Factors associated with a better treatment efficacy among psoriasis patients: a study based on decision tree model and logistic regression in Shanghai, China.

BACKGROUND: Many effective therapies for psoriasis are being applied in clinical practice in recent years, however, some patients still can't achieve satisfied effect even with biologics. Therefore, it is crucial to identify factors associated with the treatment efficacy among psoriasis patients. This study aims to explore factors influencing the treatment efficacy of psoriasis patients based on decision tree model and logistic regression. METHODS: We implemented an observational study and recruited 512 psoriasis patients in Shanghai Skin Diseases Hospital from 2021 to 2022. We used face-to-face questionnaire interview and physical examination to collect data. Influencing factors of treatment efficacy were analyzed by using logistic regression, and decision tree model based on the CART algorithm. The receiver operator curve (ROC) was plotted for model evaluation and the statistical significance was set at P < 0.05. RESULTS: The 512 patients were predominately males (72.1%), with a median age of 47.5 years. In this study, 245 patients achieved ≥ 75% improvement in psoriasis area and severity index (PASI) score in week 8 and was identified as treatment success (47.9%). Logistic regression analysis showed that patients with senior high school and above, without psoriasis family history, without tobacco smoking and alcohol drinking had higher percentage of treatment success in patients with psoriasis. The final decision tree model contained four layers with a total of seventeen nodes. Nine classification rules were extracted and five factors associated with treatment efficacy were screened, which indicated tobacco smoking was the most critical variable for treatment efficacy prediction. Model evaluation by ROC showed that the area under curve (AUC) was 0.79 (95%CI: 0.75 ~ 0.83) both for logistic regression model (0.80 sensitivity and 0.69 specificity) and decision tree model (0.77 sensitivity and 0.73 specificity). CONCLUSION: Psoriasis patients with higher education, without tobacco smoking, alcohol drinking and psoriasis family history had better treatment efficacy. Decision tree model had similar predicting effect with the logistic regression model, but with higher feasibility due to the nature of simple, intuitive, and easy to understand.

Tobacco smoking negatively influences the achievement of greater than three-quarters reduction in psoriasis area and severity index after eight weeks of treatment among patients with psoriasis: Findings from a prospective study.

INTRODUCTION: Smoking is an independent and modifiable risk factor for the onset and development of psoriasis; however, evidence on the association between tobacco smoking and psoriasis treatment efficacy is limited. This study aimed to explore the influence of smoking on treatment efficacy in a cohort of patients with psoriasis in Shanghai, China. METHODS: Patients with psoriasis were recruited from the Shanghai Skin Disease Hospital between 2021 and 2022. The treatment for patients with psoriasis includes acitretin, methotrexate, narrow-band ultraviolet/benvitimod, and biologics. Data were collected using a structured questionnaire, physical examination, and disease severity estimation at baseline, week four, and week eight. The achievement of a ≥75% reduction in psoriasis area and severity index (PASI75) score from baseline to week 8 was set as the primary outcome for treatment efficacy estimation. Data were analyzed using SAS 9.4. RESULTS: A total of 560 patients with psoriasis were enrolled in this study, who were predominantly males (72.9%). The average age of patients was 48.4 years, and 38.8% of them were current smokers, 5.0% of them were former smokers. The median score of PASI among patients changed from 11.1 (interquartile range, IQR: 7.9-16.6) at baseline to 6.2 at week 4 and 3.1 at week 8, and 13.8% and 47.3% of patients with psoriasis achieved PASI75 at weeks 4 and 8, respectively. Logistic regression indicated that patients without tobacco smoking had a higher proportion of PASI75 achievement at week 8. The adjusted odds ratio (AOR) was 11.43 (95% CI: 6.91-18.89), 14.14 (95% CI: 8.27-24.20), and 3.05 (95% CI: 1.20-7.76) for non-smokers compared with smokers, current smokers, and former smokers, respectively. Moreover, former smokers had higher PASI75 achievement than current smokers (AOR=3.37), and patients with younger smoking initiation age, longer smoking duration, and higher smoking intensity had lower PASI75 achievement. CONCLUSIONS: Tobacco smoking was negatively associated with PASI75 achievement both in current and former smokers, and former smokers had higher PASI75 achievement than current smokers. The implementation of tobacco control measures is beneficial for improving treatment responses.

