How closely does genetic diversity in finite populations conform to predictions of neutral theory? Large deficits in regions of low recombination.

Levels of genetic diversity in finite populations are crucial in conservation and evolutionary biology. Genetic diversity is required for populations to evolve and its loss is related to inbreeding in random mating populations, and thus to reduced population fitness and increased extinction risk. Neutral theory is widely used to predict levels of genetic diversity. I review levels of genetic diversity in finite populations in relation to predictions of neutral theory. Positive associations between genetic diversity and population size, as predicted by neutral theory, are observed for microsatellites, allozymes, quantitative genetic variation and usually for mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA). However, there are frequently significant deviations from neutral theory owing to indirect selection at linked loci caused by balancing selection, selective sweeps and background selection. Substantially lower genetic diversity than predicted under neutrality was found for chromosomes with low recombination rates and high linkage disequilibrium (compared with 'normally' recombining chromosomes within species and adjusted for different copy numbers and mutation rates), including W (median 100% lower) and Y (89% lower) chromosomes, dot fourth chromosomes in Drosophila (94% lower) and mtDNA (67% lower). Further, microsatellite genetic and allelic diversity were lost at 12 and 33% faster rates than expected in populations adapting to captivity, owing to widespread selective sweeps. Overall, neither neutral theory nor most versions of the genetic draft hypothesis are compatible with all empirical results.

Stress and adaptation in conservation genetics.

Stress, adaptation and evolution are major concerns in conservation biology. Stresses from pollution, climatic changes, disease etc. may affect population persistence. Further, stress typically occurs when species are placed in captivity. Threatened species are usually managed to conserve their ability to adapt to environmental changes, whilst species in captivity undergo adaptations that are deleterious upon reintroduction into the wild. In model studies using Drosophila melanogaster, we have found that; (a) inbreeding and loss of genetic variation reduced resistance to the stress of disease, (b) extinction rates under inbreeding are elevated by stress, (c) adaptive evolutionary potential in an increasingly stressful environment is reduced in small population, (d) rates of inbreeding are elevated under stressful conditions, (e) genetic adaptation to captivity reduces fitness when populations are reintroduced into the 'wild', and (f) the deleterious effects of adaptation on reintroduction success can be reduced by population fragmentation.

How closely correlated are molecular and quantitative measures of genetic variation? A meta-analysis.

The ability of populations to undergo adaptive evolution depends on the presence of quantitative genetic variation for ecologically important traits. Although molecular measures are widely used as surrogates for quantitative genetic variation, there is controversy about the strength of the relationship between the two. To resolve this issue, we carried out a meta-analysis based on 71 datasets. The mean correlation between molecular and quantitative measures of genetic variation was weak (r = 0.217). Furthermore, there was no significant relationship between the two measures for life-history traits (r = -0.11) or for the quantitative measure generally considered as the best indicator of adaptive potential, heritability (r = -0.08). Consequently, molecular measures of genetic diversity have only a very limited ability to predict quantitative genetic variability. When information about a population's short-term evolutionary potential or estimates of local adaptation and population divergence are required, quantitative genetic variation should be measured directly.

Predictive accuracy of population viability analysis in conservation biology.

Population viability analysis (PVA) is widely applied in conservation biology to predict extinction risks for threatened species and to compare alternative options for their management. It can also be used as a basis for listing species as endangered under World Conservation Union criteria. However, there is considerable scepticism regarding the predictive accuracy of PVA, mainly because of a lack of validation in real systems. Here we conducted a retrospective test of PVA based on 21 long-term ecological studies--the first comprehensive and replicated evaluation of the predictive powers of PVA. Parameters were estimated from the first half of each data set and the second half was used to evaluate the performance of the model. Contrary to recent criticisms, we found that PVA predictions were surprisingly accurate. The risk of population decline closely matched observed outcomes, there was no significant bias, and population size projections did not differ significantly from reality. Furthermore, the predictions of the five PVA software packages were highly concordant. We conclude that PVA is a valid and sufficiently accurate tool for categorizing and managing endangered species.

Quantitative genetics in conservation biology.

