Brain metastasis risk prediction model in females with hormone receptor-positive breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Breast cancer is a leading cause of cancer-related deaths in females, and the hormone receptor-positive subtype is the most frequent. Breast cancer is a common source of brain metastases; therefore, we aimed to generate a brain metastases prediction model in females with hormone receptor-positive breast cancer. METHODS: The primary cohort included 3,682 females with hormone receptor-positive breast cancer treated at a single center from May 2009 to May 2020. Patients were randomly divided into a training dataset (n = 2,455) and a validation dataset (n = 1,227). In the training dataset, simple logistic regression analyses were used to measure associations between variables and the diagnosis of brain metastases and to build multivariable models. The model with better calibration and discrimination capacity was tested in the validation dataset to measure its predictive performance. RESULTS: The variables incorporated in the model included age, tumor size, axillary lymph node status, clinical stage at diagnosis, HER2 expression, Ki-67 proliferation index, and the modified Scarff-Bloom-Richardson grade. The area under the curve was 0.81 (95 % CI 0.75-0.86), p < 0.001 in the validation dataset. The study presents a guide for the clinical use of the model. CONCLUSION: A brain metastases prediction model in females with hormone receptor-positive breast cancer helps assess the individual risk of brain metastases.

Clinical features and outcomes of mpox in people with and without HIV: a national comparative study.

BACKGROUND: People who live with HIV (PWLH) have been one of the most affected groups during the current mpox outbreak. They are hypothesized to have a more severe clinical course than people without HIV but comparative data is scarce. We aimed to compare clinical features and outcomes of mpox in people with and without HIV in Mexico. SETTING: Country-wide study in Mexico. METHODS: We performed an observational study using nation-wide epidemiological data. We included all people with confirmed mpox diagnosed between May and November 2022 in Mexico. Clinical and sociodemographic characteristics were compared between people with and without HIV. Multivariable logistic regression models were preformed to determine the association between HIV, clinical features, and outcomes and reported with odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). ORs for rare outcomes were interpreted as risk ratios. RESULTS: Among 3291 people with mpox, 59% were PWLH. PWLH had an increased risk of severe mpox (OR 2.6, 2.4-2.9) and death (OR 10.8, 9.7-11.9). They also had a higher risk of otalgia, proctitis, and urethritis. Eleven individuals died, of whom ten were PWLH. All deaths were directly attributed to mpox. CONCLUSION: People with HIV have a higher risk of severe mpox and death due to mpox.

Retiring the term AIDS for more descriptive language.

The term acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) was coined to describe a condition marked by weakened cell-mediated immunity in the absence of a clear cause. Due to unfortunate messaging during the early days of the HIV epidemic, this term became loaded with stigma. After the discovery of HIV, the term AIDS became redundant, but its use has persisted and has come to embody negative connotations in the current landscape of the HIV epidemic. People commonly associate AIDS with a terminal illness. This misconception promotes stigma by others, including health-care workers, but also self-stigma, which can prevent individuals from accessing health care. Also, the link between AIDS and gay men generated during the early epidemic with use of the term gay-related immune disorder is misleading regarding which populations are at risk, which can delay diagnosis. The use of the term AIDS is now discouraged by several professional associations, some of which ironically have the word as part of their name. Ending use of the term AIDS would not eradicate stigma. However, this term has outlasted its usefulness, and we should transition towards more descriptive language that aligns with contemporary challenges in HIV.

Intranasal Versus Intravenous Dexamethasone to Treat Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients: A Randomized Multicenter Clinical Trial.