More Physical Exercise is Required for Overweight or Obese Women with Gestational Diabetes Mellitus to Achieve Good Plasma Glucose Control During Pregnancy: Finding from a Prospective Cohort in Shanghai.

Objective: This study was based on a gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) cohort in Shanghai to examine the association between physical exercise and plasma glucose control among GDM women with and determine what the effects of pre-pregnancy body mass index (BMI). Methods: In this study, GDM was diagnosed if the plasma glucose values at any of the following time points reached the diagnostic threshold: fasting blood glucose (5.1 mmol/L), 1-hour blood glucose (10.0 mmol/L), and 2-hour blood glucose (8.5 mmol/L) by 75 g oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT). Information on GDM women was extracted from the hospital's health records and prenatal examination forms and was obtained through face-to-face interviews after delivery. A restricted cubic spline curve with four knots was used to flexibly model the relationship between the duration of moderate-intensity physical exercise and the percentage of abnormal plasma glucose among GDM patients with different BMI values. In this study, a P-value less than 0.05 (two-tailed) was considered as statistical significance. Results: Among 1139 GDM women with GDM, the median percentage of abnormal plasma glucose (PG) was 40.0% (interquartile range (IQR): 20.0-66.7%), and the difference between overweight-obese group and underweight-normal group was statistically significant (50.0% vs 40.0%, P <0.001). In this study, engaging in more physical exercise during pregnancy contributed to a higher prevalence of satisfactory glycemic control, and women with BMI <25 kg/m2 should engage in no less than 90 minutes of moderate-intensity physical activity per day to achieve satisfactory glycemic control (prevalence of abnormal PG <35%). However, over 120 minutes of daily moderate-intensity physical activity is required for GDM women with a BMI ≥25 kg/m2 to achieve satisfactory glycemic control. Conclusion: Overweight or obese women with GDM have a higher risk of poor glycemic control and require a longer duration of physical exercise to achieve the same level of blood glucose control.

Longer physical exercise duration prevents abnormal fasting plasma glucose occurrences in the third trimester: Findings from a cohort of women with gestational diabetes mellitus in Shanghai.

Objective: This study aims to investigate the relationship between daily physical exercise (PE) duration and frequency of abnormal plasma glucose (PG) times both during fasting and 2 h after a standard diet in women with gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM). Methods: We established a cohort involving 878 GDM women. GDM was confirmed by a diagnostic 75-g oral glucose tolerance test. Information was extracted from the delivery records and antenatal checkup forms. Physical exercise information was collected through a questionnaire. Results: Over 80% of GDM women were under 35 years old. An abnormal fasting PG with ≥1 occurrence presented in 742/878 (84.51%), and the abnormal PG 2 h after standard diet with ≥1 occurrence presented in 634/878 (72.21%). Compared to GDM women with ≥4 occurrences of abnormal fasting PG, GDM women with 0 occurrences (odds ratio (OR) = 2.56), one occurrence (OR = 1.94), two occurrences (OR = 2.29), and three occurrences (OR = 2.16) had a higher proportion of PE duration being in the 45-60-min/day group than those in the <45-min/day group, and GDM women also had a higher proportion of PE during being in the 61-90- and >90-min/day group than those in the <45-min/day group. However, the duration of PE was not associated to the number of abnormal PG occurrences 2-h after the standard diet. Conclusion: Moderate-intensity PE duration in GDM women was negatively associated with the number of abnormal fasting PG occurrences but not with the number of PG occurrences 2 h after the standard diet.

Effectiveness of Kurtosis-Adjusted Cumulative Noise Exposure in Assessing Occupational Hearing Loss Associated With Complex Noise.

