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2.
BMC Public Health ; 19(1): 663, 2019 May 30.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31146713

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Previous studies on asthma mortality and hospitalizations in Reunion Island indicate that this French territory is particularly affected by this pathology. Epidemiological studies conducted in schools also show higher prevalence rates in Reunion than in Mainland France. However, no estimates are provided on the prevalence of asthma among adults. In 2016, a cross-sectional survey was conducted to estimate the prevalence of asthma and to identify its associated factors in the adult population of Reunion Island. METHODS: A random sample of 2419 individuals, aged 18-44 years, was interviewed by telephone using a standardized, nationally validated questionnaire. Information was collected on the respiratory symptoms, description of asthma attacks and triggering factors for declared asthmatics, as well as data on the indoor and outdoor home environment. "Current asthma" was defined as an individual declaring, at the time of the survey, having already suffered from asthma at some point during his/her life, whose asthma was confirmed by a doctor, and who had experienced an asthma attack in the last 12 months or had been treated for asthma in the last 12 months. "Current suspected asthma" was defined as an individual presenting, in the 12 months preceding the study, groups of symptoms suggestive of asthma consistent with the literature. RESULTS: The estimated prevalence of asthma was 5.4% [4.3-6.5]. After adjustment, women, obesity, a family member with asthma, tenure in current residence and presence of indoor home heating were associated with asthma. The prevalence of symptoms suggestive of asthma was 12.0% [10.2-13.8]. After adjustment, marital status, passive smoking, use of insecticide sprays, presence of mold in the home and external sources of atmospheric nuisance were associated with the prevalence of suspected asthma. CONCLUSION: Preventive actions including asthma diagnosis, promotion of individual measures to reduce risk exposure as well as the development of study to improve knowledge on indoor air allergens are recommended.


Subject(s)
Asthma/epidemiology , Adolescent , Adult , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Humans , Male , Prevalence , Reunion/epidemiology , Risk Factors , Young Adult
3.
J Water Health ; 15(4): 475-489, 2017 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28771145

ABSTRACT

Hundreds of waterborne disease outbreaks (WBDO) of acute gastroenteritis (AGI) due to contaminated tap water are reported in developed countries each year. Such outbreaks are probably under-detected. The aim of our study was to develop an integrated approach to detect and study clusters of AGI in geographical areas with homogeneous exposure to drinking water. Data for the number of AGI cases are available at the municipality level while exposure to tap water depends on drinking water networks (DWN). These two geographical units do not systematically overlap. This study proposed to develop an algorithm which would match the most relevant grouping of municipalities with a specific DWN, in order that tap water exposure can be taken into account when investigating future disease outbreaks. A space-time detection method was applied to the grouping of municipalities. Seven hundred and fourteen new geographical areas (groupings of municipalities) were obtained compared with the 1,310 municipalities and the 1,706 DWN. Eleven potential WBDO were identified in these groupings of municipalities. For ten of them, additional environmental investigations identified at least one event that could have caused microbiological contamination of DWN in the days previous to the occurrence of a reported WBDO.


Subject(s)
Databases, Factual/statistics & numerical data , Disease Outbreaks , Gastroenteritis/epidemiology , Population Surveillance/methods , Waterborne Diseases/epidemiology , Acute Disease , France/epidemiology , Gastroenteritis/etiology , Humans , Waterborne Diseases/etiology
4.
Public Health ; 143: 85-93, 2017 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28159032

