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1.
Nat Biotechnol ; 2024 Jan 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38168992

ABSTRACT

Adoption of high-content omic technologies in clinical studies, coupled with computational methods, has yielded an abundance of candidate biomarkers. However, translating such findings into bona fide clinical biomarkers remains challenging. To facilitate this process, we introduce Stabl, a general machine learning method that identifies a sparse, reliable set of biomarkers by integrating noise injection and a data-driven signal-to-noise threshold into multivariable predictive modeling. Evaluation of Stabl on synthetic datasets and five independent clinical studies demonstrates improved biomarker sparsity and reliability compared to commonly used sparsity-promoting regularization methods while maintaining predictive performance; it distills datasets containing 1,400-35,000 features down to 4-34 candidate biomarkers. Stabl extends to multi-omic integration tasks, enabling biological interpretation of complex predictive models, as it hones in on a shortlist of proteomic, metabolomic and cytometric events predicting labor onset, microbial biomarkers of pre-term birth and a pre-operative immune signature of post-surgical infections. Stabl is available at https://github.com/gregbellan/Stabl .

2.
Cell Rep Med ; 5(1): 101350, 2024 01 16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38134931

ABSTRACT

Every year, 11% of infants are born preterm with significant health consequences, with the vaginal microbiome a risk factor for preterm birth. We crowdsource models to predict (1) preterm birth (PTB; <37 weeks) or (2) early preterm birth (ePTB; <32 weeks) from 9 vaginal microbiome studies representing 3,578 samples from 1,268 pregnant individuals, aggregated from public raw data via phylogenetic harmonization. The predictive models are validated on two independent unpublished datasets representing 331 samples from 148 pregnant individuals. The top-performing models (among 148 and 121 submissions from 318 teams) achieve area under the receiver operator characteristic (AUROC) curve scores of 0.69 and 0.87 predicting PTB and ePTB, respectively. Alpha diversity, VALENCIA community state types, and composition are important features in the top-performing models, most of which are tree-based methods. This work is a model for translation of microbiome data into clinically relevant predictive models and to better understand preterm birth.


Subject(s)
Crowdsourcing , Microbiota , Premature Birth , Pregnancy , Female , Infant, Newborn , Humans , Phylogeny , Vagina , Microbiota/genetics
3.
Cell Rep Methods ; 3(11): 100639, 2023 Nov 20.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37939711

ABSTRACT

For studies using microbiome data, the ability to robustly combine data from technically and biologically distinct microbiome studies is a crucial means of supporting more robust and clinically relevant inferences. Formidable technical challenges arise when attempting to combine data from technically diverse 16S rRNA gene variable region amplicon sequencing (16S) studies. Closed operational taxonomic units and taxonomy are criticized as being heavily dependent upon reference sets and with limited precision relative to the underlying biology. Phylogenetic placement has been demonstrated to be a promising taxonomy-free manner of harmonizing microbiome data, but it has lacked a validated count-based feature suitable for use in machine learning and association studies. Here we introduce a phylogenetic-placement-based, taxonomy-independent, compositional feature of microbiota: phylotypes. Phylotypes were predictive of clinical outcomes such as obesity or pre-term birth on technically diverse independent validation sets harmonized post hoc. Thus, phylotypes enable the rigorous cross-validation of 16S-based clinical prognostic models and associative microbiome studies.


Subject(s)
Microbiota , Phylogeny , RNA, Ribosomal, 16S/genetics , Microbiota/genetics , Machine Learning
4.
Nat Med ; 29(11): 2805-2813, 2023 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37857710

ABSTRACT

Evaluation of the impact of dietary intervention on gastrointestinal microbiota and metabolites after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HCT) is lacking. We conducted a feasibility study as the first of a two-phase trial. Ten adults received resistant potato starch (RPS) daily from day -7 to day 100. The primary objective was to test the feasibility of RPS and its effect on intestinal microbiome and metabolites, including the short-chain fatty acid butyrate. Feasibility met the preset goal of 60% or more, adhering to 70% or more doses; fecal butyrate levels were significantly higher when participants were on RPS than when they were not (P < 0.0001). An exploratory objective was to evaluate plasma metabolites. We observed longitudinal changes in plasma metabolites compared to baseline, which were independent of RPS (P < 0.0001). However, in recipients of RPS, the dominant plasma metabolites were more stable compared to historical controls with significant difference at engraftment (P < 0.05). These results indicate that RPS in recipients of allogeneic HCT is feasible; in this study, it was associated with significant alterations in intestinal and plasma metabolites. A phase 2 trial examining the effect of RPS on graft-versus-host disease in recipients of allogeneic HCT is underway. ClinicalTrials.gov registration: NCT02763033 .