OBJECTIVES: Occupational noise-induced hearing loss (NIHL) is one of the most prevalent occupational diseases worldwide. Few studies have been reported on applying kurtosis-adjusted noise energy (e.g., kurtosis-adjusted cumulative noise exposure, CNE-K) as a joint indicator for assessing NIHL. This study aimed to analyze the effectiveness of CNE-K in assessing occupational hearing loss associated with complex noise in typical manufacturing industries. DESIGN: A cross-sectional survey of 1404 Chinese manufacturing workers from typical manufacturing industries was conducted. General demographic characteristics, noise exposure data, and noise-induced permanent threshold shifts (NIPTS) at 3, 4, and 6 kHz (NIPTS 346 ) were collected and analyzed. The role of kurtosis in high-frequency noise-induced hearing loss (HFNIHL) was also analyzed. The degree of overlap of the two logistic curves (i.e., between complex noise CNE-K and HFNIHL%, and between Gaussian noise CNE and HFNIHL%) was used to evaluate the effectiveness of CNE-K, using a stratified analysis based on age, sex, industry, or job type. RESULTS: The binary logistic regression analysis showed that in addition to age, sex, exposure duration, and Eight-hour Continuous Equivalent A-weighted Sound Pressure Level (L Aeq,8h ), kurtosis was a key factor influencing HFNIHL% in workers (odds ratio = 1.18, p < 0.05), and its odds ratio increased with an increase in kurtosis value. Multiple linear regression analysis demonstrated that the contribution of kurtosis to NIPTS 346 was second to L Aeq,8h . Complex noise led to a higher risk of NIHL than Gaussian noise at frequencies of 3, 4, 6, and 8 kHz after adjusting for age, sex, and CNE ( p < 0.05). As kurtosis increased, the notch in the audiogram became deeper, and the frequency at which the notch began to deepen shifted from 3 to 1 kHz. The logistic curve between complex noise CNE-K and HFNIHL% nearly overlapped with that between Gaussian noise CNE and HFNIHL%, and the average difference in HFNIHL% between the two curves decreased from 8.1 to 0.4%. Moreover, the decrease of average difference in HFNIHL% between the two logistic curves was evident in several subgroups, such as male workers, aged <30 and 30 to 50 years, furniture and woodworking industries and gunning and nailing job types with relatively high kurtosis values. CONCLUSIONS: Kurtosis, as an indirect metric of noise temporal structure, was an important risk factor for occupational NIHL. Kurtosis-adjusted CNE metric could be more effective than CNE alone in assessing occupational hearing loss risk associated with complex noise.

Prevalence of non-communicable diseases and its association with tobacco smoking cessation intention among current smokers in Shanghai, China.

INTRODUCTION: Smoking remains one of the biggest public health challenges worldwide, quitting tobacco smoking can lead to substantial health gains, even later in life. Previous studies indicate that illness can be a powerful motivation to quit and physicians' advice on smoking cessation has been shown to improve quit rates, but evidence on the role of non-communicable diseases in smoking cessation is limited. This cross-sectional study aims to evaluate the prevalence of non-communicable diseases and to explore its role in smoking cessation intention in smokers in Shanghai. METHODS: From January to June 2021, 1104 current smokers were recruited in the Songjiang and Fengxian districts of Shanghai. We used an Android assisted electronic questionnaire for data collection, and implemented logistic regression for odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) calculation to explore how smoking cessation intention would be influenced by non-communicable diseases comorbidity among smokers. RESULTS: The 1104 current smokers included 914 males (82.8%), with an average age of 43.6 years. Approximately 22% of smokers had at least 1 type of non-communicable disease, with 17.8% for non-respiratory system related non-communicable diseases and 6.6% for respiratory system related non-communicable diseases. The prevalence of non-communicable diseases comorbidity ranged from 0.5% to 13.9%, and was higher in male smokers; 41.8% of current smokers had intention to quit smoking in a recent year, and the percentage of smoking cessation intention was higher in smokers with non-communicable diseases. Logistic regression indicated that smokers with non-communicable diseases had 1.3 (95% CI: 1.0-1.8) times higher smoking cessation intention than those without non-communicable disease. The findings were consistent in respiratory system related and non-respiratory system related non-communicable diseases. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of non-communicable diseases was high among current smokers in Shanghai, and their smoking cessation intention was associated with non-communicable diseases comorbidity. Physicians should treat illness as a powerful motivation and provide professional cessation service to tobacco users to reverse the severe tobacco epidemic.

The estimated influence of assumed physicians' advice for tobacco smoking cessation among current smokers in Shanghai, China: A cross-sectional study.

