Risk factors for three-month mortality after discharge in a cohort of non-oncologic hospitalized elderly patients: Results from the REPOSI study.

BACKGROUND: Short-term prognosis, e.g. mortality at three months, has many important implications in planning the overall management of patients, particularly non-oncologic patients in order to avoid futile practices. The aims of this study were: i) to investigate the risk of three-month mortality after discharge from internal medicine and geriatric wards of non-oncologic patients with at least one of the following conditions: permanent bedridden status during the hospital stay; severely reduced kidney function; hypoalbuminemia; hospital admissions in the previous six months; severe dementia; ii) to establish the absolute risk difference of three-month mortality of bedridden compared to non-bedridden patients. METHODS: This prospective cohort study was run in 102 Italian internal medicine and geriatric hospital wards. The sample included all patients with three-months follow-up data. Bedridden condition was defined as the inability to walk or stand upright during the whole hospital stay. The following parameters were also recorded: estimated GFR≤29mL/min/1.73m2; severe dementia; albuminemia ≪2.5g/dL; hospital admissions in the six months before the index admission. RESULTS: Of 3915 patients eligible for the analysis, three-month follow-up were available for 2058, who were included in the study. Bedridden patients were 112 and the absolute risk difference of mortality at three months was 0.13 (CI 95% 0.08-0.19, p≪0.0001). Logistic regression analysis also adjusted for age, sex, number of drugs and comorbidity index found that bedridden condition (OR 2.10, CI 95% 1.12-3.94), severely reduced kidney function (OR 2.27, CI 95% 1.22-4.21), hospital admission in the previous six months (OR 1.96, CI 95% 1.22-3.14), severe dementia (with total or severe physical dependence) (OR 4.16, CI 95% 2.39-7.25) and hypoalbuminemia (OR 2.47, CI 95% 1.12-5.44) were significantly associated with higher risk of three-month mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Bedridden status, severely reduced kidney function, recent hospital admissions, severe dementia and hypoalbuminemia were associated with higher risk of three-month mortality in non-oncologic patients after discharge from internal medicine and geriatric hospital wards.

Recurrent pericarditis: autoimmune or autoinflammatory?

Idiopathic recurrent acute pericarditis (IRAP) represents the most troublesome complication of acute pericarditis and occurs in up to 20-50% of patients. It is generally idiopathic or postcardiac injury. IRAP is a disease of suspected immune-mediated pathogenesis. On the other hand, it has been suggested that some of these patients might have an atypical or subclinical form of an autoinflammatory disease, e.g. genetic disorders characterized by primary dysfunction of the innate immune system and caused by mutations of genes involved in the inflammatory response. We found that IRAP patients were negative for mutations associated with familial Mediterranean fever, but 6% (8/131 patients) carry a mutation in the TNFRSF1A gene, encoding the receptor for tumor necrosis factor-alfa. C-reactive protein (CRP) may be useful to follow the disease activity and guide the appropriate length of therapy, with continuation of the attack doses of the drugs until CRP normalization, at which time tapering may be considered. IRAP often needs a multidrug therapy: NSAIDs or aspirin at high dosages every 6-8h, corticosteroids only rarely, at low dosages and with a very gradual tapering (months) and colchicine at low dosages if tolerated. Anakinra could be a solution for patients who do not tolerate other therapies.