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: In France, the early mortality monitoring, conducted by Santé publique France, the French National Public Health agency (SpFrance) (formerly French Institute for public health surveillance-InVS), is based on the administrative data provided by the National Institute for Statistic and Economic Studies (INSEE) and consequently does not allow analyses on medical causes of death. Since 2007, the physicians can certify deaths electronically. In this electronic system (Electronic Death Registration System; EDRS), the medical causes of death, in free-text format, are directly transmitted to SpFrance. In the future, these data could be used in a real-time surveillance system by medical causes of death. The objective of this study was to evaluate the pertinence of e-death certification using the following assessment criteria: timeliness, representativeness, and completeness of sociodemographic and medical information included in the e-death certificates. STUDY DESIGN: This study consisted of a descriptive analysis of the information collected by e-death certificates recorded between January 1, 2012 and July 31, 2014. METHODS: The study quantified the temporal and geographical evolution of the deployment of the EDRS between 2012 and 2014. The timeliness of the system was estimated by calculating the delay between the dates of death and of data availability for analysis. Sociodemographic and death-related characteristics were described. The frequency of missing data was measured for each variable. The number of completed fields per certificate and the number of words per field and per certificate were calculated for the medical causes of death. RESULTS: Between January 2012 and July 2014, 77,776 e-death certificates were collected. A slight increase in the use of the e-death certification was observed during the study period, reaching 6.1% of the total number of deaths in 2014. Good national coverage was noted. Nearly 79% of e-certificates were submitted to SpFrance on the day of the death. We observed a high completeness of the e-certificates. The rate of missing data did not exceed 2.7% for sociodemographic variables. On average, 10 words, distributed in three fields, were used to describe the medical causes of death. CONCLUSIONS: E-death certificates constitute a reactive source of information on medical causes of death. The deployment of EDRS is of major public health interest for the development of a real-time warning surveillance system of mortality by cause.


Subject(s)
Death Certificates , Public Health Surveillance/methods , Electronic Health Records , France/epidemiology , Humans
5.
Epidemiol Infect ; 144(3): 591-601, 2016 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26194500

ABSTRACT

Waterborne disease outbreaks (WBDO) of acute gastrointestinal illness (AGI) are a public health concern in France. Their occurrence is probably underestimated due to the lack of a specific surveillance system. The French health insurance database provides an interesting opportunity to improve the detection of these events. A specific algorithm to identify AGI cases from drug payment reimbursement data in the health insurance database has been previously developed. The purpose of our comparative study was to retrospectively assess the ability of the health insurance data to describe WBDO. Data from the health insurance database was compared with the data from cohort studies conducted in two WBDO in 2010 and 2012. The temporal distribution of cases, the day of the peak and the duration of the epidemic, as measured using the health insurance data, were similar to the data from one of the two cohort studies. However, health insurance data accounted for 54 cases compared to the estimated 252 cases accounted for in the cohort study. The accuracy of using health insurance data to describe WBDO depends on the medical consultation rate in the impacted population. As this is never the case, data analysis underestimates the total number of AGI cases. However this data source can be considered for the development of a detection system of a WBDO in France, given its ability to describe an epidemic signal.


Subject(s)
Administrative Claims, Healthcare , Caliciviridae Infections/epidemiology , Campylobacter Infections/epidemiology , Campylobacter jejuni , Disease Outbreaks , Gastroenteritis/epidemiology , Norovirus , Population Surveillance/methods , Waterborne Diseases/epidemiology , Acute Disease , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Caliciviridae Infections/complications , Campylobacter Infections/complications , Child , Child, Preschool , Databases, Factual , Female , France/epidemiology , Gastroenteritis/microbiology , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Middle Aged , Retrospective Studies , Time Factors , Waterborne Diseases/microbiology , Young Adult
6.
Euro Surveill ; 14(48)2009 Dec 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20003898

ABSTRACT

Lymphogranuloma venereum, caused by the L serovars of Chlamydia trachomatis, emerged in Europe in 2003 and a series of outbreaks were reported in different countries. The infection presents as a severe proctitis in men who have sex with men, many of whom are co-infected with HIV and other sexually transmitted infections. This paper reviews the number of cases reported over a five year period, from 2003 to 2008, from countries that were part of the European Surveillance of Sexually Transmitted Infections (ESSTI) network. Reports were received from Belgium, Denmark, France, Germany, the Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, and the United Kingdom. It appears that after five years the characteristics of the patients infected has overall remained unchanged, although the total number of cases has increased and more countries in Europe have now identified cases of LGV.


