Post-myocardial infarction risk stratification in elderly patients.

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study was to examine the use of post-myocardial infarction (MI) risk stratification in the elderly. Although expert panels have recommended risk stratification after MI, limited data are available on whether patients actually undergo suggested testing. In particular, concern has been raised that the elderly, who are at high risk for recurrent ischemia and short-term death, are not referred as often as younger patients for post-MI testing. METHODS: We studied the records of 192,311 Medicare patients (age > or = 65 years) admitted with MI between January 1992 and November 1992. By combining Medicare part A and part B data, we created a longitudinal record of patient care within 60 days of an MI admission. We describe the pattern of post-MI testing for ischemia and left ventricular function and outcomes as a function of patient age. RESULTS: Patients > or = 75 years of age were significantly less likely than patients 65 to 74 years of age to have either cardiac catheterization (17% vs 43%) or any test for coronary artery disease severity (24% vs 53%). They were also less likely to have a test of left ventricular function (61% vs 76%). Even after adjustment for baseline characteristics, older patients remained less likely than younger patients to have an assessment of coronary artery disease severity (odds ratio, 0.44) or left ventricular function (odds ratio, 0.65). CONCLUSIONS: Post-MI risk stratification declines with age and falls short of recommendations in our nation's elderly. This lack of testing may result in lost opportunities for therapeutic interventions in this high-risk group.

Preference for place of death in a continuing care retirement community.

PURPOSE: To describe death-related planning and preferences for place of death among well elders in a community characterized by a low rate of hospital deaths. DESIGN AND METHODS: Cross-sectional prevalence survey of independent-living residents (n = 219) of a continuing-care retirement community (CCRC) in Central North Carolina characterized by a low rate of hospital deaths. RESULTS: Death-related planning played a part in the decision of 40% of residents to move to the CCRC. A majority of residents reported a clear preference for place of death, and a majority of these preferred to die on the CCRC campus. Most residents wanted to discuss their preferences for place of death with their health care provider. Preferences for place of death appear consistent across age cohorts and are relevant to elders' long-term care decisions. IMPLICATIONS: Given the striking discrepancy between patients' preferences for nonhospital deaths and the high prevalence of hospital deaths in the United States, this often-neglected issue should be routinely addressed in end-of-life planning. The CCRC may be a practice model that is particularly compatible with personal preferences for place of death.

Impact of depressive symptoms on hospitalization risk in community-dwelling older persons.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether depressive symptoms in older adults are associated with an increased risk for hospitalization. DESIGN: A 6 month cohort study. SETTING: Five counties in the northern Piedmont of North Carolina from the Duke University site of the Established Populations for Epidemiological Studies of the Elderly project. PARTICIPANTS: The sample included 3486 community-dwelling adults, aged 65 and older. MEASUREMENTS: Crude risk ratios for the effect of depressive symptoms on 6 month risk for hospitalization were calculated, followed by a multivariable analysis controlling for demographics and health status. RESULTS: Three hundred participants were hospitalized during the 6 month follow-up period. The crude risk ratio for the effect of depressive symptoms on hospitalization was 1.95 (95% CI = 1.47-2.58). Subgroup analysis showed significant positive risk ratios for men aged 65 to 74 and > or =75, and women aged 65 to 74. After a multivariable analysis, however, these associations remained significant only among men > or =75 (RR = 3.43; 95% CI = 1.33-8.86). CONCLUSIONS: Depressive symptoms were independently associated with a more than threefold increased risk for hospitalization among men aged > or =75. This result reflects differences in the effects of depressive symptoms across age and gender groups, and emphasizes that symptoms of depression influence overall health and medical utilization among, at the very least, the oldest subset of men.

Predicting functional status outcomes in hospitalized patients aged 80 years and older.

