Item response theory analysis of daytime sleepiness as a symptom of obstructive sleep apnea.

Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) is a sleep disorder which is linked to many health risks. The gold standard to evaluate OSA in clinical trials is the Apnea-Hypopnea Index (AHI). However, it is time-consuming, costly, and disregards aspects such as quality of life. Therefore, it is of interest to use patient-reported outcomes like the Epworth Sleepiness Scale (ESS), which measures daytime sleepiness, as surrogate end points. We investigate the link between AHI and ESS, via item response theory (IRT) modeling. Through the developed IRT model it was identified that AHI and ESS are not correlated to any high degree and probably not measuring the same sleepiness construct. No covariate relationships of clinical relevance were found. This suggests that ESS is a poor choice as an end point for clinical development if treatment is targeted at improving AHI, and especially so in a mild OSA patient group.

Evaluation of covariate effects in item response theory models.

Item response theory (IRT) models are usually the best way to analyze composite or rating scale data. Standard methods to evaluate covariate or treatment effects in IRT models do not allow to identify item-specific effects. Finding subgroups of patients who respond differently to certain items could be very important when designing inclusion or exclusion criteria for clinical trials, and aid in understanding different treatment responses in varying disease manifestations. We present a new method to investigate item-specific effects in IRT models, which is based on inspection of residuals. The method was investigated in a simulation exercise with a model for the Epworth Sleepiness Scale. We also provide a detailed discussion as a guidance on how to build a robust covariate IRT model.

Model-Based Benefit/Risk Analysis for the Copanlisib Intermittent Dosing Regimen.

Copanlisib is an intravenously administered phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase (PI3K) inhibitor, which is approved as monotherapy for relapsed follicular lymphoma in adult patients who have received at least two systemic therapies. In an April 2022 US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Oncology Drug Advisory Committee (ODAC), the benefit-risk profile of the class PI3K inhibitors were scrutinized for use in hematological malignancies. Specifically, their unique toxicities may contribute to the high incidences in reported serious and high-grade treatment emergent adverse events (TEAEs), thereby reducing their overall tolerability and potentially limiting their successful use. These tolerability concerns may be contributed by or compounded by inadequate dose optimization. The recommended dosing regimen of copanlisib 60 mg administered on days 1, 8, and 15 of a 28-day cycle was selected as the maximal tolerated dose (MTD) during phase I. Thus, this analysis sought to justify the copanlisib dose regimen selection. Copanlisib exposure-efficacy relationships were considered from its large phase III trial, CHRONOS-3, whereas copanlisib safety was investigated by pooling data across its two large clinical trials to comprehensively assess its exposure-safety relationships. Results demonstrated a statistically significant positive linear exposure-efficacy relationship at the MTD. Exposure-safety analyses revealed a borderline significant linear relationship for grade ≥3 TEAEs and no significant exposure-safety relationships for other investigated safety end points. The model-based benefit/risk framework considered the established exposure-response models and defined clinical utility function which confirmed the appropriateness of the copanlisib dosing regimen across the range of its achieved exposures.

Pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics of finerenone in patients with chronic kidney disease and type 2 diabetes: Insights based on FIGARO-DKD and FIDELIO-DKD.