Subject(s)
Disease Outbreaks/statistics & numerical data , HIV Infections/epidemiology , Homosexuality, Male/statistics & numerical data , Lymphogranuloma Venereum/epidemiology , Adult , Comorbidity , Europe/epidemiology , Humans , Incidence , Male , Population Surveillance , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors
7.
Euro Surveill ; 13(50)2008 Dec 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19087866

ABSTRACT

In France, the resurgence of syphilis infection since the beginning of the 2000s, with cases reported among women of reproductive age is a reason for concern considering the possible occurrence of congenital syphilis (CS). Using the French national private and public hospital database, we investigated the number of children with a diagnosis of CS born in France in 2004. Six cases less than one year old were identified as probable CS in the database. Two of these cases were adopted children from outside Europe, whereas the other four were born in France. The mothers of these last four infants tested positive for syphilis during the third trimester of pregnancy, two of them during premature delivery. Three of the four mothers were born abroad. Specific socio-cultural conditions may have been responsible for a lack of antenatal care responsible for the disease. Since CS is a preventable disease and the treatment of syphilis infection is cost-effective, we conclude that surveillance of CS cases and assessment of syphilis screening practises during pregnancy should be performed to prevent the occurrence of CS cases in France.


Subject(s)
Disease Notification/statistics & numerical data , Disease Outbreaks/statistics & numerical data , Population Surveillance , Registries , Risk Assessment/methods , Syphilis, Congenital/epidemiology , Databases, Factual , Female , France/epidemiology , Humans , Infant, Newborn , Pregnancy , Prevalence , Risk Factors , Women , Women's Health
8.
J Clin Microbiol ; 46(9): 2959-65, 2008 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18650354

ABSTRACT

The Foodborne Viruses in Europe network has developed integrated epidemiological and virological outbreak reporting with aggregation and sharing of data through a joint database. We analyzed data from reported outbreaks of norovirus (NoV)-caused gastroenteritis from 13 European countries (July 2001 to July 2006) for trends in time and indications of different epidemiology of genotypes and variants. Of the 13 countries participating in this surveillance network, 11 were capable of collecting integrated epidemiological and virological surveillance data and 10 countries reported outbreaks throughout the entire period. Large differences in the numbers and rates of reported outbreaks per country were observed, reflecting the differences in the focus and coverage of national surveillance systems. GII.4 strains predominated throughout the 5-year surveillance period, but the proportion of outbreaks associated with GII.4 rose remarkably during years in which NoV activity was particularly high. Spring and summer peaks indicated the emergence of genetically distinct variants within GII.4 across Europe and were followed by increased NoV activity during the 2002-2003 and 2004-2005 winter seasons. GII.4 viruses predominated in health care settings and in person-to-person transmission. The consecutive emergence of new GII.4 variants is highly indicative of immune-driven selection. Their predominance in health care settings suggests properties that facilitate transmission in settings with a high concentration of people such as higher virus loads in excreta or a higher incidence of vomiting. Understanding the mechanisms driving the changes in epidemiology and clinical impact of these rapidly evolving RNA viruses is essential to design effective intervention and prevention measures.


Subject(s)
Caliciviridae Infections/epidemiology , Disease Outbreaks , Foodborne Diseases/epidemiology , Gastroenteritis/epidemiology , Norovirus , Caliciviridae Infections/transmission , Caliciviridae Infections/virology , Disease Notification , Europe/epidemiology , Foodborne Diseases/virology , Gastroenteritis/virology , Genotype , Humans , Multivariate Analysis , Norovirus/genetics
9.
J Public Health (Oxf) ; 30(1): 82-90, 2008 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18089585