OBJECTIVE: To develop a model estimating the probability of a patient aged 80 years or older having functional limitations 2 months and 12 months after being hospitalized. DESIGN: A prospective cohort study. SETTING: Four teaching hospitals in the US. PARTICIPANTS: Enrolled patients were nonelective hospital admissions aged 80 years or older who stayed in hospital at least 48 hours. The 804 patients who survived and completed an interview at 2 months and the 450 who completed an interview at 12 months were from the 1266 patients in the Hospitalized Elderly Longitudinal Project (HELP) (76% and 47% of survivors, respectively). Median age of the 2-month survivors was 84.7 years. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN OUTCOMES: Patient function 2 and 12 months after enrollment was defined by the number of dependencies in Activities of Daily Living (ADLs). Ordinal logistic regression models were constructed to predict functional status. Predictors included demographic characteristics, disease category, geriatric conditions, severity of physiologic imbalance, current quality of life, and exercise capacity and ADLs 2 weeks before study admission. RESULTS: Before admission, 39% of patients were functionally independent in ADLs. Of patients who survived and were interviewed at 2 months, 32% were functionally independent, and at 12 months, 36% were independent. Among patients with no baseline dependencies, 42% had developed one or more limitations 2 months later, and 41 % had limitations 12 months later. The patient's ability to perform activities of daily living at baseline was the most important predictor of functional status at both 2 and 12 months. In a multivariable predictive model, independent predictors of poorer functional status at 2 months included: worse baseline functional status and quality of life; depth of coma, if any; lower serum albumin level; presence of dementia, depression, or incontinence; being bedridden; medical record documentation of need for nursing home; and older age. Model performance, assessed using Somers' D, was 0.61 for 2 months and 0.57 for 12 months (Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) area = 0.81 and .79, respectively.) Bootstrap validation of the month 2 model also yielded a Somers' D = 0.60. The models were well calibrated over the entire risk range. The ROC area for prediction of the loss of independence was 0.76 for 2 months and 0.68 for 12 months. CONCLUSIONS: Many older patients are functionally impaired at the time of hospitalization, and many develop new functional limitations. A limited amount of readily available clinical information can yield satisfactory predictions of functional status 2 months after hospitalization. Models like this may prove to be useful in clinical care. This work illuminates a potential method for risk adjustment in research studies and for monitoring quality of care.

Older age, aggressiveness of care, and survival for seriously ill, hospitalized adults. SUPPORT Investigators. Study to Understand Prognoses and Preferences for Outcomes and Risks of Treatments.

BACKGROUND: Older age is associated with less aggressive treatment and higher short-term mortality due to serious illness. It is not known whether less aggressive care contributes to this survival disadvantage in elderly persons. OBJECTIVE: To determine the effect of age on short-term survival, independent of baseline patient characteristics and aggressiveness of care. DESIGN: Secondary analysis of data from a prospective cohort study. SETTING: Five academic medical centers participating in SUPPORT (Study to Understand Prognoses and Preferences for Outcomes and Risks of Treatments). PATIENTS: 9105 adults hospitalized with one of nine serious illnesses associated with an average 6-month mortality rate of 50%. MEASUREMENTS: Survival through 180 days of follow-up. In Cox proportional hazards modeling, adjustment was made for patient sex; ethnicity; income; baseline physical function; severity of illness; intensity of hospital resource use; presence of do-not-resuscitate orders on study day 1; and presence and timing of decisions to withhold transfer to the intensive care unit, major surgery, dialysis, blood transfusion, vasopressors, and tube feeding. RESULTS: The mean (+/- SD) patient age was 63 +/- 16 years, 44% of patients were female, and 16% were black. Overall survival to 6 months was 53%. In analyses that adjusted for sex, ethnicity, income, baseline functional status, severity of illness, and aggressiveness of care, each additional year of age increased the hazard of death by 1.0% (hazard ratio, 1.010 [95% CI, 1.007 to 1.013]) for patients 18 to 70 years of age and by 2.0% (hazard ratio, 1.020 [CI, 1.013 to 1.026]) for patients older than 70 years of age. Adjusted estimates of age-specific 6-month mortality rates were 44% for 55-year-old patients, 48% for 65-year-old patients, 53% for 75-year-old patients, and 60% for 85-year-old patients. Similar results were obtained in analyses that did not adjust for aggressiveness of care. Acute physiology and diagnosis had much larger relative contributions to prognosis than age. CONCLUSIONS: We found a modest independent association between patient age and short-term survival of serious illness. This age effect was not explained by the current practice of providing less aggressive care to elderly patients.

Patient age and decisions to withhold life-sustaining treatments from seriously ill, hospitalized adults. SUPPORT Investigators. Study to Understand Prognoses and Preferences for Outcomes and Risks of Treatment.

