Genetic risk assessment based on association and prediction studies.

The genetic basis of phenotypic emergence provides valuable information for assessing individual risk. While association studies have been pivotal in identifying genetic risk factors within a population, complementing it with insights derived from predictions studies that assess individual-level risk offers a more comprehensive approach to understanding phenotypic expression. In this study, we established personalized risk assessment models using single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) data from 200 Korean patients, of which 100 experienced hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance and 100 patients demonstrated high levels of HBsAg. The risk assessment models determined the predictive power of the following: (1) genome-wide association study (GWAS)-identified candidate biomarkers considered significant in a reference study and (2) machine learning (ML)-identified candidate biomarkers with the highest feature importance scores obtained by using random forest (RF). While utilizing all features yielded 64% model accuracy, using relevant biomarkers achieved higher model accuracies: 82% for 52 GWAS-identified candidate biomarkers, 71% for three GWAS-identified biomarkers, and 80% for 150 ML-identified candidate biomarkers. Findings highlight that the joint contributions of relevant biomarkers significantly influence phenotypic emergence. On the other hand, combining ML-identified candidate biomarkers into the pool of GWAS-identified candidate biomarkers resulted in the improved predictive accuracy of 90%, demonstrating the capability of ML as an auxiliary analysis to GWAS. Furthermore, some of the ML-identified candidate biomarkers were found to be linked with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), reinforcing previous claims that HCC can still occur despite the absence of HBsAg.

A machine learning-based SNP-set analysis approach for identifying disease-associated susceptibility loci.

Identifying disease-associated susceptibility loci is one of the most pressing and crucial challenges in modeling complex diseases. Existing approaches to biomarker discovery are subject to several limitations including underpowered detection, neglect for variant interactions, and restrictive dependence on prior biological knowledge. Addressing these challenges necessitates more ingenious ways of approaching the "missing heritability" problem. This study aims to discover disease-associated susceptibility loci by augmenting previous genome-wide association study (GWAS) using the integration of random forest and cluster analysis. The proposed integrated framework is applied to a hepatitis B virus surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance GWAS data. Multiple cluster analyses were performed on (1) single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) considered significant by GWAS and (2) SNPs with the highest feature importance scores obtained using random forest. The resulting SNP-sets from the cluster analyses were subsequently tested for trait-association. Three susceptibility loci possibly associated with HBsAg seroclearance were identified: (1) SNP rs2399971, (2) gene LINC00578, and (3) locus 11p15. SNP rs2399971 is a biomarker reported in the literature to be significantly associated with HBsAg seroclearance in patients who had received antiviral treatment. The latter two loci are linked with diseases influenced by the presence of hepatitis B virus infection. These findings demonstrate the potential of the proposed integrated framework in identifying disease-associated susceptibility loci. With further validation, results herein could aid in better understanding complex disease etiologies and provide inputs for a more advanced disease risk assessment for patients.