Subject(s)
Cardiology , Heart Diseases/mortality , Population Growth , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Cause of Death , Child , Child, Preschool , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Forecasting , Health Services Needs and Demand/trends , Humans , Infant , Male , Middle Aged , United States , WorkforceABSTRACT
"This paper rejects Veugelers and Klassen's initial suggestion that greater concern with demographic considerations might provide a useful explanation for their empirical finding of a post-1989 change in the unemployment-immigration linkage [in Canada] and offers alternative explanations consistent with economic and, especially, sociological-political theories. It shows how elements of Hawkins's (1988) ¿bureaucratic control' and Simmons and Keohane's (1991) ¿political legitimacy' theories can be combined to explain both continuity and change in Canada's postwar immigration policy."
Subject(s)
Economics , Emigration and Immigration , Evaluation Studies as Topic , Population Dynamics , Public Policy , Unemployment , Americas , Canada , Demography , Developed Countries , Employment , North America , Population , Social SciencesABSTRACT
"In this paper, we outline the specification and estimation of a time series of multiregional net-migration equations subject to first-order serial correlation. We show that the necessary nonstochastic adding-up constraint, which requires that net migration in the system sum to zero, imposes restrictions on the serial-correlation coefficients. We estimate equations under these restrictions using data for the ten Canadian provinces for the period 1962-1985. The results confirm the significance of the serial-correlation coefficient and, hence, the importance of incorporating this correction in future time-series models of multiregional migration."
Subject(s)
Models, Theoretical , Population Dynamics , Time Factors , Americas , Canada , Demography , Developed Countries , Emigration and Immigration , North America , Population , ResearchABSTRACT
"A multiregional model of gross internal migration flows is presented in this article. The interdependence of economic factors across all regions is recognized by imposing a non-stochastic adding-up constraint that requires total inmigration to equal total outmigration in each time period. An iterated system estimation technique is used to obtain asymptotically consistent and efficient parameter estimates. The model is estimated for gross migration flows among the Canadian provinces over the period 1962-86 and then is used to examine the likelihood of a wash-out effect in net migration models. The results indicate that previous approaches that use net migration equations may not always be empirically justified."
Subject(s)
Demography , Emigration and Immigration , Evaluation Studies as Topic , Geography , Models, Theoretical , Statistics as Topic , Time Factors , Americas , Canada , Developed Countries , Developing Countries , North America , Population , Population Dynamics , ResearchABSTRACT
"This paper is a description of the structure of a multiregion economic-demographic model for the Canadian provinces. An important part of the demographic model is the estimation of net migration equations based on a human capital approach and incorporating the adding-up constraint that arises since the sum of the net migration flows across all provinces must be 0 in each period. These endogenous migration flows allow for variables from the economic model (wage rates and unemployment rates) to influence the source population, the labour force and, therefore, the unemployment rate and other variables in the economic model." The model is used in simulation experiments in order to illustrate the interaction between economic and demographic factors and how this interaction affects the impact of policies.
Subject(s)
Demography , Economics , Emigration and Immigration , Methods , Models, Economic , Models, Theoretical , Population Dynamics , Americas , Canada , Developed Countries , Developing Countries , Employment , North America , Population , Research , Salaries and Fringe Benefits , UnemploymentABSTRACT
A multi-regional framework is developed in order to analyze net migration over time to all 10 Canadian provinces within an integrated system of equations. "An extended gravity model is the basis for the equation specification and the use of constrained econometric estimation techniques allows for the provincial interdependence of the migration decision while at the same time ensuring that an important system-wide requirement is respected." The model is estimated using official Canadian data for the 1960s and 1970s. "The results suggest the predominance of the push factor for interprovincial migration for most provinces, although net migration to the Atlantic provinces is also shown to be subject to pull forces from the rest of the country." The effects of wage rate variables, unemployment, and political disturbances in Quebec on inter-provincial migration are noted.