BACKGROUND: Patient age may influence decisions to withhold life-sustaining treatments, independent of patients' preferences for or ability to benefit from such treatments. Controversy exists about the appropriateness of using age as a criterion for making treatment decisions. OBJECTIVE: To determine the effect of age on decisions to withhold life-sustaining therapies. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Five medical centers participating in the Study to Understand Prognoses and Preferences for Outcomes and Risks of Treatments (SUPPORT). PATIENTS: 9105 hospitalized adults who had one of nine illnesses associated with an average 6-month mortality rate of 50%. MEASUREMENTS: Outcomes were the presence and timing of decisions to withhold ventilator support, surgery, and dialysis. Adjustment was made for sociodemographic characteristics, prognoses, baseline function, patients' preferences for life-extending care, and physicians' understanding of patients' preferences for life-extending care. RESULTS: The median patient age was 63 years; 44% of patients were women, and 53% survived to 180 days. In adjusted analyses, older age was associated with higher rates of withholding each of the three life-sustaining treatments studied. For ventilator support, the rate of decisions to withhold therapy increased 15% with each decade of age (hazard ratio, 1.15 [95% CI, 1.12 to 1.19]); for surgery, the increase per decade was 19% (hazard ratio, 1.19 [CI, 1.12 to 1.27]); and for dialysis, the increase per decade was 12% (hazard ratio, 1.12 [CI, 1.06 to 1.19]). Physicians underestimated older patients' preferences for life-extending care; adjustment for this underestimation resulted in an attenuation of the association between age and decisions to withhold treatments. CONCLUSION: Even after adjustment for differences in patients' prognoses and preferences, older age was associated with higher rates of decisions to withhold ventilator support, surgery, and dialysis.

Relationship of body mass index to subsequent mortality among seriously ill hospitalized patients. SUPPORT Investigators. The Study to Understand Prognoses and Preferences for Outcome and Risks of Treatments.

OBJECTIVE: To determine if body mass Index (BMI = weight [kg]/height [m]2), predictive of mortality in longitudinal epidemiologic studies, was also predictive of mortality in a sample of seriously ill hospitalized subjects. DESIGN: Prospective, multicenter study. SETTING: Five tertiary care medical centers in the United States. PATIENTS: Patients > or = 18 yrs of age who had one of nine illnesses of sufficient severity to anticipate a 6-month mortality rate of 50% were enrolled at five participating sites in the Study to Understand Prognoses and Preferences for Outcomes and Risks of Treatments (SUPPORT). INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Patients were asked their current height and weight as part of the demographic data. Stratifying body mass index by percentile rank (< or = 15, 15 to 85, and > or = 85th percentiles), risk ratios for mortality were calculated by Cox Proportional Hazards using the 15th to 85th percentile of body mass index as the reference group while controlling for multiple variables such as prior weight loss, albumin, and Acute Physiology Score. A body mass index in the < or = 15th percentile was associated with an excess risk of mortality (risk ratio = 1.23; p < .001) within 6 months. High body mass index (> or = 85th percentile) was not significantly related to risk of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Body mass index, a simple anthropometric measure of nutrition employed in community epidemiologic studies, has now been demonstrated to be a predictor of mortality in an acutely ill population of adults at five different tertiary centers. Even when controlling for multiple disease states and physiologic variables and removing from the analysis all patients with significant prior weight loss, a body mass index below the 15th percentile remained a significant and independent predictor of mortality. Examination of patient vs. proxy data did not change the results. Future studies examining variables predictive of mortality should include body mass index, even in acutely ill populations with a poor probability of survival.