BACKGROUND: SARS-CoV2 induces flu-like symptoms that can rapidly progress to severe acute lung injury and even death. The virus also invades the central nervous system (CNS), causing neuroinflammation and death from central failure. Intravenous (IV) or oral dexamethasone (DXM) reduced 28 d mortality in patients who required supplemental oxygen compared to those who received conventional care alone. Through these routes, DMX fails to reach therapeutic levels in the CNS. In contrast, the intranasal (IN) route produces therapeutic levels of DXM in the CNS, even at low doses, with similar systemic bioavailability. AIMS: To compare IN vs. IV DXM treatment in hospitalized patients with COVID-19. METHODS: A controlled, multicenter, open-label trial. Patients with COVID-19 (69) were randomly assigned to receive IN-DXM (0.12 mg/kg for three days, followed by 0.6 mg/kg for up to seven days) or IV-DXM (6 mg/d for 10 d). The primary outcome was clinical improvement, as defined by the National Early Warning Score (NEWS) ordinal scale. The secondary outcome was death at 28 d between IV and IN patients. Effects of both treatments on biochemical and immunoinflammatory profiles were also recorded. RESULTS: Initially, no significant differences in clinical severity, biometrics, and immunoinflammatory parameters were found between both groups. The NEWS-2 score was reduced, in 23 IN-DXM treated patients, with no significant variations in the 46 IV-DXM treated ones. Ten IV-DXM-treated patients and only one IN-DXM patient died. CONCLUSIONS: IN-DMX reduced NEWS-2 and mortality more efficiently than IV-DXM, suggesting that IN is a more efficient route of DXM administration.

Longitudinal clinical phenotyping of post COVID condition in Mexican adults recovering from severe COVID-19: a prospective cohort study.

Introduction: Few studies have evaluated the presence of Post COVID-19 conditions (PCC) in people from Latin America, a region that has been heavily afflicted by the COVID-19 pandemic. In this study, we describe the frequency, co-occurrence, predictors, and duration of 23 symptoms in a cohort of Mexican patients with PCC. Methods: We prospectively enrolled and followed adult patients hospitalized for severe COVID-19 at a tertiary care centre in Mexico City. The incidence of PCC symptoms was determined using questionnaires. Unsupervised clustering of PCC symptom co-occurrence and Kaplan-Meier analyses of symptom persistence were performed. The effect of baseline clinical characteristics was evaluated using Cox regression models and reported with hazard ratios (HR). Results: We found that amongst 192 patients with PCC, respiratory problems were the most prevalent and commonly co-occurred with functional activity impairment. 56% had ≥5 persistent symptoms. Symptom persistence probability at 360 days 0.78. Prior SARS-CoV-2 vaccination and infection during the Delta variant wave were associated with a shorter duration of PCC. Male sex was associated with a shorter duration of functional activity impairment and respiratory symptoms. Hypertension and diabetes were associated with a longer duration of functional impairment. Previous vaccination accelerated PCC recovery. Discussion: In our cohort, PCC symptoms were frequent (particularly respiratory and neurocognitive ones) and persistent. Importantly, prior SARS-CoV-2 vaccination resulted in a shorter duration of PCC.

A brain metastasis prediction model in women with breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Breast cancer (BC) is a leading cause of mortality and the most frequent malignancy in women, and most deaths are due to metastatic disease, particularly brain metastases (BM). Currently, no biomarker or prediction model is used to predict BM accurately. The objective was to generate a BM prediction model from variables obtained at BC diagnosis. METHODS: A retrospective cohort of women with BC diagnosed from 2009 to 2020 at a single center was divided into a training dataset (TD) and a validation dataset (VD). The prediction model was generated in the TD, and its performance was measured in the VD using the area under the curve (AUC) and C-statistic. RESULTS: The cohort (n = 5009) was divided into a TD (n = 3339) and a VD (n = 1670). In the TD, the model with the best performance (lowest AIC) was built with the following variables: age, estrogen receptor status, tumor size, axillary adenopathy, anatomic clinical stage, Ki-67 expression, and Scarff-Bloom-Richardson score. This model had an AUC of 0.79 (95%CI, 0.76-0.82; p < 0.0001) in the TD. The 10-fold cross-validation showed the good stability of the model. The model displayed an AUC of 0.81 (95%CI, 0.77-0.85; P < 0.0001) in the VD. Four groups, according to the risk of BM, were generated. In the low-risk group, 1.2% were diagnosed with BM (reference); in the medium-risk group, 5.0% [HR 4.01 (95%CI, 1.8 - 8.8); P < 0.0001); in the high-risk group, 8.5% [HR 8.33 (95%CI, 4.1-17.1); P < 0.0001]; and in the very high-risk group, 23.7% [HR 29.72 (95%CI, 14.9 - 59.1); P < 0.0001]. CONCLUSION: This prediction model built with clinical and pathological variables at BC diagnosis demonstrated robust performance in determining the individual risk of BM among patients with BC, but external validation in different cohorts is needed.

