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1.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-22276650

ABSTRACT

ObjectivesThere are paucity of studies examining naturally acquired immunity against SARS-CoV-2 in children and adolescents, though they are generally the last group to be afforded the vaccine, and a significant portion of them are still unvaccinated. This study examined the duration of protection conferred by a previous SARS-CoV-2 infection amongst children and adolescents. DesignA retrospective study, applying two complementary approaches: a matched test-negative case control design and a retrospective cohort design. SettingNationally centralized database of Maccabi Healthcare Services, an Israeli national health fund that covers 2.5 million people. ParticipantsThe study population included between 293,743 and 458,959 individuals (depending on the model), 5-18 years of age, who were unvaccinated SARS-CoV-2 naive persons or unvaccinated convalescent patients. Main outcomes and measuresAnalyses focused on the period of July 1 to December 13, 2021, a Delta-dominant period in Israel. We evaluated three SARS-CoV-2-related outcomes: (1) documented PCR confirmed infection or reinfection, (2) COVID-19 and (3) severe COVID-19. ResultsOverall, children and adolescents who were previously infected acquired durable protection against reinfection (symptomatic or not) with SARS-CoV-2 for at least 18 months. Importantly, no COVID-19 related deaths were recorded in either the SARS-CoV-2 naive group or the previously infected group. Effectiveness of naturally-acquired immunity against a recurrent infection reached 89.2% (95% CI: 84.7%-92.4%) three to six months after first infection, mildly declining to 82.5% (95% CI, 79.1%-85.3%) nine months to one year after infection, then remaining rather steady for children and adolescents for up to 18 months, with a slight non-significant waning trend. Additionally, we found that ages 5-11 exhibited no significant waning of naturally acquired protection throughout the outcome period, whereas waning protection in the 12-18 age group was more prominent, but still mild. ConclusionsChildren and adolescents who were previously infected with SARS-CoV-2 remain protected against reinfection to a high degree for 18 months. Policy decision makers should consider when and if convalescent children and adolescents should be vaccinated. Nonetheless, further research is needed to examine naturally acquired immunity against emerging variants, including the Omicron.

2.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-22272835

ABSTRACT

ObjectivesThe rapid spread of the Omicron variant (B.1.1.529) alongside evidence of a relatively rapid waning of the third dose prompted Israel to administer a fourth dose of the BNT162b2 vaccine on January 2022. Thus far, sufficient real-world evidence demonstrating the effectiveness of a fourth dose against infection and severe COVID-19 are lacking. This study examined the short-term effectiveness of a fourth dose compared to three doses over the span of 10 weeks. DesignA retrospective test-negative case-control study, performing both a matched analysis and an unmatched multiple-tests analysis. SettingNationally centralized database of Maccabi Healthcare Services (MHS), an Israeli national health fund that covers 2.5 million people. ParticipantsThe study population included 97,499 MHS members aged 60 or older who were eligible to receive a fourth vaccine dose and performed at least one PCR test during the study period. Of them, 27,876 received the fourth dose and 69,623 received only three doses. Main outcomes and measuresAnalyses focused on the period from January 10, 2022 (7 days after the fourth dose was first administered to eligible individuals) to March 13, 2022, an Omicron-dominant period in Israel. We evaluated two SARS-CoV-2-related outcomes: (1) breakthrough infection, defined as a positive PCR test performed 7 or more days after inoculation with the BNT162b2 vaccine; and (2) breakthrough infection resulting in a severe disease, defined as COVID-19-related hospitalization or COVID-19 associated mortality. ResultsA fourth dose provided considerable additional protection against both SARS-CoV-2 infection and severe disease relative to three doses of the vaccine. However, vaccine effectiveness against infection varied over time, peaking during the third week with a VE of 64% (95% CI: 62.0%-65.9%) and declining to 29.2% (95% CI: 17.7%-39.1%) by the end of the 10-week follow-up period. Unlike VE against infection, the relative effectiveness of a fourth dose against severe COVID-19 was maintained at high level (>73%) throughout the 9-week follow-up period. Importantly, severe disease was a relatively rare event, occurring in <1% of both fourth dose and third dose only recipients. ConclusionsA fourth dose of the BNT162b2 vaccine provided considerable additional protection against both SARS-CoV-2 infection and severe disease relative to three doses of the vaccine. However, effectiveness of the fourth dose against infection wanes sooner than that of the third dose.