AIMS: To perform dose-exposure-response analyses to determine the effects of finerenone doses. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Two randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled phase 3 trials enrolling 13 026 randomized participants with type 2 diabetes (T2D) from global sites, each with an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of 25 to 90 mL/min/1.73 m2 , a urine albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR) of 30 to 5000 mg/g, and serum potassium ≤ 4.8 mmol/L were included. Interventions were titrated doses of finerenone 10 or 20 mg versus placebo on top of standard of care. The outcomes were trajectories of plasma finerenone and serum potassium concentrations, UACR, eGFR and kidney composite outcomes, assessed using nonlinear mixed-effects population pharmacokinetic (PK)/pharmacodynamic (PD) and parametric time-to-event models. RESULTS: For potassium, lower serum levels and lower rates of hyperkalaemia were associated with higher doses of finerenone 20 mg compared to 10 mg (p < 0.001). The PK/PD model analysis linked this observed inverse association to potassium-guided dose titration. Simulations of a hypothetical trial with constant finerenone doses revealed a shallow but increasing exposure-potassium response relationship. Similarly, increasing finerenone exposures led to less than dose-proportional increasing reductions in modelled UACR. Modelled UACR explained 95% of finerenone's treatment effect in slowing chronic eGFR decline. No UACR-independent finerenone effects were identified. Neither sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitor nor glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist (GLP-1RA) treatment significantly modified the effects of finerenone in reducing UACR and eGFR decline. Modelled eGFR explained 87% of finerenone's treatment effect on kidney outcomes. No eGFR-independent effects were identified. CONCLUSIONS: The analyses provide strong evidence for the effectiveness of finerenone dose titration in controlling serum potassium elevations. UACR and eGFR are predictive of kidney outcomes during finerenone treatment. Finerenone's kidney efficacy is independent of concomitant use of SGLT2 inhibitors and GLP-1RAs.

Assessing QTc Effects of Vericiguat Using Two Different Concentration-QTc Modeling Approaches.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Vericiguat is a soluble guanylate cyclase stimulator indicated to reduce the risk of cardiovascular death and hospitalization due to heart failure. A dedicated QTc study in patients with chronic coronary syndromes demonstrated no clinically relevant QTc effect of vericiguat for exposures across the therapeutic dose range (2.5-10 mg). Interval prolongation concentration-QTc (C-QTc) modeling was performed to complement the statistical evaluations of QTc in the dedicated QTc study. METHODS: Individual time-matched, baseline- and placebo-corrected Fridericia-corrected QT interval values (ΔΔQTcF) were derived. Two approaches for ΔΔQTcF calculation were investigated: (1) ΔΔQTcF correction with data from a single baseline (as in the primary statistical analysis); and (2) ΔΔQTcF correction with a modeled baseline (considering all available individual non-treatment baselines). The ΔΔQTcF values were related to observed vericiguat concentrations with linear mixed-effects modeling. RESULTS: For both modeling approaches, a positive relationship was found between ΔΔQTcF and vericiguat concentration; however, the slope for the single-baseline approach was not statistically significant, whereas the slope from the modeled-baseline approach was statistically significant. The upper bound of the two-sided 90% confidence interval for model-derived QTc was < 10 ms at the highest observed exposure (745 µg/L; investigated dose range 2.5-10 mg). CONCLUSION: By applying a single-baseline approach and a modeled-baseline approach that integrated all available QTc data across doses to characterize the QTc prolongation potential, this study showed that vericiguat 2.5-10 mg is not associated with clinically relevant QTc effects, in line with the conclusion from the primary statistical analysis. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION NUMBER: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03504982.

Copanlisib population pharmacokinetics from phase I-III studies and exposure-response relationships in combination with rituximab.

Copanlisib dose selection was established under the maximum tolerated dose paradigm, and no dedicated dose-finding studies have investigated copanlisib dose selection when used in combination with rituximab. In CHRONOS-3, copanlisib plus rituximab demonstrated significantly improved progression-free survival versus placebo plus rituximab in patients with relapsed indolent non-Hodgkin lymphoma (iNHL). We conducted a comprehensive investigation of copanlisib population pharmacokinetics (PopPK) from a pooled analysis of 712 patients across nine copanlisib phase I-III studies and exposure-response (ER) relationships for efficacy and safety from the 1-year follow-up of CHRONOS-3. PopPK analyses examined the impact of demographic, laboratory, and comedication covariates on copanlisib between-patient PK variability. Individual static and time-varying exposure estimates were derived to investigate exposure-efficacy and exposure-safety relationships. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards and logistic regression analyses examined ER relationships with consideration of predefined potentially prognostic demographic-, laboratory-, and/or disease-related baseline covariates. Copanlisib PK were best described by a three-compartment model with first-order elimination. Individual identified covariates had modest effects on copanlisib PK and were generally in line with known copanlisib disposition properties. In CHRONOS-3, ER analyses showed a significant relationship between time-varying exposure estimates and progression-free survival, and no significant exposure-safety relationships. Thus, lower copanlisib doses may result in reduced efficacy but not necessarily improved safety or tolerability. These outcomes substantiate the current intermittent dosing regimen of copanlisib 60 mg on days 1, 8, and 15 of a 28-day cycle and support the observed clinical results of copanlisib in combination with rituximab in the iNHL population.

