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1.
J Clin Endocrinol Metab ; 97(5): 1695-701, 2012 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22399516

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A2 (Lp-PLA(2)) has been consistently associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors and predictive of CVD outcomes; furthermore, it is consistently higher among type 2 diabetics than nondiabetics. However, the relationships of circulating Lp-PLA(2) mass and activity with incident type 2 diabetes mellitus have not been examined. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to determine the association of Lp-PLA(2) mass and activity with type 2 diabetes among older adults. METHODS: We conducted analyses of Lp-PLA(2) and prevalent and incident diabetes among 5474 men and women from the Cardiovascular Health Study (1989-2007). Lp-PLA(2) mass and activity were measured in baseline plasma. Diabetes status was ascertained annually with medication inventories and repeated blood glucose measurements. Generalized linear and Cox proportional hazards models were used to adjust for confounding factors including body mass index and inflammation. RESULTS: At baseline, the top two quintiles of Lp-PLA(2) activity were significantly associated with prevalent type 2 diabetes with a multivariable relative risk = 1.35 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.11-1.63] for quintile 4, and relative risk = 1.33 (95% CI = 1.07-1.66) for quintile 5. Among participants free of diabetes at baseline, we found a significant positive association with both the homeostatic model assessment for insulin resistance and ß-cell function per SD increase in Lp-PLA(2) activity (P values for both <0.01). In prospective analyses, the risk of incident type 2 diabetes was significantly higher among those in the highest quintile of Lp-PLA(2) activity [multivariable hazard ratio = 1.45 (95% CI = 1.01-2.07)] compared with the lowest quintile. Lp-PLA(2) mass was not significantly associated with incident type 2 diabetes. DISCUSSION: Lp-PLA(2) activity is positively associated with insulin resistance and predicts incident type 2 diabetes among older adults independent of multiple factors associated with diabetes pathogenesis.


Subject(s)
1-Alkyl-2-acetylglycerophosphocholine Esterase/blood , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/epidemiology , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/etiology , Insulin Resistance/physiology , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Cardiovascular Diseases/blood , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Cardiovascular Diseases/etiology , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/blood , Female , Humans , Incidence , Male , Middle Aged , Predictive Value of Tests , Prevalence , Prospective Studies , Risk , Risk Factors
2.
Diabetologia ; 54(2): 329-33, 2011 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21103980

ABSTRACT

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Type 2 diabetes is an established risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD). This increased risk may be due in part to the increased levels of inflammatory factors associated with diabetes. Lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A(2) (Lp-PLA(2)) is a risk marker for CVD and has pro-inflammatory effects in atherosclerotic plaques. We therefore sought to determine whether Lp-PLA(2) levels partially explain the greater prevalence of subclinical CVD and greater incidence of CVD outcomes associated with type 2 diabetes in the Cardiovascular Health Study. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional and prospective study of 4,062 men and women without previous CVD from the Cardiovascular Health Study (1989 to 2007). Lp-PLA(2) mass and activity were measured in baseline plasma. Subclinical disease was determined at baseline and incident CVD was ascertained annually. We used logistic regression for cross-sectional analyses and Cox proportional hazards models for incident analyses. RESULTS: At baseline, Lp-PLA(2) mass did not differ significantly by type 2 diabetes status; however, Lp-PLA(2) activity was significantly higher among type 2 diabetic individuals. Baseline subclinical disease was significantly associated with baseline diabetes and this association was similar in models unadjusted or adjusted for Lp-PLA(2) (OR 1.68 [95% CI 1.31-2.15] vs OR 1.67 [95% CI 1.30-2.13]). Baseline type 2 diabetes was also significantly associated with incident CVD events, including fatal CHD, fatal myocardial infarction (MI) and non-fatal MI in multivariable analyses. There were no differences in these estimates after further adjustment for Lp-PLA(2) activity. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: In this older cohort, differences in Lp-PLA(2) activity did not explain any of the excess risk for subclinical disease or CVD outcomes related to diabetes.


