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1.
Ann Am Thorac Soc ; 17(2): 202-211, 2020 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31689133

ABSTRACT

Rationale: Recent tuberculosis treatment trials failed to show that some 4-month (4m) regimens were noninferior to conventional 6-month (6m) regimens for a composite clinical outcome. Novel shortened regimens may still have important clinical and economic benefits in populations with high loss to follow-up (LTFU) and in subgroups such as people with human immunodeficiency virus.Objectives: To identify scenarios in which a novel 4m regimen would be preferred to a conventional 6m regimen for treatment of drug-susceptible tuberculosis in people with human immunodeficiency virus in South Africa, in terms of short-term and long-term clinical and economic outcomes.Methods: We used the Cost-Effectiveness of Preventing AIDS Complications-International microsimulation model to project outcomes modeled on participants in the OFLOTUB trial. For calibration purposes, we did a base case analysis by applying trial-informed parameters for the 4m/6m regimens, including monthly LTFU during treatment (0.68%/0.83%), average monthly tuberculosis recurrence (0.65%/0.31%), and monthly drug costs (U.S. dollars [USD]25.90/3.70). We then evaluated different scenarios and 4m regimen characteristics, varying key parameters, including LTFU (informed by observational cohort data), recurrence, and cost. We projected outcomes, including 2-year mortality and life expectancy. We conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis, evaluating the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of a 4m versus 6m regimen.Results: In the base case model analysis, risk of the composite unfavorable outcome in the 4m/6m groups was 19.8%/15.9%, similar to the trial; projected life expectancies were 22.1/22.3 years. In analyses of alternative scenarios and 4m regimen characteristics, a 4m regimen yielded lower risk of the composite unfavorable outcome than the conventional 6m regimen if LTFU increased to greater than 3.5%/mo or if average recurrence after a 4m regimen decreased to less than 0.45%/mo, and it yielded higher life expectancy if LTFU was greater than 3.5%/mo or if recurrence was less than 0.5%/mo. A 4m regimen was not cost-effective in the base case but became cost-effective (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio

Subject(s)
Cost-Benefit Analysis , HIV Infections/drug therapy , Tuberculosis/drug therapy , Adult , Anti-HIV Agents/therapeutic use , Antitubercular Agents/therapeutic use , Drug Administration Schedule , Drug Costs , Female , HIV Infections/complications , Humans , Lost to Follow-Up , Male , Models, Economic , Recurrence , South Africa , Tuberculosis/complications , Young Adult
2.
Subst Abus ; 40(3): 335-339, 2019.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30759045

ABSTRACT

Although little is known about the specific burden of the opioid epidemic on lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender, and queer (LGBTQ) populations, there is evidence to suggest that opioid use disorders are disproportionately prevalent in the LGBTQ community. In this commentary, we present an overview of the current state of evidence on opioid use and misuse among LGBTQ-identified people in the United States and suggest ways to adapt behavioral health interventions to the specific needs of this population. Programs that integrate behavioral health with primary care, address minority stress, and use a trauma-informed approach have the most potential to produce effective, long-term benefits for LGBTQ-identified people with opioid use disorders.


Subject(s)
Cognitive Behavioral Therapy/methods , Mental Health Services/organization & administration , Opiate Substitution Treatment/methods , Opioid-Related Disorders/therapy , Primary Health Care/organization & administration , Sexual and Gender Minorities/psychology , Delivery of Health Care , Humans , Opioid-Related Disorders/psychology , Psychological Trauma/psychology , Stress Disorders, Post-Traumatic/psychology , Stress, Psychological/psychology
3.
J Int AIDS Soc ; 19(1): 20623, 2016.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27029828

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: In Brazil, universal provision of antiretroviral therapy (ART) has been guaranteed free of charge to eligible HIV-positive patients since December 1996. We sought to quantify the survival benefits of ART attributable to this programme. METHODS: We used a previously published microsimulation model of HIV disease and treatment (CEPAC-International) and data from Brazil to estimate life expectancy increase for HIV-positive patients initiating ART in Brazil. We divided the period of 1997 to 2014 into six eras reflecting increased drug regimen efficacy, regimen availability and era-specific mean CD4 count at ART initiation. Patients were simulated first without ART and then with ART. The 2014-censored and lifetime survival benefits attributable to ART in each era were calculated as the product of the number of patients initiating ART in a given era and the increase in life expectancy attributable to ART in that era. RESULTS: In total, we estimated that 598,741 individuals initiated ART. Projected life expectancy increased from 2.7, 3.3, 4.1, 4.9, 5.5 and 7.1 years without ART to 11.0, 17.5, 20.7, 23.0, 25.3, and 27.0 years with ART in Eras 1 through 6, respectively. Of the total projected lifetime survival benefit of 9.3 million life-years, 16% (or 1.5 million life-years) has been realized as of December 2014. CONCLUSIONS: Provision of ART through a national programme has led to dramatic survival benefits in Brazil, the majority of which are still to be realized. Improvements in initial and subsequent ART regimens and higher CD4 counts at ART initiation have contributed to these increasing benefits.