Subject(s)
Gastrointestinal Microbiome , Graft vs Host Disease , Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation , Adult , Humans , Butyrates , Feasibility Studies , Graft vs Host Disease/prevention & control , Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation/methods
5.
Annu Rev Biomed Data Sci ; 6: 259-273, 2023 08 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37159872

ABSTRACT

The human microbiome is complex, variable from person to person, essential for health, and related to both the risk for disease and the efficacy of our treatments. There are robust techniques to describe microbiota with high-throughput sequencing, and there are hundreds of thousands of already-sequenced specimens in public archives. The promise remains to use the microbiome both as a prognostic factor and as a target for precision medicine. However, when used as an input in biomedical data science modeling, the microbiome presents unique challenges. Here, we review the most common techniques used to describe microbial communities, explore these unique challenges, and discuss the more successful approaches for biomedical data scientists seeking to use the microbiome as an input in their studies.


Subject(s)
Microbiota , Humans , Precision Medicine , High-Throughput Nucleotide Sequencing/methods
6.
medRxiv ; 2023 Apr 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36945505

ABSTRACT

Globally, every year about 11% of infants are born preterm, defined as a birth prior to 37 weeks of gestation, with significant and lingering health consequences. Multiple studies have related the vaginal microbiome to preterm birth. We present a crowdsourcing approach to predict: (a) preterm or (b) early preterm birth from 9 publicly available vaginal microbiome studies representing 3,578 samples from 1,268 pregnant individuals, aggregated from raw sequences via an open-source tool, MaLiAmPi. We validated the crowdsourced models on novel datasets representing 331 samples from 148 pregnant individuals. From 318 DREAM challenge participants we received 148 and 121 submissions for our two separate prediction sub-challenges with top-ranking submissions achieving bootstrapped AUROC scores of 0.69 and 0.87, respectively. Alpha diversity, VALENCIA community state types, and composition (via phylotype relative abundance) were important features in the top performing models, most of which were tree based methods. This work serves as the foundation for subsequent efforts to translate predictive tests into clinical practice, and to better understand and prevent preterm birth.

7.
Am J Respir Crit Care Med ; 207(3): 261-270, 2023 02 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36099435

ABSTRACT

Rationale: There are limited therapeutic options for patients with coronavirus disease (COVID-19)-related acute respiratory distress syndrome with inflammation-mediated lung injury. Mesenchymal stromal cells offer promise as immunomodulatory agents. Objectives: Evaluation of efficacy and safety of allogeneic mesenchymal cells in mechanically-ventilated patients with moderate or severe COVID-19-induced respiratory failure. Methods: Patients were randomized to two infusions of 2 million cells/kg or sham infusions, in addition to the standard of care. We hypothesized that cell therapy would be superior to sham control for the primary endpoint of 30-day mortality. The key secondary endpoint was ventilator-free survival within 60 days, accounting for deaths and withdrawals in a ranked analysis. Measurements and Main Results: At the third interim analysis, the data and safety monitoring board recommended that the trial halt enrollment as the prespecified mortality reduction from 40% to 23% was unlikely to be achieved (n = 222 out of planned 300). Thirty-day mortality was 37.5% (42/112) in cell recipients versus 42.7% (47/110) in control patients (relative risk [RR], 0.88; 95% confidence interval, 0.64-1.21; P = 0.43). There were no significant differences in days alive off ventilation within 60 days (median rank, 117.3 [interquartile range, 60.0-169.5] in cell patients and 102.0 [interquartile range, 54.0-162.5] in control subjects; higher is better). Resolution or improvement of acute respiratory distress syndrome at 30 days was observed in 51/104 (49.0%) cell recipients and 46/106 (43.4%) control patients (odds ratio, 1.36; 95% confidence interval, 0.57-3.21). There were no infusion-related toxicities and overall serious adverse events over 30 days were similar. Conclusions: Mesenchymal cells, while safe, did not improve 30-day survival or 60-day ventilator-free days in patients with moderate and/or severe COVID-19-related acute respiratory distress syndrome.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Mesenchymal Stem Cells , Respiratory Distress Syndrome , Humans , COVID-19/therapy , SARS-CoV-2 , Lung , Respiratory Distress Syndrome/therapy , Respiratory Distress Syndrome/drug therapy
8.
Bone Marrow Transplant ; 57(12): 1765-1773, 2022 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36064752