3.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-22271494

ABSTRACT

The duration of protection of the third (booster) dose of the BioNTech/Pfizer BNT162b2 mRNA Coronavirus Disease 2019 vaccine has yet to be sufficiently researched, while global discussions around the necessity and effectiveness of a fourth dose are already underway. By conducting a retrospective study implementing a test-negative case-control design, analyzing 546,924 PCR tests performed throughout January 2022 by 389,265 persons who received three doses of the vaccine, we found that the effectiveness in each month since vaccination decreased significantly. Compared to those vaccinated early, on August 2021, relative protection against infection waned from 53.4% a month after vaccination to 16.5% three months after vaccination. These results suggest that there is a significant waning of vaccine effectiveness against the Omicron variant of the third dose of the BNT162b2 vaccine within a few months after administration and should prompt policy discussion as to additional booster doses and vaccine development.

4.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-21262415

ABSTRACT

BackgroundReports of waning vaccine-induced immunity against COVID-19 have begun to surface. With that, the comparable long-term protection conferred by previous infection with SARS-CoV-2 remains unclear. MethodsWe conducted a retrospective observational study comparing three groups: (1)SARS-CoV-2-naive individuals who received a two-dose regimen of the BioNTech/Pfizer mRNA BNT162b2 vaccine, (2)previously infected individuals who have not been vaccinated, and (3)previously infected and single dose vaccinated individuals. Three multivariate logistic regression models were applied. In all models we evaluated four outcomes: SARS-CoV-2 infection, symptomatic disease, COVID-19-related hospitalization and death. The follow-up period of June 1 to August 14, 2021, when the Delta variant was dominant in Israel. ResultsSARS-CoV-2-naive vaccinees had a 13.06-fold (95% CI, 8.08 to 21.11) increased risk for breakthrough infection with the Delta variant compared to those previously infected, when the first event (infection or vaccination) occurred during January and February of 2021. The increased risk was significant (P<0.001) for symptomatic disease as well. When allowing the infection to occur at any time before vaccination (from March 2020 to February 2021), evidence of waning natural immunity was demonstrated, though SARS-CoV-2 naive vaccinees had a 5.96-fold (95% CI, 4.85 to 7.33) increased risk for breakthrough infection and a 7.13-fold (95% CI, 5.51 to 9.21) increased risk for symptomatic disease. SARS-CoV-2-naive vaccinees were also at a greater risk for COVID-19-related-hospitalizations compared to those that were previously infected. ConclusionsThis study demonstrated that natural immunity confers longer lasting and stronger protection against infection, symptomatic disease and hospitalization caused by the Delta variant of SARS-CoV-2, compared to the BNT162b2 two-dose vaccine-induced immunity. Individuals who were both previously infected with SARS-CoV-2 and given a single dose of the vaccine gained additional protection against the Delta variant.

5.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-21261317

ABSTRACT

The short-term effectiveness of a two-dose regimen of the BioNTech/Pfizer mRNA BNT162b2 severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) vaccine was widely demonstrated. However, long term effectiveness is still unknown. A nationwide vaccination campaign was initiated early in Israel, allowing for a real-world evaluation of the interaction between protection and time-from-vaccine. The Delta (B.1.617.2) variant became the dominant strain in Israel in June 2021, as Israel is currently experiencing a new surge of cases. Leveraging the centralized computerized database of Maccabi Healthcare Services (MHS), we assessed the correlation between time-from-vaccine and incidence of breakthrough infection. We found that the risk for infection was significantly higher for early vaccinees compared to those vaccinated later. This preliminary finding should prompt further investigagions into long-term protection against different strains, and prospective clinical trials to examine the effect of a booster vaccine against breakthrough infection.