Subject(s)
1-Alkyl-2-acetylglycerophosphocholine Esterase/metabolism , Cardiovascular Diseases/enzymology , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/complications , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/enzymology , Aged , Cardiovascular Diseases/etiology , Cardiovascular Diseases/metabolism , Cross-Sectional Studies , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/metabolism , Female , Humans , Male , Proportional Hazards Models , Prospective Studies , Risk Factors
3.
J Nutr Health Aging ; 12(1): 73S-9S, 2008 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18165850

ABSTRACT

The epidemic of late life dementia, prominence of use of alternative medications and supplements, and initiation of efforts to determine how to prevent dementia have led to efforts to conduct studies aimed at prevention of dementia. The GEM (Ginkgo Evaluation of Memory) and GuidAge studies are ongoing randomized double-blind, placebo-controlled trials of Ginkgo biloba, administered in a dose of 120 mg twice per day as EGb761, to test whether Ginkgo biloba is effective in the prevention of dementia (and especially Alzheimer's disease) in normal elderly or those early cognitive impairment. Both GEM and GuidAge will also add substantial knowledge to the growing need for expertise in designing and implementing clinical trials to test the efficacy of putative disease-modifying agents for the dementias. While there are many similarities between GEM and Guidage, there are also significant differences. We present here the first comparative design and baseline data fromGEM and Guidage, two of the largest dementia primary prevention trials to date.


Subject(s)
Dementia/prevention & control , Dementia/therapy , Ginkgo biloba , Phytotherapy , Plant Extracts/therapeutic use , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Female , Humans , Male , Neuropsychological Tests , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
5.
Eur J Cardiovasc Prev Rehabil ; 14(1): 3-11, 2007 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17301621

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: A large number of observational epidemiological studies have reported generally positive associations between circulating mass and activity levels of lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A2 (Lp-PLA2) and the risk of cardiovascular diseases. Few studies have been large enough to provide reliable estimates in different circumstances, such as in different subgroups (e.g., by age group, sex, or smoking status) or at different Lp-PLA2 levels. Moreover, most published studies have related disease risk only to baseline values of Lp-PLA2 markers (which can lead to substantial underestimation of any risk relationships because of within-person variability over time) and have used different approaches to adjustment for possible confounding factors. OBJECTIVES: By combination of data from individual participants from all relevant observational studies in a systematic 'meta-analysis', with correction for regression dilution (using available data on serial measurements of Lp-PLA2), the Lp-PLA2 Studies Collaboration will aim to characterize more precisely than has previously been possible the strength and shape of the age and sex-specific associations of plasma Lp-PLA2 with coronary heart disease (and, where data are sufficient, with other vascular diseases, such as ischaemic stroke). It will also help to determine to what extent such associations are independent of possible confounding factors and to explore potential sources of heterogeneity among studies, such as those related to assay methods and study design. It is anticipated that the present collaboration will serve as a framework to investigate related questions on Lp-PLA2 and cardiovascular outcomes. METHODS: A central database is being established containing data on circulating Lp-PLA2 values, sex and other potential confounding factors, age at baseline Lp-PLA2 measurement, age at event or at last follow-up, major vascular morbidity and cause-specific mortality. Information about any repeat measurements of Lp-PLA2 and potential confounding factors has been sought to allow adjustment for possible confounding and correction for regression dilution. The analyses will involve age-specific regression models. Synthesis of the available observational studies of Lp-PLA2 will yield information on a total of about 15 000 cardiovascular disease endpoints.


Subject(s)
1-Alkyl-2-acetylglycerophosphocholine Esterase/metabolism , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Cardiovascular Diseases/metabolism , Humans , Phospholipases A2
6.
J Intern Med ; 259(3): 247-58, 2006 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16476102

ABSTRACT

There is abundant evidence that the risk of atherosclerotic vascular disease is directly related to plasma cholesterol levels. Accordingly, all of the national and transnational screening and therapeutic guidelines are based on total or LDL cholesterol. This presumes that cholesterol is the most important lipoprotein-related proatherogenic risk variable. On the contrary, risk appears to be more directly related to the number of circulating atherogenic particles that contact and enter the arterial wall than to the measured concentration of cholesterol in these lipoprotein fractions. Each of the atherogenic lipoprotein particles contains a single molecule of apolipoprotein (apo) B and therefore the concentration of apo B provides a direct measure of the number of circulating atherogenic lipoproteins. Evidence from fundamental, epidemiological and clinical trial studies indicates that apo B is superior to any of the cholesterol indices to recognize those at increased risk of vascular disease and to judge the adequacy of lipid-lowering therapy. On the basis of this evidence, we believe that apo B should be included in all guidelines as an indicator of cardiovascular risk. In addition, the present target adopted by the Canadian guideline groups of an apo B <90 mg dL(-1) in high-risk patients should be reassessed in the light of the new clinical trial results and a new ultra-low target of <80 mg dL(-1) be considered. The evidence also indicates that the apo B/apo A-I ratio is superior to any of the conventional cholesterol ratios in patients without symptomatic vascular disease or diabetes to evaluate the lipoprotein-related risk of vascular disease.


