Impact of Expanding Eligibility Criteria for Cochlear Implantation - Dynamic Modeling Study.

OBJECTIVES: Eligibility criteria for cochlear implantation (CI) are shifting due to technological and surgical improvements. The aim of this study was to explore the impact of further expanding unilateral CI criteria in those with severe hearing loss (HL) (61-80 dBHL) in terms of number of CI recipients, costs, quality of life, and cost-effectiveness. METHODS: A dynamic population-based Markov model was constructed mimicking the Dutch population in three age categories over a period of 20 years. Health states included severe HL (61-80 dBHL), profound HL (>81 dBHL), CI recipients, and no-CI recipients. Model parameters were based on published literature, (national) databases, expert opinion, and model calibration. RESULTS: If persons with severe HL would qualify and opt for CI similar to those with profound HL now, this would lead to a 6-7 times increase of new CI recipients and an associated increase in costs (€550 million) and QALYs (54.000) over a 20-year period (incremental cost utility ratio: 10.771 euros/QALY [2.5-97.5 percentiles: 1.252-23.171]). One-way-sensitivity analysis indicated that model outcomes were most sensitive to regaining employment, utility associated with having a CI, and costs of surgery and testing. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that expanding eligibility for CI to persons with severe HL could be a cost-effective use of resources. Clearly, however, it would require a significant increase in diagnostic, operative, and rehabilitative capacity. Our quantitative estimates can serve as a basis for a wider societal deliberation on the question whether such an increase can and should be pursued. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: NA Laryngoscope, 133:924-932, 2023.

Challenges in Noninvasive Skin Biomarker Measurements in Daily Practice: A Longitudinal Study on Skin Surface Protein Detection by the Transdermal Analysis Patch in Pediatric Psoriasis.

INTRODUCTION: Skin surface proteins are potential biomarkers in psoriasis and can be measured noninvasively with the transdermal analysis patch (TAP). This study aimed to assess markers measured by TAP over time in daily clinical practice, explore their correlation with disease severity in pediatric psoriasis, and compare the TAP and tape stripping detection capability. METHODS: In this prospective observational daily clinical practice study, pediatric psoriasis patients (aged >5 to <18 years) were followed during 1 year. At each visit, TAPs were applied to lesional (n = 2), peri-lesional (n = 2), and non-lesional (n = 1) sites. Post-lesional skin was sampled if all lesions on the arms, legs, or trunk cleared. Treatment and psoriasis severity data were collected. IL-1RA, hBD-2, IL-1α, IL-8, VEGF, CXCL-1/2, CCL-27, IL-23, hBD-1, IL-22, IL-17A, KLK-5, and IL-4 levels were quantified by spot-ELISA. For the statistical analysis, Wilcoxon signed rank tests, Mann-Whitney U tests, and Spearman correlations were used. Detection capability of the TAP was compared to tape stripping in a separate cohort of adult psoriasis patients. RESULTS: 32 patients (median age 15.0 years, median Psoriasis Area and Severity Index [PASI] 5.2) were followed for a mean of 11.3 (±3.4) months with a total of 104 visits. In lesional skin (n = 197), significantly higher IL-1RA, hBD-2, IL-8, VEGF, CXCL-1/2, IL-23, hBD-1, IL-22, CCL-27, and IL-17A levels were found compared to non-lesional skin (n = 104), while IL-1α was higher in non-lesional skin. Marker levels were highly variable over time and did not correlate with disease severity measured by PASI or SUM scores. Comparison of the TAP and tape strip detection capability in adult psoriasis patients (n = 10) showed that lesional hBD-2, IL1-α, IL-8, and VEGF and non-lesional IL-1RA, hBD-2, IL-8, and VEGF were more frequently detected in tape extracts than TAPs. CONCLUSION: Due to the lack of correlation with clinical disease severity and the current detection capability of the markers measured by TAP in psoriasis, its use in regular practice is still a bridge too far.

Real-world Methotrexate Use in a Prospective Cohort of Paediatric Patients with Plaque Psoriasis: Effectiveness, Adverse Events and Folic Acid Regimen.