Seriously ill hospitalized adults: do we spend less on older patients? Support Investigators. Study to Understand Prognoses and Preference for Outcomes and Risks of Treatments.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the effect of age on hospital resource use for seriously ill adults, and to explore whether age-related differences in resource use are explained by patients' severity of illness and preferences for life-extending care. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Five geographically diverse academic acute care medical centers participating in the SUPPORT Project. PATIENTS: A total of 4301 hospitalized adults with at least one of nine serious illnesses associated with an average 6-month mortality of 50%. MEASUREMENTS: Resource utilization was measured using a modified version of the Therapeutic Intervention Scoring System (TISS); the performance of three invasive procedures (major surgery, dialysis, and right heart catheter placement); and estimated hospital costs. RESULTS: The median patient age was 65; 43% were female, and 48% died within 6 months. After adjustment for severity of illness, prior functional status, and study site, when compared with patients younger than 50, patients 80 years or older were less likely to undergo major surgery (adjusted odds ratio .46), dialysis (.19), and right heart catheter placement (.59) and had median TISS scores and estimated hospital costs that were 3.4 points and $ 71.61 lower, respectively. These differences persisted after further adjustment for patients' preferences for life-extending care. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with similar younger patients, seriously ill older patients receive fewer invasive procedures and hospital care that is less resource-intensive and less costly. This preferential allocation of hospital services to younger patients is not based on differences in patients' severity of illness or general preferences for life-extending care.

Community dwelling elderly are appropriate subjects for intensive dietary choice restriction studies.

There is a traditional belief that the elderly have difficulty coping with dietary change, and therefore have a diminished likelihood of successfully responding to nutritional interventions or restrictions. Using a controlled mild zinc-deficiency feeding study as a model for strict dietary intervention, we assessed psychological responses to severe dietary choice restriction in 15 Caucasian, elderly (66.12 +/- 4.43 years) males (n= 7) and females (n = 8). Participants completed the Medical Outcomes Study Short Form 36-Item Questionnaire (SF-36) as an index of QOL and the Multi-dimensional Health Locus of Control (MHLC) as a measure of health beliefs at pre-intervention baseline, post-intervention, and follow-up. No subjects dropped out nor were any meals missed during the entire 21-day feeding study period. No significant differences were detected across time on the MHLC (Internal F = 0.53, P = 0.6; Powerful Others F = 0.28, P = 0.8; Chance F = 1.1, P = 0.4.) by one-way ANOVA. Similarly, for the SF-36 no significant differences were found across time (F = 0.76, P = 0.5). Our results suggest that restricting dietary choices does not negatively impact older adult subjects and that they can cope well with dietary choice restriction and change. Older adults should not be overlooked for nutritional intervention solely due to age considerations.

Marginal zinc deficiency in older adults: responsiveness of zinc status indicators.

OBJECTIVE: Suspicions that mild zinc deficiency is common among the elderly cannot be confirmed or refuted because definitive indicators of zinc status are lacking. The goal of this study was to document the clinical responsiveness of parameters of zinc status in a group of older adults consuming a carefully controlled diet: first moderately low in zinc (3.97 mg/day for 15 days) and then high in zinc (28.19 mg/day for 6 days). METHODS: Fifteen older adults (mean age = 66.6 yrs) volunteered to consume a marginally zinc-deficient diet for 15 days followed by 6 days of zinc repletion. Plasma concentrations of erythrocyte metallothionein and the enzyme 5'-nucleotidase, as well as levels of zinc, alkaline phosphatase, copper and ceruloplasmin were measured before and after zinc depletion and repletion. RESULTS: Plasma zinc levels were not altered during the study. Alkaline phosphatase (AP) values did not change in the expected direction, although a small decrease in AP following zinc repletion was statistically significant. Erythrocyte metallothionein results followed a pattern similar to that of alkaline phosphatase, little change, but a small, statistically significant drop after zinc repletion. As expected, there were no diet-associated changes in plasma copper and ceruloplasmin levels. In contrast, plasma concentrations of the enzyme 5'-nucleotidase decreased (p < 0.01) from 2.7 +/- 0.5 to 1.1 +/- 0.5 U during zinc depletion and increased (p < 0.05) to 2.2 +/- 0.4 U after 6 days of repletion. CONCLUSIONS: Mild zinc deficiency is difficult to detect. In this study, traditional indicators such as plasma zinc and alkaline phosphatase did not change as would be expected in response to alterations in zinc intake. Likewise, erythrocyte metallothionein did not respond to altered zinc intakes as expected but this factor may reflect long-standing or more severe zinc depletion and thus requires additional study. Activity of the enzyme 5'-nucleotidase appears responsive to acute changes in zinc intake; however, more work is needed to define how well these activities will reflect zinc intake in other types of subjects.