ABSTRACT

We examined associations between specific antibiotic exposures and progression to lower respiratory tract disease (LRTD) following individual respiratory viral infections (RVIs) after hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT). We analyzed allogeneic HCT recipients of all ages with their first RVI during the first 100 days post-HCT. For the 21 days before RVI onset, we recorded any receipt of specific groups of antibiotics, and the cumulative sum of the number of antibiotics received for each day (antibiotic-days). We used Cox proportional hazards models to assess the relationship between antibiotic exposure and progression to LRTD. Among 469 patients with RVI, 124 progressed to LRTD. Compared to no antibiotics, use of antibiotics with broad anaerobic activity in the prior 21 days was associated with progression to LRTD after adjusting for age, virus type, hypoalbuminemia, neutropenia, steroid use, and monocytopenia (HR 2.2, 95% CI 1.1-4.1). Greater use of those antibiotics (≥7 antibiotic days) was also associated with LRTD in adjusted models (HR 2.2, 95% CI 1.1-4.3). Results were similar after adjusting for lymphopenia instead of monocytopenia. Antibiotic use is associated with LRTD after RVI across different viruses in HCT recipients. Prospective studies using anaerobe-sparing antibiotics should be explored to assess impact on LRTD in patients undergoing HCT.


Subject(s)
Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation , Respiratory Tract Infections , Virus Diseases , Humans , Infant , Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation/adverse effects , Respiratory Tract Infections/drug therapy , Anti-Bacterial Agents/therapeutic use , Prospective Studies , Anaerobiosis , Retrospective Studies , Disease Progression
9.
Cell Rep ; 40(3): 111093, 2022 07 19.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35858565

ABSTRACT

Pathobionts employ unique metabolic adaptation mechanisms to maximize their growth in disease conditions. Adherent-invasive Escherichia coli (AIEC), a pathobiont enriched in the gut mucosa of patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), utilizes diet-derived L-serine to adapt to the inflamed gut. Therefore, the restriction of dietary L-serine starves AIEC and limits its fitness advantage. Here, we find that AIEC can overcome this nutrient limitation by switching the nutrient source from the diet to the host cells in the presence of mucolytic bacteria. During diet-derived L-serine restriction, the mucolytic symbiont Akkermansia muciniphila promotes the encroachment of AIEC to the epithelial niche by degrading the mucus layer. In the epithelial niche, AIEC acquires L-serine from the colonic epithelium and thus proliferates. Our work suggests that the indirect metabolic network between pathobionts and commensal symbionts enables pathobionts to overcome nutritional restriction and thrive in the gut.


Subject(s)
Escherichia coli Infections , Bacterial Adhesion , Escherichia coli/metabolism , Escherichia coli Infections/microbiology , Expectorants/metabolism , Humans , Intestinal Mucosa/metabolism , Nutrients , Serine/metabolism
10.
Cancer Metastasis Rev ; 41(2): 367-382, 2022 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35488106

ABSTRACT

Microbiota are essential to normal immune development and there is growing recognition of its importance to human health and disease and deepening understanding of the complexity of host-microbe interactions in the human gut and other tissues. Commensal microbes not only can influence host immunity locally through impacts of bioactive microbial metabolites and direct interactions with epithelial cells and innate immune receptors but also can exert systemic immunomodulatory effects via impacts on host immune cells capable of trafficking beyond the gut. Emerging data suggest microbiota influence the development of multiple myeloma (MM), a malignancy of the immune system derived from immunoglobulin-producing bone marrow plasma cells, through the promotion of inflammation. Superior treatment outcomes for MM correlate with a higher abundance of commensal microbiota capable of influencing inflammatory responses through the production of butyrate. In patients with hematologic malignancies, higher levels of diversity of the gut microbiota correlate with superior outcomes after hematopoietic stem cell transplantation. Correlative data support the impact of commensal microbiota on survival, risk of infection, disease relapse, and graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) after transplant. In this review, we will discuss the current understanding of the role of host-microbe interactions and the inflammatory tumor microenvironment of multiple myeloma, discuss data describing the key role of microbiota in hematopoietic stem cell transplantation for treatment of hematologic malignancies, and highlight several possible concepts for interventions directed at the gut microbiota to influence treatment outcomes.