Subject(s)
Apolipoproteins B/blood , Cholesterol/blood , Coronary Artery Disease/etiology , Hyperlipidemias/diagnosis , Hypolipidemic Agents/therapeutic use , Biomarkers/blood , Cholesterol, LDL/blood , Coronary Artery Disease/blood , Coronary Artery Disease/prevention & control , Drug Monitoring/methods , Humans , Hyperlipidemias/complications , Hyperlipidemias/drug therapy , Practice Guidelines as Topic , Risk Assessment/methods
9.
Eur Heart J ; 23(3): 207-15, 2002 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11792135

ABSTRACT

AIMS: To assess the effects of pravastatin on all-cause mortality and cause-specific mortality and to compare the effects for patients with prior coronary heart disease with those for patients without, using pooled data from the Long-Term Intervention with Pravastatin in Ischaemic Disease (LIPID) study, the Cholesterol and Recurrent Events (CARE) study, and the West of Scotland Coronary Prevention Study (WOSCOPS). METHODS AND RESULTS: 13 173 patients with coronary heart disease and 6595 men with elevated cholesterol and no prior coronary disease received pravastatin, 40 mg daily, or placebo for an average of 5 to 6 years. Data were analysed according to a pre-specified, published protocol. For all three trials combined, the mortality among patients assigned pravastatin was significantly lower, at 7.9%, than the 9.8% among those assigned placebo, a relative risk reduction of 20% (95% confidence interval (CI) 12-27%, P<0.0001). Active treatment was associated with a reduction in coronary mortality (24%, 95% CI 14-33%). Larger reductions in absolute risk were estimated in those with prior coronary heart disease than in those without. CONCLUSION: Treatment with pravastatin over 5 years reduces all-cause mortality and coronary mortality in patients with and those without a history of coronary heart disease. The size of the benefit was related principally to the baseline risk.


Subject(s)
Cholesterol/blood , Coronary Disease/blood , Coronary Disease/mortality , Hydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Pravastatin/therapeutic use , Aged , Coronary Disease/drug therapy , Double-Blind Method , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Prevalence , Risk Factors , Sensitivity and Specificity , Survival Analysis , Time Factors , Treatment Outcome
11.
Ann Intern Med ; 135(12): 1074-8, 2001 Dec 18.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11747386

ABSTRACT

Several recent comparative trials in hypertension have reported that similar blood pressure reductions may not necessarily translate into similar reductions in risk for cardiovascular complications. Thus, the method used to lower blood pressure may be important. In the Antihypertensive and Lipid-Lowering Treatment To Prevent Heart Attack Trial (ALLHAT), low-dose chlorthalidone as the first-line drug was superior to doxazosin. The 25% higher risk for major cardiovascular events associated with doxazosin was attributed primarily to a doubling in the risk for heart failure. A meta-analysis of patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus suggested that despite achieving similar blood pressure reductions, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors are superior to other antihypertensive drugs in reducing the risk for acute myocardial infarction and cardiovascular events, but not stroke. Although individual comparative trials have failed to show conclusively that calcium-channel blockers differ from other antihypertensive drugs, a meta-analysis that included all published trials concluded that calcium-channel blockers are inferior to other classes of drugs in reducing the risk for acute myocardial infarction and heart failure. These observations suggest not only that antihypertensive drugs may have important mechanisms of action apart from blood pressure lowering but also that effective treatment is not a matter of simply lowering blood pressure. These findings have potential implications for the regulatory approval of antihypertensive agents, revisions of treatment guidelines, the design of future randomized trials comparing different antihypertensive drugs and, most important, the selection of drugs for the treatment of hypertensive patients.


Subject(s)
Antihypertensive Agents/therapeutic use , Cardiovascular Diseases/prevention & control , Hypertension/drug therapy , Hypolipidemic Agents/therapeutic use , Clinical Trials as Topic/trends , Forecasting , Humans , Research Design
12.
Ann Epidemiol ; 11(8): 534-42, 2001 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11709272

