Tdap vaccination during pregnancy interrupts a twenty-year increase in the incidence of pertussis.

Pertussis incidence in developed countries, including Israel, has increased over the past two decades despite the addition of two booster doses in children. However, as pertussis is characterized by a multi-annual periodicity, and since clinical diagnosis can miss cases, determining disease trends at the population level is challenging. To bridge this gap, we developed a simple statistical model to capture the temporal patterns of pertussis incidence in Israel. Our model was calibrated and tested using laboratory-confirmed cases of pertussis for the Israeli population between 1998 and 2019. The model identifies a clear four-year periodicity of pertussis incidence over the past two decades that is identical to the one observed in the pre-vaccine era. Accounting for this periodicity, the model shows a 325% increase in pertussis incidence from 2002 to 2014. These multi-year trends were interrupted shortly after the introduction of routine immunization of Tdap vaccine in pregnancy in 2015, after which we found a 59.7% (95% CI: 57.7-61.6%)decline in pertussis incidence and a 49.5% (36.0-61.6%) decline in hospitalizations compared to the model's projection. While this sharp decline cannot be fully attributed to the newly introduced vaccination policy, sharper reductions of 71.2% (65.6-76.1%) in incidence and 58.4% (39.6-72.7%) in hospitalizations, have been observed in infants of age two months and below - young infants that have yet to become vaccinated and are more likely to be protected by maternal vaccination. Our work suggests that Tdap vaccination during pregnancy is a promising policy for controlling pertussis. Furthermore, due to the stable periodicity of pertussis, public health decision-makers should invest continuous efforts in the implementation of this strategy with additional reinforcement in expected peak years.

Epidemiologic and phylogenetic analysis of the 2018 West Nile virus (WNV) outbreak in Israel demonstrates human infection of WNV lineage I.

As at 12 November 2018, an outbreak of West Nile virus (WNV) was responsible for 139 WNV infection cases in Israel. Here, we characterise the epidemiology of the outbreak and demonstrate that only WNV lineage I was circulating in mosquitoes and responsible for WNV infection in humans. This suggests that the concurrence of the outbreak in Israel with WNV outbreaks in several European countries is not due to a common, more virulent WNV genotype.

Did two booster doses for schoolchildren change the epidemiology of pertussis in Israel?

Pertussis is the only vaccine-preventable disease that has re-emerged in Israel. In the last two decades, despite high primary immunization coverage, crude incidence increased over tenfold, with especially high morbidity among infants and adolescents and with 19 infant deaths. Two pertussis vaccine boosters were added, in 2005 for 7-year-olds and in 2011 for 13-year-olds. We reviewed age group incidence from 1999 to 2016, before and after the booster program introduction. We compared three groups of 13-15 year-olds with identical primary immunization but different booster immunization histories. Vaccine effectiveness was calculated before and after adjustment for specific incidence in those aged 65 and over. Two years after one booster, adjusted vaccine effectiveness was 74.5%. Two years after two boosters, adjusted vaccine effectiveness was 91.8%. However, crude morbidity rates were not reduced. The booster program has been effective only among recipient groups. The program will be continued. Israel is now encouraging pregnant women to be vaccinated against pertussis to improve protection of infants.