Subject(s)
Graft vs Host Disease , Hematologic Neoplasms , Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation , Multiple Myeloma , Graft vs Host Disease/therapy , Host Microbial Interactions , Humans , Multiple Myeloma/therapy , Tumor Microenvironment
11.
JCI Insight ; 6(23)2021 12 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34710061

ABSTRACT

Oral conditions are relatively common in patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). However, the contribution of oral maladies to gut inflammation remains unexplored. Here, we investigated the effect of periodontitis on disease phenotypes of patients with IBD. In all, 60 patients with IBD (42 with ulcerative colitis [UC] and 18 with Crohn's disease [CD]) and 45 healthy controls (HCs) without IBD were recruited for this clinical investigation. The effects of incipient periodontitis on the oral and gut microbiome as well as IBD characteristics were examined. In addition, patients were prospectively monitored for up to 12 months after enrollment. We found that, in both patients with UC and those with CD, the gut microbiome was significantly more similar to the oral microbiome than in HCs, suggesting that ectopic gut colonization by oral bacteria is increased in patients with IBD. Incipient periodontitis did not further enhance gut colonization by oral bacteria. The presence of incipient periodontitis did not significantly affect the clinical outcomes of patients with UC and CD. However, the short CD activity index increased in patients with CD with incipient periodontitis but declined or was unchanged during the study period in patients without periodontitis. Thus, early periodontitis may associate with worse clinically symptoms in some patients with CD.


Subject(s)
Crohn Disease/complications , Periodontitis/etiology , Adult , Case-Control Studies , Female , Humans , Male , Periodontitis/pathology , Prospective Studies , Risk Factors
12.
Viruses ; 13(6)2021 06 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34205050

ABSTRACT

Acute gastroenteritis (AGE) has a significant disease burden on society. Noroviruses, rotaviruses, and astroviruses are important viral causes of AGE but are relatively understudied enteric pathogens. Recent developments in novel biomimetic human models of enteric disease are opening new possibilities for studying human-specific host-microbe interactions. Human intestinal enteroids (HIE), which are epithelium-only intestinal organoids derived from stem cells isolated from human intestinal biopsy tissues, have been successfully used to culture representative norovirus, rotavirus, and astrovirus strains. Previous studies investigated host-virus interactions at the intestinal epithelial interface by individually profiling the epithelial transcriptional response to a member of each virus family by RNA sequencing (RNA-seq). Despite differences in the tissue origin, enteric virus used, and hours post infection at which RNA was collected in each data set, the uniform analysis of publicly available datasets identified a conserved epithelial response to virus infection focused around "type I interferon production" and interferon-stimulated genes. Additionally, transcriptional changes specific to only one or two of the enteric viruses were also identified. This study can guide future explorations into common and unique aspects of the host response to virus infections in the human intestinal epithelium and demonstrates the promise of comparative RNA-seq analysis, even if performed under different experimental conditions, to discover universal and virus-specific genes and pathways responsible for antiviral host defense.


Subject(s)
Databases, Nucleic Acid , Gastroenteritis/virology , Intestinal Mucosa/virology , Intestines/cytology , Organoids/cytology , Organoids/virology , Sequence Analysis, RNA , Cell Line , Humans , Immunity, Innate , Intestinal Mucosa/cytology , Intestinal Mucosa/immunology , Intestines/immunology , Intestines/virology , Norovirus/genetics , Norovirus/immunology , Rotavirus/genetics , Rotavirus/immunology , Virus Replication
13.
Genome Biol ; 22(1): 135, 2021 05 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33952321

ABSTRACT

Researchers must be able to generate experimentally testable hypotheses from sequencing-based observational microbiome experiments to discover the mechanisms underlying the influence of gut microbes on human health. We describe geneshot, a novel bioinformatics tool for identifying testable hypotheses based on gene-level metagenomic analysis of WGS microbiome data. By applying geneshot to two independent previously published cohorts, we identify microbial genomic islands consistently associated with response to immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI)-based cancer treatment in culturable type strains. The identified genomic islands are within operons involved in type II secretion, TonB-dependent transport, and bacteriophage growth.