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Recent studies have reported conflicting results on a possible relationship between hypertension, heart rate, and prostate cancer. A model has been developed suggesting that high blood pressure and high heart rate may both be markers for increased central sympathetic nervous activity, which may result in androgen-mediated stimulation of prostate cancer growth. METHODS: In this study we examined the associations between hypertension, heart rate, use of antihypertensive medications, and incident prostate cancer in a cohort of 2442 men. Data from the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), an NHLBI-sponsored observational study of adults age 65 or older in four U.S. communities, were analyzed using Cox proportional hazards regression. Seated systolic and diastolic blood pressures were measured using a standardized protocol at the initial clinical examination and annually at follow-up visits. Medications data were transcribed by trained interviewers from prescription medication containers brought into the clinic by participants. RESULTS: A total of 209 cases of incident prostate cancer were identified from either an ICD-9 code of 185 in hospital medical records (n = 130) or by self-report from annual surveillance interviews (n = 79). An average of 5.6 years of follow-up was available for analyses. No associations between blood pressure measures at entry into the study and prostate cancer were found, although these results may have been affected by subsequent treatment of hypertension. An association between resting heart rate (HR) equal to or greater than 80 beats per minute and incident prostate cancer was found compared to men with a rate of less than 60 beats per minute (HR: 1.6, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.03-2.5). An inverse association was found between risk of incident prostate cancer and use of any antihypertensive medication (HR: 0.7, 95% CI: 0.5-0.9). A test of heterogeneity found no difference between use of the specific classes of antihypertensive medication and the association with prostate cancer risk. CONCLUSIONS: These data tend to support the hypothesized causal pathway between vascular disease markers and prostate cancer.


Subject(s)
Antihypertensive Agents/therapeutic use , Heart Rate , Hypertension/epidemiology , Prostatic Neoplasms/epidemiology , Prostatic Neoplasms/etiology , Aged , Cohort Studies , Humans , Hypertension/drug therapy , Hypertension/physiopathology , Incidence , Male , Proportional Hazards Models , Prostatic Neoplasms/physiopathology , Risk , United States/epidemiology
13.
Circulation ; 104(16): 1923-6, 2001 Oct 16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11602495

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Although present guidelines suggest that treatment of hypertension is more effective in patients with multiple risk factors and higher risk of cardiovascular events, this hypothesis was never verified in older patients with systolic hypertension. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using data from the Systolic Hypertension in the Elderly Program, we calculated the global cardiovascular risk score according to the American Heart Association Multiple Risk Factor Assessment Equation in 4,189 participants free of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and in 264 participants with CVD at baseline. In the placebo group, rates of cardiovascular events over 4.5 years were progressively higher according to higher quartiles of CVD risk. The protection conferred by treatment was similar across quartiles of risk. However, the numbers needed to treat (NNTs) to prevent one cardiovascular event were progressively smaller according to higher cardiovascular risk quartiles. In participants with baseline CVD, the NNTs to prevent one cardiovascular event were similar to those estimated for CVD-free participants in the highest-risk quartile. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment of systolic hypertension is most effective in older patients who, because of additional risk factors or prevalent CVD, are at higher risk of developing a cardiovascular event. These patients are prime candidates for antihypertensive treatment.


Subject(s)
Antihypertensive Agents/administration & dosage , Atenolol/administration & dosage , Chlorthalidone/administration & dosage , Hypertension/drug therapy , Reserpine/administration & dosage , Age Factors , Aged , Dose-Response Relationship, Drug , Double-Blind Method , Drug Therapy, Combination , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Sex Distribution , Systole , Treatment Outcome
14.
J Intern Med ; 250(4): 271-9, 2001 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11576315

ABSTRACT

An increasing number of media reports on a number of marketed drugs withdrawn because of harmful effects, a scientific report on epidemic proportions of serious adverse drug reactions in hospitalized patients, and a disturbing report on medical mistakes that includes medication errors have recently all brought drug safety into intense focus and placed it under greater scrutiny. Concerted efforts are now being made to understand the causes of drug safety problems and to find ways to reduce their frequency. An international symposium, 'Developing an Optimal Approach to Drug Safety' was held at Wake Forest University in the Fall of 2000 to identify the issues and solutions to extant problems in this area. This report summarizes the resulting discussions of global postmarketing surveillance initiatives and describes efforts to reduce medication errors, and improve global communication about drug safety.


