Which screening strategy using BMD measurements would be most cost effective for hip fracture prevention in elderly women? A decision analysis based on a Markov model.

INTRODUCTION: Hip fractures are responsible for excessive mortality, decreasing the 5-year survival rate by about 20%. From an economic perspective, they represent a major source of expense, with direct costs in hospitalization, rehabilitation, and institutionalization. The incidence rate sharply increases after the age of 70, but it can be reduced in women aged 70-80 years by therapeutic interventions. Recent analyses suggest that the most efficient strategy is to implement such interventions in women at the age of 70 years. As several guidelines recommend bone mineral density (BMD) screening of postmenopausal women with clinical risk factors, our objective was to assess the cost-effectiveness of two screening strategies applied to elderly women aged 70 years and older. METHODS: A cost-effectiveness analysis was performed using decision-tree analysis and a Markov model. Two alternative strategies, one measuring BMD of all women, and one measuring BMD only of those having at least one risk factor, were compared with the reference strategy "no screening". Cost-effectiveness ratios were measured as cost per year gained without hip fracture. Most probabilities were based on data observed in EPIDOS, SEMOF and OFELY cohorts. RESULTS: In this model, which is mostly based on observed data, the strategy "screen all" was more cost effective than "screen women at risk." For one woman screened at the age of 70 and followed for 10 years, the incremental (additional) cost-effectiveness ratio of these two strategies compared with the reference was 4,235 euros and 8,290 euros, respectively. CONCLUSION: The results of this model, under the assumptions described in the paper, suggest that in women aged 70-80 years, screening all women with dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) would be more effective than no screening or screening only women with at least one risk factor. Cost-effectiveness studies based on decision-analysis trees maybe useful tools for helping decision makers, and further models based on different assumptions should be performed to improve the level of evidence on cost-effectiveness ratios of the usual screening strategies for osteoporosis.

[35-year measles, mumps, rubella vaccination assessment in France]. / Evaluation de 35 années de vaccination rougeole-oreillons-rubéole en France.

AIM: The setting-up and the follow-up of a vaccination programme require important human and economical investments. Our study objective consists of the clinical benefit evaluation given by measles, mumps and rubella (MMR) vaccination since monovalent and combined vaccines availability (35 years for measles, 30 years for rubella and 20 years for mumps). METHOD: Vaccination impact has been evaluated from the modelisation for each disease under the shape of a decision tree relying on epidemiological data and on efficacy data of the vaccines. We have compared the results in terms of complications, sequaela, deaths in the vaccinated population (vaccination period) with the results that we would obtain if this same population had not been vaccinated (non vaccination period). The general model was applied to each of the three diseases excluding congenital rubella syndrome. They have been modelised according to the occurrence, or not, of a complication leading to an evolution towards either recovery or sequaela or death. The estimation of the number of avoided congenital rubella syndromes has been made from the number of protected women by vaccination and incidence figures of congenital rubella syndromes reported in the population considered before and after vaccination. RESULTS: In France over the period of time considered, almost 2 million meningitis, 60 000 encephalitis, 170 subacute sclerosis panencephalitis and more than 5600 neurological sequaela including more than 600 deafness cases have been avoided as a result of the MMR vaccination programme. Moreover, 590 000 pneumonia, more than one million of acute otitis media and 300 000 orchitis, 3000 rubella infection cases occurring during pregnancy have also been avoided. Overall, more than 12 000 deaths that have been avoided as a result of the MMR vaccination. CONCLUSIONS: In France, MMR vaccination programme leads to a huge benefit in terms of public health, which emphasises the true value of vaccination in the daily medical practice.

[Drug prescription for pregnant women in the department of the Loire] . / Prescription médicamenteuse chez la femme enceinte dans le département de la Loire.

A prospective drug prescription and descriptive study was undertaken in a sample of 214 pregnant women in the department of the Loire. This population was randomized using pregnancy declaration files from the French Health Care Centre. Data recording was retrospective. A total of 2064 drugs have been prescribed; 90 per cent of women received at least one drug during the course of pregnancy with an average of 11.5 drugs per woman. Antispasmodics are mainly prescribed in the first trimester while vitamins, mineral supplements, antianemics and vasoactive agents are found in the third trimester. Prescriptions do not rise with age but increase in urban areas. Use of PDD/DDD (Prescribed Daily Dose/Defined Daily Dose) is an estimation of prescription customs. For ketoprofen, it is 1.6 in the last trimester, although this drug is contra-indicated.