Most of the major genetic concerns in conservation biology, including inbreeding depression, loss of evolutionary potential, genetic adaptation to captivity and outbreeding depression, involve quantitative genetics. Small population size leads to inbreeding and loss of genetic diversity and so increases extinction risk. Captive populations of endangered species are managed to maximize the retention of genetic diversity by minimizing kinship, with subsidiary efforts to minimize inbreeding. There is growing evidence that genetic adaptation to captivity is a major issue in the genetic management of captive populations of endangered species as it reduces reproductive fitness when captive populations are reintroduced into the wild. This problem is not currently addressed, but it can be alleviated by deliberately fragmenting captive populations, with occasional exchange of immigrants to avoid excessive inbreeding. The extent and importance of outbreeding depression is a matter of controversy. Currently, an extremely cautious approach is taken to mixing populations. However, this cannot continue if fragmented populations are to be adequately managed to minimize extinctions. Most genetic management recommendations for endangered species arise directly, or indirectly, from quantitative genetic considerations.

Do island populations have less genetic variation than mainland populations?

Island populations are much more prone to extinction than mainland populations. The reasons for this remain controversial. If inbreeding and loss of genetic variation are involved, then genetic variation must be lower on average in island than mainland populations. Published data on levels of genetic variation for allozymes, nuclear DNA markers, mitochondrial DNA, inversions and quantitative characters in island and mainland populations were analysed. A large and highly significant majority of island populations have less allozyme genetic variation than their mainland counterparts (165 of 202 comparisons), the average reduction being 29 per cent. The magnitude of differences was related to dispersal ability. There were related differences for all the other measures. Island endemic species showed lower genetic variation than related mainland species in 34 of 38 cases. The proportionate reduction in genetic variation was significantly greater in island endemic than in nonendemic island populations in mammals and birds, but not in insects. Genetic factors cannot be discounted as a cause of higher extinction rates of island than mainland populations.

Microsatellite polymorphisms in a wild population of Drosophila melanogaster.

Highly variable DNA polymorphisms called microsatellites are rapidly becoming the marker of choice in population genetic studies. Until now, microsatellites have not been utilized for Drosophila studies. We have identified eight polymorphic microsatellite loci in Drosophila melanogaster and used them to characterize the genetic variation in a wild population from the Tyrrell's winery in Australia. Microsatellites were isolated from a partial genomic DNA library. All microsatellites consist of (AC)n repeats ranging from n = 2 to n = 24. Six loci were assigned to chromosomal location by genetic mapping, with three loci on chromosome II, one locus on chromosome III and two loci on the X chromosome. Up to four microsatellite loci were multiplexed in the same reaction. Microsatellite variation is substantially greater than allozyme variation in the Tyrrell's Drosophila population. 80% of the microsatellite loci examined are polymorphic, compared with 28% of allozymes. The mean number of alleles per polymorphic locus is 5.2 in microsatellites compared with 3.0 in allozymes. The average observed heterozygosity of polymorphic microsatellites is 47% compared with 26% for allozymes. Microsatellite variation in Drosophila melanogaster is similar to that reported for other insects. Higher variability commends microsatellites over allozymes for genetic studies in Drosophila melanogaster.

Conservation genetics.

Inbreeding depression, accumulation and loss of deleterious mutations, loss of genetic variation in small populations, genetic adaptation to captivity and its effect on reintroduction success, and outbreeding depression are reviewed. The impact of genetic factors in endangerment and extinction has been underestimated in some recent publications. Inbreeding depression in wildlife and in the field has been clearly established, while its impact has been greatly underestimated. The size of populations where genetic factors become important is higher than previously recognized, as Ne/N ratios average 0.11. Purging effects have been overestimated as a mechanism for eliminating deleterious alleles in small populations. The impact of loss of genetic variation in increasing the susceptibility of populations to environmental stochasticity and catastrophes has generally been ignored. Consequently, extinctions are often attributed to "nongenetic" factors when these may have interacted with genetic factors to cause extinction.

Modelling problems in conservation genetics using Drosophila: consequences of fluctuating population sizes.

