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1.
J R Soc Interface ; 9(74): 2255-67, 2012 Sep 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22535699

ABSTRACT

Carbon removed from the atmosphere by photosynthesis is released back by respiration. Although some organic carbon is degraded quickly, older carbon persists; consequently carbon stocks are much larger than predicted by initial decomposition rates. This disparity can be traced to a wide range of first-order decay-rate constants, but the rate distributions and the mechanisms that determine them are unknown. Here, we pose and solve an inverse problem to find the rate distributions corresponding to the decomposition of plant matter throughout North America. We find that rate distributions are lognormal, with a mean and variance that depend on climatic conditions and substrate. Changes in temperature and precipitation scale all rates similarly, whereas the initial substrate composition sets the time scale of faster rates. These findings probably result from the interplay of stochastic processes and biochemical kinetics, suggesting that the intrinsic variability of decomposers, substrate and environment results in a predictable distribution of rates. Within this framework, turnover times increase exponentially with the kinetic heterogeneity of rates, thereby providing a theoretical expression for the persistence of recalcitrant organic carbon in the natural environment.


Subject(s)
Carbon , Climate , Ecosystem , Models, Theoretical , Plants , Carbon/chemistry , Carbon/metabolism , Kinetics , North America
2.
Science ; 316(5829): 1325-8, 2007 Jun 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17540901

ABSTRACT

Degradation of marine organic carbon provides a major source of atmospheric carbon dioxide, whereas preservation in sediments results in accumulation of oxygen. These processes involve the slow decay of chemically recalcitrant compounds and physical protection. To assess the importance of physical protection, we constructed a reaction-diffusion model in which organic matter differs only in its accessibility to microbial degradation but not its intrinsic reactivity. The model predicts that organic matter decays logarithmically with time t and that decay rates decrease approximately as 0.2 x t(-1) until burial. Analyses of sediment-core data are consistent with these predictions.


Subject(s)
Bacteria/metabolism , Biodegradation, Environmental , Carbon , Geologic Sediments , Models, Theoretical , Organic Chemicals , Seawater , Aluminum Silicates , Carbon/metabolism , Clay , Databases, Factual , Diffusion , Enzymes/metabolism , Geologic Sediments/chemistry , Geologic Sediments/microbiology , Hydrolysis , Kinetics , Mathematics , Oceans and Seas , Organic Chemicals/chemistry , Organic Chemicals/metabolism , Oxygen/analysis
3.
Am J Prev Med ; 30(3): 252-7, 2006 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16476642

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The incidence of diarrheal disease among cruise ship passengers declined from 29.2 cases per 100,000 passenger days in 1990 to 16.3 per 100,000 passenger days in 2000. In 2002, the Vessel Sanitation Program of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported 29 outbreaks (3% or more passengers ill) of acute gastroenteritis on cruise ships, an increase from 3 the previous year. This analysis of gastroenteritis on cruise ships, conducted in 2005, details the increase in outbreak incidence rates during 2001 through 2004. METHODS: Using Gastrointestinal Illness Surveillance System data, investigators evaluated incidence rates of gastroenteritis on cruise ships calling on U.S. ports, carrying 13 or more passengers, by cruise length and reporting region during the study period. The investigators also evaluated the association between inspection scores, and gastroenteritis incidence and the frequency of outbreaks in 2001 through 2004. RESULTS: During the study period, the background and outbreak-associated incidence rates of passengers with acute gastroenteritis per cruise were 25.6 and 85, respectively. Acute gastroenteritis outbreaks per 1000 cruises increased overall from 0.65 in 2001 to 5.46 in 2004; outbreaks increased from 2 in 2001 to a median of 15 per year in 2002-2004. Median ship inspection scores remained relatively constant during the study period (median 95 on a 100-point scale), and were not significantly associated with either gastroenteritis incidence rates (risk ratio, 1.00; 95% confidence interval, 0.98-1.02) or outbreak frequency (Spearman's coefficient, 0.01, p=0.84). CONCLUSIONS: Despite good performance on environment health sanitation inspections by cruise ships, the expectation of passenger cases of gastroenteritis on an average 7-day cruise increased from two cases during 1990-2000 to three cases during the study period. This increase, likely attributable to noroviruses, highlights the inability of environmental programs to fully predict and prevent risk factors common to person-to-person and fomite spread of disease.


Subject(s)
Diarrhea/epidemiology , Disease Outbreaks , Environmental Exposure/prevention & control , Gastroenteritis/epidemiology , Risk Management , Sanitation/standards , Ships/standards , Acute Disease , Communicable Disease Control/standards , Diarrhea/microbiology , Diarrhea/prevention & control , Disease Outbreaks/statistics & numerical data , Gastroenteritis/microbiology , Gastroenteritis/prevention & control , Humans , Incidence , Poisson Distribution , Population Surveillance , Sanitation/methods , Ships/statistics & numerical data , Time Factors , Travel , United States/epidemiology , United States Public Health Service
4.
J Infect Dis ; 190(1): 27-36, 2004 Jul 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15195240

ABSTRACT

In 2002, a sharp increase in outbreaks of norovirus-associated illness, both on cruise ships and on land, encouraged us to examine the molecular epidemiology of detected noroviruses, to identify a common strain or source. Of 14 laboratory-confirmed outbreaks on cruise ships, 12 (86%) were attributed to caliciviruses; among these 12, outbreak characteristics included continuation on successive cruises in 6 (50%), multiple modes of transmission in 7 (58%), and high (>10%) attack rates in 7 (58%). Eleven of the 12 calicivirus outbreaks were attributed to noroviruses, 7 (64%) of which were attributed to a previously unreported lineage, provisionally named "the Farmington Hills strain." From May 2002 to December 2002, 10 (45%) of 22 land-based outbreaks also were attributed to this strain. Nucleotide-sequence analysis provided insights into norovirus transmission, by documenting links among outbreaks, the introduction of strains onto ships, and viral persistence on board (despite cleaning). Control measures for outbreaks should address all routes of transmission. Better outbreak surveillance and collection of data on sequences will help to monitor norovirus strains and to identify common sources.


Subject(s)
Caliciviridae Infections/epidemiology , Disease Outbreaks , Gastroenteritis/epidemiology , Norovirus/isolation & purification , Ships , Acute Disease , Caliciviridae Infections/transmission , Caliciviridae Infections/virology , Gastroenteritis/virology , Humans , Norovirus/classification , Norovirus/genetics , Recreation , Reverse Transcriptase Polymerase Chain Reaction , Travel , United States/epidemiology
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