Subject(s)
Adverse Drug Reaction Reporting Systems , Drug-Related Side Effects and Adverse Reactions , International Cooperation , Drug Approval , Global Health , Humans , Medication Errors/prevention & control , Product Surveillance, Postmarketing
15.
J Am Coll Cardiol ; 38(3): 705-11, 2001 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11527621

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: This study sought to determine the independent association of renal insufficiency with cardiovascular risk among women with known coronary heart disease (CHD). BACKGROUND: Although patients with end-stage renal disease and proteinuria are at high risk for cardiovascular events, little is known about the cardiovascular risk associated with moderate renal insufficiency. METHODS: The Heart and Estrogen/progestin Replacement Study (HERS) was a clinical trial among 2,763 women with coronary disease who were randomized to conjugated estrogen plus progestins or identical placebo and followed for a mean of 4.1 years. Women were categorized as having normal renal function (creatinine < 1.2 mg/dl; n = 2,012), mild renal insufficiency (1.2 mg/dl to 1.4 mg/dl; n = 567) and moderate renal insufficiency (>1.4 mg/dl; n = 182). We examined the independent association of renal function with incident cardiovascular events including CHD death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, hospitalization for unstable angina, stroke and transient ischemic attacks. RESULTS: Compared with women with normal renal function, those with mild and moderate renal insufficiency were older, more likely to be black, have a history of hypertension and diabetes and have higher serum levels of triglycerides and lipoprotein(a). After multivariate adjustment, both mild (relative hazards [RH] = 1.24; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.0 to 1.5) and moderate renal insufficiency (RH = 1.57; 95% CI: 1.2 to 2.1) were independently associated with increased risk for cardiovascular events compared with women with normal renal function. CONCLUSIONS: Renal insufficiency is an independent risk factor for cardiovascular events in postmenopausal women with known coronary artery disease. Renal function may add helpful information to CHD risk stratification.


Subject(s)
Coronary Disease/epidemiology , Renal Insufficiency/epidemiology , Aged , Comorbidity , Coronary Disease/blood , Creatinine/blood , Female , Humans , Middle Aged , Postmenopause , Renal Insufficiency/blood , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors
16.
Arch Intern Med ; 161(14): 1709-13, 2001 Jul 23.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11485503

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The finding from the Heart and Estrogen/Progestin Replacement Study (HERS) of increased coronary risk restricted to the first year after starting postmenopausal hormone therapy raises new questions about the role of hormone therapy in women with coronary heart disease. We assessed the risk of recurrent myocardial infarction or coronary heart disease death associated with the use and recent initiation of hormone therapy in women who survived a first myocardial infarction. METHODS: The setting for this population-based inception cohort study was Group Health Cooperative, a health maintenance organization. We studied 981 postmenopausal women who survived to hospital discharge after their first myocardial infarction between July 1, 1986, and December 31, 1996. We obtained information on hormone use from the Group Health Cooperative computerized pharmacy database and identified recurrent coronary events by medical record review. RESULTS: During median follow-up of 3.5 years, there were 186 recurrent coronary events. There was no difference in the risk of recurrent coronary events between current users of hormone therapy and other women (adjusted relative hazard [RH], 0.96; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.62-1.50). Relative to the risk in women not currently using hormones, there was a suggestion of increased risk during the first 60 days after starting hormone therapy (RH, 2.16; 95% CI, 0.94-4.95) and reduced risk with current hormone use for longer than 1 year (RH, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.42-1.36). CONCLUSION: These results are consistent with the findings from the HERS, suggesting a transitory increase in coronary risk after starting hormone therapy in women with established coronary heart disease and a decreased risk thereafter.


Subject(s)
Estrogen Replacement Therapy , Myocardial Infarction/prevention & control , Population Surveillance , Postmenopause , Adult , Aged , Estrogens/administration & dosage , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Middle Aged , Progestins/administration & dosage , Recurrence , Risk
17.
J Clin Pharm Ther ; 26(4): 303-10, 2001 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11493374

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Muscle pains with or without CK-elevation are among the most frequently observed side-effects in patients with hyperlipoproteinemia on various statins. The pathophysiological background, however, remains obscure. METHODS: We examined isoprostane 8-epi-PGF2alpha, a marker of in-vivo oxidation injury, in plasma, serum and urine in these patients at baseline, when muscle problems manifested and different time intervals after withdrawing the respective statin. A healthy control group and a group of untreated patients with hyperlipoproteinemia were run as controls. RESULTS: The majority of patients with muscular side-effects show elevated 8-epi-PGF2alpha in plasma and urine, whereas serum values were elevated only to a lesser extent. Stopping statin therapy or successfully changing to another member of this family of compounds resulted in a normalization of the values in all patients. CONCLUSION: These findings indicate a significant involvement of oxidative injury in the muscular side-effects of statins in patients suffering from hyperlipoproteinemia.