Many natural populations fluctuate widely in population size. This is predicted to reduce effective population size, genetic variation, and reproductive fitness, and to increase inbreeding. The effects of fluctuating population size were examined in small populations of Drosophila melanogaster of the same average size, but maintained using either fluctuating (FPS) or equal (EPS) population sizes. FPS lines were maintained using seven pairs and one pair in alternate generations, and EPS lines with four pairs per generation. Ten replicates of each treatment were maintained. After eight generations, FPS had a higher inbreeding coefficient than EPS (0.60 vs. 0.38), a lower average allozyme heterozygosity (0.068 vs. 0.131), and a much lower relative fitness (0.03 vs. 0.25). Estimates of effective population sizes for FPS and EPS were 3.8 and 7.9 from pedigree inbreeding, and 4.9 vs. 7.1 from changes in average heterozygosities, as compared to theoretical expectations of 3.3 vs. 8.0. Results were generally in accordance with theoretical predictions. Management strategies for populations of rare and endangered species should aim to minimize population fluctuations over generations.

Heat shock protein gene HSP108 and a replication histone gene cluster are linked in the chicken.

In work aimed at extending the chicken genome linkage map, a heat shock protein gene, HSP108, was shown by restriction fragment length polymorphism (RFLP) analysis to be linked to one of two replication histone gene clusters located on chromosome 1. Linkage was estimated using the LOD score method, on segregation data from seven pedigreed three-generation families (245 individuals). The maximum likelihood estimate of the recombination fraction (theta) was 0.215.

Decline in heterozygosity under full-sib and double first-cousin inbreeding in Drosophila melanogaster.

The effects of inbreeding on heterozygosities and reproductive fitness were determined by carrying out full-sib and double first-cousin inbreeding in Drosophila melanogaster populations for up to 18 generations. Parents were scored each generation for five or six polymorphic enzyme loci, and progeny numbers per pair were recorded. Inbreeding depression, in the form of significant reductions in progeny numbers and significant extinction of lines, was observed. Heterozygosity decreased at a significantly slower rate than predicted, being about 80% of expected. The full-sib and double first-cousin treatments showed similar disagreement with expectations over comparable ranges of inbreeding. Natural selection was shown to favor heterozygotes in the inbred lines. Associative overdominance was the most probable explanation for the slower than expected decline in heterozygosity.

Effects on heterozygosity and reproductive fitness of inbreeding with and without selection on fitness in Drosophila melanogaster.

The effects of inbreeding, with (IS) and without selection (IO) for reproductive fitness, on inbreeding depression and heterozygosity were evaluated in 20 lines of each treatment inbred over seven generations using full-sib mating. The survival of lines was significantly greater in IS (20/20) than in IO (15/20). The competitive index measure of reproductive fitness was significantly lower in the inbred lines than in the outbred base population, but not significantly different in surviving IS and IO lines. There was a trend for higher fitness in the IS treatment as relative fitnesses were 19% higher in IS than IO for surviving lines and 59% higher for all lines. Heterozygosities were lower in the inbred lines than in the base population, and significantly higher in the IS than the IO lines. Consequently, the reduction of inbreeding depression in IS has been achieved, at least in part, by slowing the rate of fixation.

Induced expression of a Drosophila hsp70 promoter-fusion transgene is reduced after repeated heat shocks.

Levels of transcripts produced by a heat shock protein 70 (hsp70)-antisense white transgene in Drosophila were measured after single and multiple heat shocks to determine whether the hsp70 promoter could produce sustained high levels of transgene transcripts. A single heat shock resulted in typical highly inducible levels of RNA, but the amount of antisense RNA was substantially reduced after multiple heat shocks. Endogenous hsp70 mRNA levels were also less abundant after multiple heat shocks as compared to a single heat shock. The hsp70 promoter is unsuitable for use in fusion gene constructs for long term expression studies where repeated heat shocks are required.

Heterozygosity at protein loci in inbred and outbred lines of chickens.

