Relative risk of acute pancreatitis in initiators of exenatide twice daily compared with other anti-diabetic medication: a follow-up study.

AIMS: Previously, a retrospective cohort study found no increased risk of acute pancreatitis with current or recent use of exenatide twice daily compared with use of other anti-diabetic drugs. This follow-up study investigated incident acute pancreatitis, with the use of a different data source and analytic method, in patients exposed to exenatide twice daily compared with patients exposed to other anti-diabetic medications. METHODS: A large US health insurance claims database was used. Eligible patients had ≥ 9 months continuous enrollment without a claim for pancreatitis and a claim for a new anti-diabetic medication on or after 1 June 2005 to 31 March 2009. Cases of acute pancreatitis were defined as hospitalized patients with an Internation Classification of Disease 9 code of 577.0 in the primary position. A discrete time survival model was used to evaluate the relationship between exenatide twice daily and acute pancreatitis. RESULTS: Of 482,034 eligible patients, 24,237 initiated exenatide twice daily and 457,797 initiated another anti-diabetic medication. Initiators of exenatide twice daily had more severe diabetes compared with initiators of other anti-diabetic medications. After adjustments for propensity score, insulin and use of medication potentially associated with acute pancreatitis, the odds ratio with exenatide twice daily exposure was 0.95 (95% CI 0.65-1.38). A secondary analysis that examined current, recent and past medication exposure found no increased risk of acute pancreatitis with exenatide twice daily, regardless of exposure category. CONCLUSION: This study indicates that exposure to exenatide twice daily was not associated with an increased risk of acute pancreatitis compared with exposure to other anti-diabetic medications. These results should be interpreted in light of potential residual confounding and unknown biases.

Cardiovascular outcomes associated with a new once-weekly GLP-1 receptor agonist vs. traditional therapies for type 2 diabetes: a simulation analysis.

AIM: The effect of glucose-lowering agents on diabetes-related complications including cardiovascular (CV) events is of major importance. In the absence of a long-term study, we simulated such a trial using a mathematical model where subjects were given exenatide once-weekly (EQW), which has been shown to improve glycaemic control and reduce weight, systolic blood pressure (SBP) and lipids in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). METHODS: Using the Archimedes Model, we followed a simulated population derived from individuals with T2DM in NHANES who were drug-naïve or on oral agents only. We modelled the effects of four treatment strategies including standard care (SC, maintaining levels of control seen in NHANES), intensive glycaemic control (IGC, target HbA1c < 7% with conventional antidiabetic agents) and two versions of EQW added to SC: one with glycaemic and weight reduction only (EQW-1) and one with additional improvements in SBP and lipids (EQW-2). EQW strategies were derived from 52-week clinical trial data. Endpoints included macrovascular and microvascular outcomes. RESULTS: Simulated EQW treatment resulted in earlier benefit and 2-3 times greater relative reductions in major adverse CV events than IGC when compared to SC (6% relative reduction by year 20 for IGC vs. 12 and 17% for the EQW strategies). For microvascular complications, EQW showed comparable benefit to IGC for neuropathy but significantly greater impact on renal complications. CONCLUSIONS: This analysis shows that the novel drug EQW has the potential to greatly reduce CV events through its combined effects on glycaemia, weight and other CV risk factors.