A Comparison of the P-POSSUM and NELA Risk Score for Patients Undergoing Emergency Laparotomy in Singapore.

BACKGROUND (AIMS, HYPOTHESES, OR OBJECTIVES): Emergency laparotomy (EL) is a high-risk surgical procedure associated with considerable morbidity and mortality around the world. A reliable risk-assessment tool that is specific to patients undergoing EL allows the early identification of high-risk patients and enables appropriate healthcare resource allocation. The objective of this study was to compare the commonly used Portsmouth-physiologic and operative severity score for the enumeration of mortality and morbidity (P-POSSUM) with the recently developed National Emergency Laparotomy Audit (NELA) score in terms of their accuracy for identifying patients at increased risk of 30-day mortality in a predominantly Asian population. METHODS: Physiological and operative data from a prospectively collected audit of adult patients undergoing EL in 2018 and 2019 across two tertiary hospitals in Singapore were used to retrospectively calculate both the P-POSSUM and NELA scores for each patient encounter. This was then compared to actual mortality rates to determine each model's accuracy and precision. RESULTS: 830 patients were included in the study with a 30-day mortality of 5.66%. The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) was similar for both the NELA (0.86, p < 0.001, 95% CI 0.81-0.91) and the P-POSSUM models (0.84, p < 0.001, 95% CI 0.78-0.89). While the models over-predicted mortality, overall O:E ratios showed that the NELA model performance was superior to that of P-POSSUM (0.58 [95% CI 0.43-0.77] compared to 0.34 [95% CI 0.26-0.46]). CONCLUSION: The NELA risk-prediction model accurately predicts 30-day mortality in this large cohort of patients undergoing EL and outperforms the current P-POSSUM model. We recommend that the NELA score should replace the P-POSSUM score as a model to distinguish between high- and low-risk patients undergoing EL.

Endoscopic total extraperitoneal repair of recurrent inguinal hernia: a 5-year review.

PURPOSE: The experience of endoscopic total extraperitoneal (TEP) repair of recurrent inguinal hernia in a major teaching hospital is reviewed. METHODS: Between 2003 and 2008, 37 consecutive patients underwent 46 TEP repairs for recurrent inguinal hernia. Patient demographics, hernia characteristics, operating time, conversion rate, intraoperative, postoperative complications and recurrence were measured. Twenty-eight patients had unilateral hernia and nine patients had bilateral hernias. The mean age was 59 years old (range 22-88 years). RESULTS: The mean operation duration was 88 min (range 60-120 min). Bilateral repairs took 38% longer than for unilateral repairs (108 vs 78 min). Three patients (8.1%) had conversion to open surgery. Seroma developed in two patients, which was subsequently resolved. Within 1 year of follow up evaluation, there was 1 recurrence (2.7%). The mean inpatient hospital stay was 1.6 days, and 24.3% of the operations were performed as outpatients. CONCLUSION: Repair of recurrent hernia using the TEP approach can be achieved with minimum morbidity, good clinical outcomes and acceptable recurrence rates. Endoscopic repair has become the procedure of choice for the treatment of the majority of recurrent inguinal hernias at our institution.