INTRODUCTION: Evidence indicates that physicians' smoking cessation advice is significant for tobacco control, which is an impetus to encourage smoking cessation among smokers, but the estimated influence of physicians' smoking cessation advice on smokers' intention to quit is limited in Shanghai, China. METHODS: We enrolled 1104 participants who were current smokers in the SJ (Songjiang) and FX (Fengxian) districts in Shanghai in 2021. An electronic questionnaire was used to collect data and SAS 9.4 was used for data analysis. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression was used to calculate odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) to estimate the influence of the assumed physicians' advice for smoking cessation on current smokers' smoking cessation plan. RESULTS: A total of 1104 participants provided information of which 914 were male smokers (82.8%) and 190 (17.2%) were female smokers. Multivariate logistic regression demonstrated that female smokers (OR=2.47; 95% CI: 1.66-3.68), smokers with at least 1 type of non-communicable disease (OR=2.09; 95% CI: 1.42-3.07), smoking intensity <20 cigarettes/day (OR=1.64; 95% CI: 1.22-2.17), with personal tobacco burden less than 20% (OR=1.52; 95% CI: 1.10-2.13), exposed to secondhand smoke (OR=1.99; 95% CI:1.44-2.76), and previous smoking cessation attempt (OR=4.43; 95% CI: 3.23-6.08), were more likely to report an intent to quit smoking. Moreover, approximately 50% of participants without a plan to quit in a year had also reported their intention to quit smoking with the presumption that the physicians would advise them to quit, irrespective of their sex, age, NCD status and secondhand tobacco smoke exposure. CONCLUSIONS: Physicians' cessation advice could promote smokers to consider stopping smoking. The reported cessation intention was higher among female smokers, and smokers with NCD, lower smoking intensity and burden, with smoking cessation attempts, all of which could be incorporated into the implementation of tobacco control measures in the future in Shanghai.

The estimated effect of graphic warning labels on smoker's intention to quit in Shanghai, China: a cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Tobacco consumption is the leading cause of death worldwide. Overwhelming studies demonstrate graphic warning labels (GWLs) on cigarette packs are effective in eliciting negative response to tobacco smoking, modifying beliefs about tobacco dangers, and increasing reported intention to quit, but the estimated effect of GWLs on smoking cessation intention among smokers is still limited in China. In this study, we aim to understand the smoking intensity, smoking duration and smoking cessation intention among current smokers, and to explore how their smoking cessation intention would be influenced by the GWLs in Shanghai. METHODS: From January to June 2021, we totally recruited 1104 current smokers in Songjiang district and Fengxian district of Shanghai by multistage sampling design. We used Android pad assisted electronic questionnaire for data collection, and then implemented logistic regression for odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) calculation to explore how smoking cessation intention would be influenced by the GWLs among current smokers. RESULTS: One thousand one hundred four current smokers included 914 males (82.79%), with an average age of 43.61 years. 58.06% of current smokers reported smoking cessation intention due to GWLs. Logistic regression indicated a higher percentage of smoking cessation intention due to GWLs was among female smokers [OR = 2.41, 95% CI (1.61-3.59)], smokers with smoking intensity < 20 cigarette/day [OR = 1.92, 95% CI (1.44-2.55)], smokers with tobacco burden < 20% [OR = 1.94, 95% CI (1.35-2.79)], and among smokers had plan to quit in a year [OR = 6.58, 95% CI (4.71-9.18). Smokers with higher individual monthly income had lower percentage of smoking cessation intention (OR were 0.35, 0.46 and 0.41). Meanwhile, among 642 current smokers without plan to quit in a year, approximately 40% of them reported smoking cessation intention due to GWLs. CONCLUSIONS: Smoking cessation intention due to the assumed GWLs on cigarette packs is high among current smokers in Shanghai, especially in female smokers, smokers with light tobacco burden and mild nicotine dependence. Incorporating smoking intensity as well as smoking burden into the implementation of GWLs as tobacco control measures would discourage smoking in China.

The Estimated Effect of Physicians' Advice for Smoking Cessation and Assumed Tobacco Retail Price Increase on Smoker's Intention to Quit in Shanghai, China: A Cross-Sectional Study.