Subject(s)
Genomic Islands/genetics , Immunotherapy , Metagenomics , Software , Humans , Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors/pharmacology , Microbiota/genetics , Treatment Outcome
14.
J Infect Dis ; 223(12 Suppl 2): S214-S221, 2021 06 16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33880565

ABSTRACT

Antimicrobial resistance has become a worldwide medical challenge [1], so impactful that vancomycin-resistant Enterococcus (VRE) and methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) have entered the common vernacular. We have attempted to reduce the selective pressure through antimicrobial stewardship, curtail the spread by identifying and isolating carriers and individuals with symptomatic infection, and treat antibiotic-resistant organisms (AROs) by developing novel antimicrobials. Despite these extraordinary measures, the challenge of AROs continues to grow. The gut microbiome, the ecosystem of microbes (ie, the microbiota) and metabolites present upon and within all humans, is an emerging target for both the risk for colonization and defense against infection with AROs. Here, informed from experiences and successes with understanding the role of the microbiome in mediating risk of Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI), we (1) review our understanding of the risk from ARO acquisition; (2) review our current understanding of the gut microbiome's ability to resist colonization with AROs; (3) describe how experimental model systems can test these initial, global insights to arrive at more granular, mechanistic ones; and (4) suggest a path forward to make further progress in the field.


Subject(s)
Drug Resistance, Microbial/genetics , Gastrointestinal Microbiome/genetics , Animals , Anti-Bacterial Agents/adverse effects , Clostridioides difficile/growth & development , Clostridioides difficile/pathogenicity , Clostridium Infections/etiology , Clostridium Infections/microbiology , Disease Models, Animal , Drug Resistance, Microbial/drug effects , Gastrointestinal Microbiome/drug effects , Gastrointestinal Microbiome/immunology , High-Throughput Nucleotide Sequencing , Host-Pathogen Interactions , Humans
15.
JCI Insight ; 6(9)2021 05 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33822773

ABSTRACT

Roughly 1 year after the first case of COVID-19 was identified and less than 1 year after the sequencing of SARS-CoV-2, multiple SARS-CoV-2 vaccines with demonstrated safety and efficacy in phase III clinical trials are available. The most promising vaccines have targeted the surface glycoprotein (S-protein) of SARS-CoV-2 and achieved an approximate 85%-95% reduction in the risk of symptomatic COVID-19, while retaining excellent safety profiles and modest side effects in the phase III clinical trials. The mRNA, replication-incompetent viral vector, and protein subunit vaccine technologies have all been successfully employed. Some novel SARS-CoV-2 variants evade but do not appear to fully overcome the potent immunity induced by these vaccines. Emerging real-world effectiveness data add evidence for protection from severe COVID-19. This is an impressive first demonstration of the effectiveness of the mRNA vaccine and vector vaccine platforms. The success of SARS-CoV-2 vaccine development should be credited to open science, industry partnerships, harmonization of clinical trials, and the altruism of study participants. The manufacturing and distribution of the emergency use-authorized SARS-CoV-2 vaccines are ongoing challenges. What remains now is to ensure broad and equitable global vaccination against COVID-19.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 Vaccines/isolation & purification , COVID-19 Vaccines/pharmacology , COVID-19/immunology , COVID-19/prevention & control , SARS-CoV-2/immunology , COVID-19 Vaccines/genetics , Clinical Trials, Phase III as Topic , Global Health , Humans , Pandemics/prevention & control , Public-Private Sector Partnerships , SARS-CoV-2/genetics , Safety , Vaccination/methods , Vaccination/trends
16.
Trends Cancer ; 7(7): 583-593, 2021 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33741313

ABSTRACT

Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have been a transformational advance in cancer therapy in the past decade. However, ICIs can produce immune-related adverse effects (irAEs), which can lead to both morbidity and premature termination of therapy. Recent studies suggest that the gut microbiota and its metabolites affect ICI efficacy and toxicity. Herein, we review such evidence in the context of ICI-induced colitis. In particular, the short-chain fatty acid butyrate, a microbial metabolite, has known protective effects on the intestine. We discuss how the use of dietary prebiotics, which can be metabolized by bacteria to produce butyrate, can be an intriguing new investigational approach to prevent ICI-associated colitis and lead to improved patient outcomes.