In paediatric psoriasis, few studies have evaluated methotrexate effectiveness, adverse events and folic acid regimen. Therefore this study prospectively assessed methotrexate adverse events and effectiveness in paediatric patients with psoriasis in a real-world setting. Furthermore, gastrointestinal adverse events and methotrexate effectiveness were compared between folic acid regimens (5 mg once weekly vs 1 mg 6 times weekly). Data for paediatric patients with psoriasis treated with methotrexate from September 2008 to October 2020 were extracted from Child-CAPTURE, a prospective, daily clinical practice registry. Effectiveness was determined by Psoriasis Area and Severity Index (PASI). Comparison of persistent gastrointestinal adverse events between folic acid regimens were assessed through Kaplan-Meier analysis. A total of 105 paediatric patients with plaque psoriasis (41.0% male, mean age 14.1 years) were included. At week 24 and 48, an absolute PASI ≤ 2.0 was achieved by approximately one-third of all patients. During follow-up, 46.7% reported ≥ 1 persistent adverse events. After 1 and 2 years, approximately one-quarter of patients achieved a PASI ≤ 2.0 without persistent adverse events. Although non-significant, a possible trend towards lower occurrence of gastrointestinal adverse events was found for folic acid 1 mg 6 times weekly (p = 0.196), with similar effectiveness between folic acid regimens. These findings show that a subgroup of paediatric patients with psoriasis responded well to methotrexate treatment without considerable side-effects during a 2-year follow-up.

Direct Comparison of Real-world Effectiveness of Biologics for Psoriasis using Absolute and Relative Psoriasis Area and Severity Index Scores in a Prospective Multicentre Cohort.

Real-world evidence, directly comparing the effectiveness of interleukin (IL)17-inhibitors, IL23-inhibitors, tumour necrosis factor alpha (TNF-α)-inhibitors and an IL12/23-inhibitor in psoriasis, is scarce. The aim of this study was to directly compare the first-year effectiveness of biologic therapies for psoriasis, corrected for confounders. This prospective, multicentre cohort study assessed BioCAPTURE data on etanercept, adalimumab, ustekinumab, secukinumab, ixekizumab, and guselkumab in 1,080 treatment episodes of 700 patients with psoriasis. The course of the mean absolute Psoriasis Area and Severity Index (PASI) and the proportion of patients who achieved PASI90/PASI75 were compared using linear mixed models and mixed logistic regression models respectively, corrected for baseline PASI, biologic naivety, and weight. Patients treated with adalimumab, ustekinumab, secukinumab, ixekizumab, or guselkumab all had a significantly lower mean PASI after 12 months compared with etanercept, and significantly higher overall odds of reaching PASI90 than those treated with etanercept. Patients treated with ixekizumab or guselkumab also had higher probabilities of reaching PASI90 than adalimumab, ustekinumab, and secukinumab. Relative to randomized controlled trials, the proportions of patients who reached PASI90/75 were lower in this real-world study.

Serum drug levels and anti-drug antibodies in the context of dose tapering by interval prolongation of adalimumab, etanercept and ustekinumab in psoriasis patients: results of the CONDOR trial.

BACKGROUND: Biologics for psoriasis are registered in standard dosages. In patients with low disease activity, reduction of the dose by interval prolongation can prevent overtreatment, and lower risks and costs. However, fear for increased anti-drug antibody (ADA) formation due to interval prolongation of biologics is an important barrier. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the course of serum drug concentrations, ADA levels, and predictors for successful dose reduction of adalimumab, ustekinumab, and etanercept for psoriasis. METHODS: Patients were randomized to dose reduction (DR) or usual care (UC) and followed for one year. The course and extent of detectable ADA levels were expressed as proportions/relative risks for DR vs. UC. Association of baseline characteristics with successful tapering was investigated with log-binomial regression analysis. RESULTS: In total, 118 patients were included. In adalimumab-treated patients, no significant difference in the proportion of patients with relevant ADA levels in DR vs. UC was seen. For ustekinumab, relevant ADA development was absent in both groups. Baseline trough levels were not predictive for successful DR. CONCLUSIONS: Immunogenicity may not increase by interval prolongation in psoriasis patients with low disease activity. This pilot provides important and reassuring insight into the pharmacological changes after dose tapering of adalimumab, etanercept, and ustekinumab.