Model-informed approach to support pediatric dosing for the pan-PI3K inhibitor copanlisib in children and adolescents with relapsed/refractory solid tumors.

Copanlisib is an intravenously administered phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase (PI3K) inhibitor which was investigated in pediatric patients with relapsed/refractory solid tumors. A model-informed approach was undertaken to support and confirm an empirically selected starting dose of 28 mg/m2 for pediatric patients ≥1 year old, corresponding to 80% of the adult recommended dose adjusted for body surface area. An adult physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model was initially established using copanlisib physicochemical and disposition properties and clinical pharmacokinetics (PK) data and was shown to adequately capture clinical PK across a range of copanlisib doses in adult cancer patients. The adult PBPK model was then extended to the pediatric population through incorporation of age-dependent anatomical and physiological changes and used to simulate copanlisib exposures in pediatric cancer patient age groups. The pediatric PBPK model predicted that the copanlisib 28 mg/m2 dose would achieve similar copanlisib exposures across pediatric ages when compared with historical adult exposures following the approved copanlisib 60 mg dose administered on Days 1, 8, and 15 of a 28-day cycle. Clinical PK were collected from a phase I study in pediatric patients with relapsed/refractory solid tumors (aged ≥4 years). An established adult population PK model was extended to incorporate an allometrically-scaled effect of body surface area and confirmed that the copanlisib maximum tolerated dose of 28 mg/m2 was appropriate to achieve uniform copanlisib exposures across the investigated pediatric age range and consistent exposures to historical data in adult cancer patients. The model-informed approach successfully supported and confirmed the copanlisib pediatric dose recommendation.

Population Pharmacokinetics of Nifurtimox in Adult and Pediatric Patients With Chagas Disease.

Nifurtimox (LAMPIT) has been used for decades for the treatment of Chagas disease, a chronic and potentially life-threatening disease caused by the parasite Trypanosoma cruzi. The pharmacokinetic (PK) information on nifurtimox in humans derived from controlled clinical studies is very limited. The objective was to investigate and compare the population PK of nifurtimox in adult and pediatric patients with Chagas disease to confirm the clinical dosing regimen in children, which was based on allometric approaches using the concept that a dose-equivalent exposure would reach equivalent antiparasitic efficacy as in adults. The resulting adult model adequately described the PK in adults. Significant predictors of the availability in PK were food intake, tablet formulation (fast- vs slow-dissolution tablet), study, and body weight. As the resulting adult model could not adequately predict the sparse sampled pediatric patient data, these data were analyzed separately to derive exposure estimates for comparison with adult exposure. In the population PK model for pediatric patients, significant covariates were body weight and age. As compared to adults, children aged >2 years were estimated to have 50.6% higher apparent clearance. No hints of dose nonlinearity were observed in a dose range of 30 to 240 mg single dose in adults and 15 to 300 mg 3 times daily (8-20 mg/kg) in children. Altogether, this study retroactively showed that the current mg/kg dosing regimen in children reached similar exposure as in adults receiving an 8 mg/kg total daily dose.

Finerenone Dose-Exposure-Serum Potassium Response Analysis of FIDELIO-DKD Phase III: The Role of Dosing, Titration, and Inclusion Criteria.