Subject(s)
Colitis/prevention & control , Gastrointestinal Microbiome/immunology , Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors/adverse effects , Neoplasms/drug therapy , Prebiotics/administration & dosage , Animals , Butyrates/metabolism , Colitis/chemically induced , Colitis/immunology , Colitis/microbiology , Disease Models, Animal , Humans , Mice , Neoplasms/immunology
17.
J Clin Sleep Med ; 17(5): 1039-1050, 2021 05 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33560208

ABSTRACT

STUDY OBJECTIVES: Obstructive sleep apnea and other sleep disorders overlap with comorbidities associated with poor outcomes related to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection. However, the prevalence of obstructive sleep apnea among patients hospitalized for COVID-19 and relationship to outcomes is poorly characterized, and the relevance of other sleep disorders remains unknown. The objective of this study was to identify the prevalence of pre-existing sleep disorders and association with outcomes related to severe COVID-19 illness. METHODS: Patients with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection admitted to the University of Michigan Hospital System were included. Electronic medical records were queried for sleep disorders diagnostic codes. Data were extracted from polysomnography and home sleep testing in a subgroup with previous diagnostic testing at our center. Logistic regression was used to examine the association of sleep disorders with mechanical ventilation requirement, treatment with vasopressors, and death and Cox proportional hazards regression for time to discharge. RESULTS: Among n = 572 adult patients hospitalized for COVID-19, 113 (19.8%) patients had obstructive sleep apnea, 4 patients had central sleep apnea (0.7%), 5 had hypoventilation (0.9%), 63 had insomnia (11.0%), and 22 had restless legs syndrome or periodic limb movements disorder (3.9%). After adjusting for age, sex, body mass index, and race, no significant relationship was apparent between sleep disorders diagnoses or indices of sleep-disordered breathing severity and outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first study to determine the prevalence of obstructive sleep apnea and other sleep disorders in a well-characterized cohort of patients hospitalized for COVID-19. Once hospitalized, a significant contribution of sleep disorders to outcomes was not identified. Therefore, future evaluations should focus on earlier outcomes, such as infection or clinical manifestations after exposure to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Hospitalization , Sleep Wake Disorders , Adult , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/therapy , Cohort Studies , Hospitals, University , Humans , Michigan/epidemiology , Prevalence , Sleep Wake Disorders/epidemiology , Treatment Outcome
18.
J Clin Invest ; 131(1)2021 01 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32970635

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUNDViral load (VL) surrogate endpoints transformed development of HIV and hepatitis C therapeutics. Surrogate endpoints for CMV-related morbidity and mortality could advance development of antiviral treatments. Although observational data support using CMV VL as a trial endpoint, randomized controlled trials (RCTs) demonstrating direct associations between virological markers and clinical endpoints are lacking.METHODSWe performed CMV DNA PCR on frozen serum samples from the only placebo-controlled RCT of ganciclovir for early treatment of CMV after hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT). We used established criteria to assess VL kinetics as surrogates for CMV disease or death by weeks 8, 24, and 48 after randomization and quantified antiviral effects captured by each marker. We used ensemble-based machine learning to assess the predictive ability of VL kinetics and performed this analysis on a ganciclovir prophylaxis RCT for validation.RESULTSVL suppression with ganciclovir reduced cumulative incidence of CMV disease and death for 20 years after HCT. Mean VL, peak VL, and change in VL during the first 5 weeks of treatment fulfilled the Prentice definition for surrogacy, capturing more than 95% of ganciclovir's effect, and yielded highly sensitive and specific predictions by week 48. In the prophylaxis trial, the viral shedding rate satisfied the Prentice definition for CMV disease by week 24.CONCLUSIONSOur results support using CMV VL kinetics as surrogates for CMV disease, provide a framework for developing CMV preventative and therapeutic agents, and support reductions in VL as the mechanism through which antivirals reduce CMV disease.FUNDINGMerck Sharp & Dohme Corp., a subsidiary of Merck & Co., Inc.