Perfusion measured by laser speckle contrast imaging as a predictor for expansion of psoriasis lesions.

BACKGROUND: Skin microvasculature changes are crucial in psoriasis development and correlate with perfusion. The noninvasive Handheld Perfusion Imager (HAPI) examines microvascular skin perfusion in large body areas using laser speckle contrast imaging (LSCI). OBJECTIVES: To (i) assess whether increased perilesional perfusion and perfusion inhomogeneity are predictors for expansion of psoriasis lesions and (ii) assess feasibility of the HAPI system in a mounted modality. METHODS: In this interventional pilot study in adults with unstable plaque psoriasis, HAPI measurements and color photographs were performed for lesions present on one body region at week 0, 2, 4, 6 and 8. The presence of increased perilesional perfusion and perfusion inhomogeneity was determined. Clinical outcome was categorized as increased, stable or decreased lesion surface between visits. Patient feedback was collected on a 10-point scale. RESULTS: In total, 110 lesions with a median follow-up of 6 (IQR 6.0) weeks were assessed in 6 patients with unstable plaque psoriasis. Perfusion data was matched to 281 clinical outcomes after two weeks. A mixed multinomial logistic regression model revealed a predictive value of perilesional increased perfusion (OR 9.90; p < 0.001) and perfusion inhomogeneity (OR 2.39; p = 0.027) on lesion expansion after two weeks compared to lesion stability. HAPI measurements were considered fast, patient-friendly and important by patients. CONCLUSION: Visualization of increased perilesional perfusion and perfusion inhomogeneity by noninvasive whole field LSCI holds potential for prediction of psoriatic lesion expansion. Furthermore, the HAPI is a feasible and patient-friendly tool.

Treatment goals and preferences of pediatric psoriasis patients, young adults, and parents.

BACKGROUND: Treatment needs of young psoriasis patients and parents are not widely studied and could advance patient-centered care. OBJECTIVE: To explore treatment goals and preferences of pediatric psoriasis patients, young adults, and parents. METHODS: A web-based survey among Dutch psoriasis patients aged ≥6 to ≤30 years and parents included multiple-choice, open-ended, and 4-point Likert scale questions. Treatment goals and characteristic preferences of pediatric patients (≤17 years) were compared to young adults (≥18 years) and parents. RESULTS: 195 young patients (20.2 ± 6.3 years) and 45 parents were included. The most important treatment goals were 'preventing lesions', 'reducing lesions', 'no itch', and 'no lesions'. Regarding treatment characteristics, 'long-term safety', 'high effectiveness', and 'short-term safety' were most important. We found differences by age, gender, and current treatment. Pediatric patients rated 'not sticky', 'quick results', and 'no/few blood samples needed' higher than parents and/or young adults. Young adults rated 'feeling more confident' and 'better quality of sleep' higher than pediatric patients. Parents considered safety most important. Psychosocial goals were more important for women and patients on biologics. CONCLUSION: Young psoriasis patients and parents mainly strive to clear lesions and itch with effective and safe treatment. However, revealed differences underline the relevance of addressing individual needs.

Risk of candidiasis associated with interleukin-17 inhibitors: A real-world observational study of multiple independent sources.