BACKGROUND: Finerenone is a nonsteroidal selective mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist (MRA) that demonstrated efficacy in delaying the progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and reducing cardiovascular events in patients with CKD and type 2 diabetes mellitus in FIDELIO-DKD, where 5734 patients were randomized 1:1 to receive either finerenone or placebo, with a median follow-up of 2.6 years. Doses of finerenone 10 or 20 mg once daily were titrated based on (serum) potassium and estimated glomerular filtration rate. The MRA mode of action increases potassium. METHODS: Nonlinear mixed-effects population pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic models were used to analyze the finerenone dose-exposure-response relationship for potassium in FIDELIO-DKD. Individual time-varying exposures from pharmacokinetic analyses were related to the potassium response via a maximal effect, indirect-response model informed by 148,384 serum potassium measurements. RESULTS: Although observed potassium levels decreased with increasing dose (i.e., inverse relation), model-based simulations for a fixed-dose setting (i.e., no dose titration) revealed the intrinsic finerenone dose-exposure-potassium response, with potassium levels increasing in a dose- and exposure-dependent manner, thus explaining the apparent conflict. The potassium limit for inclusion and uptitration from finerenone 10 to 20 mg in FIDELIO-DKD was ≤ 4.8 mmol/L. Modified limits of ≤ 5.0 mmol/L were simulated, resulting in higher hyperkalemia frequencies for both the finerenone and the placebo arms, whereas the relative hyperkalemia risk of a finerenone treatment compared with placebo did not increase. CONCLUSIONS: The analyses demonstrated the effectiveness of finerenone dose titration in managing serum potassium and provide a quantitative basis to guide safe clinical use.

Finerenone Dose-Exposure-Response for the Primary Kidney Outcome in FIDELIO-DKD Phase III: Population Pharmacokinetic and Time-to-Event Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Finerenone is a nonsteroidal selective mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist that recently demonstrated efficacy in delaying chronic kidney disease progression and reducing cardiovascular events in patients with chronic kidney disease and type 2 diabetes in FIDELIO-DKD, where 5734 patients were randomized 1:1 to receive either titrated finerenone doses of 10 or 20 mg once daily or placebo, with a median follow-up of 2.6 years. METHODS: Nonlinear mixed-effects population pharmacokinetic models were used to analyze the pharmacokinetics in FIDELIO-DKD, sparsely sampled in all subjects receiving finerenone. Post-hoc model parameter estimates together with dosing histories allowed the computation of individual exposures used in subsequent parametric time-to-event analyses of the primary kidney outcome. RESULTS: The population pharmacokinetic model adequately captured the typical pharmacokinetics of finerenone and its variability. Either covariate effects or multivariate forward-simulations in subgroups of interest were contained within the equivalence range of 80-125% around typical exposure. The exposure-response relationship was characterized by a maximum effect model estimating a low half-maximal effect concentration at 0.166 µg/L and a maximal hazard decrease at 36.1%. Prognostic factors for the treatment-independent chronic kidney disease progression risk included a low estimated glomerular filtration rate and a high urine-to-creatinine ratio increasing the risk, while concomitant sodium-glucose transport protein 2 inhibitor use decreased the risk. Importantly, no sodium-glucose transport protein 2 inhibitor co-medication-related modification of the finerenone treatment effect per se could be identified. CONCLUSIONS: None of the tested pharmacokinetic covariates had clinical relevance in FIDELIO-DKD. Finerenone effects on kidney outcomes approached saturation towards 20 mg once daily and sodium-glucose transport protein 2 inhibitor use provided additive benefits.

Population Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics of Vericiguat in Patients with Heart Failure and Reduced Ejection Fraction.