Levels of heterozygosity at six polymorphic protein marker loci were determined by electrophoresis in 24 lines of poultry, encompassing 17 White Leghorn inbred lines (WLI) (with inbreeding coefficients, F, ranging from .946 to .988), five Australorp inbred lines (AusI) (with F values ranging from .924 to .961), and two randombred lines (one White Leghorn and one Australorp). Fixation was observed at one locus in WLI lines, and at two loci in the AusI lines. Segregation at the other loci was observed in the inbred lines of the two breeds. Observed heterozygosity in the inbred lines markedly exceeded the expectations under inbreeding theory. In White Leghorns, reproductive fitnesses for heterozygotes were superior to homozygotes in the inbred lines, but not in the control. Consequently, natural selection operating through associative overdominance appears to be responsible for the higher than expected heterozygosities in the inbred lines.

P element transposon-induced quantitative genetic variation for inebriation time in Drosophila melanogaster.

Bi-directional selection was carried out in coisogenic stocks with and without mobilised P element transposons to determine whether P elements induce quantitative genetic variation for inebriation time in Drosophila. There was significant response to 11 generations of selection in both pairs of replicates of bi-directional selection from an isogenic base stock in which P elements had been mobilised. Conversely, there was no significant response to 11 generations of identical selection in the control lines derived from a relatively inbred line lacking P elements. Thus, P elements have induced quantitative genetic variation for inebriation time.

Adding the heterochromatic YL arm to an X chromosome reduces reproductive fitnesses in Drosophila melanogaster: implications for the evolution of rDNA, heterochromatin, and reproductive isolation.

For X-Y exchange to be of importance in the coevolution of X and Y rDNA, there must be a mechanism to maintain cytologically normal X chromosomes in the face of continual infusions of X.YL chromosomes produced by X-Y exchanges. Replicated populations were founded with different frequencies of isogenic X and X.YL chromosomes. The X.YL chromosome declined in frequency over time in all lines. Relative fitnesses, estimated from chromosome frequency trajectories, were 0.40, 1.01, and 1.0 for X.YL/X.YL, X.YL/X, and X/X females and 0.75 and 1.0 for X.YL/Y and X/Y males, respectively. The equilibrium frequency for the X.YL chromosome due to the balance between X-Y exchange and selection was predicted to be 4-16 x 10(-4). The results strengthen the evidence for the involvement of X-Y exchange in the coevolution of X and Y rDNA arrays. Conditions for the evolution of reproductive isolation by sex-chromosome translocation are much less probable than previously supposed since the X.YL translocation chromosome is at a selective disadvantage to cytologically normal X chromosomes. Additional heterochromatin was not neutral but was only deleterious beyond a threshold, as one dose of the heterochromatic XL arm did not reduce female reproductive fitness, but two doses did.

Molecular hypotheses for position-effect variegation: anti-sense transcription and promoter occlusion.

There is currently no comprehensive molecular hypothesis to account for position-effect variegation, the mosaic expression of a gene lying near a breakpoint of a chromosomal rearrangement. Here it is proposed that position-effect variegation arises from either anti-sense transcription or from promoter occlusion (transcription readthrough), the former mechanism operating for breakpoints on the 3' side of the affected gene and the latter for breakpoints on the 5' side. Anti-sense transcription will occur in rearrangements that place the anti-sense strand of genes next to a promoter. This anti-sense RNA hybridizes to, and thereby inactivates, sense mRNA transcripts (as anti-sense RNA is known to do). Promoter occlusion may occur in rearrangements that place the affected gene near an open upstream promoter. This promoter drives readthrough transcription that inhibits most normal transcripts. Occasional normal transcripts lead to phenotypic variegation. These hypotheses have three strengths: (i) they predict the major observed features of position-effect variegation including variegated phenotype, stable inheritance, the involvement of rearrangements, only some rearrangements causing variegation, the occurrence of both dominant and recessive variegation, the spreading effect of variegation to several loci, and the conditions required for expression of variegation; (ii) they can plausibly account for features of position-effect variegation that they do not specifically predict; (iii) they lead to a series of novel and testable predictions, including the presence of altered transcripts in rearrangements including position-effect variegation, the location of breakpoints required to cause variegation, and a correlation between the extent of the spreading effect and the length of the novel transcript. These mechanisms can account for several other cases of variegation in addition to classic position-effect variegation. Actual or putative examples of phenotypic variegation due to these mechanisms are known.