Predictors of laboratory-confirmed mpox in people with mpox-like illness.

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to identify predictors of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) among people with mpox-like illness and to develop a multivariable model for confirmed mpox. METHODS: We performed an observational study using national epidemiologic surveillance data in Mexico from May to November 2022. People with mpox-like illness were reported to the Mexican Ministry of Health and real-time polymerase chain reaction was performed in clinical samples to confirm mpox. Sociodemographic and clinical data were collected with a case report form. We performed univariable logistic regressions to estimate the predictive capability of individual characteristics, reported with ORs and 95% CIs. Variables of interest were included in multivariable logistic regression models and Akaike information criterion was used to retain variables for the final model. Discrimination and calibration of the model were estimated in bootstrap resamples. RESULTS: A total of 5078 people were reported with mpox-like illness. Of 5078 people, 3291 (64.8%) had confirmed mpox. The strongest clinical predictors of confirmed mpox in univariable models were proctitis (OR 6.54, 5.93-7.21), inguinal adenopathy (OR 5.91, 5.36-6.52), and anogenital lesions (OR 5.45, 4.94-6.02). The final model included being a man who has sex with men (8.75, 7.37-10.38), HIV diagnosis (3.04, 2.51-3.69), inguinal adenopathy (2.24, 1.81-2.77), anogenital lesions (2.32, 1.97-2.74), and pustules (1.55, 1.32-1.81). Discrimination capability was excellent (c-statistic 0.88, 95% CI 0.87-0.89) and it was well calibrated (calibration slope 1, 95% CI 0.95-1.05). DISCUSSION: A third of people with mpox-like illness do not have mpox. Factors such as being a man who has sex with men, HIV diagnosis, inguinal adenopathy, pustules, and anogenital lesions are associated with confirmed mpox.

Vagus nerve stimulation primes platelets and reduces bleeding in hemophilia A male mice.

Deficiency of coagulation factor VIII in hemophilia A disrupts clotting and prolongs bleeding. While the current mainstay of therapy is infusion of factor VIII concentrates, inhibitor antibodies often render these ineffective. Because preclinical evidence shows electrical vagus nerve stimulation accelerates clotting to reduce hemorrhage without precipitating systemic thrombosis, we reasoned it might reduce bleeding in hemophilia A. Using two different male murine hemorrhage and thrombosis models, we show vagus nerve stimulation bypasses the factor VIII deficiency of hemophilia A to decrease bleeding and accelerate clotting. Vagus nerve stimulation targets acetylcholine-producing T lymphocytes in spleen and α7 nicotinic acetylcholine receptors (α7nAChR) on platelets to increase calcium uptake and enhance alpha granule release. Splenectomy or genetic deletion of T cells or α7nAChR abolishes vagal control of platelet activation, thrombus formation, and bleeding in male mice. Vagus nerve stimulation warrants clinical study as a therapy for coagulation disorders and surgical or traumatic bleeding.

Protection of hybrid immunity against SARS-CoV-2 reinfection and severe COVID-19 during periods of Omicron variant predominance in Mexico.