BACKGROUND: Vericiguat, a stimulator of soluble guanylate cyclase, has been developed as a first-in-class therapy for worsening chronic heart failure in adults with left ventricular ejection fraction < 45%. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this article was to characterize the pharmacokinetics and pharmacokinetic variability of vericiguat combined with guideline-directed medical therapy (standard of care), and identify exposure-response relationships for safety (hemodynamics) and pharmacodynamic markers of efficacy (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide concentration [NT-proBNP]) in patients with heart failure and left ventricular ejection fraction < 45% in the SOCRATES-REDUCED study (NCT01951625). METHODS: Vericiguat and NT-proBNP plasma concentrations in 454 and 432 patients in SOCRATES-REDUCED, respectively, were analyzed using nonlinear mixed-effects modeling. RESULTS: Vericiguat pharmacokinetics were well described by a one-compartment model with apparent clearance, apparent volume of distribution, and absorption rate constant. Age, bodyweight, plasma bilirubin, and creatinine clearance were identified as significant covariates on apparent clearance; sex and bodyweight on apparent volume of distribution; and bodyweight and plasma albumin level on absorption rate constant. Pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic analysis showed initial minor and transient effects of vericiguat on blood pressure with low clinical impact. There were no changes in heart rate following initial or repeated vericiguat administration. An exposure-dependent and time-dependent turnover pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic model for NT-proBNP described production and elimination rates and an demonstrated exposure-dependent reduction in [NT-proBNP] by vericiguat plus standard of care compared with placebo plus standard of care. This effect was dependent on baseline [NT-proBNP]. CONCLUSIONS: Vericiguat has predictable pharmacokinetics, with no long-term effects on blood pressure in patients with heart failure and left ventricular ejection fraction < 45%. A pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic model described a vericiguat exposure-dependent reduction of NT-proBNP. CLINICAL TRIAL IDENTIFIER: NCT01951625.

NT-proBNP Qualifies as a Surrogate for Clinical End Points in Heart Failure.

N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) is a well-established biomarker in heart failure (HF) but controversially discussed as a potential surrogate marker in HF trials. We analyzed the NT-proBNP/mortality relationship in real-world data (RWD) of 108,330 HF patients from the IBM Watson Health Explorys database and compared it with the NT-proBNP / clinical event end-point relationship in 20 clinical HF studies. With a hierarchical statistical model, we quantified the functional relationship and interstudy variability. To independently qualify the model, we predicted outcome hazard ratios in five phase III HF studies solely based on NT-proBNP measured early in the respective study. In RWD and clinical studies, the relationship between NT-proBNP and clinical outcome is well described by an Emax model. The NT-proBNP independent baseline risk (R0 , RWD/studies median (interstudy interquartile range): 5.5%/3.0% (1.7-4.9%)) is very low compared with the potential NT-proBNP-associated maximum risk (Rmax : 55.2%/79.4% (61.5-89.0%)). The NT-proBNP concentration associated with the half-maximal risk is comparable in RWD and across clinical studies (EC50 : 3,880/2,414 pg/mL (1,460-4,355 pg/mL)). Model-based predictions of phase III outcomes, relying on short-term NT-proBNP data only, match final trial results with comparable confidence intervals. Our analysis qualifies NT-proBNP as a surrogate for clinical outcome in HF trials. NT-proBNP levels after short treatment durations of less than 10 weeks quantitatively predict hazard ratios with confidence levels comparable to final trial readout. Early NT-proBNP measurement can therefore enable shorter and smaller but still reliable HF trials.

Associations between model-predicted rivaroxaban exposure and patient characteristics and efficacy and safety outcomes in the prevention of venous thromboembolism.

