Development and validation of a laboratory-based risk score to predict the occurrence of critical illness in hospitalized patients with COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: Early identification of patients with COVID-19 who may develop critical illness is of great importance. METHODS: In this study a retrospective cohort of 264 COVID-19 cases admitted at Macarena University was used for development and internal validation of a risk score to predict the occurrence of critical illness in hospitalized patients with COVID-19. Backward stepwise logistic regression was used to derive the model, including clinical and laboratory variables predictive of critical illness. Internal validation of the final model used bootstrapped samples and the model scoring derived from the coefficients. External validation was performed in a cohort of 154 cases admitted at Valme and Virgen del Rocio University Hospital. RESULTS: A total of 62 (23.5%) patients developed a critical illness during their hospitalization stay, 21 (8.0%) patients needed invasive ventilation, 34 (12.9%) were admitted at the ICU and the overall mortality was of 14.8% (39 cases). 5 variables were included in the final model: age >59.5 years (OR: 3.11;95%CI 1.39-6.97), abnormal CRP results (OR: 5.76;95%CI 2.32-14.30), abnormal lymphocytes count (OR: 3.252;95%CI 1.56-6.77), abnormal CK results (OR: 3.38;95%CI 1.59-7.20) and abnormal creatinine (OR: 3.30;95%CI 1.42-7.68). The AUC of this model was 0.850 with sensitivity of 65% and specificity of 87% and the IDI and NRI were 0.1744 and 0.2785, respectively. The validation indicated a good discrimination for the external population. CONCLUSIONS: Biomarkers add prognostic information in COVID-19 patients. Our risk-score provides an easy to use tool to identify patients who are likely to develop critical illness during their hospital stay.

Helicobacter pylori infection and light chain gammopathy.

OBJECTIVE: Helicobacter pylori provokes a host of immune alterations upon colonizing the gastric mucosa. DESIGN: We report 22 individuals with confirmed Helicobacter pylori infection who were also managed for the concurrent elevation of immunoglobulin free light chain (kappa and lambda) levels. RESULT: Of the 22 patients, 15 patients (68.2%) had elevated free light chain levels: 6 patients (40%) had only kappa chain elevation, 2 patients (13.3%) had only lambda chain elevation, and 7 patients (46.7%) had both kappa and lambda chain elevation. Twenty out of the 22 patients (90.9%) were microbiologically confirmed cured with 3 patients being lost to follow-up for repeat levels. Of the 3 patients who were lost to follow-up, 1 patient had only kappa chain elevation, 1 patient had only lambda chain elevation, and 1 patient had both kappa and lambda chain elevation. For those who were cured (19 patients), 5 patients with kappa elevation had normalized values, 4 patients with lambda elevation had normalized values, and 2 patients with combined kappa and lambda elevation had normalized values. For 6 out of the 19 patients, the light chain levels remained elevated. CONCLUSION: We speculate that the Helicobacter pylori infection disrupts the immunoglobulin system with potential implications being discussed below.

Prevalence and routine assessment of unhealthy alcohol use in hospitalized patients.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the prevalence of alcohol misuse among medical inpatients and the methods used by medical staff to evaluate alcohol consumption. METHODS: Multicenter, prospective, observational, cross-sectional study performed at 21 hospitals in Spain. All adult patients hospitalized in internal medicine wards on 12 March 2008 were eligible for study. Alcohol consumption was evaluated with the Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test (AUDIT-C and AUDIT) and the Systematic Inventory of Alcohol Consumption questionnaire. Drinking patterns were determined according to clinical evaluation using ICD-10 criteria. Medical records were reviewed to gather information on the recording of alcohol use. RESULTS: We assessed 1039 inpatients, of whom 123 (12%) had unhealthy alcohol drinking patterns. Alcohol misuse was more frequent among males (odds ratio 5.20), younger patients (odds ratio, 14.17), median age patients (odds ratio, 2.99), and South Region (odds ratio, 1.77). Alcohol use during hospitalization was recorded in 603 inpatients (59%); quantitative records were performed in 28% of hazardous and harmful drinkers and in 41% of dependent patients. Lack of alcohol use recording was more frequent among females (odds ratio 1.73), median and older age groups (odds ratios 1.44 and 1.73, respectively), Northwest Regions (odds ratios 3.46). Patients from the East Region (odds ratio 0.47) had more frequently assessed the question in their medical records. CONCLUSIONS: Prevalence of alcohol misuse was higher in hospitalized patients than in the general population. Adequate quantitative recording was infrequent. We stress the need to implement measures to increase and improve the detection and recording of alcohol use.