Background: Tobacco consumption produces a heavy disease burden worldwide, and tobacco price increase, an advertisement for tobacco-induced harm, graphic warning labels on cigarette packages and advice of physicians for quitting are policies that have been proved as effective smoking cessation measures. But evidence on the estimated effect of advice of physicians for quitting and assumed tobacco retail price increase on smoking cessation intention among smokers is still limited in China. Methods: From January to April of 2021, we recruited 664 current smokers in Songjiang district of Shanghai by a multistage sampling design. We implemented a logistic regression analysis to calculate the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) to explore how smoking cessation intention would be influenced by the assumed tobacco retail price increase as well as advice of physicians for quitting, and used the paired tabulation method to identify the salient tobacco control measures among smokers as well. Results: A total of 664 current smokers included 548 males (82.53%), with an average smoking duration of 22.50 years (SD: 11.52 years). About 68.79 and 43.67% of current smokers reported smoking cessation intention due to advice of physicians for quitting and the assumed tobacco retail price increase, respectively. Logistic regression analysis indicated that female smokers (OR = 2.85 and 4.55), smokers with previous smoking cessation attempt (OR = 3.71 and 3.07), longer smoking duration (OR = 2.26 and 2.68), lower smoking intensity (OR = 1.82 and 1.69), and heavier tobacco burdens (OR = 1.67 and 2.22) had the higher intention of smoking cessation both due to advice of physicians for quitting and due to assumed tobacco price increase, respectively. Meanwhile, the advice of physicians for quitting was more effective and acceptable (over 80%) than the assumed tobacco price increase for inducing smokers to consider quitting in Shanghai. Conclusions: Smokers have a high intention of smoking cessation in Shanghai, and the advice of physicians for quitting is a potentially more salient tobacco control measure than the assumed tobacco retail price increase. Incorporating smoking duration, intensity, personal burden as well as noncommunicable disease (NCD) status of smokers into the implementation of tobacco control measures is beneficial for descending smoking prevalence.

Meta-Analysis of Shrinkage Mode After Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy for Breast Cancers: Association With Hormonal Receptor.

Background: Patients with concentric shrinkage mode after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) is considered to be ideal candidates for breast conserving treatment (BCT). While, what proportion of patients would represent CSM have not been well defined. This study was conducted to pool the rates of concentric shrinkage mode (CSM) in patients undergoing NAC, determine the impact of hormonal receptor on the shrinkage mode after NAC and estimate the rates of the CSM in various subgroups. Methods: We conducted a systematic review following the guidelines for Meta-Analyses and Systematic reviews for the PRISMA guidelines. We systematically searched the literature about shrinkage mode after NAC from PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, The Cochrane Library, CNKI, Wanfang database published from January 2002 to June 2020 on breast cancer shrinkage mode after NAC and carefully screened the literature by using eligibility criteria: (1) patients with primary breast cancer treated with NAC; (2) publications with available data of shrinkage mode measured by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), or data of pathology and hormonal receptor. The association between shrinkage mode and hormonal receptor was estimated using Stata 15.1 software. Results: This analysis included a total of 2434 tumors from 23 papers. The included studies were heterogeneous (I2 = 89.4%, P<0.01). Random effects model was used to estimate the overall rates of CSM: 56.6% [95%CI (50.5%, 62.7%)]. According to the analysis of hormonal receptor, 10 of the paper was included for HR+ (hormone receptor positive) type analysis and the rate of CSM for HR+ type was 45.7% [95%CI (36.4%, 55.0%)]; 9 of the paper was used for HR- type (hormone receptor negative) analysis and the incidence of HR-CSM is 63.1% [95%CI (50.0%, 76.1%)]; with HR+ type as the control, the OR of the HR- CSM rate is 2.32 (1.32, 4.08) folds of HR+ type. From subgroup analyses, the CSM% of luminal A, luminal B, Her2+, and triple negative were 29.7% (16.5%, 42.8%); 47.2% (19.1%, 75.3%); 59.0% (39.7%, 78.3%); 66.2% (52.8%, 79.6%), respectively. Conclusions: Breast cancer patients undergoing NAC did not get an ideal odds ratio of CSM. The incidence of CSM in breast cancer after NAC is associated with hormonal receptor. Patients with triple-negative breast cancers have the highest rates of CSM after NAC. More care should be taken to select patients with the luminal subtypes for BCT throughout NAC.