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The food-borne viruses in Europe (FBVE) network database was established in 1999 to monitor trends in outbreaks of gastroenteritis due to noroviruses (NoVs), to identify major transmission routes of NoV infections within and between participating countries and to detect diffuse international food-borne outbreaks. METHODS: We reviewed the total of 9430 NoV outbreak reports from 13 countries with date of onset between 1 January 2002 and 1 January 2007 for representativeness, completeness and timeliness against these objectives. RESULTS: Rates of reporting ranged from a yearly average of 1.8 in 2003 to 11.6 in 2006. Completeness of reporting of an agreed minimum dataset improved over the years, both for epidemiological and virological data. For the 10 countries that provided integrated (epidemiological AND virological) reporting over the 5-year period, the completeness of the minimum dataset rose from 15% in 2003 to 48% in 2006. Two countries have not been able to combine both data types due to the structure of the national surveillance system (England and Wales and Germany). Timeliness of reporting (median days between the onset of an outbreak and the date of reporting to the FBVE database) differed greatly between countries, but gradually improved to 47 days in 2006. CONCLUSION: The outbreaks reported to the FBVE reflect the lack of standardization of surveillance systems across Europe, making direct comparison of data between countries difficult. However, trends in reported outbreaks per country, distribution of NoV genotypes, and detection of diffuse international outbreaks were used as background data in acute questions about NoV illness and the changing genotype distribution during the 5-year period, shown to be of added value. Integrated reporting is essential for these objectives, but could be limited to sentinel countries with surveillance systems that allow this integration. For successful intervention in case of diffuse international outbreaks, completeness and timeliness of reporting would need to be improved and expanded to countries that presently do not participate.


Subject(s)
Caliciviridae Infections/epidemiology , Data Collection/standards , Disease Outbreaks , Food Contamination , Foodborne Diseases/epidemiology , Gastroenteritis/epidemiology , Norovirus , Safety , Databases as Topic , Epidemiologic Methods , Europe/epidemiology , Humans , Population Surveillance , Public Health , Risk Factors , Surveys and Questionnaires , Time Factors
10.
Mycotoxin Res ; 23(2): 59-64, 2007 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23605907

ABSTRACT

In Entre Ríos, Argentina, corn is one of the most important cereal grains produced, being an important income for the regional economy. The aim of this work was to assess aflatoxins, zearalenone, deoxynivalenol (DON) and fumonisins (FB) in corn harvest in 2003 and 2004 in the most contaminated departments found in previous studies in selected sampling places. At the harvest time, when the trucks arrived to store plants, samples of corn were taken from seven different positions of the trucks and from five in the trailer. Composite samples were randomised reduced to 10 kg. The samples were analysed by immunological tests, by thin layer chromatography (TLC), high performance liquid chromatography (HPLC) and/or gas liquid chromatography-electron capture detector (GLC-ECD). In 2003 average contamination was 3.19 u.g/kg for aflatoxins, 118.5 µg/kg for deoxynivalenol, 230.8 µg/kg for zearalenone and 10200 µg/kg of total fumonisins (HPLC and ELISA quantification showed a linear correlation (r(2) =0.9618), but RIDASCREEN®FAST values were 1.7 higher than HPLC values); in 2004 deoxynivalenol and zearalenone were not detected and an average of 2.0 µg/kg for aflatoxins and 4700 µg/kg for total fumonisins was found.This province, with the earliest harvested corn in the country each summer, tends to display different contaminations from the rest of the provinces, probably due to climate characteristics, particularly hotter weather.

11.
Clin Microbiol Infect ; 12(6): 561-70, 2006 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16700706

ABSTRACT

A large waterborne outbreak of infection that occurred during August 2000 in a local community in France was investigated initially via a rapid survey of visits to local physicians. A retrospective cohort study was then conducted on a random cluster sample of residents. Of 709 residents interviewed, 202 (28.5%) were definite cases (at least three liquid stools/day or vomiting) and 62 (8.7%) were probable cases (less than three liquid stools/day or abdominal pain). Those who had drunk tap water had a three-fold increased risk for illness (95% CI 2.4-4.0). The risk increased with the amount of water consumed (chi-square trend: p < 0.0001). Bacteriological analyses of stools were performed for 35 patients and virological analyses for 24 patients. Campylobacter coli, group A rotavirus and norovirus were detected in 31.5%, 71.0% and 21% of samples, respectively. An extensive environmental investigation concluded that a groundwater source to this community had probably been contaminated by agricultural run-off, and a failure in the chlorination system was identified. This is the first documented waterborne outbreak of infection involving human C. coli infections. A better understanding of the factors influencing campylobacter transmission between hosts is required.