Anticoagulant plasma concentrations and patient characteristics might affect the benefit-risk balance of therapy. The study objective was to assess the impact of model-predicted rivaroxaban exposure and patient characteristics on outcomes in patients receiving rivaroxaban for venous thromboembolism (VTE) prophylaxis (VTE-P) after hip/knee replacement surgery. Post hoc exposure-response analyses were conducted using data from the phase 3 RECORD1-4 studies, in which 12,729 patients were randomized to rivaroxaban 10 mg once daily or enoxaparin for ≤ 39 days. Multivariate regression approaches were used to correlate model-predicted individual rivaroxaban exposures and patient characteristics with outcomes. In the absence of measured rivaroxaban exposure, exposure estimates were predicted based on individual increases in prothrombin time (PT) and by making use of the known correlation between rivaroxaban plasma concentration and dynamics of PT. No significant associations between rivaroxaban exposure and total VTE or major bleeding were identified. A significant association between exposure and a composite of major or non-major clinically relevant (NMCR) bleeding from day 4 after surgery was observed. The relationship was shallow, with an approximate predicted absolute increase in a composite of major or NMCR bleeding from 1.08 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.76-1.54] to 2.18% (95% CI 1.51-3.17) at the 5th and 95th percentiles of trough plasma concentration, respectively. In conclusion, based on the underlying data and analysis, no reliable target window for exposure with improved benefit-risk could be identified within the investigated exposure range. Hence, monitoring rivaroxaban levels is unlikely to be beneficial in VTE-P.

Associations between model-predicted rivaroxaban exposure and patient characteristics and efficacy and safety outcomes in the treatment of venous thromboembolism.

Anticoagulant plasma concentrations and patient characteristics might affect the benefit-risk balance of therapy. This study assessed the impact of model-predicted rivaroxaban exposure and patient characteristics on outcomes in patients receiving rivaroxaban for venous thromboembolism treatment (VTE-T) using data from the phase 3 EINSTEIN-DVT and EINSTEIN-PE studies. In the absence of measured rivaroxaban exposure, exposure estimates were predicted based on individual increases in prothrombin time (PT) and the known correlation between rivaroxaban plasma concentrations and PT dynamics. The composite efficacy outcomes evaluated were recurrent deep-vein thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism (PE) and recurrent DVT, PE and all-cause death; safety outcomes were major bleeding and the composite of major or non-major clinically relevant (NMCR) bleeding. Exposure-response relationships were evaluated using multivariate logistic and Cox regression for the twice-daily (BID) and once-daily (OD) dosing periods, respectively. Predicted rivaroxaban exposure and CrCl were significantly associated with both efficacy outcomes in the BID period. In the OD period, exposure was significantly associated with recurrent DVT and PE but not recurrent DVT, PE and all-cause death. The statistically significant exposure-efficacy relationships were shallow. Exposure-safety relationships were absent within the investigated exposure range. During both dosing periods, low baseline hemoglobin and prior bleeding were associated with the composite of major or NMCR bleeding. In conclusion, based on the underlying data and analysis, no reliable target window for exposure with improved benefit-risk could be identified within the investigated exposure range. Therefore, monitoring rivaroxaban levels is unlikely to be beneficial in VTE-T.

Relationship between factor VIII activity, bleeds and individual characteristics in severe hemophilia A patients.

Pharmacokinetic-based prophylaxis of replacement factor VIII (FVIII) products has been encouraged in recent years, but the relationship between exposure (factor VIII activity) and response (bleeding frequency) remains unclear. The aim of this study was to characterize the relationship between FVIII dose, plasma FVIII activity, and bleeding patterns and individual characteristics in severe hemophilia A patients. Pooled pharmacokinetic and bleeding data during prophylactic treatment with BAY 81-8973 (octocog alfa) were obtained from the three LEOPOLD trials. The population pharmacokinetics of FVIII activity and longitudinal bleeding frequency, as well as bleeding severity, were described using non-linear mixed effects modeling in NONMEM. In total, 183 patients [median age 22 years (range, 1-61); weight 60 kg (11-124)] contributed with 1,535 plasma FVIII activity observations, 633 bleeds and 11 patient/study characteristics [median observation period 12 months (3.1-13.1)]. A parametric repeated time-to-categorical bleed model, guided by plasma FVIII activity from a 2-compartment population pharmacokinetic model, described the time to the occurrence of bleeds and their severity. Bleeding probability decreased with time of study, and a bleed was not found to affect the time of the next bleed. Several covariate effects were identified, including the bleeding history in the 12-month pre-study period increasing the bleeding hazard. However, unexplained inter-patient variability in the phenotypic bleeding pattern remained large (111%CV). Further studies to translate the model into a tool for dose individualization that considers the individual bleeding risk are required. Research was based on a post-hoc analysis of the LEOPOLD studies registered at clinicaltrials.gov identifiers: 01029340, 01233258 and 01311648.