Subject(s)
Cytomegalovirus Infections , Cytomegalovirus , Ganciclovir/administration & dosage , Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation , Viral Load , Allografts , Cytomegalovirus/genetics , Cytomegalovirus/metabolism , Cytomegalovirus Infections/blood , Cytomegalovirus Infections/drug therapy , Cytomegalovirus Infections/etiology , Cytomegalovirus Infections/mortality , Female , Humans , Male , Retrospective Studies
19.
Clin Infect Dis ; 73(2): e445-e454, 2021 07 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32651997

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) can manifest in rapid decompensation and respiratory failure with elevated inflammatory markers, consistent with cytokine release syndrome for which IL-6 blockade is an approved treatment. METHODS: We assessed effectiveness and safety of IL-6 blockade with tocilizumab in a single-center cohort of patients with COVID-19 requiring mechanical ventilation. The primary endpoint was survival probability postintubation; secondary analyses included an ordinal illness severity scale integrating superinfections. Outcomes in patients who received tocilizumab compared with tocilizumab-untreated controls were evaluated using multivariable Cox regression with propensity score inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW). RESULTS: 154 patients were included, of whom 78 received tocilizumab and 76 did not. Median follow-up was 47 days (range, 28-67). Baseline characteristics were similar between groups, although tocilizumab-treated patients were younger (mean: 55 vs 60 years), less likely to have chronic pulmonary disease (10% vs 28%), and had lower D-dimer values at time of intubation (median: 2.4 vs 6.5 mg/dL). In IPTW-adjusted models, tocilizumab was associated with a 45% reduction in hazard of death (HR, .55; 95% CI, .33-.90) and improved status on the ordinal outcome scale [OR per 1-level increase, .58; .36-.94). Although tocilizumab was associated with an increased proportion of patients with superinfections (54% vs 26%; P < .001), there was no difference in 28-day case fatality rate among tocilizumab-treated patients with versus without superinfection (22% vs 15%; P = .42). Staphylococcus aureus accounted for ~50% of bacterial pneumonia. CONCLUSIONS: In this cohort of mechanically ventilated COVID-19 patients, tocilizumab was associated with lower mortality despite higher superinfection occurrence.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 Drug Treatment , Respiration, Artificial , Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized , Humans , SARS-CoV-2 , Treatment Outcome
20.
Transplantation ; 105(1): 128-137, 2021 01 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32890139

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Solid organ transplant (SOT) recipients are considered to be "vulnerable" to COVID-19 infection due to immunosuppression. To date, there are no studies that compared the disease severity of COVID-19 in SOT recipients with nontransplant patients. METHODS: In this case-control study, we compared the outcomes of COVID-19 between SOT recipients and their matched nontransplant controls. The cases were all adult SOT recipients (N = 41) from our academic health center who were diagnosed with COVID-19 between March 10, 2020 and May 15, 2020 using positive reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction for SARS-CoV2. The controls (N = 121) were matched on age (±5 y), race, and admission status (hospital or outpatient). The primary outcome was death and secondary outcomes were severe disease, intubation and renal replacement therapy (RRT). RESULTS: Median age of SOT recipients (9 heart, 3 lung, 16 kidney, 8 liver, and 5 dual organ) was 60 y, 80% were male and 67% were Black. Severe disease adjusted risk of death was similar in both the groups (hazard ratio = 0.84 [0.32-2.20]). Severity of COVID-19 and intubation were similar, but the RRT use was higher in SOT (odds ratio = 5.32 [1.26, 22.42]) compared to non-SOT COVID-19 patients. Among SOT recipients, COVID-19-related treatment with hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) was associated with 10-fold higher hazard of death compared to without HCQ (hazard ratio = 10.62 [1.24-91.09]). CONCLUSIONS: Although African Americans constituted one-tenth of all SOT in our center, they represented two-thirds of COVID-19 cases. Despite high RRT use in SOT recipients, the severe disease and short-term death were similar in both groups. HCQ for the treatment of COVID-19 among SOT recipients was associated with high mortality and therefore, its role as a treatment modality requires further scrutiny.


Subject(s)
COVID-19/mortality , Organ Transplantation/mortality , SARS-CoV-2 , Aged , Female , Humans , Hydroxychloroquine/therapeutic use , Male , Middle Aged , Renal Replacement Therapy , Retrospective Studies , Transplant Recipients , COVID-19 Drug Treatment
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