Subject(s)
Caliciviridae Infections/epidemiology , Campylobacter Infections/epidemiology , Disease Outbreaks , Gastroenteritis/epidemiology , Rotavirus Infections/epidemiology , Water Microbiology , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Caliciviridae Infections/diagnosis , Campylobacter Infections/diagnosis , Campylobacter coli/isolation & purification , Child , Child, Preschool , Cohort Studies , Feces/microbiology , Feces/virology , France/epidemiology , Gastroenteritis/microbiology , Gastroenteritis/virology , Humans , Middle Aged , Norovirus/isolation & purification , Retrospective Studies , Rotavirus/isolation & purification , Rotavirus Infections/diagnosis , Surveys and Questionnaires , Water Supply
12.
J Clin Microbiol ; 43(9): 4659-64, 2005 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16145123

ABSTRACT

We compiled sequence and epidemiological data from 172 caliciviruses detected in France from December 1998 to February 2004 in sporadic and outbreak cases. The results showed a cocirculation of strains with a majority of genogroup II (GII) noroviruses. Three groups of noroviruses, not detected before in our laboratory, emerged and spread during the period: the recombinant GGIIb and Norwalk-related strains not amplified in the polymerase gene in 2000 and a new Lordsdale variant in 2002. We observed that (i) GII-4 noroviruses were predominant in nursing home and hospital outbreaks but rare in oyster- and water-related outbreaks despite continuous circulation in the population; (ii) at the opposite, genogroup I strains were detected in the majority of environmental outbreaks; (iii) several strains were frequently found in oyster- and water-linked outbreaks (up to seven), whereas one single strain was detected when transmission was from person to person; and (iv) whereas GII noroviruses were predominant in sporadic cases where patients were under 15 years of age, GI strains were more frequent in outbreaks occurring in this age group. Finally, from a methodology point of view, this compilation shows that detection and characterization in the polymerase gene are not adequate in a significant number of cases and should be completed by amplification and sequencing in the capsid gene.


Subject(s)
Caliciviridae Infections/epidemiology , Caliciviridae/genetics , Disease Outbreaks , Gastroenteritis/epidemiology , Molecular Epidemiology , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Caliciviridae/classification , Caliciviridae/isolation & purification , Caliciviridae Infections/virology , Child , Child, Preschool , France/epidemiology , Gastroenteritis/virology , Humans , Middle Aged , Molecular Sequence Data , Norovirus/classification , Norovirus/genetics , Norovirus/isolation & purification , Sapovirus/classification , Sapovirus/genetics , Sapovirus/isolation & purification , Sequence Analysis, DNA
13.
Euro Surveill ; 9(3): 24-6, 2004 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15075483

ABSTRACT

In January 2003, the Institut de Veille Sanitaire received notification of clusters of gastroenteritis (GE) thought to be associated with consumption of oysters harvested from Etang de Thau in the south of France. At the same time Italy reported an outbreak (200+ cases) associated with oysters from the Etang de Thau. An investigation was carried out to determine the source and vehicle of the outbreaks. Descriptive analysis of reported clusters in France, microbiological analysis of stool and oyster samples, genotyping of noroviruses and an environmental investigation of the Etang de Thau were carried out. A retrospective cohort study was also undertaken among those attending a number of family meals in Paris. Thirteen family clusters in four districts of France (69 cases) could be attributed to the consumption of Thau oysters based on descriptive evidence. Oysters distributed at an office in Paris and consumed at fourteen family meals between 19 and 24 December led to a further outbreak. In this outbreak the attack rate was 21/36 (58%) for Thau oyster consumers and 0/22 for non-consumers (p=0.00002). Noroviruses (genogroups I and II) were found in stool samples from four clusters and oysters from three clusters (including Paris). Environmental investigations revealed heavy rainfall, an overflow of a water purification station and faecal contamination of the Etang de Thau in December. Oysters from the Etang de Thau were responsible for a number of clusters of norovirus GE in winter 2002 in France and also in Italy. High Escherichia Coli levels in Thau water and shellfish led to an official request, mid-December, for oyster purification before distribution. This was not possible, due to lack of purification facilities. This investigation has contributed to a change in the way that shellfish harvesting areas are classified in France.


