N-terminal probrain natriuretic peptide is a stronger predictor of cardiovascular mortality than C-reactive protein and albumin excretion rate in elderly patients with type 2 diabetes: the Casale Monferrato population-based study.

OBJECTIVE: To study whether N-terminal probrain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) is a short-term independent predictor of both all-cause and cardiovascular (CV) mortality in type 2 diabetic patients and to establish whether albuminuria and C-reactive protein (CRP) affect this relationship. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: The prospective study included 1,825 type 2 diabetic patients from the population-based cohort of the Casale Monferrato study. CV risk factors, preexisting CVD, and NT-proBNP levels were evaluated at baseline. All-cause and CV mortality were assessed 5.5 years after baseline examination. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards modeling was used to estimate mortality hazard ratios (HRs). RESULTS: During the follow-up period, 390 people died (175 for CVD) out of 9,101 person-years of observations. A significantly increased mortality risk by quartiles of NT-proBNP was observed (test for trend, P < 0.001). NT-proBN P values >91 pg/mL conferred HRs of 2.05 (95% CI 1.47-2.86) for all-cause and 4.47 (2.38-8.39) for CV mortality, independently of CV risk factors, including CRP and albumin excretion rate (AER). The association was also significant for modest rises in NT-proBNP levels and in patients without microalbuminuria and CVD at baseline (upper quartiles HRs 3.82 [95% CI 1.24-13.75]) and 3.14 [1.00-9.94]). Albuminuria and NT-proBNP had an additive effect on mortality, though the association was stronger for NT-proBNP. CONCLUSIONS: NT-proBNP is a strong independent predictor of short-term CV mortality risk in elderly people with type 2 diabetes, including those without preexisting CVD. This association is evident even in people with slightly increased values, is not modified by CRP, and is additive to that provided by AER.

Obesity is associated with lower mortality risk in elderly diabetic subjects: the Casale Monferrato study.

The relationship between obesity and mortality in people with type 2 diabetes has not been definitely assessed. We have examined this issue in a well-characterized population-based cohort of Mediterranean diabetic people. Standardized anthropometric data from the population-based Casale Monferrato Study have been prospectively analyzed. The cohort included 1,475 people (62.6% aged ≥65 years) who had been recruited in 1991 and followed-up to December 31, 2006. Cox proportional hazards modeling was employed to estimate the independent associations between all-cause and cardiovascular mortality and BMI. Out of 1,475 people, 972 deaths occurred during a 15-year follow-up. Cox regression analyses showed that with respect to BMI <24.2 kg/m(2), values of 30.0 kg/m(2) and over were associated with lower all-cause and cardiovascular mortality risk (HR = 0.68, 95% CI 0.56-0.85, P for trend = 0.001; HR = 0.59, 0.44-0.80, P for trend = 0.002), independently of classical and new risk factors. As interaction between age and BMI was significant, we performed a stratified analysis by age, providing evidence that our finding was entirely due to a significant protective effect of BMI of 30.0 kg/m(2) and over in the elderly (all-cause mortality HR = 0.75, 95% CI 0.58-0.96; cardiovascular mortality HR = 0.67, 95% CI 0.45-0.95). In contrast, obesity was not significantly associated with mortality risk in diabetic subjects aged <65 years. Results were confirmed even excluding from the analysis individuals who died within 2 years of follow-up, smokers and those with CHD. In Mediterranean diabetic people aged ≥65 years, obesity is significantly associated with lower 15-year mortality risk. In contrast, it was not significantly associated with mortality risk in diabetic subjects aged <65 years. As more than two-thirds of people with type 2 diabetes are elderly, our findings, if confirmed, could have clinical implications.

Increased QT interval dispersion predicts 15-year cardiovascular mortality in type 2 diabetic subjects: the population-based Casale Monferrato Study.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the predictive role of increased corrected QT (QTc) and QT interval dispersion (QTd) on all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in a large, unselected type 2 diabetic population. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: The prospective study included 1,357 type 2 diabetic patients from the Casale Monferrato Study. At baseline, QTc intervals >0.44 s and QTd intervals >0.08 s were considered abnormally prolonged. Both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality were assessed 15 years after the baseline examination. RESULTS: During the follow-up period, 862 subjects per 12,450 person-years died. Multivariate analysis showed that the hazard ratio (HR) of cardiovascular mortality was significantly increased in subjects with prolonged QTd (1.26 [95% CI 1.02-1.55]) and was only slightly reduced after multiple adjustments. Conversely, prolonged QTc did not increase the HRs for all-cause or cardiovascular mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Increased QTd predicts cardiovascular mortality after a long-term follow-up period in a large, unselected population of type 2 diabetic subjects.