BACKGROUND: Biologics directed against the T-helper (Th)-17 pathway have been approved for several inflammatory diseases. Interleukin (IL)-17 is involved in anti- Candida host defense, and clinical trials suggested increased candidiasis incidence during IL-17 inhibitor therapy. We describe the worldwide epidemiology of candidiasis during Th17 inhibitor therapy, and immunological mechanisms involved in candidiasis susceptibility. METHODS: A comprehensive analysis of multiple independent sources reporting Candida adverse events during biologics inhibiting the Th17 pathway was performed. Association between Th17 inhibitors and candidiasis was assessed using safety reports of (1) WHO and (2) EMA, (3) a population-based prescriptions registry, and (4) a psoriasis cohort. In a cohort of psoriasis patients experiencing candidiasis during Th17 inhibitors, Candida killing by immune cells and serum inflammatory proteome were analyzed. FINDINGS: A strong association between IL-17 inhibitors and candidiasis (ROR 10·20) was found in the WHO database, particularly for cutaneous (ROR 12·28), oropharyngeal (ROR 19·18), and esophageal candidiasis (ROR 21·20). Risk was higher relative to TNF-α inhibitors (4-10-fold, depending on candidiasis type), confirmed by EMA reports (16-33-fold), prescriptions registry (2-42-fold), and a psoriasis cohort (3-25-fold). After start of IL-17 inhibitors, patients' risk of candidiasis requiring antifungals increased 2-16 fold. In the psoriasis cohort, 58% of IL-17 treatment episodes were associated with candidiasis. In Th17 inhibitor recipients, proteins involved in anti- Candida immunity and Candida killing by mononuclear leukocytes were impaired. INTERPRETATION: IL-17 inhibitors are associated with an increased risk of oropharyngeal, esophageal, and cutaneous candidiasis, posing a significant disease burden for IL-17 inhibitor recipients. FUNDING: RadboudUMC.

Trends and projections in cutaneous melanoma death in the Netherlands from 1950 to 2045.

ABSTRACT: Child sun protection has recently been linked to the future disappearance of fatal melanoma in adults in successive generations. In the Netherlands, however, mortality rates from melanoma have increased gradually from the 1950s, with some indication of stabilisation since 2010, which may be compatible with a birth cohort effect by sun-protective measures and screening. To study the trajectories ahead a trend analysis was applied. Numbers of people with cutaneous melanoma as underlying cause of death from 1950 to 2018 and population data were derived from Statistics Netherlands. A graphical approach was used to explore trends in mortality by age, calendar period, and cohorts born in the successive periods of 1889 to 1979. Age-period-cohort modelling outcomes and population forecasts provided projections of mortality until 2045. Based on 24,151 cases of melanoma death (13,256 men, 10,895 women), age-standardised mortality rates were similar from 1950 to 1989 for both genders, and increased thereafter more in men. The age-curve patterns changed gradually towards higher death rates at older age, implying the existence of a birth cohort effect. The age-period-cohort models showed an increase in melanoma mortality rates in successive generations. For women, the birth cohort effect plateaued for generations born since the mid-1980s. The projected total mortality number was predicted to rise in the next 3 decades.It is concluded that a small future decline of mortality in younger generations can be expected in the Netherlands, but mortality is still rising for the total population.

Health Economic Consequences of a Tightly Controlled Dose Reduction Strategy for Adalimumab, Etanercept and Ustekinumab Compared with Standard Psoriasis Care: A Cost-utility Analysis of the CONDOR Study.

A dose reduction strategy for adalimumab, etanercept and ustekinumab in patients with psoriasis who have stable and low disease activity has recently been compared with usual care in the CONDOR study (CONtrolled DOse Reduction) of biologics in patients with psoriasis with low disease activity. The aim of the current study was to perform a cost-utility analysis with a 12-month time horizon alongside this trial, using prospectively measured healthcare costs and quality-adjusted life years, based on Short-Form Six-Dimension utilities. Bootstrap analys-es were used to calculate the decremental cost-utility ratio and the incremental net monetary benefit. The dose reduction strategy resulted in a mean cost saving of €3,820 (95th percentile -€3,099 to -€4,509) per patient over a period of 12 months. There was an 83% chance that dose reduction would result in a reduction in quality adjusted life years (mean -0.02 (95th percentile -0.06 to 0.02). In conclusion, dose reduction of biologics resulted in substantial cost savings with an acceptable reduction in quality of life.

The Skin May Clear But the Arthritis Won't Disappear: Focusing on Concomitant and New-Onset Psoriatic Arthritis in a Daily Practice Cohort of Psoriasis Patients on Biologic Therapy.