Subject(s)
Caliciviridae Infections/epidemiology , Disease Outbreaks , Gastroenteritis/epidemiology , Ostreidae/virology , Shellfish/virology , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Animals , Caliciviridae Infections/transmission , Caliciviridae Infections/virology , Child , Child, Preschool , Escherichia coli/isolation & purification , Feces/virology , Female , France , Gastroenteritis/virology , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Norovirus/genetics , Norovirus/isolation & purification , Retrospective Studies , Water Microbiology
14.
Euro Surveill ; 8(11): 213-7, 2003 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-14684881

ABSTRACT

The frequency of Campylobacter infections in humans, their potential severity, and the existence of preventive measures justify the implementation of a surveillance system for these infections. Before the implementation of the surveillance system, a survey of the Campylobacter diagnostic practices in the laboratories was performed. In the laboratories that responded, most investigated for Campylobacter at least once in 1999. Identification of the Campylobacter species was carried out by 86% of hospital laboratories and 37% of private laboratories. Antibiotic sensitivity tests were carried out by 75% and 32% of them respectively. Many laboratories test for Campylobacter in stool samples using comparable methods showing the feasibility of a surveillance system.


Subject(s)
Bacteriological Techniques/standards , Campylobacter Infections/epidemiology , Laboratories/standards , Population Surveillance , Bacteriological Techniques/statistics & numerical data , Campylobacter/classification , Campylobacter/drug effects , Campylobacter/isolation & purification , Campylobacter Infections/diagnosis , Campylobacter Infections/drug therapy , Drug Resistance, Microbial , Feasibility Studies , Feces/microbiology , France/epidemiology , Humans , Laboratories/statistics & numerical data , Laboratories, Hospital/standards , Laboratories, Hospital/statistics & numerical data , Laboratories, Hospital/trends , Microbial Sensitivity Tests/methods , Microbial Sensitivity Tests/standards , Microbial Sensitivity Tests/statistics & numerical data , Population Surveillance/methods , Specimen Handling/methods , Specimen Handling/standards , Specimen Handling/statistics & numerical data
15.
Euro Surveill ; 8(11): 218, 2003 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-14684882

ABSTRACT

In 2001, one year after the study of microbiological laboratories that showed the feasibility of a surveillance of Campylobacter infections, 1389 private laboratories were asked whether they would be willing to participate. The high proportion of positive responses (48%, 661) allowed the implementation on 1 April 2002 of surveillance of human Campylobacter infections.


Subject(s)
Campylobacter Infections/epidemiology , Health Plan Implementation/methods , Population Surveillance/methods , Campylobacter/classification , Campylobacter/isolation & purification , France/epidemiology , Health Plan Implementation/standards , Health Plan Implementation/trends , Humans , Laboratories/standards , Laboratories/trends
16.
Epidemiol Infect ; 131(1): 647-54, 2003 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12948363

ABSTRACT

We evaluated improvements made to the mandatory notification surveillance system for Legionnaires' disease in France by estimating its sensitivity in 1995 and 1998 using a repeat capture-recapture method. A case of Legionnaires' disease was defined as a person treated for pneumonia in whom legionella had been detected. Patient details were collected from (1) mandatory notifications; (2) the National Reference Centre for Legionella; (3) a postal survey of all hospital laboratories. The three sources were cross-matched and 715 individual cases were identified. A log-linear model, which included an interaction term between mandatory notifications and both the National Reference Centre and Laboratory sources, provided an estimated total of 1124 cases (95% CI 973-1275) in 1998, a twofold increase compared with 1995. The sensitivity of the surveillance system improved from 10% in 1995 to 33% (95% CI 29-38%) in 1998. Capture-recapture methods are important tools in the evaluation of surveillance systems.


Subject(s)
Disease Notification/standards , Legionnaires' Disease/epidemiology , Population Surveillance , Data Collection , France/epidemiology , Health Policy , Humans , Sensitivity and Specificity
17.
Rev Epidemiol Sante Publique ; 50(2): 219-32, 2002 Apr.
Article in French | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12011737