Subject(s)
Biomarkers/analysis , Creatine Kinase/blood , Dinoprost/analogs & derivatives , F2-Isoprostanes/blood , Hydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors/adverse effects , Muscle, Skeletal/pathology , Oxidative Stress , Pain/chemically induced , Vasoconstrictor Agents/blood , Adult , Aged , F2-Isoprostanes/urine , Female , Humans , Hydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Hyperlipoproteinemias/drug therapy , Male , Middle Aged , Muscle, Skeletal/chemistry , Oxidation-Reduction , Vasoconstrictor Agents/urine
18.
Am J Cardiol ; 88(2): 118-23, 2001 Jul 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11448406

ABSTRACT

T-axis shift has been reported to be an indicator of increased mortality risk. We evaluated the association of spatial T-axis deviation with incident coronary heart disease (CHD) events in older men and women free from clinically overt CHD. Spatial T-axis deviation was measured from the standard 12-lead electrocardiogram of a subgroup of 4,173 subjects considered free of CHD at baseline in the Cardiovascular Health Study, a prospective cohort study of risk factors for CHD and stroke in older men and women. Cox regression analysis was used to evaluate the association of altered repolarization with the risk of incident CHD events. The prevalence of marked T-axis deviation (> or =45 degrees ) was 12%. During the median follow-up of 7.4 years, there were 161 CHD deaths, 743 deaths from all causes, and 679 incident CHD events. Adjusting for demographic and clinical risk factors, including other electrocardiographic abnormalities, there was a nearly twofold excess risk of CHD death, and approximately a 50% excess risk of incident CHD and all-cause mortality for those with marked T-axis deviation. From other electrocardiographic abnormalities, only QT prolongation was associated with excess risk for incident CHD comparable to that for abnormal T-axis deviation. These results suggest that T-axis deviation is an easily quantified marker for subclinical disease and an independent indicator for the risk of incident CHD events in older men and women free of CHD.


Subject(s)
Coronary Disease/epidemiology , Electrocardiography , Aged , Algorithms , Cohort Studies , Coronary Disease/diagnosis , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Male , Prevalence , Proportional Hazards Models , Prospective Studies , Risk Factors , Stroke/epidemiology , Survival Analysis
20.
Arch Intern Med ; 161(9): 1183-92, 2001 May 14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11343441

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Recent reports have drawn attention to the importance of pulse pressure as a predictor of cardiovascular events. Pulse pressure is used neither by clinicians nor by guidelines to define treatable levels of blood pressure. METHODS: In the Cardiovascular Health Study, 5888 adults 65 years and older were recruited from 4 US centers. At baseline in 1989-1990, participants underwent an extensive examination, and all subsequent cardiovascular events were ascertained and classified. RESULTS: At baseline, 1961 men and 2941 women were at risk for an incident myocardial infarction or stroke. During follow-up that averaged 6.7 years, 572 subjects had a coronary event, 385 had a stroke, and 896 died. After adjustment for potential confounders, systolic blood pressure (SBP), diastolic blood pressure (DBP), and pulse pressure were directly associated with the risk of incident myocardial infarction and stroke. Only SBP was associated with total mortality. Importantly, SBP was a better predictor of cardiovascular events than DBP or pulse pressure. In the adjusted model for myocardial infarction, a 1-SD change in SBP, DBP, and pulse pressure was associated with hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of 1.24 (1.15-1.35), 1.13 (1.04-1.22), and 1.21 (1.12-1.31), respectively; and adding pulse pressure or DBP to the model did not improve the fit. For stroke, the hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) were 1.34 (1.21-1.47) with SBP, 1.29 (1.17-1.42) with DBP, and 1.21 (1.10-1.34) with pulse pressure. The association between blood pressure level and cardiovascular disease risk was generally linear; specifically, there was no evidence of a J-shaped relationship. In those with treated hypertension, the hazard ratios for the association of SBP with the risks for myocardial infarction and stroke were less pronounced than in those without treated hypertension. CONCLUSION: In this population-based study of older adults, although all measures of blood pressure were strongly and directly related to the risk of coronary and cerebrovascular events, SBP was the best single predictor of cardiovascular events.


Subject(s)
Blood Pressure , Myocardial Infarction/mortality , Stroke/mortality , Aged , Blood Pressure/physiology , Female , Humans , Male , Myocardial Infarction/etiology , Myocardial Infarction/physiopathology , Prognosis , Proportional Hazards Models , Prospective Studies , Risk Factors , Stroke/etiology , Stroke/physiopathology , Survival Rate , United States/epidemiology
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