BACKGROUND: Previously identified risk factors for psoriatic arthritis (PsA); nail dystrophy and scalp lesions are highly prevalent in patients with moderate-to-severe psoriasis. Therefore, these variables may not be useful as predictors for PsA in this population. OBJECTIVE: We assessed the predictive value of demographic and clinical characteristics for development of PsA in a cohort of patients with moderate-to-severe psoriasis, currently treated with biologics. Furthermore, we reported the incidence of new-onset PsA in this population and described the characteristics of patients that developed PsA during biologic treatment. METHODS: Demographics and treatment characteristics of psoriasis patients currently using biologic therapy were extracted from the BioCAPTURE database (n=427). Poisson regression was used to calculate incidence rates. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to identify factors independently associated with PsA onset. Patient and treatment characteristics of patients that developed PsA during biologic treatment were described. RESULTS: The incidence of PsA was 1.0 (95% CI 0.8-1.2) per 100 psoriasis-years. Except for a lower risk for PsA in male gender (OR 0.58, 95% CI 0.34-0.98, p-value 0.04), no clinical factors were significantly associated with an altered risk of developing PsA. During biologic therapy, 32 patients (9.4%) newly developed PsA. In this group, 53.8% had PASI<5 at PsA diagnosis. The incidence rate of PsA was 1.6 (95% CI 1.1-2.2) per 100 years on biologic therapy. CONCLUSION: Clinical risk factors might be inaccurate to predict PsA onset in patients with moderate-to-severe psoriasis on biologics. Even with low disease activity, psoriasis patients on biologics are still prone to develop PsA.

Disease and Treatment Characteristics in Geriatric Psoriasis: A Patient Survey Comparing Age Groups.

Little is known about psoriasis in geriatric patients, whereas treating this growing population can be challenging due to comorbidities, comedication and physical impairments. To compare disease and treatment characteristics of psoriasis patients ≥ 65 years old with patients < 65 years old, a self-assessment survey was sent to all members of the Dutch Psoriasis Association (n = 3,310). In total, 985 (29.7%) patients returned the survey, 414 (43.6%) respondents were ≥ 65 years old. Patients ≥ 65 years old had experienced erythrodermic psoriasis significantly more frequently than patients < 65 years old, other disease characteristics were highly comparable. Despite a significantly higher prevalence of comorbidities and comedication use in patients ≥ 65 years old, no difference was seen between the age groups regarding systemic antipsoriatic treatment (38.3% in ≥ 65 years old vs 42.3% in < 65 years old; p = 0.219). Remarkably, treatment-related side-effects were reported more frequently by patients < 65 years old. In conclusion, age alone should not be a limiting factor in psoriasis management, and proper attention must be paid to additional patient-related factors.

