.6 times (aOR 1.59, 95% CI: 1.52-1.67) more likely to die within 30 days than similar persons without dementia. Estimates from the 2021 cohort, when vaccines were available to older persons, were similar to those in 2020. CONCLUSIONS: Community-dwelling PLWD experienced worse outcomes after a COVID-19 diagnosis than their counterparts without dementia. Results demonstrating higher mortality, but not hospitalization rates, for all races/ethnicities except White PLWD suggest there may have been differential care/treatment that point to potential health care system inequities that persisted into 2021. Understanding the mechanisms underlying these differences may improve ongoing care for community-dwelling PLWD.

Racial/Ethnic Disparities in Length of Life after Dementia Diagnosis: an 18-Year Follow-up Study of Medicare Beneficiaries.

Background: This study quantifies survival time after dementia diagnosis and assesses mechanisms driving differences across race/ethnicity to inform care and financial planning. Methods: Using 100% Medicare claims data, we identified 670,955 beneficiaries with incident dementia diagnosis in 2001 and followed them through 2018. We quantified racial/ethnic differences in post-diagnosis survival and for subgroups defined by sex, age at diagnosis, socio-economic status, and geography. Additionally, we investigated racial/ethnic time trends in 5-year mortality risk of 8,080,098 beneficiaries with incident dementia in years 2001-2013. Findings: Hispanics and Asians diagnosed with dementia had 40% lower mortality risk and African Americans had 13% lower mortality risk than Whites. There was no difference between American Indians/Alaska Natives and Whites. Racial/ethnic differences were of similar size in sex, age at diagnosis, and urban/rural subgroups; however, the survival advantage between non-Whites and Whites was larger among low-income beneficiaries. State differences in mortality among Blacks were consistent with a Southern divide but not for Asians and Hispanics. The Asian-White and Hispanic-White mortality differences decreased 2001 to 2013. Interpretation: Racial/ethnic survival differences after dementia diagnosis have implications for magnitude of financial impact of dementia on individuals and families. Quantifying survival differences and changes over time informs family, community, and societal level long-term care planning for a large and growing population of persons living with dementia. Variation in the size of racial/ethnic differences by economic status and geographic location provides opportunities for targeted strategies to reduce economic consequences and improve care and quality of life after dementia diagnosis.

Benzodiazepine use and the risk of dementia.

Introduction: Benzodiazepines (BZDs) are commonly prescribed for anxiety and agitations, which are early symptoms of Alzheimer's disease and related dementias (ADRD). It is unclear whether BZDs causally affect ADRD risk or are prescribed in response to early symptoms of dementia. Methods: We replicate prior case-control studies using longitudinal Medicare claims. To mitigate bias from prodromal use, we compare rates of ADRD diagnosis for beneficiaries exposed and unexposed to BZDs for cervical/lumbar pain, stenosis, and sciatica, none of which are associated with dementia. Results: Approximately 8% of Medicare beneficiaries used a BZD in 2007, increasing to nearly 13% by 2013. Estimates from case-control designs are sensitive to duration of look-back period, health histories, medication use, and exclusion of decedents. Incident BZD use is not associated with an increased risk of dementia in an "uncontaminated" sample of beneficiaries prescribed a BZD for pain (odds ratios (ORs) of 1.007 [95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.885, 1.146] and 0.986 [95% CI = 0.877, 1.108], respectively, in the 2013 and 2013 to 2015 pooled samples). Higher levels of BZD exposure (>365 days over a 2-year period) are associated with increased odds of a dementia diagnosis, but the results are not statistically significant at the 5% or 10% levels (1.190 [95% CI = 0.925, 1.531] and 1.167 [95% CI = 0.919, 1.483]). Discussion: We find little evidence of a causal relation between BZD use and dementia risk. Nonetheless, providers should limit the extended use in elderly populations.

Pharmaceutical Treatment for Alzheimer's Disease and Related Dementias: Utilization and Disparities.

BACKGROUND: Four prescription drugs (donepezil, galantamine, memantine, and rivastigmine) are approved by the US FDA to treat symptoms of Alzheimer's disease (AD). Even modest effectiveness could potentially reduce the population-level burden of AD and related dementias (ADRD), especially for women and racial/ethnic minorities who have higher incidence of ADRD. OBJECTIVE: Describe the prevalence of antidementia drug use and timing of initiation relative to ADRD diagnosis among a nationally representative group of older Americans, and if there are disparities in prevalence and timing by sex and race/ethnicity. METHODS: Descriptive analyses and logistic regressions of Medicare claims (2008-2016) for beneficiaries who had an ADRD or dementia-related symptom diagnosis, or use of an FDA approved drug for AD. We investigate prevalence of use and timing of treatment initiation relative to ADRD diagnosis across time and beneficiary characteristics (age, sex, race/ethnicity, socioeconomic status, comorbidities). RESULTS: Among persons diagnosed with ADRD or related symptoms, 33.3% used an approved drug over the study period. Odds of use was higher among Whites than non-Whites. Among ADRD drug users, 40% initiated use within 6 months of the initial ADRD or related symptoms diagnosis, and 16% initiated prior to a diagnosis. We observed disparities by race/ethnicity: 28% of Asians, 24% of Hispanics, 16% of Blacks, and 15% of Whites initiated prior to diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: The use of antidementia drugs is relatively low and varies widely by race/ethnicity. Heterogeneity in timing of initiation and use may affect health and cost outcomes, but these effects merit further study.

Measuring Alzheimer's Disease and Other Dementias in Diverse Populations Using Medicare Claims Data.

We examined how methods used for identifying dementia in administrative claims affected dementia incidence across racial/ethnic populations using a 100% sample of Medicare beneficiaries (n = 23,793,452). We found levels differed by method from 3.1% annual incidence to 3.6% in 2014. Dementia incidence declined from 2007 to 2014, but choice of method differentially impacted levels and trends by race/ethnicity. Methods using codes for dementia diagnosis and drugs to treat symptoms identified proportionally more Hispanics and Asians with dementia than other race/ethnicities, while codes for dementia diagnosis, drugs, and symptoms identified proportionally more whites and American Indians/Alaska Natives with dementia than other race/ethnicities.

Longitudinal analysis of dementia diagnosis and specialty care among racially diverse Medicare beneficiaries.

INTRODUCTION: There is insufficient understanding of diagnosis of etiologic dementia subtypes and contact with specialized dementia care among older Americans. METHODS: We quantified dementia diagnoses and subsequent health care over five years by etiologic subtype and physician specialty among Medicare beneficiaries with incident dementia diagnosis in 2008/09 (226,604 persons/714,015 person-years). RESULTS: Eighty-five percent of people were diagnosed by a nondementia specialist physician. Use of dementia specialists within one year (22%) and five years (36%) of diagnosis was low. "Unspecified" dementia diagnosis was common, higher among those diagnosed by nondementia specialists (33.2%) than dementia specialists (21.6%). Half of diagnoses were Alzheimer's disease. DISCUSSION: Ascertainment of etiologic dementia subtype may inform hereditary risk and facilitate financial and care planning. Use of dementia specialty care was low, particularly for Hispanics and Asians, and associated with more detection of etiological subtype. Dementia-related professional development for nonspecialists is urgent given their central role in dementia diagnosis and care.