Population Pharmacokinetic and Exposure-Response Analysis of Finerenone: Insights Based on Phase IIb Data and Simulations to Support Dose Selection for Pivotal Trials in Type 2 Diabetes with Chronic Kidney Disease.

BACKGROUND: Finerenone (BAY 94-8862) is a potent non-steroidal, selective mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist being developed for the treatment of patients with type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease. METHODS: We present the population pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics (PD) analysis for efficacy and safety markers based on data from two clinical phase IIb studies: ARTS-DN (NCT01874431) and ARTS-DN Japan (NCT01968668). RESULTS: The pharmacokinetics of finerenone were adequately characterized, with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and body weight as influencing covariates. The area under the plasma concentration-time curve in Japanese patients did not differ from that in the global population, and the investigated pharmacokinetics were dose- and time-linear. In addition, the pharmacokinetic model provided robust individual exposure estimates to study exposure-response. The concentration-effect relationship over time for the efficacy marker urinary albumin:creatinine ratio (UACR) was well-characterized by a maximum effect model indicating saturation at high exposures. For the safety markers, a log-linear model and a power model were identified for serum potassium concentration and eGFR, respectively, indicating attenuation of effect gains at high exposures. There was no apparent ethnic effect on the investigated pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic relationships. The model-predicted times to reach the full (99%) steady-state drug effect on UACR, serum potassium, and eGFR were 138, 20, and 85 days, respectively, while the pharmacokinetic half-life was 2-3 h and steady state was achieved after 2 days, indicating timescale separation. CONCLUSION: Our dose-exposure-response modeling and simulation indicates effects were largely saturated at finerenone 20 mg and doses of both 10 and 20 mg once daily appear safe and efficacious at reducing albuminuria.

Favorable Pharmacokinetic Characteristics of Extended-Half-Life Recombinant Factor VIII BAY 94-9027 Enable Robust Individual Profiling Using a Population Pharmacokinetic Approach.

BACKGROUND: Prophylaxis with factor VIII (FVIII) should be individualized based on patient characteristics, including FVIII pharmacokinetics. Population pharmacokinetic (popPK) modeling simplifies pharmacokinetic studies by obviating the need for multiple samples. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to characterize the pharmacokinetics and inter-individual variability (IIV) of BAY 94-9027 in relation to patient characteristics in support of a popPK-tailored approach, including identifying the optimal number and timing of pharmacokinetic samples. METHODS: Pharmacokinetic samples from 198 males (aged 2‒62 years) with severe hemophilia A, enrolled in BAY 94-9027 clinical trials, were analyzed. Baseline age, height, weight, body mass index, lean body weight (LBW), von Willebrand factor (VWF) level, and race were evaluated. A popPK model was developed and used to simulate pharmacokinetic endpoints difficult to observe from measured FVIII levels, including time to maintain FVIII levels above 1, 3, and 5 IU/dL after different BAY 94-9027 doses. RESULTS: A one-compartment model adequately described BAY 94-9027 pharmacokinetics. Clearance and central volume of distribution were significantly associated with LBW; clearance was inversely correlated with VWF. Due to the monophasic pharmacokinetics and well-understood IIV sources, identification of patient pharmacokinetics was achievable with sparse blood sampling. Median predicted time to maintain FVIII levels > 1 IU/dL in patients aged ≥ 12 years ranged from 120.1 to 127.2 h after single BAY 94-9027 doses of 45‒60 IU/kg. CONCLUSIONS: This analysis evaluated the pharmacokinetics of BAY 94-9027 and its sources of IIV. Using the model, determination of individual patient pharmacokinetics was possible with few FVIII samples, and a sparse sampling design to support pharmacokinetic-guided dosing was identified.

