Prognostic utility of systemic inflammatory markers and chronic hepatitis C virus infection status in hepatocellular carcinoma patients treated with local ablation.

BACKGROUND: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has high incidence and mortality worldwide. Local ablation using radiofrequency ablation (RFA) or microwave ablation (MWA) is potentially curative for early-stage HCC with outcomes comparable to surgical resection. We explored the influence of demographic, clinical, and laboratory factors on outcomes of HCC patients receiving ablation. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 221 HCC patients receiving local ablation at Mayo Clinic between January 2000 and October 2018, comprising 140 RFA and 81 MWA. Prognostic factors determining overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were identified using multivariate analysis. RESULTS: There was no clinically significant difference in OS or DFS between RFA and MWA. In multivariate analysis of OS, pre-ablation lymphocyte-monocyte ratio [Hazard ratio (HR) 0.7, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.58-0.84, P = 0.0001], MELD score [HR 1.12, 95%CI 1.068-1.17, P <  0.0001], tumor number [HR 1.23, 95%CI 1.041-1.46, P = 0.015] and tumor size [HR 1.18, 95%CI 1.015-1.37, P = 0.031] were clinically-significant prognostic factors. Among HCC patients with chronic hepatitis C (HCV) infection, positive HCV PCR at HCC diagnosis was associated with 1.4-fold higher hazard of death, with 5-year survival of 32.8% vs 53.6% in HCV PCR-negative patients. Regarding DFS, pre-ablation lymphocyte-monocyte ratio [HR 0.77, 95%CI 0.66-0.9, P = 0.001], MELD score [HR 1.06, 95%CI 1.022-1.11, P = 0.002], Log2 AFP [HR 1.11, 95%CI 1.033-1.2, P = 0.005], tumor number [HR 1.29, 95%CI 1.078-1.53, P = 0.005] and tumor size [HR 1.25, 95%CI 1.043-1.51 P = 0.016] were independently prognostic. CONCLUSIONS: Pre-ablation systemic inflammation represented by lymphocyte-monocyte ratio is significantly associated with OS and DFS in HCC patients treated with local ablation. HCV viremia is associated with poor OS. Tumor biology represented by tumor number and size are strongly prognostic for OS and DFS while AFP is significantly associated with DFS only.

Characteristics and predictors of short-term mortality in decompensated cirrhotic patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure.

Aim of the study: We aimed to investigate the characteristics of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) and factors associated with 28-day mortality in patients with ACLF. Material and methods: This prospective study included ACLF patients based on the European Association for the Study of the Liver-Chronic Liver Failure (EASL-CLIF) Consortium criteria, admitted between March 2021 and February 2022. We examined variables associated with 28-day mortality using multivariate Cox regression analysis. Results: Of 326 patients admitted with acute decompensation (AD) of cirrhosis, 109 (33.44%) patients were diagnosed with ACLF (mean age 63.61 ±11.15 years, 65.14% males). Of these, 26.61%, 35.78%, and 37.61% of patients were in ACLF grades 1, 2, and 3 respectively. HCV (80.73%) was the main aetiology of cirrhosis. Upper gastrointestinal bleeding (25.69%) was the most common trigger. Kidney failure (73.39%) was the most common organ failure. The 28-day mortality rate was 66.97%. Cox regression analysis revealed that the existence of 2 (HR = 6.99, 95% CI: 2.68-18.25, p < 0.0001) or ≥ 3 (HR = 9.34, 95% CI: 3.6-24.74, p < 0.0001) organ failures, hepatic encephalopathy (HR = 2.96, 95% CI: 1.27-6.94, p = 0.01), and elevated serum bilirubin (HR = 1.03, 95% CI: 1.00-1.06, p = 0.04) were independent predictors for 28-day mortality, while shifting blood pH to the normal range was associated with a decrease in the HR of ACLF mortality (HR = 0.03, 95% CI: 0.002-0.44, p = 0.01). Conclusions: ACLF has a very high 28-day mortality, which is associated with the existence of 2 or more organ failures, hepatic encephalopathy, elevated serum bilirubin, and low blood pH.