From worst-case to reality - Case studies illustrating tiered refinement of consumer exposure to cosmetic ingredients.

Consumer exposure to cosmetic ingredients is estimated in a tiered manner. Simple Tier1 deterministic aggregate exposure modelling generates a worst case estimate of exposure. Tier1 assumes that a consumer uses all cosmetic products concomitantly daily, at maximum frequency, and products always contain the ingredient at the maximum allowed % w/w concentration. Refining exposure assessment from worst case to more realistic estimates uses evidence from surveys of actual use levels of ingredients and Tier2 probabilistic models, where distributions of consumer use data can be applied. In Tier2+ modelling, occurrence data provides evidence of products on the market actually containing the ingredient. Three case studies are presented using this tiered approach to illustrate progressive refinement. The scale of refinements from Tier1 to Tier2+ modelling for the ingredients, propyl paraben, benzoic acid and DMDM hydantoin were: 0.492 to 0.026; 1.93 to 0.042 and 1.61 to 0.027 mg/kg/day exposure dose. For propyl paraben, moving from Tier1 to Tier2+ represents a refinement from 49-fold to 3-fold overestimate of exposure when compared to a maximum estimate of 0.01 mg/kg/day exposure seen in human studies. Such refinements from worst case to realistic levels of exposure estimation can be critical in the demonstration of consumer safety.

Incorporating integrated testing strategy (ITSv1) defined approach into read-across (RAx) in predicting skin sensitization potency: ITSv1-based RAx.

Recently, due to regulatory and ethical demands, new approach methodologies (NAMs), defined approaches (DAs), and read-across (RAx) have been used in the risk assessment of skin sensitization. Integrated testing strategy (ITS)v1 DA, adopted in OECD Guideline No. 497, can be used for skin sensitization potency categorization. However, ITSv1 DA alone is not used for further refinement of the potency prediction based on EC3 (the estimated concentration that produces a stimulation index of 3 in murine local lymph node assay) values. Moreover, there is no explicit approach to incorporating NAM/DA data into RAx to fill the data gap of EC3 values with high confidence. This study developed a strategy incorporating ITSv1 DA into RAx to predict skin sensitization potency: ITSv1-based RAx. To examine the reliability of this novel strategy, a case study with lilial, a fragrance material, was performed. Based on ITSv1-based RAx, the skin sensitization potency of lilial was determined by extrapolating the EC3 value of 9.5% for the suitable analogue bourgeonal, which was close to the historical EC3 value of 8.6%. The result suggested that the strategy can refine the prediction of EC3 values with high confidence and be useful for the risk assessment of skin sensitization.