Comparison of Tightly Controlled Dose Reduction of Biologics With Usual Care for Patients With Psoriasis: A Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Biologics revolutionized the treatment of psoriasis. Biologics are given in a fixed dose, but lower doses might be possible. Objective: To investigate whether dose reduction (DR) of biologics in patients with stable psoriasis is noninferior to usual care (UC). Design, Setting, and Participants: This pragmatic, open-label, prospective, controlled, noninferiority randomized clinical trial was conducted from March 1, 2016, to July 22, 2018, at 6 dermatology departments in the Netherlands. A total of 120 patients with plaque psoriasis and stable low disease activity who were receiving treatment with adalimumab, etanercept, or ustekinumab were studied. Interventions: Patients were randomized 1:1 to DR (n = 60) or UC (n = 60). In the DR group, injection intervals were prolonged stepwise, leading to 67% and 50% of the original dose. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was between-group difference in disease activity corrected for baseline at 12 months compared with the predefined noninferiority margin of 0.5. Secondary outcomes were Psoriasis Area and Severity Index (PASI) score and health-related quality of life (including Dermatology Life Quality Index [DLQI] and Medical Outcomes Study 36-Item Short Form Health Survey scores), proportion of patients with short and persistent flares (defined as PASI and/or DLQI scores >5 for ≥3 months), and proportion of patients with successful dose tapering. Results: Of 120 patients (mean [SD] age, 54.0 [13.2] years; 82 [68%] male), 2 patients were lost to follow-up, 2 patients had a protocol violation, and 5 patients had a protocol deviation, leaving 111 patients for the per-protocol analysis (53 in the DR group and 58 in the UC group). The median PASI scores at month 12 were 3.4 (interquartile range [IQR], 2.2-4.5) in the DR group and 2.1 (IQR, 0.6-3.6) in the UC group (mean difference, 1.2; 95% CI, 0.7-1.8). This indicates that noninferiority was not demonstrated for DR compared to UC. The median DLQI score at month 12 was 1.0 (IQR, 0.0-2.0) in the DR group and 0.0 (IQR, 0.0-2.0) in the UC group (mean difference, 0.8; 95% CI, 0.3-1.3), indicating noninferiority for DR compared with UC. No significant difference was found regarding persistent flares between groups (n = 5 in both groups). Twenty-eight patients (53%; 95% CI, 39%-67%) in the DR group tapered their dose successfully at 12 months. No severe adverse events related to the intervention occurred. Conclusions and Relevance: In this trial, noninferiority was not demonstrated for DR of adalimumab, etanercept, and ustekinumab based on the PASI in patients with psoriasis compared with UC with the chosen noninferiority margin. However, the strategy was noninferior based on the DLQI. Dose tapering did not lead to persistent flares or safety issues. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02602925.

Association Between Quality of Life and Improvement in Psoriasis Severity and Extent in Pediatric Patients.

Importance: Treatment of psoriasis is associated with improved quality of life (QOL) in those with the disease. However, in daily clinical practice, the association between the degree of psoriasis clearance and QOL has not been studied to date, especially in the pediatric population. Objectives: To identify the association between the degree of psoriasis improvement (as measured by the Psoriasis Area Severity Index [PASI] and body surface area [BSA] response) and QOL (as measured by the Children's Dermatology Life Quality Index [CDLQI]) in pediatric psoriasis, and to assess the association of treatment type with QOL, independent of psoriasis improvement. Design, Setting, and Participants: Data used in this single-center cohort study were extracted from the Child-CAPTURE (Continuous Assessment of Psoriasis Treatment Use Registry), a prospective, observational, daily clinical practice cohort of all children (aged <18 years) with a psoriasis diagnosis who attended the outpatient clinic of the Department of Dermatology at the Radboud University Medical Center in Nijmegen, the Netherlands, between September 3, 2008, and May 4, 2018. All records of treatment episodes with CDLQI, PASI, and BSA scores were included in the analysis. Exposures: Patients were treated according to daily clinical care. Treatments were clustered into topical, dithranol, conventional systemic, and biological treatments. Because of low numbers of UV-B phototherapy, this treatment was not assessed. Main Outcomes and Measures: Primary outcomes were mean change of CDLQI scores per PASI and BSA response categories (0 to <50, 50 to <75, 75 to <90, and ≥90) and mean CDLQI change per treatment categories. Results: In total, 319 patients (median [interquartile range] age, 10.0 [7.0] years; 183 female [57.4%]) were analyzed for PASI score improvement (399 treatment episodes) and improvement in BSA involvement (366 treatment episodes). The greatest improvements in CDLQI scores were seen in the PASI ≥90 response category, with an estimated marginal mean change in CDLQI score of -6.6 (95% CI, -7.5 to -5.7). The greatest improvements in CDLQI scores were also observed in the BSA ≥90 response category, with an estimated marginal mean change in CDLQI score of -6.8 (95% CI, -7.5 to -6.1). Systemic treatment demonstrated a greater degree of improvement of CDLQI compared with topical treatment, independent of PASI response categories. Conclusions and Relevance: This cohort study in a real-world setting found that the greatest improvements in QOL were associated with PASI 90 or greater, a decrease in BSA involvement of 90% or greater, and systemic treatments. These findings suggest that reaching PASI 90 or greater and decreasing BSA involvement by at least 90% may be clinically meaningful treatment goals that will help pediatric patients with psoriasis reach optimal QOL.

