ABSTRACT
Purpose: We aimed to develop a nomogram to predict prognosis of HR+ HER2- breast cancer patients and guide the application of postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy. Methods: We identified 310 eligible HR+ HER- breast cancer patients and randomly divided the database into a training group and a validation group. The endpoint was disease free survival (DFS). Concordance index (C-index), area under the curve (AUC) and calibration curves were used to evaluate predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of the nomogram. We also compared the predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of our nomogram with the eighth AJCC staging system using overall data. Results: According to the training group, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), tumor size, positive lymph nodes and Ki-67 index were used to construct the nomogram of DFS. The C-index of DFS was 0.708 (95% CI: 0.623-0.793) in the training group and 0.67 (95% CI: 0.544-0.796) in the validation group. The calibration curves revealed great consistencies in both groups. Conclusion: We have developed and validated a novel and practical nomogram that can provide individual prediction of DFS for patients with HR+ HER- breast cancer. This nomogram may help clinicians in risk consulting and guiding the application of postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy.
ABSTRACT
Background: The association between tumor location and breast cancer prognosis has been controversial. We sought to explore the relationship between tumors located in central and nipple portion (TCNP) and Chinese breast cancer. Patients and methods: A total of 1,427 breast cancer patients were recruited. There were 328 cases of TCNP and 1,099 cases of tumors in the breast peripheral quadrant (TBPQ). The chi-square test was used to compare different variables between TCNP and TBPQ groups. A one-to-one propensity score matching (PSM) was applied to construct a matched sample consisting of pairs of TCNP and TBPQ groups. Kaplan-Meier curves were used for survival analysis of disease-free survival (DFS), breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) and overall survival (OS). The Cox proportional hazards regression model was applied to identify prognostic risk factors. Results: The median follow-up time was 58 months. Compared to TBPQ, TCNP patients had significantly larger tumor size, more frequent metastasis to lymph nodes (LN) and more proportions of TNM stage II-III. DFS, OS and BCSS rates were markedly lower in the TCNP group as compared to the TBPQ group before and after PSM (all p < 0.05). Multivariate Cox analysis showed that TCNP was an independent prognostic factor for breast cancer. Subgroup analysis indicated that for breast molecular subtypes and TNM stage II-III breast cancer, TCNP were related to worse prognosis. Multivariate logistic regression revealed that TCNP was an independent contributing factor for LN metastasis. Conclusion: In Chinese breast cancer, compared to TBPQ, TCNP is associated with more LN metastasis and poorer prognosis.
ABSTRACT
Background: Triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) is an aggressive disease. Nomograms can predict prognosis of patients with TNBC. Methods: A total of 745 eligible TNBC patients were recruited and randomly divided into training and validation groups. Endpoints were disease-free survival and overall survival. Concordance index, area under the curve and calibration curves were used to analyze the predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of nomograms. Results: Based on the training cohort, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, positive lymph nodes, tumor size and tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes were used to construct a nomogram for disease-free survival. In addition, age was added to the overall survival nomogram. Conclusion: The current study developed and validated well-calibrated nomograms for predicting disease-free survival and overall survival in patients with TNBC.