Background: With the widespread transmission of the Omicron SARS-CoV-2 variant, reinfections have become increasingly common. Here, we explored the role of immunity, primary infection severity, and variant predominance in the risk of reinfection and severe COVID-19 during Omicron predominance in Mexico. Methods: We analyzed reinfections in Mexico in individuals with a primary infection separated by at least 90 days from reinfection using a national surveillance registry of SARS-CoV-2 cases from March 3rd, 2020, to August 13th, 2022. Immunity-generating events included primary infection, partial or complete vaccination, and booster vaccines. Reinfections were matched by age and sex with controls with primary SARS-CoV-2 infection and negative RT-PCR or antigen test at least 90 days after primary infection to explore reinfection and severe disease risk factors. We also compared the protective efficacy of heterologous and homologous vaccine boosters against reinfection. Results: We detected 231,202 SARS-CoV-2 reinfections in Mexico, most occurring in unvaccinated individuals (41.55%). Over 207,623 reinfections occurred during periods of Omicron (89.8%), BA.1 (36.74%), and BA.5 (33.67%) subvariant predominance and a case-fatality rate of 0.22%. Vaccination protected against reinfection, without significant influence of the order of immunity-generating events and provided >90% protection against severe reinfections. Heterologous booster schedules were associated with ~11% and ~ 54% lower risk for reinfection and reinfection-associated severe COVID-19, respectively, modified by time-elapsed since the last immunity-generating event, when compared against complete primary schedules. Conclusion: SARS-CoV-2 reinfections increased during Omicron predominance. Hybrid immunity provides protection against reinfection and associated severe COVID-19, with potential benefit from heterologous booster schedules.

Effectiveness of a nationwide COVID-19 vaccination program in Mexico against symptomatic COVID-19, hospitalizations, and death: a retrospective analysis of national surveillance data.

OBJECTIVES: Vaccination has been effective in ameliorating the impact of COVID-19. Here, we report vaccine effectiveness (VE) of the nationally available COVID-19 vaccines in Mexico. METHODS: Retrospective analysis of a COVID-19 surveillance system to assess the VE of the BNT162b2, messenger RNA (mRNA)-12732, Gam-COVID-Vac, Ad5-nCoV, Ad26.COV2.S, ChAdOx1, and CoronaVac vaccines against SARS-CoV-2 infection, COVID-19 hospitalization, and death in Mexico. The VE was estimated using time-varying Cox proportional hazard models in vaccinated and unvaccinated adults, adjusted for age, sex, and comorbidities. VE was also estimated for adults with diabetes, aged ≥60 years, and comparing the predominance of SARS-CoV-2 variants B.1.1.519 and B.1.617.2. RESULTS: We assessed 793,487 vaccinated and 4,792,338 unvaccinated adults between December 24, 2020 and September 27, 2021. The VE against SARS-CoV-2 infection was the highest for fully vaccinated individuals with mRNA-12732 (91.5%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 90.3-92.4) and Ad26.COV2.S (82.2%, 95% CI 81.4-82.9); for COVID-19 hospitalization, BNT162b2 (84.3%, 95% CI 83.6-84.9) and Gam-COVID-Vac (81.4% 95% CI 79.5-83.1), and for mortality, BNT162b2 (89.8%, 95% CI 89.2-90.2) and mRNA-12732 (93.5%, 95% CI 86.0-97.0). The VE decreased for all vaccines in adults aged ≥60 years, people with diabetes, and periods of Delta variant predominance. CONCLUSION: All the vaccines implemented in Mexico were effective against SARS-CoV-2 infection, COVID-19 hospitalization, and death. Mass vaccination with multiple vaccines is useful to maximize vaccination coverage.

Posterior reversible encephalopathy syndrome during convalescence from COVID-19.

Background and aim: With an ever-increasing population of patients recovering form severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), recognizing long-standing and delayed neurologic manifestations is crucial. Here, we present a patient developing posterior reversible encephalopathy syndrome (PRES) in the convalescence form severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).Case presentation: A 61-year-old woman with severe (COVID-19) confirmed by nasopharyngeal real-time reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) required invasive mechanical ventilation 24-hours after admission. During her intensive care unit stay, she developed transient acute kidney injury and septic shock. She was extubated after 22 days. On day 25, she developed generalized tonic-clonic seizures. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) of the brain showed bilateral subcortical lesions on the parietal and occipital lobes and multiple micro-and macro-bleeds, consistent with PRES. At this point, RT-PCR for SARS-CoV-2 in a respiratory specimen and cerebrospinal fluid was negative. She was discharged home 35 days after admission on oral levetiracetam. Control MRI five months after discharge showed bilateral focal gliosis. On follow-up, she remains seizure-free on levetiracetam.Conclusions: PRES has been observed before as a neurological manifestation of acute COVID-19; to our knowledge, this is the first PRES case occurring in a hospitalized patient already recovered from COVID-19. A persistent proinflammatory/prothrombotic state triggered by SARS-CoV-2 infection may lead to long-standing endothelial dysfunction, resulting in delayed PRES in patients recovering from COVID-19. With a rapid and exponential increase in survivors of acute COVID-19, clinicians should be aware of delayed (post-acute) neurological damage, including PRES.

Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of patients with human monkeypox infection in Mexico: a nationwide observational study.

Background: Human monkeypox, a zoonosis historically endemic to West and South Africa, has led to a worldwide outbreak driven by human-to-human transmission resulting in an international public health emergency. Endemic and outbreak monkeypox cases may differ in their affected populations, clinical features, and outcomes. Thus, profiling cases of the current monkeypox outbreak worldwide is crucial. Methods: We performed a nationwide observational surveillance-based study from May 24 to September 5, 2022. Patients that met the operational clinical definition of monkeypox or symptomatic close contacts of confirmed cases were tested by real-time polymerase chain reaction. Clinical data were collected with a standardized case-report form. We report epidemiologic, sociodemographic, and clinical characteristics of confirmed cases. Findings: Five-hundred and sixty-five human monkeypox confirmed cases were analysed; 97.2% were men, of whom 59.5% identified as men who have sex with men, and 54.5% had human immunodeficiency virus infection. The median age was 34 years. All patients but one had rash (99.8%), 78.9% had fever, and 47.8% reported myalgia. The anogenital area was the most commonly affected one by rash (49.6%), and proctitis occurred in 6.2% of patients. Six patients required hospitalization, of which one died due to causes unrelated to monkeypox. Interpretation: The 2022 monkeypox outbreak in Mexico is mainly driven by middle-aged men who have sex with men, of which a large proportion are persons who live with human immunodeficiency virus infection. Clinical features such as the high proportion of anogenital lesions suggest sexual contact is a pivotal transmission mechanism in this outbreak. Funding: This research was supported by grant A1-S-18342 from Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología (CONACyT), Mexico (to S.I.V.-F.).

Pyridostigmine reduces mortality of patients with severe SARS-CoV-2 infection: A phase 2/3 randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Respiratory failure in severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is associated with a severe inflammatory response. Acetylcholine (ACh) reduces systemic inflammation in experimental bacterial and viral infections. Pyridostigmine increases the half-life of endogenous ACh, potentially reducing systemic inflammation. We aimed to determine if pyridostigmine decreases a composite outcome of invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) and death in adult patients with severe COVID-19. METHODS: We performed a double-blinded, placebo-controlled, phase 2/3 randomized controlled trial of oral pyridostigmine (60 mg/day) or placebo as add-on therapy in adult patients admitted due to confirmed severe COVID-19 not requiring IMV at enrollment. The primary outcome was a composite of IMV or death by day 28. Secondary outcomes included reduction of inflammatory markers and circulating cytokines, and 90-day mortality. Adverse events (AEs) related to study treatment were documented and described. RESULTS: We recruited 188 participants (94 per group); 112 (59.6%) were men; the median (IQR) age was 52 (44-64) years. The study was terminated early due to a significant reduction in the primary outcome in the treatment arm and increased difficulty with recruitment. The primary outcome occurred in 22 (23.4%) participants in the placebo group vs. 11 (11.7%) in the pyridostigmine group (hazard ratio, 0.47, 95% confidence interval 0.24-0.9; P = 0.03). This effect was driven by a reduction in mortality (19 vs. 8 deaths, respectively). CONCLUSION: Our data indicate that adding pyridostigmine to standard care reduces mortality among patients hospitalized for severe COVID-19.

Circulating HMGB1 is increased in myelodysplastic syndrome but not in other bone marrow failure syndromes: proof-of-concept cross-sectional study.