Nail Involvement as a Predictor of Disease Severity in Paediatric Psoriasis: Follow-up Data from the Dutch ChildCAPTURE Registry.

Little is known about the relationship between nail psoriasis and psoriasis severity in children, and there has been no longitudinal assessment of psoriasis severity related to nail psoriasis. The aim of this study was to assess whether nail psoriasis could serve as a predictor for a more severe disease course. De-identified data were obtained from the ChildCAPTURE registry, a daily clinical practice cohort of children with psoriasis, from September 2008 to November 2015. Cross-sectional analyses were performed at baseline. Longitudinal data until 2-year follow-up were analysed by linear mixed models. Nail psoriasis was present in 19.0% of all 343 patients at baseline and cross-sectionally associated with higher Psoriasis Area and Severity Index (PASI) (p = 0.033). Longitudinal analysis demonstrated higher PASI (p <0.001) during 2-year follow-up in patients with nail involvement at baseline. These findings suggest that nail psoriasis is a potential clinical predictor for more severe disease course over time in paediatric psoriasis.

Effect of Mexiletine on Muscle Stiffness in Patients With Nondystrophic Myotonia Evaluated Using Aggregated N-of-1 Trials.

Importance: In rare diseases it is difficult to achieve high-quality evidence of treatment efficacy because of small cohorts and clinical heterogeneity. With emerging treatments for rare diseases, innovative trial designs are needed. Objective: To investigate the effectiveness of mexiletine in nondystrophic myotonia using an aggregated N-of-1 trials design and compare results between this innovative design and a previously conducted RCT. Design, Setting, and Participants: A series of aggregated, double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled N-of-1-trials, performed in a single academic referral center. Thirty Dutch adult patients with genetically confirmed nondystrophic myotonia (38 patients screened) were enrolled between February 2014 and June 2015. Follow-up was completed in September 2016. Interventions: Mexiletine (600 mg daily) vs placebo during multiple treatment periods of 4 weeks. Main Outcomes and Measures: Reduction in daily-reported muscle stiffness on a scale of 1 to 9, with higher scores indicating more impairment. A Bayesian hierarchical model aggregated individual N-of-1 trial data to determine the posterior probability of reaching a clinically meaningful effect of a greater than 0.75-point difference. Results: Among 30 enrolled patients (mean age, 43.4 [SD, 15.24] years; 22% men; 19 CLCN1 and 11 SCN4A genotype), 27 completed the study and 3 dropped out (1 because of a serious adverse event). In 24 of the 27 completers, a clinically meaningful treatment effect was found. In the Bayesian hierarchical model, mexiletine resulted in a 100% posterior probability of reaching a clinically meaningful reduction in self-reported muscle stiffness for the nondystrophic myotonia group overall and the CLCN1 genotype subgroup and 93% posterior probability for the SCN4A genotype subgroup. In the total nondystrophic myotonia group, the median muscle stiffness score was 6.08 (interquartile range, 4.71-6.80) at baseline and was 2.50 (95% credible interval [CrI], 1.77-3.24) during the mexiletine period and 5.56 (95% CrI, 4.73-6.39) during the placebo period; difference in symptom score reduction, 3.06 (95% CrI, 1.96-4.15; n = 27) favoring mexiletine. The most common adverse event was gastrointestinal discomfort (21 mexiletine [70%], 1 placebo [3%]). One serious adverse event occurred (1 mexiletine [3%]; allergic skin reaction). Using frequentist reanalysis, mexiletine compared with placebo resulted in a mean reduction in daily-reported muscle stiffness of 3.12 (95% CI, 2.46-3.78), consistent with the previous RCT treatment effect of 2.69 (95% CI, 2.12-3.26). Conclusions and Relevance: In a series of N-of-1 trials of mexiletine vs placebo in patients with nondystrophic myotonia, there was a reduction in mean daily-reported muscle stiffness that was consistent with the treatment effect in a previous randomized clinical trial. These findings support the efficacy of mexiletine for treatment of nondystrophic myotonia as well as the feasibility of N-of-1 trials for assessing interventions in some chronic rare diseases. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02045667.