Subject(s)
Anti-HIV Agents/therapeutic use , HIV Infections/drug therapy , Life Expectancy , Adult , Brazil , CD4 Lymphocyte Count , HIV Infections/immunology , HIV Infections/mortality , Humans , Models, Theoretical
4.
Clin Infect Dis ; 62(6): 784-91, 2016 Mar 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26658053

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Recommended human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) treatment regimens in the United States contain 3 antiretroviral agents, costing >$30 000/person/year. Pilot studies are evaluating the efficacy of dual therapy with dolutegravir (DTG) and lamivudine (3TC). We examined the potential cost-effectiveness and budget impact of DTG + 3TC regimens in the United States. METHODS: Using a mathematical model, we projected the clinical and economic outcomes of antiretroviral therapy (ART)-naive patients under 4 strategies: (1) no ART (for modeling comparison); (2) 2-drug: initial regimen of DTG + 3TC; (3) induction-maintenance: 48-week induction regimen of 3 drugs (DTG/abacavir [ABC]/3TC), followed by DTG + 3TC maintenance if virologically suppressed; and (4) standard of care: 3-drug regimen of DTG/ABC/3TC. Strategy-dependent model inputs, varied widely in sensitivity analyses, included 48-week virologic suppression (88%-93%), subsequent virologic failure (0.1%-0.6%/month), and Medicaid-discounted ART costs ($15 200-$39 600/year). A strategy was considered cost-effective if its incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was <$100 000/quality-adjusted life-year (QALY). RESULTS: The 3 ART strategies had the same 5-year survival rates (90%). The ICER was $22 500/QALY for induction-maintenance and >$500 000/QALY for standard of care. Two-drug was the preferred strategy only when DTG + 3TC 48-week virologic suppression rate exceeded 90%. With 50% uptake of either induction-maintenance or 2-drug for ART-naive patients, cost savings totaled $550 million and $800 million, respectively, within 5 years; savings reached >$3 billion if 25% of currently suppressed patients were switched to DTG + 3TC maintenance. CONCLUSIONS: Should DTG + 3TC demonstrate high rates of virologic suppression, this regimen will be cost-effective and would save >$500 million in ART costs in the United States over 5 years.


Subject(s)
Anti-HIV Agents/economics , HIV Infections/drug therapy , HIV Infections/economics , HIV Integrase Inhibitors/economics , Heterocyclic Compounds, 3-Ring/economics , Lamivudine/economics , Anti-HIV Agents/therapeutic use , Antiretroviral Therapy, Highly Active/economics , CD4 Lymphocyte Count , Cost-Benefit Analysis , HIV Infections/epidemiology , HIV Infections/virology , HIV Integrase Inhibitors/therapeutic use , HIV-1/drug effects , Heterocyclic Compounds, 3-Ring/therapeutic use , Humans , Lamivudine/therapeutic use , Models, Statistical , Oxazines , Piperazines , Pyridones , United States/epidemiology
5.
J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr ; 68(2): 152-61, 2015 Feb 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25415289

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: HIV genotype-resistance testing can help identify more effective antiretroviral treatment (ART) regimens for patients, substantially increasing the likelihood of viral suppression and immune recovery. We sought to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of genotype-resistance testing before first-line ART initiation in Brazil. DESIGN: We used a previously published microsimulation model of HIV disease (CEPAC-International) and data from Brazil to compare the clinical impact, costs, and cost-effectiveness of initial genotype testing (Genotype) with no initial genotype testing (No genotype). METHODS: Model parameters were derived from the HIV Clinical Cohort at the Evandro Chagas Clinical Research Institute and from published data, using Brazilian sources whenever possible. Baseline patient characteristics included 69% male, mean age of 36 years (SD, 10 years), mean CD4 count of 347 per microliter (SD, 300/µL) at ART initiation, annual ART costs from 2012 US $1400 to US $13,400, genotype test cost of US $230, and primary resistance prevalence of 4.4%. Life expectancy and costs were discounted 3% per year. Genotype was defined as "cost-effective" compared with No Genotype if its incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was less than 3 times the 2012 Brazilian per capita GDP of US $12,300. RESULTS: Compared with No genotype, Genotype increased life expectancy from 18.45 to 18.47 years and reduced lifetime cost from US $45,000 to $44,770; thus, in the base case, Genotype was cost saving. Genotype was cost-effective at primary resistance prevalence as low as 1.4% and remained cost-effective when subsequent-line ART costs decreased to 30% of baseline value. Cost-inefficient results were observed only when simultaneously holding multiple parameters to extremes of their plausible ranges. CONCLUSIONS: Genotype-resistance testing in ART-naive individuals in Brazil will improve survival and decrease costs and should be incorporated into HIV treatment guidelines in Brazil.


Subject(s)
Anti-Retroviral Agents/therapeutic use , Drug Resistance, Viral , Genotyping Techniques/economics , Genotyping Techniques/methods , HIV Infections/drug therapy , HIV Infections/virology , HIV/drug effects , Adult , Brazil , Computer Simulation , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Female , HIV/genetics , HIV/isolation & purification , Health Care Costs , Humans , Male , Microbial Sensitivity Tests/methods , Middle Aged , Survival Analysis
6.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24046662

ABSTRACT

The title compound, C18H24N4, resides on a crystallographic inversion centre, so that the asymmetric unit comprises one half-mol-ecule. The piperazine ring adopts a chair conformation, with the mean planes of the two equatorial pyridine rings parallel to each other and separated by 2.54 (3) Å. No classical hydrogen bonds are observed.

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