Bayesian Forecasting Utilizing Bleeding Information to Support Dose Individualization of Factor VIII.

Bayesian forecasting for dose individualization of prophylactic factor VIII replacement therapy using pharmacokinetic samples is challenged by large interindividual variability in the bleeding risk. A pharmacokinetic-repeated time-to-event model-based forecasting approach was developed to contrast the ability to predict the future occurrence of bleeds based on individual (i) pharmacokinetic, (ii) bleeding, and (iii) pharmacokinetic, bleeding and covariate information using observed data from the Long-Term Efficacy Open-Label Program in Severe Hemophilia A Disease (LEOPOLD) clinical trials (172 severe hemophilia A patients taking prophylactic treatment). The predictive performance assessed by the area under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves was 0.67 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.65-0.69), 0.78 (95% CI, 0.76-0.80), and 0.79 (95% CI, 0.77-0.81) for patients ≥ 12 years when using pharmacokinetics, bleeds, and all data, respectively, suggesting that individual bleed information adds value to the optimization of prophylactic dosing regimens in severe hemophilia A. Further steps to optimize the proposed tool for factor VIII dose adaptation in the clinic are required.

Influence of model-predicted rivaroxaban exposure and patient characteristics on efficacy and safety outcomes in patients with acute coronary syndrome.

BACKGROUND: This analysis aimed to evaluate the impact of rivaroxaban exposure and patient characteristics on efficacy and safety outcomes in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and to determine whether therapeutic drug monitoring might provide additional information regarding rivaroxaban dose, beyond what patient characteristics provide. METHODS: A post hoc exposure-response analysis was conducted using data from the phase III ATLAS ACS 2 Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) 51 study, in which 15,526 randomized ACS patients received rivaroxaban (2.5 mg or 5 mg twice daily) or placebo for a mean of 13 months (maximum follow up: 31 months). A multivariate Cox model was used to correlate individual predicted rivaroxaban exposures and patient characteristics with time-to-event clinical outcomes. RESULTS: For the incidence of myocardial infarction (MI), ischemic stroke, or nonhemorrhagic cardiovascular death, hazard ratios (HRs) for steady-state maximum plasma concentration (Cmax) in the 5th and 95th percentiles versus the median were statistically significant but close to 1 for both rivaroxaban doses. For TIMI major bleeding events, a statistically significant association was observed with Cmax [HR, 1.08; 95% CI, 1.06-1.11 (95th percentile versus median, 2.5 mg twice daily)], sex [HR, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.38-0.84 (female versus male)], and previous revascularization [HR, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.44-0.87 (no versus yes)]. CONCLUSIONS: The shallow slopes of the exposure-response relationships and the lack of a clear therapeutic window render it unlikely that therapeutic drug monitoring in patients with ACS would provide additional information regarding rivaroxaban dose beyond that provided by patient characteristics.

Enhancing the Quality of Rivaroxaban Exposure Estimates Using Prothrombin Time in the Absence of Pharmacokinetic Sampling.

Prothrombin time (PT) is a measure of coagulation status and was assessed in the majority of patients in the rivaroxaban phase II and III clinical trials as a pharmacodynamic marker. In the absence of sufficient phase III pharmacokinetic (PK) data to provide individual exposure measures for input into rivaroxaban exposure-response analyses, the aim of the present study was to investigate the use of PT-adjustment approaches (i.e., the use of observed individual PT measurements) to enhance the prediction of individual rivaroxaban exposure metrics (derived using a previously developed integrated population PK model) based on the observed linear relationship between PT and rivaroxaban plasma concentrations. The PT-adjustment approaches were established using time-matched PK and PT measurements, which were available from 1,779 patients across four phase II trials and one phase III trial of rivaroxaban. PT-adjusted exposure estimates improved the identification of statistically significant effects when compared with covariate-only exposure estimates.