Combined N-of-1 trials to investigate mexiletine in non-dystrophic myotonia using a Bayesian approach; study rationale and protocol.

BACKGROUND: To obtain evidence for the clinical and cost-effectiveness of treatments for patients with rare diseases is a challenge. Non-dystrophic myotonia (NDM) is a group of inherited, rare muscle diseases characterized by muscle stiffness. The reimbursement of mexiletine, the expert opinion drug for NDM, has been discontinued in some countries due to a lack of independent randomized controlled trials (RCTs). It remains unclear however, which concessions can be accepted towards the level 1 evidence needed for coverage decisions, in rare diseases. Considering the large number of rare diseases with a lack of treatment evidence, more experience with innovative trial designs is needed. Both NDM and mexiletine are well suited for an N-of-1 trial design. A Bayesian approach allows for the combination of N-of-1 trials, which enables the assessment of outcomes on the patient and group level simultaneously. METHODS/DESIGN: We will combine 30 individual, double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled N-of-1 trials of mexiletine (600 mg daily) vs. placebo in genetically confirmed NDM patients using hierarchical Bayesian modeling. Our results will be compared and combined with the main results of an international cross-over RCT (mexiletine vs. placebo in NDM) published in 2012 that will be used as an informative prior. Similar criteria of eligibility, treatment regimen, end-points and measurement instruments are employed as used in the international cross-over RCT. DISCUSSION: The treatment of patients with NDM with mexiletine offers a unique opportunity to compare outcomes and efficiency of novel N-of-1 trial-based designs and conventional approaches in producing evidence of clinical and cost-effectiveness of treatments for patients with rare diseases. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02045667.

Nutritional indicators for gastrointestinal symptoms in female runners: the 'Marikenloop study'.

OBJECTIVES: Among runners the reported prevalence of exercise-induced gastrointestinal (GI) symptoms is high (25%-83%). We aimed to investigate the prevalence of GI symptoms in women during a 5-10 km run in general and to explore the association between nutritional intakes and GI symptoms. SETTING: As part of the Marikenloop-study (a cohort study to identify predictor variables of running injuries), a cross-sectional questionnaire was distributed in interested runners of the '2013 Marikenloop'. PARTICIPANTS: 433 female runners filled in the questionnaire. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome measure was the frequency of running-related GI symptoms during running in general and during the last (training) run. Furthermore, dietary intake was determined before and during this run. Secondary outcome measures were several demographic and anthropometric variables. RESULTS: During running in general, 40% of the participants suffered from GI symptoms and during their last run, 49%. The GI symptoms side ache, flatulence, urge to defecate and regurgitation and/or belching were most commonly reported. Lower age (OR=0.98, 95% CI 0.96 to 1.00), minor running experience (OR=3.1, 95% CI 1.7 to 5.7), higher body mass index (OR=1.1, 95% CI 1.0 to 1.2), consuming carbohydrate-containing drinks during running (OR=10.5, 95% CI 1.4 to 80.3) and experiencing GI symptoms during running in general OR=5.0, 95% CI 3.2 to 7.8) significantly contributed to GI symptoms during the last run in the logistic regression analysis. In contrast, time of eating and carbohydrate-containing drinks consumed prior to the run were not related to GI symptoms. CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, the current study confirms the high prevalence of GI symptoms in female runners. Several predictor variables contributed to the GI symptoms but more research is needed to specify the effects of prerunning eating and carbohydrate-containing drinks on GI symptoms during running. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: Marikenloop study 2013: 50-50310-98-156 (ZonMw).

[Bayesian statistics: what, how and why?]. / Bayesiaanse statistiek: wat, hoe en waarom?

Bayesian statistics is an alternative form of statistics that provides a way to systematically integrate new information with existing information. Bayesian methods are very suitable for evidence synthesis. Bayesian outcomes are easier to interpret than standard statistical outcomes. For instance, Bayesian methods allow for determining the probability that a difference in effect between two treatments will be clinically relevant. The use of Bayesian methods is becoming more prevalent.