Background: Myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) is associated with persistent immune activation. High mobility group box-1 (HMGB1) is a ubiquitous, functionally diverse, non-histone intranuclear protein. During acute and chronic inflammatory states, HMGB1 is actively released by inflammatory cells, further amplifying the inflammatory response. A role in MDS and other hypoplastic bone marrow (BM) disorders is incompletely understood. Objectives: The objective of the study is to evaluate whether circulating HMGB1 is elevated in patients with MDS and other BM failure syndromes [namely, aplastic anemia (AA) and paroxysmal nocturnal hemoglobinuria (PNH)]. Design: This is a observational, cross-sectional, single-center, exploratory study. Methods: We evaluated circulating concentrations of HMGB1, interleukin (IL)-1ß, IL-6, and tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-α in patients with MDS and age-matched hematologically healthy controls as well as patients with AA and PNH. Results: We included 66 patients with MDS and 65 age-matched controls as well as 44 patients with other BM failures (AA = 27, PNH = 17). Circulating levels of HMGB1 were higher in patients with MDS [median, 4.9 ng/ml; interquartile range (IQR): 2.3-8.1] than in AA (median, 2.6 ng/ml; IQR: 1.7-3.7), PNH (median, 1.7 ng/ml; IQR: 0.9-2.5), and age-matched healthy individuals (median, 1.9 ng/ml; IQR: 0.9-2.5) (p = 0.0001). We observed higher concentrations of HMGB1 in the very low/low-risk MDS patients than in the intermediate/high/very high-risk ones (p = 0.046). Finally, in comparison with patients with AA, those with hypocellular MDS (h-MDS) had significantly higher levels of circulating HMGB1 (n = 14; median concentration, 5.6 ng/ml, IQR: 2.8-7.3; p = 0.006). We determined a circulating HMGB1 value of 4.095 ng/ml as a diagnostic cutoff differentiator between h-MDS and AA. Conclusion: These observations indicate that circulating HMGB1 is increased in patients with MDS. HMGB1 (but not IL-1ß or TNF-α) differentiated between MDS and other BM failures, suggesting that HMGB1 may be mechanistically involved in MDS and a druggable target to decrease inflammation in MDS.

Psychological and Psychiatric Events Following Immunization with Five Different Vaccines against SARS-CoV-2.

BACKGROUND: Despite the high number of vaccines administered against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) worldwide, the information on the psychological/psychiatric adverse events following immunization (AEFI) with these newly developed vaccines remains scarce. OBJECTIVE: To describe the frequency of psychological/psychiatric symptoms among recipients of five different anti-SARS-CoV-2 vaccines and to explore the factors associated with their development reported in the nationwide Mexican registry of AEFI against SARS-CoV-2. METHODS: Descriptive study of all the psychological/psychiatric symptoms, including anxiety, panic attacks, insomnia, and agitation reported to the Mexican Epidemiological Surveillance System from 21 December 2020 to 27 April 2021, among adult (≥18 years old) recipients of 7,812,845 doses of BNT162b2, ChAdOx1 nCov-19, rAd26-rAd5, Ad5-nCoV, or CoronaVac. The factors associated with their development are determined by multivariate regression analysis. RESULTS: There were 19,163 AEFI reports during the study period; amongst them, 191 (1%) patients had psychological/psychiatric symptoms (median age of 41 years, interquartile range of 32-54; 149 [78%] women) for an observed incidence of 2.44 cases per 100,000 administered doses (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.12-2.82), 72.8% of psychiatric AEFIs were reported among recipients of BNT162b2. The median time from vaccination to symptom onset was 35 min (interquartile range: 10-720). Overall, the most common psychological/psychiatric symptoms were anxiety in 129 (67.5%) patients, panic attacks in 30 (15.7%), insomnia in 25 (13%), and agitation in 11 (5.7%). After adjusting for the confounding factors, the odds for developing psychological/psychiatric symptoms were higher for those concurrently reporting syncope (odds ratio [OR]: 4.73, 95% CI: 1.68-13.33); palpitations (OR: 2.47, 95% CI: 1.65-3.70), and dizziness (OR: 1.59, 95% CI: 1.10-2.28). CONCLUSION: In our population, psychological/psychiatric symptoms were extremely infrequent AEFIs. No severe psychiatric AEFIs were reported. Immunization stress-related responses might explain most of the detected cases.