The comprehensive assessment of community dwelling elderly: why functional status is not enough.

The present study attempts to determine empirically the relationship of measures of functional status to other domains common to geriatric assessment, and to ascertain whether functional status can substitute for other domains of clinical assessment. A comprehensive research survey was administered in the home to a randomly selected population of 4163 community residents aged 65 and over in the Duke EPESE, one of the four sites of the National Institute on Aging-funded Established Populations for Epidemiologic Studies of the Elderly. Sample members were predominantly black (55%), female (65%), between 65 and 74 years of age (61%), and lived in five contiguous counties within the state of North Carolina. Measurements included three measures of functional status ranging from basic activities of daily living (ADL) to strenuous mobility items, and summary measures of cognition, depression, and overall physical health. The three functional status measures were inter-correlated. However, with the exception of cognitive status and performance of instrumental ADL, the functional status measures failed to show a clinically significant relationship with the domains of cognition, depression, or overall physical health status. Furthermore, even among those sample members impaired in all three domains, 8% could still perform strenuous activities, and over 50% could still perform the basic activities of daily living. The data show that functional status measures are not necessarily indicative of an elder's mental or physical health. Each domain of assessment contributes unique data, and no one area can fully substitute for another.

Nutrition and function: is there a relationship between body mass index and the functional capabilities of community-dwelling elderly?

OBJECTIVE: To determine if there is a relationship between body mass index and the ability to perform the usual activities of living in a sample of community-dwelling elderly. DESIGN: Secondary data analysis of The National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey-I Epidemiologic Follow-up Study (1982-1984). Follow-up home interview of a population-based sample originally interviewed between 1971 and 1975 in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey-I (NHANES-I). PARTICIPANTS: Survivors of the original NHANES-I cohort who were 65 years of age or older and who were living at home at the time of the second interview (n = 3061). Excluded were those who could not be found, refused participation, or were institutionalized (n = 220), and those without complete height and weight data (n = 194). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Functional status as measured by a 26-item battery. RESULTS: Bivariate analysis revealed a greater risk for functional impairment for subjects with a low body mass index or a high body mass index. The greater the extreme of body mass index (either higher or lower), the greater the risk for functional impairment. Logistic regression analysis indicated that both high and low body mass index continued to be significantly related to functional status when 22 other potential confounders were included in the model. CONCLUSION: The body mass index is related to the functional capabilities of community-dwelling elderly. The inclusion of this simple measurement in the comprehensive assessment of community-dwelling elderly is supported.

Sociodemographic correlates of health beliefs among black and white community dwelling elderly individuals.

This study examined the hypothesis that sociodemographic characteristics such as age, education, race, and gender would be predictive of Multidimensional Health Locus of Control Subscale scores in a population-based sample of 342 community dwelling elderly individuals. Bivariate analysis revealed associations between black race, lower socioeconomic status, and lower education on the Chance and Powerful Others Subscales. While the multivariate analysis revealed no predictors for the Internal Subscale, a higher socioeconomic status, white race, and a higher level of education continued to predict low scores on the Chance Subscale when controlling for all other variables. Scores on the Powerful Others Subscale appeared to be a function of socioeconomic status and gender. Of note, the higher the education level for both men and women, the lower the scores on the Chance and Powerful Others Subscales. This sex by education interaction term reached statistical significance for the Chance Subscale. The results demonstrate the measurable influence of sociodemographic variables on the health beliefs of community dwelling elderly individuals.

Forensic autopsy in the elderly.

We analyzed deaths in a geriatric population investigated by the Mobile County (Alabama) Coroner's Office during the three years of 1983 through 1985 inclusively. These subjects died both within and outside hospitals and thus provide broad representation of all types of deaths in the elderly. Of the total number of deaths investigated by the Coroner's Office, 924 of the deceased (39%) were 65 years old or older; they represent 15% of the deaths occurring in Mobile County in this age group. Of these 924 deaths, 209 (23%) were studied by autopsy; this number is 36% of the total autopsies done on subjects aged 65 or more in Mobile County during this three-year period and 89% of autopsies done after death from trauma (ie, homicide, suicide, accident, or undetermined). The potential value of medicolegal investigative data with regard to mortality statistics and the elderly is emphasized.