ABSTRACT

By matching several sources of information coming from the same population, the capture-recapture method allows, if matches between sources can be identified, to estimate the number of cases not identified by any of the sources, the total number (N) of cases in the population and the sensitivity of each source. Used first in zoology and demography, this technique has been increasingly applied to epidemiology in the last two decades. However, six conditions need to be satisfied: all cases identified by each source are true cases; occurred during the time and the geographical area studied; the study population is closed; all matches are true matches; sources are independent and there is no heterogeneous catchability within sources. It is possible to assess and take into account dependence between sources when 3 or more sources are used, in particular by log linear modelling. However interactions of maximal order cannot be adjusted for. In case of a biased estimation because of the non respect of the conditions, it is recommended to apply a method of correction. The complete application of the methods is illustrated in the study of estimating the number of Salmonella infectious foodborne outbreak. As capture-recapture studies often use data collected for other purposes, this technique should be regarded as exploratory or be used to validate an estimate of a number of cases obtained by another method. It should not replace population sampling methods only because of its low cost. Otherwise it is a very informative approach to evaluate the sensitivity and representativeness of surveillance systems and registries.


Subject(s)
Disease Outbreaks/statistics & numerical data , Population Surveillance/methods , Salmonella Infections/epidemiology , Algorithms , Epidemiologic Studies , France/epidemiology , Humans , Reproducibility of Results
18.
Am J Epidemiol ; 155(2): 140-7, 2002 Jan 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11790677

ABSTRACT

An epidemic of health complaints occurred in five Belgian schools in June 1999. A qualitative investigation described the scenario. The role of soft drinks was assessed by using a case-control study. Cases were students complaining of headache, dizziness, nausea, vomiting, abdominal pain, diarrhea, or trembling. Controls were students present at school on the day of the outbreak but not taken ill. An analysis was performed separately for school A, where the outbreak started, and was pooled for schools B-E. In school A, the attack rate (13.2%) was higher than in schools B-E (3.6%, relative risk = 3.6, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.5, 5.3). Exclusive consumption of regular Coca-Cola (school A: odds ratio (OR) = 29.7, 95% CI: 1.32, 663.6; schools B-E: OR = 7.3, 95% CI: 2.9, 18.0) and low mental health score (school A: OR = 16.1, 95% CI: 1.3, 201.9; schools B-E: OR = 3.1, 95% CI: 1.5, 6.6) were independently associated with the illness. In schools B-E, consumption of Fanta, consumption of Coca-Cola light, and female gender were also associated with the illness. It seems reasonable to attribute the first cases of illness in school A to regular Coca-Cola consumption. However, mass sociogenic illness could explain the majority of the other cases.


Subject(s)
Carbonated Beverages/poisoning , Disease Outbreaks , Somatoform Disorders/epidemiology , Adolescent , Belgium/epidemiology , Case-Control Studies , Child , Food Contamination , Humans , Hydrogen Sulfide/poisoning , Logistic Models , Statistics, Nonparametric , Sulfur Oxides/poisoning , Surveys and Questionnaires
19.
Am J Epidemiol ; 152(2): 171-7, 2000 Jul 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10909954

ABSTRACT

Despite control measures, foodborne outbreaks of non-typhi Salmonella infection continue to occur in developed countries. The authors aimed to assess the number of foodborne Salmonella outbreaks that occurred in France in 1995 using a capture-recapture approach. Data from three sources--the National Public Health Network (NPHN), the Ministry of Agriculture (MA), which receives mandatory notification, and the National Salmonella and Shigella Reference Center (NRC)-were collected. Matching algorithms permitted identification of matched outbreaks. The total number of outbreaks was estimated by log-linear modeling taking into account source dependencies and the variable catchability. The final estimate was adjusted for the positive predictive value (66%) of the NRC case definition. The dependence between the NPHN and the MA was also evaluated by means of a qualitative survey. A total of 716 foodborne Salmonella outbreaks were reported to the three sources, and 108 matches were identified. The best-fitting model, taking into account a positive dependence between the NPHN and MA sources, gave an estimate of 757 outbreaks. The sensitivity was 15% for the NPHN, 10% for the MA, and 50% for the NRC. In France, routine mandatory reporting of foodborne Salmonella outbreaks is very incomplete, and it is not representative of the serotype and the type of outbreak.


Subject(s)
Disease Outbreaks , Salmonella Food Poisoning/epidemiology , France/epidemiology , Humans , Population Surveillance/methods
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