Some problems of molecular biology of poliovirus infection relevant to pathogenesis, viral spread and evolution.

Molecular mechanisms of poliovirus reproduction in the human gut remain largely unexplored. Nevertheless, there are grounds to believe that the virus spreads from cell to cell, like that from person to person during natural circulation, and involves a relatively small proportion of the highly heterogeneous viral population generated by the previous host. This mechanism of random sampling is responsible for the majority of fixed mutations, and contributes to the maintenance of a certain level of viral fitness (virulence). In the long term, random sampling may lead to the decrease in fitness and even to extinction of some viral evolutionary branches, explaining cases of self-limiting poliovirus infection in immunodeficient patients. A low propensity of the Sabin viruses for natural circulation may also be a related phenomenon. The trend to decrease in fitness may be interrupted by the appearance of rare, fitter (more virulent) variants, which may be responsible for poliomyelitis outbreaks caused by wild type virus, and for the development of paralytic disease in chronic carriers of the Sabin vaccine. All these evolutionary events are largely stochastic and hence are unpredictable in principle.

Evolution of circulating wild poliovirus and of vaccine-derived poliovirus in an immunodeficient patient: a unifying model.

We determined nucleotide sequences of the VP1 and 2AB genes and portions of the 2C and 3D genes of two evolving poliovirus lineages: circulating wild viruses of T geotype and Sabin vaccine-derived isolates from an immunodeficient patient. Different regions of the viral RNA were found to evolve nonsynchronously, and the rate of evolution of the 2AB region in the vaccine-derived population was not constant throughout its history. Synonymous replacements occurred not completely randomly, suggesting the need for conservation of certain rare codons (possibly to control translation elongation) and the existence of unidentified constraints in the viral RNA structure. Nevertheless the major contribution to the evolution of the two lineages came from linear accumulation of synonymous substitutions. Therefore, in agreement with current theories of viral evolution, we suggest that the majority of the mutations in both lineages were fixed as a result of successive sampling, from the heterogeneous populations, of random portions containing predominantly neutral and possibly adverse mutations. As a result of such a mode of evolution, the virus fitness may be maintained at a more or less constant level or may decrease unless more-fit variants are stochastically generated. The proposed unifying model of natural poliovirus evolution has important implications for the epidemiology of poliomyelitis.