Fast fibrosis progression between repeated liver biopsies in patients coinfected with human immunodeficiency virus/hepatitis C virus.

UNLABELLED: A few studies have assessed the observed fibrosis progression between serial liver biopsies (LB) in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) / hepatitis C virus (HCV)-coinfected patients. Approximately half of the patients progressed at least one fibrosis stage over a short period of time. The risk factors for this fast progression need clarification. Because of this, we evaluated the observed fibrosis progression rates of HIV/HCV-coinfected patients and the risk factors for accelerated progression. Overall, 135 HIV-infected patients with positive serum HCV RNA, without other possible causes of liver disease, who underwent two LB, separated at least by 1 year, were included in this retrospective cohort study. The median (Q1-Q3) time between both LBs was 3.3 (2.0-5.2) years. Patients showed the following changes in fibrosis stage: regression >or =1 stage: 23 (17%), no change: 52 (39%), progression 1 stage: 38 (28%), and progression > or =2 stages: 22 (16%). Seventeen (13%) patients had cirrhosis in the second biopsy. Factors independently associated with progression > or =1 stage were undetectable plasma HIV RNA during the follow-up (relative risk [RR] [95% confidence interval, 95% CI] 0.61 [0.39-0.93], P = 0.03), moderate-to-severe lobular necroinflammation (1.77 [1.16-2.7], P = 0.009), time between biopsies (1.11 [1.08-1.2], P = 0.01), and end of treatment response to anti-HCV therapy (0.41 [0.19-0.88], P = 0.02). CONCLUSION: Fibrosis progresses with high frequency in HIV/HCV-coinfected patients over a period of time of 3 years. Absent-to-mild lobular necroinflammation at baseline, achievement of response with anti-HCV treatment, and effective antiretroviral therapy are associated with slower fibrosis progression.

Colitis and gastroparesis associated with syphilis in an HIV-infected person with an undetectable viral load.

We present a patient with fully controlled HIV disease and a normal CD4 count whose initial treatment for syphilis failed. Biopsy-proven syphilitic colitis and severe gastroparesis developed, requiring the insertion of a temporary percutaneous gastrostomy tube. The patient responded to a course of high-dose aqueous crystalline penicillin followed by doxycycline, and he completely recovered. The occurrence of failure of conventional syphilis treatment in HIV-infected patients is discussed.

Baseline serum low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels predict response to hepatitis C virus therapy in HIV/hepatitis C virus coinfected patients.

BACKGROUND: High levels of serum low-density lipoprotein cholesterol are associated with better response to pegylated interferon and ribavirin in hepatitis C virus monoinfected patients. There are no data concerning this topic in HIV/hepatitis C virus coinfected patients in whom lipid disorders are particularly common. OBJECTIVE: To assess the association between baseline lipid levels and sustained virologic response to pegylated interferon and ribavirin in coinfected patients. METHODS: A total of 260 HIV/hepatitis C virus coinfected patients under treatment with pegylated interferon and ribavirin and who had a baseline serum lipid profile were included in this retrospective study. RESULTS: Thirty-eight (24%) patients with genotypes 1-4 and 64 (63%) with genotypes 2-3 achieved sustained virologic response. Forty-nine (44%) patients with serum low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels 100 mg/dl or more showed sustained virologic response compared with 53 (36%) with lower values [adjusted odds ratio: 2.51; 95% confidence interval: 1.40-4.87; P = 0.003]. This association was independent of the remaining predictors of sustained virologic response which were genotypes 2-3, plasma hepatitis C virus RNA 600,000 IU/ml or less, exposure to at least 80% of the planned therapy and lack of concomitant antiretroviral therapy. The rate of sustained virologic response in patients with genotype 1 and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol at least 100 mg/ml was 31% compared with 17% in those with lower values (adjusted odds ratio: 2.19; 95% confidence interval: 1.04-4.66; P = 0.040). The corresponding figures in subjects with genotypes 2-3 were 73 and 58% [2.71 (0.99-7.46); P = 0.054]. No other lipid was associated with response. CONCLUSION: Higher low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels predict sustained virologic response to pegylated interferon and ribavirin in HIV/hepatitis C virus coinfected patients. This might be used to improve the rate of sustained virologic response in this setting.