6.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-21255304

ABSTRACT

Following the widespread vaccination program for COVID-19 carried out in Israel, a survey was conducted to preliminarily assess behavior changes in the vaccinated population, prior to the expected upcoming policy change as to mask wearing and social distancing regulation in Israel. 200 people answered at least one question pertaining to preventive behaviour. Among the respondents, 21.1% reported a decrease in mask wearing compared to 47.3% who reported a decrease in social distancing. There was no difference in these measures between the sexes. However, people under the age of 50 were more likely to decrease mask wearing (28.1%) and decrease social distancing (56.1%), as compared with people over the age of 50 (17.2% and 41.8%, respectively). Among health care workers, there was a minimal decrease in mask wearing (1/23 people) compared to a more widespread decrease in social distancing (10/23). These data suggest that preventive attitudes change following COVID-19 vaccination, with less adherence to social distancing as compared to mask wearing, and should be taken into account when planning public policy in the future.

7.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-21253051

ABSTRACT

With more than 100 million confirmed COVID-19 cases as of March 2021, reinfection is still considered to be rare. In light of increasing reports of reinfected COVID-19 patients, the need to better understand the real risk for reinfection is critical, with potential effects on public health policies aimed at containing the spread of SARS-CoV-2. In this descriptive preliminary report, we conducted a large-scale assessment on the country level of the possible occurrence of COVID-19 reinfection within the members of a large healthcare provider in Israel. Out of 149,735 individuals with a documented positive PCR test between March 2020 and January 2021, 154 had two positive PCR tests at least 100 days apart, reflecting a reinfection proportion of 1 per 1000. Given our strict inclusion criteria, we believe these numbers represent true reinfection incidence in MHS and should be clinically regarded as such.

8.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-21252844

ABSTRACT

Deployment of the BNT162b2 mRNA Covid-19 Vaccine in Israel began in December 2020. This is a retrospective analysis of serological data, describing SARS-CoV-2 anti-S IgG kinetics in 116 Israeli healthcare workers administrated the BNT162b2 vaccine. Seroconversion occurred by day 14 in all individuals, with IgG levels peaking approximately 30 days post inoculation. This study demonstrated the kinetics of the antibody response post vaccination with BNT162b2. The robustness of seroconversion was observed, alongside a statistically significant difference in IgG levels between employees over and younger 50 years of afge. Further research is required in order to examine the antibody kinetics overtime, as well as whether the age-dependent difference persists.

9.
Eur J Haematol ; 81(4): 317-21, 2008 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18573172

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Congenital dyserythropoietic anemia type I (CDA I) is a rare inherited disease characterized by moderate to severe macrocytic anemia and abnormal erythroid precursors with nuclear chromatin bridges and spongy heterochromatin. Moderate to severe maternal anemia is a recognized independent risk factor for low birth weight (LBW) and complicated delivery. The aim of the study was to review the outcome of pregnancies in women with CDA I. METHODS: The clinical and laboratory records of 28 spontaneous pregnancies in six Bedouin women with CDA I were reviewed. The results were compared with findings from a retrospective review of a large population-based registry including all pregnancies in Bedouin women during the same 15-yr period. RESULTS: Eighteen pregnancies in women with CDA I (64%) were complicated. One pregnancy was aborted spontaneously in the first trimester and one resulted in a non-viable fetus (stillborn at 26 wk). Cesarean section (CS) was performed in 10 pregnancies (36%). Eleven of the 26 newborns (42%) had a LBW: six were born prematurely and five were small for gestational age. The odds ratio for CS in women with CDA I compared with healthy Bedouin women was 4.5 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.2-10.3], and for a LBW infant, 5.5 (95% CI 2.4-12.3). Careful follow-up was associated with significantly better fetal outcome (P = 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Pregnancies in women with CDA I are at high risk for delivery-related and outcome complications. To improve fetal outcome, women with CDA I should be carefully monitored during pregnancy.


Subject(s)
Anemia, Dyserythropoietic, Congenital , Pregnancy Complications , Pregnancy Outcome , Adolescent , Adult , Female , Humans , Monitoring, Physiologic , Pregnancy , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors
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